泉果基金今晨发布月度观点指出，在AI领域，随着存量芯片的逐渐增加，AI模型的迭代速度明显加 速，而模型分化已经是一个显性趋势，选择To B 还是 To C是不同 AI labs的战略选择。1月吸人眼球的 是Clawdbot的出圈，一方面揭示大模型已经有很强的能力，agent产品如果有合适的产品形态，会迅速 被人们所接受，另一方面，爆火背后也揭示了开发者们对开源、离线模型应用的渴求。 展望中期，预计短期情绪过热后的价格调整难以改变贵金属（核心股）和有色金属（核心股）向上的趋 势，美国的债务问题、央行购金的趋势、铜铝在新一轮供给受限的产能周期中向上的趋势预计仍将持 续，我们将密切保持关注。 泉果基金既对2026年权益市场持乐观的态度，又对市场可能存在的风险事件保持警惕并密切跟踪。因 此，在投资时保持积极的仓位并适度分散，保留灵活性，以保有及时应对的能力。具体到行业配置层 面： （1）AI为核心的科技创新仍然是市场的主线，因为AI仍然以超预期的速度在发展：模型在进化，应用 在不断深入B端和C端，我们预计形成商业闭环的应用会越来越多。与此同时，AI模型和应用的发展使 得算力（核心股）等基础设施还是行业发展的瓶颈，从G ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brookfield Infrastructure Partners generated funds from operations (FFO) of $2.6 billion in 2025, reflecting a 10% increase compared to 2024 when normalized for asset sales and foreign exchange [4][5] - The fourth quarter FFO reached a record of $0.87 per unit, leading to a conservative payout ratio of 66% and a 6% increase in quarterly distribution to $1.82 per unit, marking the 17th consecutive year of distribution increases of at least 5% [5][6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The transport segment generated FFO of $1.1 billion, consistent with the prior year after normalizing for $1.8 billion in capital recycling initiatives, with rail and toll road segments seeing volume and rate growth of 2% and 3% respectively [7] - The midstream segment's FFO increased by 7% year-over-year to $668 million, driven by higher volumes in Canadian natural gas operations and a newly acquired U.S. refined products pipeline [8] - The data segment's FFO surged over 50% to $502 million, attributed to new investments and strong organic growth, including the commissioning of 220 MW of capacity at hyperscale data centers [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global data center platform has a development potential of approximately 3.6 gigawatts, with contracted capacity exceeding 2.3 gigawatts [9] - In 2025, corporate investments in AI-related infrastructure reached approximately $500 billion, with expectations for further increases in the next two years [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a prudent, risk-focused approach to AI infrastructure investing, emphasizing long-term contracts and selective partnerships with investment-grade counterparties [12][13] - Brookfield Infrastructure aims to capitalize on structural themes such as digitalization, decarbonization, and deglobalization, positioning itself for a super cycle in infrastructure investment [20] - The company plans to deploy approximately $1.5 billion into new investments in 2026, supported by a robust pipeline across various sectors and geographies [18][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the infrastructure sector's resilience and growth potential, with expectations to return to a 10% or higher per unit growth target in 2026 [20][21] - The company highlighted a strong liquidity position of $6 billion at the end of 2025, bolstered by record asset sale proceeds of $3.1 billion [9] Other Important Information - The company completed approximately $16 billion in financings to de-risk operating company balance sheets [4] - Significant growth in the data center business was noted, with 11 consecutive quarters of record bookings and a fully utilized U.S. colocation data center [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on your contract approach to mitigate technology risk in data centers? - Management explained that long-term contracts (15 years) are designed to avoid technology risks by ensuring that any necessary infrastructure changes are not at the company's cost [28][30] Question: What is the expected return on new data center developments? - Management indicated that new data centers yield a return of 9% to 10%, with monetization at cap rates of 5.5% to 6%, leading to equity returns in the high teens or twenties [26][27] Question: Can you provide details on the KKR acquisition of data centers from Compass? - Management stated that specific transaction details are private, but they have entered into joint ventures with institutional investors, including KKR, across North America and Europe [35][36] Question: What is the outlook for inflation indexation across geographies in 2026? - Management expects inflation indexation in OECD markets to average between 2% and 3%, with emerging markets like India and Brazil ranging from 2% to 4% [46][47] Question: How is the capital backlog in data operations expected to evolve? - Management noted a significant increase in the capital backlog, driven by new contracts and the onboarding of bulk fiber backlog, with expectations for smooth commissioning across utilities and data centers [50][52]

Core Insights - The Colombian Ministry of Mines has announced the launch of the Interconnected Caribbean Electricity Service Project, with an investment exceeding $1.7 billion aimed at strengthening electricity infrastructure in the Caribbean region [1] Investment Overview - The project includes over 35 key initiatives designed to meet electricity demand in provinces such as La Guajira, Cesar, Magdalena, Atlántico, Córdoba, and Sucre [1] - An estimated investment of over $1.37 billion will focus on installing 15 synchronous compensators, 4 national transmission system transformers, and 3 reactors, along with implementing more than 13 regional transmission system projects [1] - The government will also advance the connection of northern Chocó to the national interconnected system, with an investment of approximately $125 million [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that private non-residential construction spending in the U.S. is expected to return to growth by 2026, driven primarily by data centers, power infrastructure, and healthcare projects [1][2]. - Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook for the market, predicting a nominal growth of 2% in private non-residential construction spending in 2026, followed by an acceleration to 5% in 2027 [1][2]. - The anticipated recovery in the construction sector is expected after a period of adjustment in 2025, with strong demand in specific industries offsetting broader cyclical weaknesses [1][2]. Group 2 - The Dodge Momentum Index indicates a significant increase in data center expansion plans for 2026, supporting Goldman Sachs' assessment of a resurgence in construction activity [1][2]. - Key sectors such as data centers, power infrastructure, and healthcare are projected to dominate the market in 2026, marking a clear turning point compared to 2025 [2][3]. - Structural forces and stimulus measures are expected to drive this rebound, contrasting with traditional cyclical factors that are currently weak [3].

Core Viewpoint - Aging power grids in Europe and North America have become critical bottlenecks for AI development and energy security, necessitating urgent upgrades to meet rising demands [1][3][4] Group 1: Aging Infrastructure - The average operational lifespan of European power grids is 50 years, while North American grids average 40 years, indicating that many are nearing the end of their designed operational life [3][4] - Nine out of thirteen U.S. electricity markets are already experiencing tight supply conditions, with projections indicating that nearly all will face similar pressures by 2030 [5][6] Group 2: AI and Energy Security - The rapid development of AI is placing power grids at the center of energy security, as data centers, which are crucial for AI infrastructure, require significant electricity [6][7] - The interdependence of the power grid, AI, and national defense makes upgrading the grid a national security priority, transforming it into a strategic issue rather than just an infrastructure concern [6][7] Group 3: Copper Demand Surge - The demand for copper is expected to surge due to the need for power grid upgrades, with projections indicating that by 2030, approximately 60% of global copper demand growth will be driven by electricity infrastructure [7][8] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of copper will rise to $10,750 per ton by 2027, supported by the anticipated increase in demand from power grid and infrastructure projects [8]