Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $92 million, representing a 37% year-over-year increase [23] - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $5 million, showing a $4 million improvement compared to Q3 2024 [24] - Charging network gross margin increased to 35%, up one percentage point from the previous year [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Charging network revenues reached $56 million, a 33% increase year-over-year [23] - Extend revenues were $32 million, delivering growth of 46% [23] - Insular revenues were approximately $5 million, up 27% [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total energy dispensed on EVgo's network grew to 350 GWh over the trailing 12 months, a 13-fold increase since 2021 [22] - The number of stalls in operation increased to 4,590, a 2.7 times increase compared to the end of 2021 [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve break-even adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, marking a significant milestone [30] - EVgo plans to deploy up to 5,000 stalls annually by 2029 without needing additional equity capital [21] - The focus is on site selection and maximizing returns on capital, differentiating from competitors who may prioritize federal grants over optimal site locations [55] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about EV sales forecasts, suggesting that actual sales may exceed current predictions due to improved vehicle affordability and performance [34] - The company anticipates continued growth in charging revenue, projecting three to four times annualized growth from current levels [9] - Management acknowledged seasonality in throughput and charge rates, particularly in winter months, but expects to see overall growth in the charging network's profitability [52] Other Important Information - The company has received $41 million from the DOE loan to accelerate the build-out of EV charging infrastructure [4] - EVgo's average daily throughput per stall has increased more than six-fold from less than 50 kWh in Q1 2022 to 295 kWh in Q3 2025 [12] - The company is actively enhancing its charging technology and infrastructure to improve performance and reduce costs [16][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: EV demand outlook and its impact on development - Management noted that the number of EVs has grown significantly, and while forecasts may fluctuate, they expect higher sales than current predictions due to improved vehicle quality and affordability [34] Question: Tesla charging on the network with new cables - Management indicated that early usage data shows increased Tesla driver engagement at retrofit sites, with plans for a broader rollout in 2026 [37][38] Question: Guidance for stall deployment in 2026 - Management confirmed that the guidance for 2026 remains valid, with expectations for a doubling of public and dedicated stalls compared to 2025 [44] Question: Impact of contract closeout on future revenue - Management clarified that the contract closeout would not impact the previously provided stall guidance, as the majority of the growth is expected from public stalls [80] Question: Charging network gross margin expansion - Management explained that while margins are expanding, seasonality affects Q3 margins, and they expect continued improvement in Q4 [82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $92 million, representing a 37% year-over-year increase [24] - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $5 million, an improvement of $4 million compared to Q3 2024 [24] - Charging network gross margin increased to 35%, up one percentage point from the previous year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Charging network revenues reached $56 million, a 33% increase year-over-year [24] - eXtend revenues were $32 million, delivering growth of 46% [24] - Insular revenues were approximately $5 million, up 27% [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total energy dispensed on EVgo's network grew to 350 gigawatt-hours over the trailing 12 months, a 13-fold increase since 2021 [22] - The number of stalls in operation increased to 4,590, a 2.7 times increase compared to the end of 2021 [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - EVgo aims to achieve break-even adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, with a long-term goal of $500 million in adjusted EBITDA by 2029 [11][30] - The company is focused on expanding its charging network, with plans to deploy up to 5,000 stalls annually by 2029 without needing additional equity capital [20][21] - EVgo is enhancing its next-generation charging architecture to lower gross capex per stall by over 25% by 2029 [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth of EV sales, citing an increase in the number of battery electric vehicle models available [34] - The company anticipates continued strong demand for its charging services, driven by the increasing number of EVs on the road and the expansion of affordable vehicles [8] - Management noted that the charging network's profitability is expected to improve as throughput per stall increases and fixed costs are leveraged [10][24] Other Important Information - EVgo has received a $41 million advance from the DOE loan to accelerate the build-out of EV charging infrastructure [4] - The company has expanded its pilot for NACS connectors, with approximately 100 cables installed, and is seeing increased Tesla charging on its network [6][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: EV demand outlook and its impact on development - Management noted that the number of EVs on the road has grown significantly, and they expect higher sales than current forecasts