Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is Neutral [4][16]. Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, but there was a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 167.6 billion RMB, a decrease of 4.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 27.07 billion RMB, down 29.0% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 58.5 billion RMB, down 20.4% year-on-year, and net profit was 9.53 billion RMB, down 55.1% year-on-year [1][7]. - The company's container shipping volume showed positive growth year-on-year, with a total of 6.9 million TEUs shipped in Q3, an increase of 4.9%. However, the supply-demand imbalance led to a significant decline in shipping rates, with the average CCFI down 39.5% year-on-year [1][10]. - The port business demonstrated steady growth, achieving a throughput of 113.28 million TEUs in the first three quarters of 2025, up 5.6% year-on-year. The throughput from controlled terminals was 25.04 million TEUs, an increase of 2.0% [2][10]. - The company is focused on shareholder returns, having distributed a mid-term dividend of 0.56 RMB per share, representing 50% of its net profit for the first half of the year. Additionally, a new share buyback plan has been announced, aiming to repurchase between 50 million to 100 million shares at a price not exceeding 14.98 RMB per share, with an expected total amount of 749 million to 1.498 billion RMB [2][12]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenue for 2025 to be 218.66 billion RMB, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, with net profit expected to be 31.08 billion RMB, down 36.7% year-on-year. The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.01 RMB [3][14]. - The EBIT margin is expected to be 15.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4% [3][14]. - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in net profit for 2026 and 2027, with estimates of 23.29 billion RMB and 22.07 billion RMB respectively [13].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant drop in Q3 performance, while also announcing a share buyback plan to enhance shareholder value [1][5]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 167.6 billion yuan, down 4.1% year-on-year; Q3 revenue was 58.5 billion yuan, down 20.4% year-on-year but up 14.4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 27.07 billion yuan, down 29% year-on-year; Q3 net profit was 9.53 billion yuan, down 55.1% year-on-year but up 63.2% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Excluding non-recurring items, net profit for the first three quarters was 26.97 billion yuan, down 29.1% year-on-year; Q3 was 9.50 billion yuan, down 55.3% year-on-year but up 63.1% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Business Segments - In Q3, the estimated revenue from container shipping was approximately 56.23 billion yuan, down 21.2% year-on-year, while supply chain revenue (excluding shipping) was 11.31 billion yuan, up 4.8% year-on-year [3]. - Container shipping line revenue was 51.78 billion yuan, down 23% year-on-year but up 15% quarter-on-quarter; performance varied across routes, with significant declines in trans-Pacific and Asia-Europe routes [3]. - Q3 container volume was 6.903 million TEU, up 4.9% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Pricing and Cost Analysis - The average revenue per container in Q3 was 1,052 USD/TEU, down 27% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter; foreign trade container revenue was 1,276 USD/TEU, down 26% year-on-year but up 16% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Estimated cost per container in Q3 was approximately 879 USD/TEU, down 2.3% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 263.9 USD/TEU, down 57.7% year-on-year [3]. Profitability Metrics - Q3 EBIT margin for container shipping was approximately 20.9%, down 18.4 percentage points year-on-year but up 7.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter; net profit margin was 16.2%, down 15.7 percentage points year-on-year but up 5.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4]. - Terminal business revenue in Q3 was 3.08 billion yuan, up 8.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.0%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Market Outlook - For Q4, expectations are for price support in main shipping routes due to reduced capacity and upcoming contract renewals, despite concerns over geopolitical events affecting shipping routes [4]. - The company maintains a positive outlook on the value of leading container shipping networks, supported by a strong balance sheet and stable shareholder returns [5]. Valuation and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to have net profits of 31.04 billion, 20.23 billion, and 21.78 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 7, 11, and 11 times [5]. - Current valuations for H and A shares are seen as having a safety margin, with significant pessimistic expectations already priced in [6].

Core Viewpoint - COSCO Shipping Holdings (中远海控) reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with a net profit of 95.33 billion yuan, reflecting a 63.20% quarter-on-quarter increase despite global shipping market volatility and geopolitical challenges [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 270.70 billion yuan [1] - The container shipping business remains the main profit driver, generating revenue of 1,610.31 billion yuan with an EBITDA margin of 20.65% [1] - Container throughput reached 20.18 million TEUs, marking a 6.0% year-on-year increase, with international routes growing by 4.4% and mainland China routes by 12.1% [1] Group 2: Operational Capacity - As of September 30, the company operated a fleet of 572 vessels with a total capacity of 3.497 million TEUs, a 5.4% increase from the beginning of the year [2] - The average age of the fleet is 13.9 years, and the company has 57 new ship orders for the next three years, totaling approximately 1.01 million TEUs, including 42 methanol dual-fuel vessels [2] Group 3: Terminal Business - The terminal business reported revenue of 8.925 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 12.35% year-on-year increase [2] - Total throughput reached 113.28 million TEUs, up 5.6%, with significant contributions from the Bohai Rim, Pearl River Delta, and overseas terminals [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a complex and changing market environment for the container shipping industry and aims to enhance core competitiveness and operational resilience [2] - COSCO Shipping Holdings is committed to developing a global digital supply chain operation and investment platform centered around container shipping [2]

