苹果服务业务
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大行评级丨高盛:上调苹果目标价至320美元 上调2026至28财年盈利预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-03 06:32
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Apple's earnings per share for Q4 FY2025 exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance in the services segment, which offset weaker-than-expected iPhone sales [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - iPhone demand was very strong during the period, but revenue fell short of expectations due to supply constraints, leading to a quarterly decline in channel inventory [1] - The management guidance for Q1 FY2026 indicates a year-over-year revenue growth of 10% to 12%, with iPhone revenue expected to grow in double digits and services revenue projected to increase by approximately 14% [1] Group 2: Analyst Adjustments - Goldman Sachs believes the guidance is better than expected, supporting the notion of strong iPhone demand [1] - The firm has raised its average earnings per share forecast for FY2026 to FY2028 by 3% and increased the target price from $279 to $320, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
大中华区收入再降3.6%,苹果靠什么预期下季恢复增长?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-10-31 14:35
Core Insights - Apple's Q4 FY2025 revenue reached $102.47 billion, marking a 7.94% year-over-year increase and setting a new record for the fourth quarter [1] - Net profit for the quarter was $27.47 billion, a significant increase of 86.39% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 47.18% [1] - For FY2025, total revenue was $416.16 billion, up 6.43% year-over-year, with net profit at $112.01 billion, reflecting a 19.50% increase [1] Regional Performance - Revenue growth was observed in most global markets, with the Americas, Europe, Japan, and other Asia-Pacific regions reporting revenues of $44.19 billion, $28.70 billion, $6.64 billion, and $8.44 billion respectively, showing year-over-year growth of 6.07%, 15.16%, 11.98%, and 14.34% [3] - However, revenue in Greater China declined to $14.49 billion, down 3.59% year-over-year, continuing a trend of revenue decline since Q3 2023 [3][4] - For FY2025, revenue in Greater China was $64.38 billion, a decrease of 3.85% year-over-year, contrasting with growth in other regions [3] Product Performance - iPhone revenue for Q4 was $49.03 billion, a 6.06% increase, primarily driven by the iPhone 16 series, with supply constraints noted for the newly launched iPhone 17 series [6] - Mac revenue reached $8.73 billion, up 12.68%, driven by MacBook Air sales, while iPad revenue was relatively flat at $6.95 billion, showing a slight increase of 0.03% [6] - Wearables, home, and accessories saw a revenue decline to $9.01 billion, down 0.32%, attributed to high revenue baselines from previous product launches [6] Services Growth - Service revenue hit a record high of $28.75 billion, growing 15.13% year-over-year, driven by a large user base and engagement [7] - For FY2025, service revenue totaled $109.16 billion, marking a 13.51% increase and the first time surpassing $100 billion [7] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a 10% to 12% year-over-year revenue growth for the next quarter, with iPhone revenue expected to see double-digit growth [8] - Gross margin is projected to be between 47% and 48%, including approximately $1.4 billion in tariff-related costs [8] - Increased investment in AI is planned, with operational expenses expected to rise to between $18.1 billion and $18.5 billion, primarily driven by R&D [8]
苹果交最新财季成绩单:营收增长超预期 大中华区成全球唯一营收下滑区域
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-10-31 12:51
Core Insights - Apple's Q4 FY2025 revenue reached $102.47 billion, a year-over-year increase of 7.9%, exceeding market expectations [1] - The iPhone segment grew by 6%, while Mac and software services saw double-digit growth [1] - The Greater China region experienced a revenue decline, attributed to the delayed launch of the iPhone Air [1][4] Revenue Breakdown - iPhone revenue for Q4 FY2025 was $49.025 billion, up 6% year-over-year, surpassing analyst expectations [2] - Mac revenue reached $8.726 billion, a 13% increase from $7.744 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - Service revenue grew by 15% to $28.750 billion, compared to $24.972 billion in the previous year [3] Regional Performance - Greater China revenue fell to $14.493 billion, down 3.59% from $15.033 billion year-over-year, marking it as the only region with a revenue decline [4] - Other regions, including the Americas, Europe, Japan, and Asia-Pacific, reported revenue growth [4] - Despite the revenue drop, iPhone shipments in China remained stable, with a 1% year-over-year increase to 10.1 million units [6] Market Dynamics - The iPhone 17 series, launched on September 10, 2025, contributed to Apple's strong performance, with pre-order demand exceeding that of previous models [2] - The smartphone market showed resilience despite economic uncertainties, with Apple capitalizing on high-end market demand [2] - Analysts noted that the iPhone Air's delayed launch impacted sales in China, but expectations for recovery in Q1 FY2026 remain optimistic [4][5]
苹果 2025 财年第 4 财季全球营收 1024.7 亿美元,创同期新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 01:37