suggest due to improved vehicle affordability and performance [34][35] Question: Uptick in Tesla charging on the network - Management indicated that it is too early to quantify the impact but noted higher usage at sites with newly installed NACS cables [36][37] Question: Guidance for stall deployment in 2026 - Management confirmed that the guidance for 2026 remains valid, with expectations of doubling the number of public and dedicated stalls compared to 2025 [44][45] Question: Ancillary revenue impact from contract closeout - Management clarified that the contract closeout would not impact prior stall guidance, and they are still working with other partners in the autonomous vehicle space [82] Question: Charging network gross margin expansion - Management explained that while margins are expanding, seasonality affects Q3 margins, and they expect further improvement in Q4 [84][86]

Core Insights - During the recent National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, all charging stations in Jiangsu Province utilized green electricity, with State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company purchasing 2,640 kWh of green electricity to support charging facilities across highways, urban public areas, and tourist attractions [1] - The National Energy Administration reported that from October 1 to October 8, there were 5.169 million charging sessions for new energy vehicles on highways, with a total charging volume of 123 million kWh, marking a historical high for the holiday period [1] - The average daily charging volume during the holiday reached 15.359 million kWh, which is 2.59 times higher than regular days, 23.61% higher than the May Day holiday, and 45.73% higher than last year's National Day holiday [1] Industry Developments - By August 2025, the total number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure in China is expected to reach 17.348 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.5% [2] - Public charging facilities are projected to number 4.316 million, with a year-on-year increase of 37.8%, and a total rated power of 196 million kW, averaging 45.48 kW per charging point [2] - Private charging facilities are anticipated to reach 13.032 million, with a year-on-year growth of 59.6%, and a total installed capacity of 115 million kVA [2] - The National Energy Administration emphasizes the promotion of green electricity usage for electric vehicles, encouraging the adoption of green cars and green electricity through green certificate trading [2]

Core Viewpoint - The 25th China International Investment and Trade Fair has commenced in Xiamen, highlighting the strong partnership between Jiangsu province and the UK, with a focus on mutual investment and cooperation in key sectors. Group 1: Cooperation Directions - Jiangsu and the UK aim to deepen cooperation in three key areas: green low-carbon development, biomedicine, and consumer services [2][3] - In the green low-carbon sector, Jiangsu is building zero-carbon industrial parks and factories to support multinational companies [2] - The biomedicine sector is set for breakthroughs, with Jiangsu welcoming more UK companies to share in the policy benefits of its open innovation in the biopharmaceutical industry [2] Group 2: Trade and Investment Data - From January to July this year, the trade volume between Jiangsu and the UK reached $7.57 billion, marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase [4] - As of July, the UK has established 1,532 foreign investment projects in Jiangsu, with actual foreign investment totaling $4.97 billion [4] - Jiangsu has set up 139 overseas investment projects in the UK, with a total investment amount of $1.6 billion [4] Group 3: Successful Projects - The Jaguar Land Rover production base in Changshu is a benchmark for Sino-British manufacturing cooperation, with plans to produce electric vehicles for the European market [4] - AstraZeneca has invested over $5 billion in Jiangsu over 30 years, with recent investments including $475 million for a new small molecule drug factory in Wuxi [4][5] - GSK and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine have signed an agreement to jointly develop 12 innovative drugs, enhancing both companies' global strategies [5] Group 4: Future Prospects - Over 100 UK SMEs are attending the fair, seeking to establish diverse collaborations with Jiangsu [6] - Jiangsu's policies and local government support are crucial for fostering a conducive environment for bilateral cooperation [6] - The establishment of the Sino-European (Wuxi) Life Science Innovation Industrial Park is a significant step in promoting open innovation in the biopharmaceutical sector [6]

Core Insights - In July, China's total electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a year-on-year increase of 8.6%, and this is the first time monthly consumption has surpassed the trillion-kilowatt-hour mark [1][3] - The growth in electricity consumption reflects new trends in industrial development, driven by high temperatures and stable industrial production [1][3] Electricity Consumption by Sector - The primary sector consumed 17 billion kilowatt-hours, up 20.2% year-on-year; the secondary sector consumed 5,936 billion kilowatt-hours, up 4.7%; and the tertiary sector consumed 2,081 billion kilowatt-hours, up 10.7% [3][5] - The secondary sector's electricity consumption showed a continuous recovery, with a growth rate of 4.7%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from the previous month [5] High-Technology and Service Industries - The electricity consumption in high-tech and equipment manufacturing industries is leading the growth, while the internet and related services saw a significant increase of 