文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 两点构成,且利息收益率占了大部分。 不过内地投资美债基金的话，收益会比 上述收益略低一些。 一方面,美元降息周期,通常会伴随着 美元贬值。以人民币计价的美债基金, 看到的收益，要减去美元贬值的部分。 另一方面,内地的美元债基金,还有基 金管理费要扣除。 其中汇率的影响更大一些。 所以内地人民币计价的美债基金收益, 就等于美债利息收益率+美债价格上涨- 美元相对人民币贬值的部分-基金费用。 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - This week, the A-share market adjusted with shrinking volume. Mid-cap stocks had a large correction, while banks and insurance in the large financial sector performed well. The precious metal prices continued to rise, and the prices of London gold and London silver both reached record highs. The trading volume of the two markets decreased, and liquidity continued to shrink. The report suggests paying attention to the structural opportunities brought by the marginal changes in capital flow and optimizing positions in precious metals opportunistically [1][10][15] Summary by Directory 1. This Week's Market Review 1.1 Industry Index - Only the banking, coal, food and beverage, and transportation sectors rose this week, with a significant increase in the weekly trading volume proportion compared to last week. The media sector's trading activity decreased significantly. The non-ferrous metals sector, which was strong in the past 3 months, fell 2.91% this week, but its trading volume proportion increased to a four - week high of 8.27%. The neutral hedge fund's average and median absolute returns were -0.12% and -0.06% respectively [10] 1.2 Market Style - The growth style index significantly corrected by 5.82% this week, and its trading volume proportion dropped to a four - week low of 56.25%. The consumer style index fell 1.31%, and its trading volume proportion rose to a four - week high of 9.49%. The financial style index rose 1.57%, and its trading volume proportion slightly increased to 6.74%. The cyclical style index fell 3.78%, and its trading volume proportion was at a four - week high of 23.55%. The stable style index slightly fell 0.52%, and its trading volume proportion was at a four - week high of 3.97%. Mid - cap stocks had a larger decline, with the CSI 500 index falling 5.17% and its trading volume proportion dropping to a four - week low of 19.30%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 2.22%, and its trading volume proportion dropped to 30.09% [14] 2. Active Equity Funds 2.1 Funds with Excellent Performance in Different Theme Tracks This Week - Single - track funds are those with a position in a certain sector greater than 70% for multiple consecutive periods, and double - track funds are those with positions in two sectors both greater than 30% for multiple consecutive periods. The report lists the top five funds in different theme tracks such as TMT, financial real estate, consumption, medicine, manufacturing, and cyclical sectors [19][20] 2.2 Funds with Excellent Performance in Different Strategy Classifications - The funds are divided into deep - undervalued, high - growth, high - quality, quality - growth, quality - undervalued, GARP, and balanced - cost - effective types. The report lists the funds with relatively excellent performance in different types of funds this week [21] 3. Index - Enhanced Funds 3.1 This Week's Excess Return Distribution of Index - Enhanced Funds - The average and median excess returns of CSI 300 index - enhanced funds were 0.10% and 0.12% respectively; those of CSI 500 index - enhanced funds were 0.81% and 0.75% respectively; those of CSI 1000 index - enhanced funds were 0.57% and 0.60% respectively; those of CSI 2000 index - enhanced funds were 0.47% and 0.70% respectively; those of CSI A500 index - enhanced funds were 0.36% and 0.39% respectively; those of ChiNext index - enhanced funds were 0.64% and 0.80% respectively; and those of Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 index - enhanced funds were 0.27% and 0.25% respectively. The average and median absolute returns of neutral hedge funds were -0.12% and -0.06% respectively, and those of quantitative long - only funds were -3.25% and -3.43% respectively [24][26] 4. This Week's High - Frequency Position Detection of Funds - In the past week, active equity funds significantly increased their positions in the computer (0.44%), electronics (0.31%), and non - ferrous metals (0.19%) industries; and significantly reduced their positions in the non - banking financial (0.17%), banking (0.14%), and automobile (0.13%) industries. From a one - month perspective, the positions in the computer (1.65%) and electronics (0.84%) industries increased significantly, while the position in the pharmaceutical (0.51%) industry decreased significantly [3][42]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of global stock markets, the impact of tariffs and interest rates, and investment opportunities in gold and dollar-denominated bonds. Group 1: Global Stock Market Overview - Global stock markets experienced minor fluctuations recently, with a slight rebound noted on Friday [2][4]. - Trump's comments on tariffs and the increasing probability of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have influenced market movements [3][7]. - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious, with potential for continued volatility [9]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Gold has shown strong performance since 2022, but its current valuation may not be as attractive as