Core Insights - Apple reported a record revenue of $102.466 billion for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, marking a 7.94% increase from $94.93 billion in the same quarter last year [1][2] - Revenue from the Greater China region decreased by 3.59% year-over-year, totaling $14.493 billion compared to $15.033 billion in Q4 of fiscal year 2024 [1] - The company achieved an earnings per share of $1.85, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.78 [2] Revenue Breakdown - iPhone revenue remained the primary revenue driver, contributing $49.02 billion, an increase from $46.22 billion year-over-year [2] - Mac revenue grew from $7.74 billion to $8.73 billion year-over-year [2] - iPad revenue remained stable at $6.952 billion [2] - Service revenue reached $28.75 billion, significantly up from $24.9 billion year-over-year, setting a new record [2] - The "Wearables, Home, and Accessories" category saw a slight decline in revenue from $9.04 billion to $9.01 billion [2] Annual Performance - Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 reached $416.2 billion, a 6.43% increase from $391.035 billion in fiscal year 2024 [2] - The fourth quarter performance concluded a record fiscal year for the company, as stated by the CEO and CFO [2] Future Outlook - The current quarter's performance only partially reflects the sales of new products like the iPhone 17, with full market effects expected to be seen in the next fiscal quarter [3]
美股三大股指全线收跌 META跌超11%
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-30 23:30
Market Overview - On October 30, US stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.23% at 47,552.12 points, the S&P 500 down 0.99% at 6,822.34 points, and the Nasdaq down 1.57% at 23,581.14 points [3] - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with the Wind US Technology Seven Giants Index falling 2.15% [5] Company Performance - META Platforms reported a significant drop in net profit for Q3, falling 83% to $2.71 billion despite a revenue increase of 26% to $51.24 billion [6] - Apple exceeded market expectations in its Q3 earnings, achieving revenue of $102.47 billion, up 7.94%, and net profit of $27.47 billion, up 86.39% [8] - iPhone sales and service revenue for Apple showed growth, with iPhone revenue at $49.03 billion, up from $46.22 billion year-on-year [9] Sector Performance - Airline stocks fell across the board, with Boeing down over 6%, American Airlines down over 1%, and Delta Airlines down nearly 3% [7] - Chinese concept stocks mostly declined, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down 1.88% [7] Commodity Market - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.94% at $4,038.30 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.71% at $48.73 per ounce [10]
10月31日外盘头条:苹果Q3营收略超预期 奈飞分拆股票 英伟达再投AI初创公司 美政府停摆航...
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 21:37
Group 1: Airline Industry Impact - The U.S. government shutdown is putting pressure on the airline industry, prompting a roundtable meeting at the White House with airline CEOs to discuss the implications [4][5][17] - Attendees of the meeting include CEOs from United Airlines and American Airlines, as well as the U.S. Secretary of Transportation [5][17] Group 2: Apple Financial Performance - Apple reported Q4 revenue of $102.47 billion for the fiscal year 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, slightly above the expected $102.24 billion [7] - The company's earnings per share for the quarter were $1.85, with a profit of $27.47 billion [7] Group 3: Meta's Bond Issuance - Meta Platforms received approximately $125 billion in subscription orders for its latest bond issuance, setting a record for public market corporate bond offerings [9][10] - The expected size of the bond issuance is at least $25 billion, with demand surpassing the previous record set by CVS Health in 2018 [10] Group 4: Netflix Stock Split - Netflix announced a 10-for-1 stock split, set to take effect on November 17, aimed at making the stock price more accessible for employees participating in stock option plans [12] - Following the announcement, Netflix's stock price rose over 2%, closing at $1,089, marking a 42% increase year-to-date [12] Group 5: Nvidia's Investment in AI - Nvidia plans to invest up to $1 billion in AI startup Poolside, which would value the company at four times its previous valuation [14][15] - Poolside is negotiating a $12 billion valuation and has already secured over $1 billion in commitments for its latest funding round [15]
iPhone 17需求强劲,苹果大涨创2025年来新高
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-23 00:31
Core Viewpoint - The strong demand for the newly launched iPhone 17 has led to extended shipping times, igniting market enthusiasm and pushing Apple's stock price to a new high since 2025, with a 4.3% increase on September 22, reaching $256.64 [1][3]. Group 1: Demand and Market Performance - The shipping times for the iPhone 17 are longer than those for the iPhone 16, indicating that demand exceeds Apple's initial supply [3]. - The strong performance of the iPhone 17 is providing significant support for Apple to regain momentum in the competitive smartphone market, particularly highlighted by robust demand in China [3][5]. - Apple's stock recorded a 4.3% increase on a single day, making it one of the best-performing stocks on the Nasdaq Composite, contrasting sharply with its earlier volatility in 2025 [3]. Group 2: China Market Insights - The Chinese market is identified as a key growth engine for Apple, with strong demand for the iPhone 17 being a positive signal despite competition from local brands like Huawei and Xiaomi [4][5]. - The 15% government subsidy in China is seen as a significant factor boosting iPhone 17 sales in the region [5]. - Analysts predict that the negative growth trend in China will turn positive in fiscal year 2026, supported by the strong demand for the iPhone 17 [5]. Group 3: Long-term Business Implications - The robust demand for iPhones is expected to provide long-term benefits for Apple's services business, which is one of the company's highest-margin segments [5]. - The recent antitrust ruling allowing Apple to continue its revenue-sharing agreement with Alphabet's Google is seen as additional long-term support for its services business [5].
