[Table_Reportdate] 2025年11月21日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 陶圣禹 S0630523100002 tsy@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20251121 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 [table_summary] ➢ 1.中微公司（688012）：国产刻蚀设备领军者，薄膜业务蓄势待发——公司深度报告 ➢ 2.金发科技（600143）：从材料到平台，科技浪潮下验证成长逻辑——公司深度报告 ➢ 1.国务院副总理何立峰在湖北、湖南调研时强调，持续推动外贸提质增效 ➢ 2.LPR报价按兵不动 ➢ 3.行业协会将建议设成本红线规范报价，磷酸铁锂行业推进反内卷 ➢ 4.美国9月非农好于预期，失业率小幅上行 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 | 1.1. 中微公司（6 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [6]. Core Insights - The company has evolved from a modified plastics manufacturer to a global chemical new materials platform, successfully applying its products in cutting-edge industries such as AI servers, humanoid robots, and new energy vehicles [6]. - The modified plastics business remains a solid foundation, with a leading gross margin in the industry due to its integrated supply chain and material solutions [6]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from domestic substitution and technological upgrades in the new materials sector, with significant growth potential in specialty engineering plastics and biodegradable plastics [6]. - The earnings forecast indicates a steady increase in EPS from 0.54 to 0.85 yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 35.01 to 22.16 [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Overview: Healthy Profit Structure and Expected Profitability - The company has shown robust revenue growth, achieving 49.62 billion yuan in revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, a 22.62% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.065 billion yuan, up 55.86% [6][17]. - The profit structure is now driven by sustainable growth areas such as automotive materials and high-end specialty engineering plastics, rather than relying on sporadic medical products [17]. 2. Integrated Supply Chain Builds Competitive Advantage in Modified Plastics - The modified plastics segment has consistently accounted for over 50% of revenue since 2020, with sales volume reaching 2.0908 million tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a growth of 18.16% [40]. - The company’s total production capacity for modified plastics is set to reach 3.72 million tons per year by the end of 2024, maintaining a leading position in the industry [40]. 3. "Domestic Substitution" and "Industry Upgrade" Drive New Materials Business - The new materials segment, including specialty engineering plastics and biodegradable plastics, is expected to grow significantly, with sales volume of 20,080 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a 22.36% increase [6]. - The company is actively developing high-performance biodegradable plastics and specialty engineering plastics, which are crucial for emerging industries [6]. 4. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 60.51 billion yuan in 2024 to 67.31 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.62% from 2020 to 2024 [5][75]. - The report highlights a favorable valuation compared to peers, with an average PE of 44.74 and 30.10 for 2025 and 2026, respectively [75].

Core Insights - The article discusses the participation of Kingfa Technology in the 2025 Fortune China 500 Summit, highlighting its focus on green materials and intelligent manufacturing as part of its strategic transformation towards low-carbon and digitalization [2][21]. Group 1: Company Performance and Recognition - Kingfa Technology has been included in the Fortune China 500 list for the 16th consecutive year, ranking 281st, which is a 50-position increase from the previous year [2]. - In 2024, Kingfa Technology achieved a revenue of 60.514 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.23%, showcasing the effectiveness of its technology-driven high-quality development [9]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives and Innovations - The company is focusing on three major carbon reduction pathways: promoting the use of recycled and bio-based materials, utilizing green electricity and resource recycling in production, and optimizing material selection and structure for carbon reduction throughout the product lifecycle [4]. - Kingfa Technology is transitioning from a material supplier to a solution provider, aiming to create a closed-loop ecosystem that integrates material innovation, product innovation, and application scenarios [5]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company is leveraging AI technology to reconstruct its R&D system, moving from a traditional experience-based formula development model to an AI-assisted decision-making paradigm [7]. - Kingfa Technology has established a dedicated AI data center application research module within its global joint laboratories to enhance its digital transformation efforts [8]. Group 4: Sustainable Development and ESG Commitment - Kingfa Technology integrates sustainable development into its corporate strategy, having published ESG reports for three consecutive years, demonstrating its commitment to environmental protection and resource recycling [19]. - The company’s bio-based LCP materials have achieved significant milestones, becoming the first in China and the second globally to receive the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC PLUS) [19]. Group 5: Global Expansion and Market Position - Kingfa Technology is actively expanding its global footprint, with new production bases in Vietnam, Spain, Mexico, and Poland, enhancing its capacity and responsiveness in international markets [15]. - The company has established a comprehensive product system covering nine categories, positioning itself as a leading player in the global chemical new materials industry [11].