before, leading to increased volatility [11][12]. - Dollar-denominated bonds have seen a rise in valuation since the tariff crisis began in October, with recent performance outpacing that of comparable RMB-denominated bond funds [14][18]. - The article suggests that dollar-denominated bond funds are generally low in valuation and may present good investment opportunities, especially during the Fed's rate-cutting cycle [12][18]. Group 3: Currency and Exchange Rate Risks - Investing in dollar-denominated bond funds in mainland China may expose investors to currency risks, particularly if the dollar depreciates against the yuan [22][23]. - The article highlights that while dollar-denominated bond indices have shown gains of 6-7% in USD terms, the returns in RMB terms are lower, around 3-5% [24][25]. Group 4: Global Stock Index and Investment Strategies - The article presents a star rating system for global stock markets, indicating periods of undervaluation and potential investment opportunities [29]. - Currently, the global stock market is rated around 3.0 stars, suggesting a moderate investment environment [30]. - The article mentions the absence of global stock index funds in mainland China, but suggests that a diversified investment strategy can be achieved through advisory combinations [32][33]. Group 5: New Book Release - A new edition of "The Long-Term Investment Guide" has been released, which includes updated data and new chapters, emphasizing the importance of stock assets for long-term wealth accumulation [38][39]. - The book is recognized for its comprehensive analysis of various asset classes and their long-term returns, reinforcing the notion that stocks are the best investment for wealth growth [40].

Core Viewpoint - The global stock market has shown an overall upward trend, with significant increases in various regions, influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Group 1: Global Stock Market Performance - The global stock market indices have generally risen, with the US stock market increasing by 1.5% this week [2] - Non-US markets have experienced even greater gains [3] - The A-share market rose by 2%, while the Hong Kong stock market saw a substantial increase, with the Hang Seng Index up by 3.82% [4] - Chinese concept stocks and Hong Kong technology stocks performed even better, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 5.3% [5] - The technology stocks in Hong Kong are currently at normal valuations and not overvalued [6] - The Asia-Pacific stock markets also saw widespread increases, with Japanese and Korean stocks rising over 2% [7][8] - European stock markets had a more modest increase compared to other regions [9] Group 2: Global Bond Market Performance - The global bond market also experienced an overall increase this week [10] - The simultaneous rise in both stocks and bonds is linked to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September [11] - The market widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut, with some probability of a 50 basis point cut [12] Group 3: Impact of Interest Rate Changes - A decrease in US dollar interest rates is favorable for global assets [13] - The benefits are even more pronounced for non-US dollar markets [14] - Since the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September last year, the Chinese stock market has had the highest growth globally [15] - The previous low valuations of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks contributed to this performance [16] - However, as these markets have risen, the advantage of being undervalued is gradually diminishing [17] - A year ago, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks were 50% lower than the global average valuation, but this gap has narrowed to just over 10% recently [18][19] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - There are still undervalued investment opportunities in overseas markets despite the overall rise [20] - In the US market, high-dividend stocks and funds remain undervalued, although there are currently few such funds available in mainland China [21][22] - US dollar bond funds are also undervalued, benefiting directly from the decline in US dollar interest rates [23] - The principle of bond pricing indicates that as interest rates fall, bond values typically rise [24][25] - There are limited US dollar bond fund options available in mainland China, with most having purchase limits [26] - The all-weather investment strategy, popularized by Bridgewater Associates, involves diversifying across global stocks, bonds, and gold to reduce portfolio volatility [27][28] - The all-weather strategy has been implemented in a Chinese version by the company, which can be used for global asset allocation [31][32][34] Group 5: Global Stock Index Investment - The company has created a star rating chart for the global stock market, indicating previous undervaluation phases in 2018, 2020, and 2022 [36] - Following a significant drop in April 2025, the global stock market rebounded and is currently around 2.9 stars [38] - While there are global stock index funds available in overseas markets, there are currently no such funds in mainland China [40] - The company has launched a "Global Index Advisory Portfolio" that diversifies investments across US, UK, Hong Kong, and A-share indices to track the global stock market [41] - However, investment limits for overseas market funds in mainland China are generally low, with a maximum daily purchase limit of 350 yuan [43] Group 6: New Book Release - The company has released a new edition of the book "The Long-Term Investment Secret," which has been a bestseller for 30 years [46] - The latest edition includes updated data and new chapters, emphasizing that stocks are the best long-term investment vehicle [49] - The book provides insights into the long-term returns of various asset classes, reinforcing the importance of stock allocation in family assets [50]