28.2% year-on-year [5] - The new energy vehicle manufacturing sector also experienced a substantial growth of 25.7% in electricity consumption [5] Emerging Consumption Drivers - New electricity consumption drivers include data centers, electric vehicle charging services, and the sports economy, particularly in regions like Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Guangdong [5][9] - In Jiangsu, the restaurant industry's electricity consumption surged over 25% year-on-year, driven by events like local football leagues [7] Peak Load and Energy Management - High temperatures have led to record electricity loads in several regions, prompting the State Grid to enhance cross-regional power transmission and initiate residential energy-saving actions [10][11] - In Anhui, the peak load reached 68.57 million kilowatts, a 7.92% increase from the previous year, while Jiangsu's peak load also set a new record at 156 million kilowatts, up 6.12% year-on-year [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong revenue growth of 44% year-on-year, reaching a revenue run rate of over €100 million [53][54] - Gross margin per kilowatt hour increased to €0.54, the highest level ever, up from €0.47 in the first quarter [38] - Operational EBITDA expanded by more than 20%, with underlying EBITDA remaining positive despite a net loss of €19.9 million primarily due to network expansion costs [56][57] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 17 new stations and expanded 11 existing stations in the first half of 2025, totaling 29 new stations added to the network [28][29] - Energy delivered per station grew by 8.2% year-on-year, with organic volume growth at the stations at 16% year-on-year [38] - The average sales per station were reported to be eight times the market average in Belgium, indicating strong performance [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Electric vehicle (EV) stock grew by 28% year-on-year, while the company delivered 30% more energy in the same period [9] - EV sales across the EU increased by 22% in 2025, driven by supportive policies and incentives [13] - The company holds a 20% sales market share in Belgium despite having only 3% of the charging locations [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue expanding its network, with a target of building over 100 stations annually in the coming years [56] - Initiatives such as the Spark Alliance and the "See You There" marketing campaign are designed to enhance brand awareness and drive EV adoption [11][30] - The company is focused on fast charging as the fastest growing segment, which aligns with its strategy to optimize station economics [48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future growth, citing the expected acceleration in EV sales and the company's strategic positioning [61] - The company anticipates that seasonal effects will lead to increased energy needs in the latter half of the year, contributing to revenue growth [78] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining a balance between network expansion and operational efficiency to achieve long-term profitability [56] Other Important Information - The company has a strong funding position with a cash balance of €113 million and plans to fund a significant portion of its 2026 rollout from current resources [59][60] - The company is assessing bank financing options to support its expansion plans [60] Q&A Session Summary Question: Cash flow dynamics and CapEx increase - Management explained that the increase in CapEx to €43 million in the first half was due to the construction of new stations and expansions, with expectations for positive free cash flow in the future [64][66][71] Question: Charging volumes and seasonal effects - Management clarified that Q2 typically sees lower volumes due to seasonal temperature effects, with expectations for growth in Q3 and Q4 driven by increased energy needs [75][78] Question: CO2 emissions and sales mix - Management provided insights on how CO2 targets influence the sales mix, indicating that compliance with emissions regulations will require a significant increase in electric vehicle sales [86][92] Question: Charge speeds and operational EBITDA margins - Management discussed expectations for increasing charge speeds with new vehicle models and the impact of operational leverage on EBITDA margins in mature markets [100][108]

Core Insights - EVgo Inc. reported revenue of $98.03 million for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 47.2% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $86.15 million by 13.8% [1] - The company posted an EPS of -$0.10, consistent with the previous year's EPS of -$0.10, and delivered an EPS surprise of 23.08% against the consensus estimate of -$0.13 [1] Financial Performance - EVgo's shares have returned +6.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3] Key Metrics - Network Throughput was reported at 88, below the two-analyst average estimate of 98 [4] - Total stalls in operation were 4,350, compared to the average estimate of 4,437 [4] - Revenue from the charging network was $51.83 million, below the average estimate of $57.15 million [4] - Revenue from EVgo eXtend was $37.39 million, exceeding the average estimate of $27.81 million [4] - Revenue from ancillary services was $8.82 million, significantly higher than the average estimate of $3.91 million [4]