美银看涨苹果(AAPL.US):服务业务成“第二曲线”,毛利率步入长期上行通道
智通财经网· 2025-08-18 08:33
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America reaffirms a "buy" rating for Apple (AAPL.US) with a target price of $250, highlighting stable cash flow, resilient profitability, and a strong capital return plan [1] Group 1: Revenue Contribution - Apple's service business is expected to contribute more to gross profit than the iPhone business, with gross margins projected to rise to around 50% over time [1][7] - By fiscal year 2025, the service business is estimated to account for 42% of annual gross profit, surpassing the iPhone's contribution of 41%, with the gap expected to widen by fiscal year 2027 to 44% for services and 39% for iPhone [1] Group 2: Growth Projections - The service business is anticipated to grow at a low double-digit percentage rate, with a projected year-over-year growth rate of 12% for the next few years [4] - Despite the cyclical nature of iPhone sales, the service revenue is viewed as sustainable and long-term [4] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The current stock price is valued at 29.5 times Wall Street's earnings forecast for fiscal year 2026, with a long-term valuation range between 10 to 33.5 times, and a median of 21 times [4] - A higher proportion of gross profit from stable and sustainable revenue sources (service business) is expected to justify a higher price-to-earnings ratio [4] Group 4: Margin Dynamics - Gross margins are expected to continue rising despite concerns over tariffs and potential negative impacts from antitrust rulings against Google, with foundational business factors driving margin increases [7] - Positive influences on gross margins are anticipated from product mix, vertical integration, pricing strategies, and favorable foreign exchange effects by the end of the quarter [7]
美银:苹果的“利润结构”正发生重大变化,美银:这是支撑股价的理由
美股IPO· 2025-08-18 03:54
Core Viewpoint - The era of Apple relying on iPhone as its profit pillar is coming to an end, with service business expected to surpass iPhone in annual gross profit contribution by fiscal year 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Transition from Hardware to Services - Apple is undergoing a significant transition where its core profitability is shifting from hardware sales to service business [3]. - By fiscal year 2025, service business is projected to contribute 42% to Apple's annual gross profit, while iPhone's contribution will be 41%, marking the first time services surpass hardware [4]. - This gap is expected to widen by fiscal year 2027, with services contributing 44% and iPhone dropping to 39% [5]. Group 2: Profitability and Growth - The service business is anticipated to show faster revenue growth and higher gross margins compared to product sales, with service revenue expected to grow at a "low double-digit" rate (around 12%) while iPhone revenue is projected to grow at a "mid-single-digit" rate (around 6%) [11]. - The gross margin for service business is significantly higher at 75.6% compared to 34.5% for product business [11]. Group 3: Valuation Implications - The increase in profit contribution from the service business, which has higher margins and lower cyclicality, is expected to lead to a higher valuation multiple for Apple [9]. - The report emphasizes that a higher proportion of gross profit from stable, high-margin service revenue should warrant a higher valuation multiple [12]. - Analysts reaffirmed a "buy" rating for Apple with a target price of $250, supported by the transition to a more stable revenue model [12].
连续三个季度营收下滑,苹果也未能避免市场影响
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:49
Core Insights - Apple's Q3 FY2023 revenue reached $81.8 billion, a 1% year-over-year decline, marking the third consecutive quarter of revenue drop [1] - The company's profit for the quarter was $19.88 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year, with a gross margin of 44.5% compared to 43.3% in the same period last year [1] - Diluted earnings per share were $1.26, reflecting a 5% year-over-year growth [1] Revenue Breakdown - Product revenue totaled $60.58 billion, down from $63.36 billion year-over-year [2] - iPhone revenue was $39.67 billion, a 2.4% decline; Mac revenue was $6.84 billion, down 7.3%; iPad revenue fell 19.8% to $5.79 billion, the most significant drop among hardware lines [2] - Wearables, home products, and accessories saw revenue growth to $8.28 billion from $8.08 billion year-over-year [2] - Service revenue increased to $21.21 billion from $19.6 billion year-over-year, driven by over 1 billion paid subscriptions [2] Cost and Cash Flow - Cost of revenue decreased to $45.38 billion from $47.07 billion year-over-year, primarily due to reduced product costs, while service costs saw a slight increase [2] - The company generated $26 billion in operating cash flow and returned over $24 billion to shareholders [3] - R&D spending was $7.44 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 10% [3] Market Performance - The European and Greater China markets were the only regions showing growth, with increases of 4.8% and 7.9% respectively [3] - Revenue from the Americas, Japan, and other Asia-Pacific markets experienced slight declines, with Japan seeing the most significant drop of 11.4% [3] - Specific revenue figures for the third quarter included $20.21 billion from Europe, $15.76 billion from Greater China, $35.38 billion from the Americas, $4.82 billion from Japan, and $5.63 billion from other Asia-Pacific regions [3] Stock Performance - As of August 3, Apple's stock closed at $191.17 per share, down 0.73%, with a total market capitalization of $3.01 trillion [4]