1、纯粹，全面。不含CXO，纯正创新药！全面覆盖创新药研发类公司。 2、龙头占比大。前十大创新药龙头权重超71%，表征创新药硬核力量。 3、风险更可控。对流动性较差的成份股强制降权，有力管控尾部风险。 | | | 港股通创新药ETF (520880) 标的指数 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 前十成份股权重高达71.51%，龙头优势显著 | | | 代码 | 简称 | 权重(%) | 总市值(亿港元) | | 6160.HK | 三济神州 | 10.74 | 3,022 | | 1177.HK | 中国生物制药 | 9.76 | 1,326 | | 1801.HK | 信达 参物 | 9.68 | 1,491 | | 9926.HK | 康方生物 | 8.53 | 1,045 | | 1093.HK | 有分量团 | 8.43 | 881 | | 1530.HK | 三生制药 | 8.34 | 749 | | 3692.HK | 翰森制药 | 6.04 | 2,158 | | 6990 HK | 科伦博泰生物-B | 4.16 | 1,045 | | 9688.HK | ...

Company Background - Founded in 1993, the company is a leading biopharmaceutical firm in China with extensive experience in R&D, production, and sales of biological drugs. It has developed a rich product portfolio and pipeline in various therapeutic areas including nephrology, hematology, oncology, autoimmune diseases, and dermatology [1] - The company has strong domestic commercialization capabilities, with core products such as TPIAO, EPO, Yisaipu, and Mandi holding high market shares, driving continuous revenue growth [1] Oncology Focus - The SSGJ-707 molecule is expected to become a cornerstone therapy in global cancer immunotherapy, with multiple first-in-class (FIC) molecules entering clinical stages. A significant licensing agreement with Pfizer was established in May-July 2025, where Pfizer will pay $1.4 billion upfront and up to $4.8 billion in milestone payments, setting a record for domestic PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibodies [1][2] - The PD-(L)1 inhibitors face challenges in cold tumors and efficacy improvements, but the dual antibody approach has shown potential in head-to-head trials against existing therapies, indicating a market potential exceeding $100 billion [1] Clinical Development Plans - Pfizer's strategy for SSGJ-707 includes launching seven global clinical trials, positioning it as a foundational therapy across various cancers. Upcoming trials include 1L NSCLC Phase III, 1L mCRC Phase III, and others, with plans to explore over 10 additional indications by 2026 [2] - The potential market for SSGJ-707 could cover over 350,000 patients in the U.S., indicating a substantial market opportunity [2] Commercialization Strength - The company has a strong commercial capability with its flagship product TPIAO projected to generate revenue of 5.06 billion yuan in 2024. TPIAO is the only commercialized rhTPO globally and is highly recommended in treatment guidelines [3] - Despite competitive pressures, the company maintains a leading position in the rhEPO market, with expected sales of 1.019 billion yuan from its dual-brand strategy in 2024, capturing a 42% market share [3] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are estimated at 18.52 billion yuan in 2025, 11.55 billion yuan in 2026, and 11.78 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 9.77 billion yuan, 3.72 billion yuan, and 3.28 billion yuan respectively. The company is rated with a strong recommendation based on these projections [4]

肿瘤锚定下一代IO基石疗法，早研FIC分子进入临床验证期;自免管线进展迅速，即将进入收获期 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，首次覆盖给予三生制药（01530）"强烈推荐"评级，PD- (L)1/VEGF双抗是下一代IO治疗的核心药物，SSGJ-707分子设计独特、早期临床数据具备BIC潜力。辉 瑞14亿美元前端付款+最高48亿美元里程碑付款+1亿美元股份认购获得全球权益，充分认可707分子潜 力和公司研发实力，并且随着辉瑞多项全球临床的快速推进、后续更多ADC联用的临床开启，公司估 值空间有望持续打开。公司业绩基本盘稳健，产品管线衔接有序，中长期成长动力充沛。 招商证券主要观点如下： 公司背景 基本盘扎实，创新周期再加速。三生制药成立于1993年，是国内领先的生物药物公司，在研发/生产/销 售生物药方面具有丰富的经验。经过30多年发展，公司在肾科、血液及肿瘤、自免、毛发皮肤等治疗领 域布局了丰富的产品和在研管线。同时公司具备强大的国内商业化能力，核心产品特比澳、EPO、益赛 普、蔓迪在所处赛道占据高市占率，驱动业绩持续增长。 升板产品：主力大单品竞争格局佳，拓展适应症挖掘增长空间。特比澳为公司核心大单 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The PD-(L)1/VEGF dual antibody is positioned as a core drug for next-generation immuno-oncology treatments, with the SSGJ-707 molecule showing unique design and early clinical data indicating its potential as a best-in-class (BIC) candidate. The collaboration with Pfizer, involving an upfront payment of $1.4 billion and potential milestone payments of up to $4.8 billion, reflects the recognition of SSGJ-707's potential and the company's R&D capabilities [1][8][48]. - The company's financial performance is stable, with a well-structured product pipeline and strong long-term growth drivers [1][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1993, the company is a leading biopharmaceutical firm in China, focusing on R&D, production, and sales of biological drugs. It has developed a rich product and pipeline portfolio across various therapeutic areas, including nephrology, oncology, autoimmune diseases, and dermatology [13][16]. Oncology Pipeline - The SSGJ-707 is expected to