Core Insights - COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. (中远海控) reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of CNY 167.599 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 27.070 billion, reflecting resilience in its core business operations [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, COSCO Shipping achieved an EBIT of CNY 39.164 billion and a total profit of CNY 36.895 billion [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 9.533 billion, representing a 63.20% increase compared to Q2 2025 [1] - The company's cash flow from operating activities was CNY 39.982 billion, with cash and cash equivalents totaling CNY 170.560 billion as of September 30, 2025 [1] Business Segments - The container shipping segment generated revenue of CNY 161.031 billion, with an EBIT margin of 20.65% [1] - The terminal business reported revenue of CNY 8.925 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.35% [1] Strategic Initiatives - COSCO Shipping announced a share repurchase plan in October 2025, intending to buy back between 50 million to 100 million A-shares, with H-shares repurchase to be conducted under general authorization from the shareholders' meeting [2] - The company completed a cash dividend distribution of CNY 8.674 billion (including tax) for the first half of 2025 [2] - COSCO Shipping is focusing on integrated operations in "container shipping + ports + related logistics," achieving breakthroughs in global layout and advancing digital supply chain and green low-carbon transformation [2]

Core Insights - Company reported a total revenue of 167.6 billion yuan and a net profit of 27.1 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - In Q3 alone, the revenue was 58.5 billion yuan with a net profit of 9.5 billion yuan [1] Business Segments - Container shipping business generated revenue of 161.0 billion yuan with a cargo volume of 20.2 million TEUs, marking a 6.0% increase year-on-year [1] - Terminal business revenue reached 8.9 billion yuan with a total throughput of 11.3 million TEUs, reflecting a 5.6% year-on-year growth [1] Strategic Initiatives - Company emphasizes a stable yet progressive approach in a complex market, driven by technological innovation [1] - In the container shipping sector, the implementation of a dual customer service system and supply chain control tower enhances global supply chain delivery [1] - AI-driven inspection systems automate the entire process from data collection to repair quotes, significantly improving efficiency compared to traditional methods [1] Terminal Operations - The port company under the group has achieved high levels of coordination among business, processes, data, and equipment through AI technology, greatly enhancing operational efficiency [2] - The "Smart Port L4 Level Autonomous Driving Application" was recognized at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference as one of the first high-value strategic scenarios for Chinese enterprises [2] Dividend and Buyback Plans - Company announced a second round of share repurchase plan for 2025, intending to buy back between 50 million to 100 million A-shares [2] - The mid-year cash dividend distribution for 2025 has been completed, amounting to 8.7 billion yuan (including tax) [2]

Core Insights - COSCO Shipping Holdings reported a strong performance in Q3 2023, with a net profit of 9.53 billion yuan, reflecting a 63.20% quarter-on-quarter increase, showcasing operational resilience amid industry freight rate fluctuations [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of 167.6 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with container shipping and terminal operations driving synergistic growth [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first three quarters reached 167.6 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27.07 billion yuan [1] - Container shipping revenue was 161.03 billion yuan, with an EBITDA margin of 20.65% [1] - Terminal operations generated 8.93 billion yuan in revenue, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.35% [1] Operational Highlights - Container throughput increased by 6.01% year-on-year to 20.18 million TEUs, while terminal throughput rose by 5.6% to 11.3 million TEUs [1] - The company expanded its global network, achieving breakthroughs in Central Asia and Southeast Asia, including the delivery of the Laem Chabang terminal in Thailand and new direct shipping routes [1] Strategic Initiatives - COSCO Shipping is enhancing its digital and green transformation, leveraging technological innovation to improve efficiency [2] - The company has issued over 680,000 electronic bills of lading through the GSBN digital platform, covering over 80 countries [2] - The launch of the first domestically built methanol dual-fuel vessel and the completion of the world's first methanol dual-fuel system retrofit demonstrate the company's commitment to sustainable shipping [2] Financial Stability - The company maintains a robust financial structure with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.46% and cash and cash equivalents amounting to 170.56 billion yuan [2] - Net cash flow from operating activities reached 39.98 billion yuan, with investment income and interest income totaling 8.70 billion yuan [2] - Recently completed a mid-term dividend payout of 8.67 billion yuan and initiated a second round of A+H share buybacks, reflecting confidence in long-term value [2] Future Outlook - COSCO Shipping aims to position itself as a global digital supply chain operation and investment platform, focusing on cost efficiency, digital upgrades, and green transformation to enhance sustainable development and global competitiveness [2]