Core Insights - A survey by Shell reveals a growing reluctance among drivers to switch from fuel vehicles to electric vehicles (EVs), with this trend being more pronounced in Europe than in the US [4] - Current EV drivers report increased confidence and satisfaction, while interest among fuel vehicle drivers is stagnating or declining [4][5] - The survey indicates that 91% of current EV drivers are considering purchasing another EV as their next vehicle [7] Summary by Sections Survey Findings - 61% of global EV drivers feel less concerned about running out of charge compared to a year ago, and 72% believe the availability of public charging stations has improved [4] - Interest in EVs among fuel vehicle drivers has decreased, with US interest dropping from 34% in 2024 to 31% in 2025, and European interest declining from 48% to 41% in the same period [4] Cost Concerns - Cost remains the primary barrier to EV adoption, with 43% of non-EV drivers in Europe citing price as their main concern [5] - High vehicle prices in Europe, despite decreasing battery costs, along with rising energy costs and broader economic pressures, are affecting consumer purchasing intentions [5] Policy Support - 46% of gasoline and diesel vehicle drivers in the US support policies encouraging the phase-out of fuel vehicles, while the support in Europe is at 44% [9] - Support for such policies is contingent on EV pricing and charging infrastructure improvements [9] Charging Experience - Only 51% of European drivers reported improved reliability of public charging stations in the past year, compared to 74% in China and 80% in the US [13] - 78% of EVs driven in Europe are new, down from 82% the previous year, indicating growth in the used car market which may attract more consumers [14] Research Methodology - The survey involved over 15,000 drivers across nine markets, including key markets in Europe, the US, and China, conducted in March 2025 [18][19][20]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to ADNOC Distribution, indicating an expected relative return exceeding 10% over the next 12-18 months [19]. Core Insights - ADNOC Distribution is recognized for its differentiated retail model, focusing on shareholder cash returns and strategic expansion in customer base and property management [2][3]. - The company is expanding its non-fuel retail business, which contributes nearly 10% of total retail revenue but has the highest profit margins, maintaining a gross margin of over 50% [4]. - The company aims to increase its electric vehicle (EV) charging points significantly, targeting a 10-15 times increase by FY28 compared to FY23 [4]. - Expansion into Saudi Arabia and Egypt is seen as crucial for mid-term growth, leveraging a light-asset model to increase station numbers in these markets [4]. Company Overview - ADNOC Distribution operates primarily in the UAE, with a presence in Saudi Arabia and Egypt, and is 77% owned by the ADNOC Group [3]. - As of the end of FY24, the company operates 896 fuel stations, with a goal of reaching 1,000 by FY28 [3]. - The company also manages 373 ADNOC Oasis convenience stores and provides various services including car inspections and EV charging [3]. Financial Performance - The company's dividend policy is attractive, with plans to distribute $700 million or at least 75% of net profits as dividends from FY24 to FY28, translating to an approximate 6.0% dividend yield [5].

Investment Focus - The report covers UAE companies with a market capitalization of approximately $50 billion, primarily benefiting from four core themes: the importance of UAE's energy system and resource growth, strong domestic consumption, increasing focus on technology and AI, and business decarbonization transformation [3][4][5] - The report provides a detailed analysis of various companies, including ADNOC Gas, ADNOC Drilling, and Borouge, all rated "Outperform" with significant growth potential [1][2][4][5] Company Analysis - **Borouge (BOROUGE UH)**: A leading global diversified petrochemical company, Borouge operates one of the largest integrated polyolefin production facilities globally. The company is expected to benefit from a merger with Nordic Chemicals and the acquisition of Nova Chemicals, forming Borouge International Group, which is projected to complete in Q1 2026 [11][15][25] - **ADNOC Distribution (ADNOCDIS UH)**: The largest fuel retailer in the UAE with a market share of approximately 65%. The company is expected to experience strong growth driven by the UAE's economic expansion [4][5] - **Fertiglobe (FERTIGLB UH)**: A leading nitrogen fertilizer producer in the MENA region, aiming for nearly 60% profit growth over the decade through operational efficiency, product expansion, and low-carbon ammonia development [5][6] Market Trends - The petrochemical industry is expected to recover, with improved profit margins anticipated from 2025 due to demand recovery in China and rationalization of high-cost capacities in Europe [12][17][25] - Borouge's products command a price premium over market benchmarks, attributed to its Borstar® technology, which enhances product differentiation and quality [12][34][41] - The report highlights that Borouge's EBITDA margin is projected to be around 40%, significantly higher than the industry average of 19%, indicating strong profitability potential [40][41] Financial Projections - Borouge's revenue is forecasted to reach $5.996 billion in 2025, with a net profit of $1.233 billion, reflecting a stable financial outlook [10][53] - The company is expected to maintain a dividend yield of approximately 6% in 2025, aligning with global industry averages [45][47] Strategic Initiatives - The merger with Nordic Chemicals and acquisition of Nova Chemicals is expected to create a significant synergy, with projected annual EBITDA of approximately $7 billion for the new entity [25][34] - Borouge's strategic focus on the Chinese market, which accounts for about 30% of its sales, is seen as a long-term growth opportunity, especially with plans for a new specialty polyolefin plant [48][49]