become a cornerstone in global cancer immunotherapy, with multiple first-in-class (FIC) molecules entering clinical stages. The collaboration with Pfizer is a significant milestone, with substantial financial backing and a strategic focus on expanding clinical trials [1][8][37]. - Clinical data for SSGJ-707 shows promising efficacy and safety profiles, with high overall response rates (ORR) in various cancer types, indicating its potential to address unmet medical needs in oncology [1][8][37][38]. Autoimmune Pipeline - The company has several pipelines nearing commercialization, with notable advancements in clinical trials for various autoimmune treatments. The IL-17A monoclonal antibody SSGJ-608 and IL-1β monoclonal antibody SSGJ-613 have received NDA acceptance, indicating progress towards market entry [8][19]. Commercialization Capability - The company demonstrates strong commercialization capabilities, with core products maintaining high market shares. The flagship product, TPIAO, is expected to generate significant revenue, supported by new indications and stable pricing strategies [8][19][30]. - The company is also expanding its product portfolio in the erythropoiesis-stimulating agent market, maintaining a leading position despite competitive pressures [8][19]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 185.2 billion, 115.5 billion, and 117.8 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 97.7 billion, 37.2 billion, and 32.8 billion CNY. The report anticipates a significant increase in revenue in 2025, followed by a decline in subsequent years [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of 3SBio from a traditional biopharmaceutical company into an innovative player in the global market, particularly through its strategic decision to develop the dual antibody product SSGJ-707, culminating in a significant partnership with Pfizer worth $6.05 billion [2][6][37]. Group 1: Company Origins and Initial Choices - 3SBio was founded in 1993 in Shenyang, China, during a time when the domestic biopharmaceutical industry was underdeveloped, with high prices for imported interferons and a lack of local expertise [4][9]. - The company chose to tackle the challenging task of developing recombinant interferon, breaking the import monopoly and becoming one of the first companies in China to master core recombinant protein technology [10][11]. - 3SBio's early decisions established a foundation of resilience and innovation, focusing on difficult challenges rather than following the easier paths taken by others [13][14]. Group 2: Capital Expansion and Market Challenges - After establishing a foothold in the domestic recombinant protein market, 3SBio aimed for global expansion, listing on NASDAQ in 2007, which was a significant move for a company from Shenyang [17][19]. - The company faced a downturn post-2011 due to the broader issues affecting Chinese companies listed in the U.S., leading to a drastic drop in stock price and market valuation [19][20]. - In response to these challenges, 3SBio made the bold decision to privatize and delist from NASDAQ, later successfully listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2015, which allowed for a more suitable capital environment [21][22]. Group 3: Transition to Innovative Drug Development - Following its return to the market, 3SBio confronted the pressing question of the sustainability of its recombinant protein business amid rising competition and market changes [25][27]. - The company strategically decided to leverage cash flow from its established products to invest in innovative drug development, focusing on a diversified pipeline that includes renal, autoimmune, metabolic, and oncology therapies [28][29]. - A pivotal decision was made to develop the dual antibody SSGJ-707 instead of entering the crowded PD-1 market, positioning the company for a unique competitive advantage [34][35]. Group 4: Key Decisions and Future Outlook - The development of SSGJ-707 showcased 3SBio's commitment to innovation, with promising clinical data leading to breakthrough therapy designation and FDA approval for global trials [36][37]. - The partnership with Pfizer, involving an upfront payment of $1.25 billion and milestone payments totaling $4.8 billion, marked a significant recognition of 3SBio's capabilities on the global stage [37][38]. - 3SBio's journey reflects a pattern of making critical decisions during challenging times, demonstrating a balance of stability and willingness to take calculated risks, positioning the company for future growth and international expansion [40][42].