Core Insights - The company is actively collaborating with leading clients in the robotics sector for material development and cooperation [1] - The company has already achieved bulk supply of modified engineering plastics and specialty engineering plastics to robotics companies [1] - The supplied materials are primarily used in the limbs, masks, radar, and battery pack housings of robots and robotic dogs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant growth and opportunities in the chemical new materials industry, highlighting the success of Kingfa Technology as a leading player in this sector, driven by innovation and strategic positioning [3][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Kingfa Technology achieved a revenue of 49.616 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.065 billion yuan, up 55.86% compared to the previous year [5][13]. - For the third quarter alone, the company reported a revenue of 17.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 479 million yuan, marking year-on-year growth rates of 58.04% and 41.49%, respectively [7][13]. - Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Kingfa Technology's performance indicates a strong recovery and benefits from the industry's rebound [5][13]. Group 2: Market Trends - The global chemical new materials market is projected to reach approximately 3.2 trillion yuan in 2024 and is expected to grow to 4 trillion yuan by 2027, with China anticipated to become the largest market for chemical new materials [12]. - China's chemical new materials market is forecasted to grow from 1.3 trillion yuan in 2024 to 1.8 trillion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of about 11.5% [12]. Group 3: Product and Sales Performance - Modified plastics remain the primary revenue source for Kingfa Technology, contributing 25.604 billion yuan, which accounts for 52% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 14.39% [14]. - The company sold 2.0908 million tons of modified plastics in the first three quarters, reflecting an 18.16% increase year-on-year [14]. - Sales in high-growth sectors such as automotive, home appliances, and consumer electronics have seen significant increases, with automotive materials sales reaching 560,300 tons, up 21.54% year-on-year [15][16]. Group 4: Cost and Profitability - Despite a 7.05% decline in the average selling price of modified plastics in the third quarter, the company's profitability improved due to a larger drop in raw material prices, which fell by 11.18% [18][20]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters reached 11.98%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the net profit margin also improved by 0.67 percentage points [23]. Group 5: R&D and New Materials - Kingfa Technology is actively exploring new materials and technologies, focusing on biodegradable plastics, specialty engineering plastics, and high-performance carbon fibers, which are applicable in various emerging fields [24][26]. - The company reported a 22.36% year-on-year increase in new materials sales, with significant growth in biodegradable plastics and specialty engineering plastics [25][26]. - Continuous investment in R&D has enabled Kingfa Technology to overcome technical challenges and expand into new markets, particularly in AI servers and renewable energy sectors [27][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][16] Core Views - The modified plastics business is steadily expanding, leading to significant year-on-year growth in the company's performance for the first three quarters of 2025 [6][9] - The company achieved a revenue of 49.616 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.86% [4][6] - The company is focusing on innovation and expanding its overseas market presence, aiming for overseas revenue to exceed 30% in the future [9][10] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 49.616 billion yuan, up 22.62% year-on-year - Net profit: 1.065 billion yuan, up 55.86% year-on-year - Gross margin: 11.98%, down 0.24 percentage points year-on-year - Net margin: 1.28%, up 0.49 percentage points year-on-year - Return on equity: 5.57%, up 1.53 percentage points year-on-year [4][6][10] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved: - Revenue: 17.980 billion yuan, up 5.04% year-on-year and 12.58% quarter-on-quarter - Net profit: 479 million yuan, up 58.04% year-on-year and 41.49% quarter-on-quarter - Sales gross margin: 11.44%, up 0.65 percentage points year-on-year [5][7] Business Segment Performance - The modified plastics segment saw significant growth, with Q3 revenue of 9.131 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.1%, and sales volume of 781,000 tons, up 11.0% quarter-on-quarter [7][9] - The green petrochemical products segment reported Q3 revenue of 3.129 billion yuan, up 17.1% quarter-on-quarter, with sales volume of 461,000 tons, up 22.0% quarter-on-quarter [7][9] - The new materials segment achieved Q3 revenue of 1.078 billion yuan, with a slight decrease in sales volume and average price [7][9] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 64.609 billion yuan, 73.728 billion yuan, and 82.841 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1.504 