- The report discusses the performance of different types of fund advisory products in August 2025, categorizing them into pure bond, fixed income plus, mixed equity and bond, and equity fund advisory products[3][11][17] - The average absolute returns for pure bond, fixed income plus, mixed equity and bond, and equity fund advisory products in August were 0.14%, 1.34%, 4.48%, and 8.80% respectively[3][11][17] - The report further breaks down equity fund advisory products into QDII, industry theme, and general equity types, with general equity types further divided into macro-driven, industry rotation, index-driven, and active selection strategies[11][17] - In August, the industry rotation type of equity fund advisory products had the highest returns among the different strategies, with absolute returns of 10.07%[16] - The report provides detailed performance data for top-performing fund advisory products in 2025, including "All-weather Active Portfolio" and "Anxin Aggressive 90" for equity fund advisory products, "Peach and Plum Silent" and "Anxin Balanced Selection" for mixed equity and bond fund advisory products, "Guotai Idle Money Steady Walk" and "Guotai Idle Money Steady Walk" for fixed income plus fund advisory products, and "Guotai Steady Finance" and "Lazy Cat Global Steady" for pure bond fund advisory products[23][24][26][27] - The report analyzes the rebalancing behavior of fund advisory products in August 2025, noting that 106 fund advisory products underwent rebalancing, with specific changes in bond and equity asset allocations[28][29][30][31] - For bond assets, pure bond fund advisory products increased holdings in fixed income plus funds, USD bond funds, and passive index bond funds, while reducing holdings in credit bond coupon strategies[30][31] - For equity assets, mixed equity and bond fund advisory products increased holdings in fixed income plus funds and reduced holdings in bond funds, while equity fund advisory products saw internal migration within equity funds[35][36] - The report highlights changes in industry allocation, with fund advisory products increasing allocations to the electronics and non-ferrous metals industries and reducing allocations to the banking industry[38][39] - The report also examines style allocation, noting a decrease in the proportion of dividend funds and a slight increase in the proportion of micro-cap stocks in the underlying assets of equity fund advisory products[41][43][46][48] - The report discusses the allocation to popular sectors, noting a slight increase in the proportion of ChiNext and STAR Market stocks and a decrease in the proportion of Hong Kong stocks in August[48][51][53][54] - The report analyzes the rebalancing behavior of QDII and macro-driven fund advisory products, noting an increase in global equity funds and a decrease in US equity funds in August[55][56][61]

Group 1 - The personal pension fund industry has achieved double growth in performance and scale in 2023, with the Y-share scale surpassing 12.41 billion yuan, a 35.7% increase from the end of last year [1] - FOF funds remain the dominant force in the personal pension fund sector, accounting for approximately 87.3% of the total Y-share scale [1] - All personal pension funds have reported positive returns in the first half of the year, with the highest return exceeding 20%, indicating a favorable investment environment [1] Group 2 - The global asset allocation and flexible investment strategies are key characteristics of FOF products, as exemplified by Guohai Franklin Fund's FOF products, which have received high recommendations from strong retail channels [2] - The Guofu Balanced Pension Three-Year Mixed FOF has achieved a return of 25.24% over the past year, ranking in the top 2% among similar conservative mixed funds [2] - The fund's investment strategy allows for flexible adjustments in equity asset allocation based on market conditions, maintaining a central investment ratio of 50% [2] Group 3 - The Guofu Balanced Pension Three-Year Mixed FOF has diversified its equity investments across multiple markets, including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. stocks, effectively capturing market trends [3] - The fund has strategically increased its allocation to technology sectors in Hong Kong and the U.S. while also investing in bonds and commodities to achieve risk diversification [3] - The fund has successfully navigated market trends by adjusting its asset allocation in response to changing market conditions over the years [3] Group 4 - Guohai Franklin Fund emphasizes a "bottom warehouse" culture that aligns with the long-term investment goals of pension funds, focusing on stable asset appreciation [4] - The firm employs in-depth fundamental research