Core Viewpoint - COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant growth in net profit and container shipping revenue, while also emphasizing the challenges posed by geopolitical instability and market uncertainties [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, COSCO Shipping achieved a revenue of CNY 167.599 billion, with an EBIT of CNY 39.164 billion and a total profit of CNY 36.895 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 27.070 billion [1]. - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 9.533 billion, representing a 63.20% increase compared to Q2 [1]. Business Segments - The container shipping business generated revenue of CNY 161.031 billion, with an EBIT margin of 20.65%. The terminal business reported revenue of CNY 8.925 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.35% [1]. - The total container throughput for the first three quarters was 11.3 million TEUs, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [2]. Strategic Developments - The establishment of COSCO Shipping's Central Asia subsidiary aims to enhance the Asia-Europe trade corridor. Additionally, joint ventures in smart supply chain platforms were launched to strengthen regional supply chain hubs [2]. - New shipping routes were introduced, including direct services from Southeast Asia to South Asia and enhanced connections to North America and Latin America, aligning with global supply chain restructuring trends [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates ongoing challenges in the container shipping industry due to geopolitical instability and economic uncertainties. It plans to focus on enhancing core competitiveness and operational resilience while advancing digital supply chain initiatives and green transformation [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 7.78% in the first half of 2025, with a total revenue of 109.1 billion yuan, despite a slight decline of 3.39% in Q2 [8] - The growth in container shipping volume and profitability from port operations supported the company's performance [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.56 yuan per share for the mid-term, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of approximately 50%, which is a 7.69% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [8] - The company is expected to maintain stable profits in the future due to a solid industry structure and its dividend attributes [8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 175.448 billion yuan, 2024: 233.859 billion yuan, 2025E: 192.372 billion yuan, 2026E: 180.483 billion yuan, 2027E: 191.742 billion yuan [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: 2023: 23.86 billion yuan, 2024: 49.1 billion yuan, 2025E: 25.525 billion yuan, 2026E: 19.036 billion yuan, 2027E: 20.09 billion yuan [7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be: 2023: 1.54 yuan, 2024: 3.17 yuan, 2025E: 1.65 yuan, 2026E: 1.23 yuan, 2027E: 1.30 yuan [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be: 2023: 12.17%, 2024: 20.92%, 2025E: 10.32%, 2026E: 7.41%, 2027E: 7.52% [7]

Core Viewpoint - COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919.HK) reported a mid-year performance for the first half of 2025, showing a revenue increase and profit growth compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 109.10 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.78% [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders was RMB 17.53 billion, an increase of 3.90% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share at RMB 1.12 [1] - The proposed interim dividend is RMB 0.56 per ordinary share [1] Business Segments - Container shipping business revenue reached RMB 104.80 billion, an increase of RMB 7.30 billion, or 7.49% year-on-year [1] - COSCO Shipping Lines achieved container shipping revenue of RMB 73.03 billion, up RMB 5.57 billion, or 8.26% year-on-year [1] - Terminal business revenue was RMB 5.84 billion, reflecting an increase of RMB 0.75 billion, or 14.75% year-on-year [1] Cash Position - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents totaled RMB 169.14 billion, a decrease of RMB 15.05 billion, or 8.17% from the end of the previous year [1] - The group's cash and cash equivalents are primarily denominated in RMB and USD, with other currencies including Euro, HKD, and others [1]

Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a mid-year performance for 2025, showing a revenue increase of 7.78% year-on-year, reaching 109.099 billion RMB, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.528 billion RMB, up 3.9% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the reporting period was 109.099 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.78% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 17.528 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.9% [1] - Basic earnings per share were reported at 1.12 RMB, with an interim dividend proposed at 0.56 RMB per share [1] Business Operations - The container shipping business completed a total of 13.2809 million TEUs (Twenty-foot Equivalent Units), marking a year-on-year increase of 6.59% [1] - The terminal business achieved a total throughput of 74.296 million TEUs, which is a year-on-year increase of 6.35% [1] Fleet Development - The company is advancing its fleet's scale, structure, and modernization in line with global development trends, with a self-operated container fleet now comprising 557 vessels and a total capacity exceeding 3.4 million TEUs [1] - The company holds new ship orders with a capacity of 910,000 TEUs, maintaining a leading position in the industry [1] Green Initiatives - The company is accelerating the structural upgrade of its green fleet through new ship construction and technological retrofitting, having ordered 42 new methanol dual-fuel vessels with a capacity of 780,000 TEUs [1] - The first domestic methanol dual-fuel container ship, "COSCO Shipping Yangpu," has successfully completed its maiden voyage, marking a significant step in the full supply chain of methanol fuel from production to transportation and refueling [1]