billion yuan, 1.861 billion yuan, and 2.372 billion yuan [10][11] - The company is expected to maintain a leading position in the modified plastics industry, with continuous growth in sales of modified and specialty engineering plastics [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Green High-Quality Development Conference was successfully held in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme of building a new pattern for green transformation and cultivating new quality power for industrial development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: Industry Development Direction - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party emphasized the need to focus economic development on the real economy, with a direction towards intelligent, green, and integrated development for the petroleum and chemical industry [3] - Guangzhou Industrial Control Group has established seven national-level green factories and is developing a cluster of green manufacturing [3] - The Guangzhou government aims to accelerate innovation breakthroughs in key areas such as special engineering plastics and new energy battery materials, while enhancing energy management systems [3] Group 2: Key Strategies for Transformation - The industry should focus on five key areas: innovation-driven high-end breakthroughs, systematic thinking for green transformation, digital empowerment for intelligent upgrades, ecological construction through circular economy concepts, and standard upgrades for high-quality development [4] - The establishment of a carbon footprint management system and entry into carbon trading markets are essential for promoting green low-carbon transformation in the petrochemical industry [4] - The main theme for the "14th Five-Year Plan" in the petrochemical industry is optimizing capacity structure, with core development paths including high-end, internationalization, and avoiding excessive competition [4] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts and Achievements - The conference released important results such as typical case practices, industry blue papers, and ESG evaluation reports to support green development in the industry [6][7] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Guangzhou Industrial Control Group and China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation to deepen collaboration in industrial synergy, technological innovation, and green development [6] - The conference included discussions on the development paths of green petrochemicals and new materials, with a focus on transforming the industry from scale expansion to value enhancement [7]

Core Insights - The 2025 China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Green High-Quality Development Conference was successfully held in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme of building a new pattern for green transformation and cultivating new quality power for industrial development [1] - The conference gathered over 600 representatives from government agencies, industry associations, leading enterprises, and academic institutions to explore the comprehensive green transformation and high-quality development paths for the petrochemical industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][2] Group 1: Industry Development Direction - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized the need to focus economic development on the real economy, with a direction towards intelligent, green, and integrated development for the petroleum and chemical industry [2] - The main theme for the petrochemical industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan is to optimize capacity structure, with core development paths including high-end, internationalization, and avoiding "involution" [14] Group 2: Technological and Ecological Initiatives - Guangzhou Industrial Control Group has established seven national-level green factories and is working on key technologies such as electronic special gases and carbon dioxide, aiming to create a cluster-style green manufacturing matrix [5] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment highlighted the importance of managing new pollutants and accelerating the green substitution of toxic and harmful substances as a critical mission for the petrochemical industry [8] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts and Strategic Partnerships - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Guangzhou Industrial Control Group and the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation to deepen collaboration in industrial synergy, technological innovation, and green development [19] - The conference also released significant outcomes, including typical case practices, industry blue papers, and ESG evaluation reports, providing essential data support and practical references for the industry's green development [19] Group 4: Future Outlook and Forums - The conference included discussions on the development paths for green petrochemicals and new materials, with a focus on transforming the industry from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement" [19] - Following the conference, several parallel forums will be held, covering topics such as green innovation in new materials, safety and emergency industry development, ESG investment, and sustainable development [19]

