美国资产

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特朗普着手改造美联储和劳工统计局:美元将成为最大受害者?
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-05 01:41
Core Viewpoint - Concerns are rising regarding the credibility of U.S. institutions, which may lead to further selling pressure on the dollar and other U.S. assets [1][6]. Group 1: Economic and Market Implications - The resignation of Fed Governor Kugler, a hawkish figure, may accelerate market expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 94.4% probability of a rate cut in September now priced in by the market [3][5]. - The recent weak non-farm payroll data has prompted traders to increase bets on Fed rate cuts, contributing to a decline in the dollar against all G10 currencies [1][3]. - The ICE Dollar Index fell to a one-week low of 98.58, with the Bloomberg Dollar Index down nearly 8% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Political Influence on Economic Data - Trump's recent actions, including the firing of the Labor Statistics Bureau head, have raised concerns about the integrity of U.S. economic data, potentially leading to a higher risk premium for U.S. assets [1][6]. - Analysts suggest that the political pressure exerted by Trump on the Fed has undermined its independence, further complicating the market's perception of U.S. economic data reliability [6][8]. - The potential nomination of close Trump associates to key economic positions could negatively impact investor sentiment towards the dollar [6][8]. Group 3: Future Leadership of the Fed - The upcoming nomination for the Fed chair position is seen as a risk event for the market, especially with speculation surrounding potential candidates [8]. - Candidates with prior Fed experience, such as Kevin Warsh, are viewed more favorably compared to those closely associated with Trump, like Kevin Hassett [7][8].
亚洲超级富豪因贸易战快马加鞭减少对美国敞口 甚至全部撤出
news flash· 2025-05-09 07:46
Core Viewpoint - Wealthy families in Asia are significantly reducing their exposure to U.S. assets due to uncertainties stemming from President Trump's tariffs, indicating a potential long-term shift in investment strategies [1] Group 1: Investment Trends - A family office managing assets for Chinese billionaires has completely divested from U.S. assets, reallocating profits back to Asia [1] - A senior executive from one of Europe's largest private banks noted that the scale of recent sell-offs by wealthy clients and institutions is unprecedented in the past 30 years, suggesting a possible long-term trend [1] Group 2: Asset Allocation - An executive from an Asian bank has reduced 60% of U.S. assets from their investment portfolio, citing cash and gold as safer holdings [1]
德意志银行:外资持续抛售美国资产
news flash· 2025-04-29 23:27
Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank's latest report highlights concerning trends in U.S. capital flows, indicating that foreign investors are "refusing to buy" U.S. assets despite a recent market recovery [1] Group 1: Capital Flow Trends - The report notes a significant sell-off in ETFs, with investors consistently selling stocks and bonds [1] - Data from EPFR corroborates Deutsche Bank's findings, showing a sudden halt in buying of U.S. equities and an intensified sell-off of U.S. Treasuries [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy Recommendations - Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Strategist at Bank of America, advises investors to sell during rebounds in U.S. stocks and the dollar until uncertainty is resolved [1] - Bank of America's report indicates that the dollar is in a long-term depreciation trend, and the outflow from U.S. assets is expected to continue [1]
三菱日联:市场对美国资产丧失信心 欧元区债券可能受益
news flash· 2025-04-23 12:14
智通财经4月23日电,三菱日联金融集团全球市场研究主管哈尔潘尼表示,投资者对美国资产失去信 心,欧元区政府债券有可能从中受益。哈尔潘尼说,德国国债的表现一直优于美国国债,而法国国债与 德国国债的收益率差相对稳定。 三菱日联:市场对美国资产丧失信心 欧元区债券可能受益 ...