and a balanced value-oriented allocation strategy to achieve sustainable risk-adjusted returns [4] - This long-term investment philosophy has resulted in the firm receiving five-star ratings for its stock and bond investment capabilities over various time frames [4] Group 5 - The FOF fund products under Guohai Franklin Fund demonstrate significant advantages in balanced and stable performance, making them ideal for pension fund investments focused on long-term financial security [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The A-share market showed a continuous upward trend this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index stable above 3,600 points. Although the weekly average daily trading volume decreased by 6.26% compared to last week, the margin trading balance exceeded 2 trillion and continued to rise, indicating that investors' risk appetite remained relatively high in the short term [1][10]. - Most industry sectors' trading volume proportions reached new lows in the past four weeks, suggesting that the market trading focus was concentrating on a small number of sectors. Investors should pay attention to the congestion risk of industry sectors and focus on capital flows in the market with rapid rotation of industry themes [10]. - In terms of market style, small-cap stocks had significant excess returns. The cyclical style led the gains among the five major CITIC style indices, while the consumer style had the smallest increase [12]. - It is recommended to focus on three main investment lines: the domestic computing power industry chain, the AI application end, and the consumption recovery sector. These sectors have relatively reasonable valuations and strong potential for supplementary growth under the background of loose liquidity [13]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Market Review 3.1.1 Industry Index - This week, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, machinery, and national defense and military industry led the gains. The pharmaceutical sector, which had performed well last week, corrected significantly, while the coal and non-ferrous metals sectors, which had large declines last week, rebounded sharply [10]. - The trading volume proportions of most industry sectors reached new lows in the past four weeks, and the trading activity of the comprehensive finance and non-bank finance sectors decreased significantly [10]. 3.1.2 Market Style - All five major CITIC style indices rose this week, with the cyclical style leading the gains at 3.49%. The growth style rose 1.87%, and its trading volume proportion reached a four-week high. The consumer style had the smallest increase at 0.77%, and its trading volume proportion decreased slightly [12]. - Small-cap stocks had significant excess returns. The CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 rose 2.51% and 3.54% respectively, and their trading volume proportions reached four-week highs [12]. 3.2 Active Equity Funds 3.2.1 Funds with Excellent Performance This Week in Different Theme Tracks - The report selected single-track and double-track funds based on six sectors: TMT, finance and real estate, consumption, medicine, manufacturing, and cyclical sectors, and listed the top five funds in each sector [17][18]. 3.2.2 Funds with Excellent Performance in Different Strategy Categories - The report classified funds into different types such as deep undervaluation, high growth, high quality, quality growth, quality undervaluation, GARP, and balanced cost-effectiveness, and listed the top-ranked funds in each type [19][20] 3.3 Index Enhanced Funds 3.3.1 This Week's Excess Return Distribution of Index Enhanced Funds - The average and median excess returns of CSI 300 index enhanced funds were 0.22% and 0.20% respectively; those of CSI 500 index enhanced funds were 0.05% and 0.07% respectively; those of CSI 1000 index enhanced funds were -0.15% and -0.14% respectively; those of CSI 2000 index enhanced funds were -0.09% and 0.04% respectively; those of CSI A500 index enhanced funds were 0.24% and 0.26% respectively; those of ChiNext index enhanced funds were 0.45% and 0.39% respectively; and those of STAR Market and ChiNext 50 index enhanced funds were 0.18% and 0.21% respectively [23][24]. - The average and median absolute returns of neutral hedge funds were 0.29% and 0.27% respectively; those of quantitative long funds were 1.75% and 1.83% respectively [24]. 3.4 This Issue's Bond Fund Selection - The report comprehensively screened the fund pools of medium- and long-term bond funds and short-term bond funds based on indicators such as fund scale, return-risk indicators, the latest fund scale, Wind fund secondary classification, rolling returns in the past three years, and maximum drawdowns in the past three years [38] 3.5 This Week's High-Frequency Position Detection of Funds - Active equity funds significantly increased their positions in the machinery and computer industries this week and significantly reduced their positions in the electronics, banking, and automobile industries [3]. - From a one-month perspective, the positions in the communication, banking, and non-bank finance industries increased significantly, while the position in the food and beverage industry decreased significantly [3] 3.6 This Week's Weekly Tracking of US Dollar Bond Funds - Not provided in the content