Investment Rating - The investment rating for Great Wall Motors is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total sales volume of 923,400 vehicles for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase. Total revenue reached 153.6 billion yuan, also up 8% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17% to 8.635 billion yuan [4][6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a total sales volume of 353,600 vehicles, a 20% year-on-year increase and a 13% quarter-on-quarter increase. Revenue for Q3 was 61.2 billion yuan, up 21% year-on-year and 17% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 2.298 billion yuan, down 31% year-on-year and 50% quarter-on-quarter [4][6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The projected total revenue for Great Wall Motors is 224.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8%. The net profit forecast for 2025 is 12.913 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.7% year-on-year [5][8] - The company expects to maintain a revenue forecast of 288 billion yuan in 2026 and 338.1 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 17.054 billion yuan and 21.094 billion yuan respectively [5][8] Sales and Product Strategy - The company is set to enter a strong new vehicle cycle with the launch of the high-end model, the Great Wall 7, which is expected to convert pre-sale orders into sales. The introduction of new platforms for the Wey brand will further enhance sales [6] - The domestic market is anticipated to see growth driven by the launch of multiple new models and significant upgrades to existing models. The overseas market is also expected to contribute positively, with the new factory in Brazil set to produce key models [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Great Wall Motors (601633) [2] Core Views - Short-term performance is under pressure, but domestic and overseas growth remains certain [1] - The company reported a total sales volume of 256,800 vehicles in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 32% [5] - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was 40 billion yuan, down 7% year-on-year and 33% quarter-on-quarter [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.751 billion yuan, a decline of 46% year-on-year and 23% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company is expected to benefit from new vehicle launches and increased intelligence features, which may drive sales growth [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 212.72 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is projected to be 12.841 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 1.2% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 1.50 yuan [6] - The gross profit margin for 2025 is forecasted to be 19.2% [6] - The report adjusts the revenue forecast for 2025-2027 downwards due to increased competition and external factors, with new estimates of 212.7 billion yuan, 252.8 billion yuan, and 299.3 billion yuan respectively [7] Market Position and Strategy - The company is launching multiple new models and significant updates to existing models, which are expected to drive domestic sales growth [7] - The overseas market is also anticipated to see growth with the upcoming production at the Brazil factory and the introduction of new models [7] - The report suggests that the company can mitigate the impact of increased scrap taxes in Russia through local production and pricing strategies [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 202.20 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.69 billion yuan, up 80.8% year-on-year [6][12]. - The company's sales volume increased by 0.2% to 1.23 million vehicles in 2024, with export sales rising by 43.4% to 453,100 units, accounting for 36.7% of total sales [6][10]. - The introduction of advanced intelligent driving features is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge and drive sales growth [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 59.94 billion yuan, an increase of 11.6% year-on-year and 17.9% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - The average revenue per vehicle increased by 16.5% to 163,900 yuan, with export vehicle average revenue rising by 4.9% to 182,800 yuan [6][10]. - The adjusted gross margin improved by 1.4 percentage points to 19.5%, driven by a higher proportion of sales from premium brands [6][12]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 255.46 billion yuan, 290.27 billion yuan, and 322.72 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8][12]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 15.00 billion yuan, 16.92 billion yuan, and 18.73 billion yuan for the same years [8][12]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to be 1.75 yuan, 1.98 yuan, and 2.19 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8][12].

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights Great Wall Motors' successful strategic transformation amidst a challenging automotive market, achieving significant profit growth while focusing on quality over quantity [2][3][11]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Great Wall Motors reported revenue of 202.195 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.73%, and a net profit of 12.692 billion yuan, up 80.73% year-on-year [2]. - The company's non-recurring net profit exceeded 9.735 billion yuan, marking a 101.4% increase year-on-year [2]. - The average revenue per vehicle reached 163,800 yuan, an increase of 2,300 yuan year-on-year, while the net profit per vehicle was 10,300 yuan, up 460 yuan year-on-year [2]. Strategic Adjustments - Great Wall Motors has shifted its strategy from "winning by volume" to "winning by quality," focusing on high-value markets and optimizing its product structure [3][4]. - The company discontinued several low-margin models, reallocating resources to high-end brands like Wey, Tank, and Great Wall Pickup, resulting in a 37.13% year-on-year increase in sales of vehicles priced above 200,000 yuan [4]. Product Development - The company has made significant strides in smart vehicle technology, launching the Blue Mountain Intelligent Driving version, which features a price premium of 26,000 yuan due to added smart driving configurations [5]. - Great Wall Motors' focus on high-end intelligent products has created strong competitive barriers in the market [5]. Global Expansion - In 2024, Great Wall Motors achieved overseas sales of 454,100 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 44.61%, with overseas revenue accounting for 39.7% of total revenue [6]. - The company has successfully implemented a "go global" strategy, introducing high-value products to emerging markets and achieving significant price premiums [6][7]. Local Production Initiatives - Great Wall Motors has initiated local production projects in Malaysia and Indonesia, which help reduce logistics costs and enhance support from local governments [7]. Research and Development - The company has consistently invested over 10 billion yuan in R&D for three consecutive years, employing 23,000 R&D personnel [9]. - Great Wall Motors is focusing on smart technology as a core competitive strategy, developing advanced AI systems and intelligent driving capabilities [9][10]. Future Outlook - In 2025, Great Wall Motors plans to further increase its investment in smart technology and expand its global footprint, aiming for a sales target of 4 million vehicles, with 80% being new energy vehicles [10][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total sales volume of 77,900 vehicles in February 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.65% but a month-on-month decrease of 3.77% [4] - The company is expected to enter a new vehicle cycle soon, with significant model launches planned, including the Tank 400 and the 2025 Tank 300, which are anticipated to drive sales growth [7] - The company aims for substantial sales growth in both domestic and overseas markets, projecting domestic sales to reach 1.13 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46%, and overseas sales to reach 550,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20% [7] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 25.08 CNY - Market capitalization: 155,342 million CNY - Price-to-book ratio: 2.8 - Dividend yield: 1.20% [1] Sales Performance - February sales breakdown: - Haval: 43,300 units (YoY -3.20%, MoM -10.82%) - Wey: 3,643 units (YoY +37.52%, MoM -27.24%) - Pickup trucks: 17,300 units (YoY +65.04%, MoM +40.11%) - Ora: 1,898 units (YoY -36.86%, MoM -13.45%) - Tank: 1,180 units (YoY +15.72%, MoM -8.43%) [4] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025: 243,546 million CNY - Net profit forecast for 2025: 15,676 million CNY - Earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025: 1.83 CNY - Projected growth rates: Revenue growth of 26.1% in 2025 and net profit growth of 25.7% in 2025 [5][10] Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on enhancing its product lineup with new models and technological advancements, particularly in smart driving capabilities, which are expected to improve brand reputation and user coverage [7] - The company is also set to benefit from local production in Brazil, which will help mitigate risks associated with tax increases in other markets [7]