Group 1: Nutritional Functional Food Industry - The nutritional functional food industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size projected to reach 522.3 billion yuan in 2024 and 720.3 billion yuan by 2029, representing a CAGR of 6.6% from 2024 to 2029 [2][7] - The market for nutritional functional foods specifically is expected to grow from 233.1 billion yuan in 2024 to 349.9 billion yuan in 2029, with a CAGR of 8.5% [7][8] - The industry has established a complete supply chain, including upstream raw material suppliers, midstream manufacturers, and downstream distributors [8][9] - Key companies in the North Exchange related to this industry include Kangbiter, Wuxi Jinghai, and Hengmei Health, each occupying different positions in the supply chain [9] Group 2: PEEK Material Industry - The PEEK material market in China is projected to reach 1.455 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 21.14% [11] - PEEK materials are widely used in critical components across automotive, electronics, and aerospace sectors, with automotive manufacturing accounting for 27% of global PEEK consumption [11] - The competitive landscape for global PEEK production is characterized by a few strong players, with the UK-based Victrex being the largest producer [11] Group 3: Electronic Industry - Kangguan Technology - Kangguan Technology reported a revenue of 6.935 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.06%, with a net profit of 384 million yuan, down 6.03% [16][17] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.60 yuan per 10 shares, reflecting a dividend payout ratio exceeding 65% [16] - The growth in innovative display products is notable, with a revenue increase of 39.16% in the first half of 2025 [17] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Industry - Sanofi Pharmaceutical - Sanofi Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 4.355 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a slight decline of 1.07%, while the net profit increased by 19.13% to 1.358 billion yuan [20][21] - The company’s overseas revenue grew by 70%, with a presence in over 35 countries [21][22] - The company has a rich pipeline of clinical trials, with significant potential for future growth [22][23] Group 5: New Consumption - Chaohongji - Chaohongji has submitted an application for H-share listing, which is expected to enhance its global strategy and brand image [24][25] - The company has expanded its international presence by opening stores in Malaysia, Thailand, and Cambodia, with two stores in Cambodia as of the first half of 2025 [24][25] - The brand is focusing on younger consumers, with a significant portion of its customer base being from the post-80s to post-00s generation [26]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing stable growth in its core business, with significant potential for overseas expansion [5] - The company reported a revenue of 4.355 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a slight decrease of 1.07% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 24.6% to 1.36 billion RMB [7] - The company has a robust pipeline of clinical trials and innovative products, with a focus on four major areas: hematology and oncology, autoimmune diseases, nephrology, and others [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 19.52 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 114.3% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 10.46 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 400.5% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 4.30 RMB in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.92 [6] Key Developments - The company has entered into a licensing agreement with Pfizer for SSGJ-707, a PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, which includes an upfront payment of 1.4 billion USD and potential total transaction value exceeding 6 billion USD [7] - The company’s international market presence has expanded to over 35 countries, with overseas revenue growth of 70% [7] - The company’s R&D expenses increased by 15.13% year-on-year, indicating a commitment to innovation [7]

Core Insights - The company reported stable revenue with an optimization in financial structure, achieving a revenue of 4.36 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a slight decrease of 0.8% [1] - The gross profit was 3.72 billion yuan, down 2.1%, with a gross margin of 85.3%, reflecting a minor decline of 1.2 percentage points [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 24.6% to 1.36 billion yuan, while the adjusted operating net profit rose by 2.1% to 1.14 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - Research and development expenses amounted to 548 million yuan, an increase of 15.0%, with an R&D expense ratio of 12.6%, up 1.8 percentage points [1] - Sales expenses were 1.62 billion yuan, up 1.4%, with a sales expense ratio of 37.1%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [1] - Management expenses rose significantly by 40.9% to 283 million yuan, with a management expense ratio of 6.5%, up 1.9 percentage points [1] - The company's interest-bearing debt and bonds saw a significant reduction, with the leverage ratio decreasing from 19.7% at the end of the previous year to 9.9% [1] Product Performance - The biopharmaceutical segment experienced a slight decline, with sales of the product Teibiao down 4.2% to 2.37 billion yuan, and EPO