Group 1 - The company is a high-quality polymer new materials manufacturer, established in 1997 and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2011, with a diverse product range including modified plastics, silicone rubber, environmentally friendly flame retardants, electronic materials, smart lighting, 3D printing, and special engineering plastics [1] - The company is accelerating its overseas market expansion, having established Yinxin Technology (Vietnam) Co., Ltd. in 2024, focusing on the production and sales of plastic components for smart lighting and modified plastics, with significant year-on-year growth expected in overseas revenue for 2024 and the first half of 2025 [1] - The company’s PPO products are in the capacity ramp-up phase, with plans to advance the project towards full production, and the Zhuhai production base has reserved space for future expansion based on market demand [2] Group 2 - The company has a strong R&D team with 167 personnel in 2024, a 14.38% increase year-on-year, and over 60% of R&D staff in modified plastics have more than five years of experience, enhancing its capability to provide comprehensive solutions [2] - The company has implemented a long-term incentive mechanism with a restricted stock incentive plan for 2024, aimed at attracting and retaining key executives and core personnel, thereby supporting its strategic development and operational goals [3] - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share of 0.24 yuan, 0.25 yuan, and 0.27 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE valuations of 37x, 35x, and 33x, respectively, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [3]

Company and Industry Summary Company Overview - The company is Jinfa Technology, which reported a revenue growth of 5% year-on-year for the first three quarters, with a net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 58% year-on-year and 41% quarter-on-quarter, indicating strong profitability [2][3]. Key Business Segments Modified Plastics Segment - Sales volume for modified plastics increased by 18.16% year-on-year, contributing approximately 2.2 billion RMB in net profit, a 14% increase year-on-year. The automotive, electronics, and new energy sectors are driving this growth, with rapid expansion in overseas markets [2][4]. Green Petrochemicals Segment - Polypropylene (PP) sales reached 580,000 tons, up 11% year-on-year, but incurred a loss of 580 million RMB, an increase of 300 million RMB in losses due to fixed asset depreciation and increased R&D costs. The ABS business in Liaoning saw a 14% increase in sales volume, with losses reduced by 340 million RMB [2][5]. New Materials Segment - Sales of bio-based materials grew by 25% year-on-year, achieving profitability with a net profit of 37 million RMB. Degradable plastics saw a 10% increase in sales volume, while special engineering plastics net profit surged by 43% [2][6]. Medical Health Segment - Revenue in the medical health segment soared by 129% year-on-year, although it still reported a loss of 280 million RMB. The company is increasing glove production and efficiency to improve performance [2][7]. International Operations - Overseas bases are generally profitable, with market opportunities exceeding those in the domestic market. The company is accelerating capacity expansion in Poland and Mexico, adopting a collaborative approach with downstream customers to explore new markets [2][8][17]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 49.6 billion RMB, a 22% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.065 billion RMB, a 56% increase year-on-year. Operating cash flow reached 2.3 billion RMB, up 58% year-on-year [3]. Challenges and Strategies - The petrochemical sector faces challenges with no significant market recovery in sight. The company is implementing measures such as technological upgrades, cost reductions, and improving by-product utilization efficiency to enhance profitability [10][21]. Future Outlook - The company plans to increase its focus on operational efficiency and aims to expand its international presence, particularly in the engineering materials sector. The new management team has successfully reduced costs and improved cash flow, with a target to further decrease the debt ratio [25][26]. Additional Insights - The company is developing customized and differentiated products to enhance profitability in the petrochemical sector. The integration of production processes is expected to reduce external sales of propylene, thereby improving margins [10][22]. - The company has observed a significant increase in glove sales, with a 141% year-on-year increase in sales volume, indicating strong demand in the medical sector [7]. - The company is also focusing on the development of biodegradable plastics, with production capacity expected to meet increasing demand [24]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the company's performance across various segments, financial metrics, strategic initiatives, and future outlook.