sales down 11.7% to 455 million yuan [2] - The subsidiary SanSheng Guojian's main products generated revenue of 642 million yuan, an increase of 7.6% [2] - The product Mandi maintained rapid growth, with sales increasing by 24.0% to 682 million yuan, while CDMO revenue surged by 76.1% to 100 million yuan [2] Strategic Developments - The company entered a significant collaboration with Pfizer regarding the PD1xVEGF dual antibody 707, with an upfront payment of 1.25 billion USD and potential milestone payments up to 4.8 billion USD, along with a double-digit percentage sales share [2] - Pfizer is expected to rapidly advance global clinical trials for 707, exploring various treatment methods across different tumor types [2] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a rating of "outperform" and forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.38 billion yuan, 2.71 billion yuan, and 3.07 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 13.9%, 13.7%, and 13.3% respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 1H25 performance, showing a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, aligning with market expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 was 4.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.8% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.358 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.6% [1] - Adjusted net profit was 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, meeting market expectations [1] Business Trends - Sales of core commercial products faced pressure in 1H25: - Revenue from Teva Australia was 2.371 billion yuan, down 4.2%, accounting for 54.4% of total revenue [1] - Revenue from Yibiao was 346 million yuan, down 12.1% [1] - Revenue from Cyber was 110 million yuan, down 10.4% [1] - Combined revenue from the above two products accounted for 10.5% of total revenue [1] - Revenue from the hair loss sector was 690 million yuan, up 23.8%, accounting for 15.8% of total revenue [1] - Revenue from Mandi was 682 million yuan, up 24.0% [1] - CDMO business achieved revenue of 101 million yuan, up 76.1% [1] - Revenue from Sanofi was 642 million yuan, up 7.6% [1] Research and Development - As of the end of 1H25, the company had a rich pipeline of 30 products under research, covering areas such as hematology, oncology, autoimmune diseases, and nephrology [2] - Notable products include: - SSGJ-706 (anti-PD-1/PD-L1 bispecific antibody) approved for two Phase II clinical trials [2] - SSGJ-705 (anti-PD-1/HER2 bispecific antibody) has received FDA approval for IND in the U.S. [2] - SSS59 (MUC17/CD3/CD28 trispecific antibody) has entered Phase I clinical trials for solid tumors [2] Collaborations and Partnerships - The company continues to engage in external collaborations: - Granted Pfizer global rights to SSGJ-707 (PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody), receiving a $1.25 billion upfront payment and potential future milestone payments exceeding $4.8 billion [2] - Collaborated with Haihe Pharmaceuticals for oral paclitaxel, which is under preliminary review for inclusion in the 2025 National Medical Insurance Directory [2] - Partnered with Hanyu Pharmaceuticals for semaglutide injection, completing patient enrollment for Phase III clinical trials [2] - Signed a collaboration with Ying'en Bio for commercialization rights of DB-1303 (HER2 ADC) in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company raised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 186.5% and 138.3% to 6.249 billion yuan and 5.664 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 11.3x and 12.3x P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 [2] - The target price was raised by 39.9% to 36.50 HKD, implying a 14.9% upside potential [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][17]. Core Insights - The company has maintained stable revenue with a slight decline of 0.8% year-on-year, achieving a revenue of 4.36 billion yuan in the first half of 2025. The gross profit was 3.72 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 85.3%, down by 1.2 percentage points [1][8]. - The company reported a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 1.36 billion yuan, which is a 24.6% increase year-on-year. Adjusted operating net profit was 1.14 billion yuan, up by 2.1% [1][8]. - The company has entered a significant collaboration with Pfizer regarding the PD1xVEGF dual antibody 707, with an upfront payment of 1.25 billion USD and potential milestone payments up to 4.8 billion USD, along with a double-digit percentage of sales revenue [2][14]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's R&D expenses were 548 million yuan, representing a 15.0% increase, with an R&D expense ratio of 12.6% [1][8]. - Sales expenses were 1.62 billion yuan, up by 1.4%, with a sales expense ratio of 37.1%. Management expenses increased significantly by 40.9% to 283 million yuan, with a management expense ratio of 6.5% [1][8]. - The company's leverage ratio improved significantly, decreasing from 19.7% at the end of the previous year to 9.9% [1][8]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.38 billion yuan, 2.71 billion yuan, and 3.07 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.9%, 13.7%, and 13.3% [3][17]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios (PE) for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 30.2, 26.6, and 23.5, respectively [3][17].