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随着美国关税生效,出口增长将放缓
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-08-27 15:39
据曼谷邮报8月27日报道,分析师们说,尽管今年头7个月泰国出口增长强劲,达 到13%,但预计在美国对进口商品征收19%的关税之后,泰国的出口增长速度 将会放缓。泰国7月份的出口额达到286亿美元,同比增长11%,环比增长 0.2%,超出市场预期的9.6%增长。据Kasikorn Securities(KS)称,强劲的业 绩主要是由制造业推动的,特别是电子产品组件,如计算机和集成电路。不包 括黄金、石油相关产品和武器,泰国出口同比增长了16.6%,增速较6月份的 15.6%有所加快。今年迄今为止的累计增长率为14.4%。7月份工业出口同比增 长了14%,其中电子元件增长了35.2%,计算机(增长61%)和集成电路(增 长55%)的出口增长尤为显著。电器产品和橡胶制品也带动了增长,同比分别 增长了9.9%和9.7%。与此同时,农产品出口继续支撑整体发货量,冷冻水果、 加工家禽、宠物食品和蔗糖的强劲增长。相反,大米和橡胶出口连续第三个月 出现收缩。泰国大米在2024年9月印度解除出口禁令后面临激烈竞争,而菲律 宾暂停进口以保护国内价格。KS预测,在对中国出口增加的支持下,家禽业 将成为泰国货运的一个亮点。大华证券持 ...
东盟国家媒体代表探广西崇左产业:面向东盟 绿色智能
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-25 17:39
同设立于崇左市高新技术产业开发区的崇左理文纸浆制品有限公司(简称"崇左理文"),亦看好崇左地处 中国—东盟开放合作前沿的优势。 走进广西南宁东亚糖业集团(简称"东亚糖业")旗下广西崇左东亚糖业有限公司,占地1000多亩的厂区绿 树掩映、干净整洁。精糖车间内,空气中弥漫着蔗糖的甜香。几名技术人员在中控室内通过电脑显示器 中的参数监测设备运行情况。整个精糖车间高度自动化运行,一个班次只有20多名工作人员在场,已基 本实现智能化、数字化生产。 参加"共享新机遇携手向未来"——2025境外媒体看广西采访活动的20余名东盟国家主流媒体代表、外籍 网络达人,25日参访崇左市高新技术产业开发区。 位于中越边境的崇左是"中国糖都"。东亚糖业由泰国两仪集团于1993年开始,与广西崇左市5家国营糖 厂合资成立,业务领域涉及制糖、生物质发电、酵母、肥料、饲料、农业科技、商贸等,初步形成制糖 循环经济综合利用全产业链。2024/2025榨季,东亚糖业总榨蔗量820万吨,产糖105万吨,按时足额兑 付蔗款约42亿元(人民币,下同);与东亚糖业有密切联系的蔗农超过10万户。 东亚糖业投资21.48亿元建设的循环经济综合利用项目,是共建" ...
白糖日报-20250731
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 01:05
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On July 30, the Zhengzhou sugar main contract dropped significantly. The 09 contract closed at 5,804 yuan/ton, down 54 yuan or 0.92%, with a reduction of 33,554 positions. The decline might be due to the pressure of concentrated supply of processed sugar. Speculative long - positions in the near - month 09 contract exited in large numbers, while industrial hedging long - positions showed signs of entering. Speculative funds on the far - month 01 contract had an obvious intention to go long, and the 9 - 1 spread might further shrink [7][8]. - On Tuesday, New York raw sugar futures rebounded, with the main October contract rising 0.79% to 16.56 cents per pound. The London ICE white sugar futures main October contract fell 0.02% to $475.30 per ton. The overnight rise in crude oil prices provided some support to sugar prices. The market is expecting a significant increase in the production data of central - southern Brazil in the first half of July [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market Conditions**: SR509 closed at 5,804 yuan/ton, down 54 yuan or 0.92%, with a position of 277,031 contracts and a reduction of 33,554 contracts; SR601 closed at 5,666 yuan/ton, down 52 yuan or 0.91%, with a position of 200,143 contracts and an increase of 18,274 contracts; US sugar 10 closed at 16.56 cents per pound, up 0.13 cents or 0.79%, with a position of 395,463 contracts and a reduction of 2,396 contracts; US sugar 03 closed at 17.16 cents per pound, up 0.11 cents or 0.65%, with a position of 223,411 contracts and an increase of 160 contracts [7]. - **Analysis of Zhengzhou Sugar Market**: The decline of Zhengzhou sugar was possibly due to the pressure of concentrated supply of processed sugar. The exit of speculative long - positions in the 09 contract and the entry intention of industrial hedging long - positions, along with the long - entry intention of speculative funds in the 01 contract, may lead to a further shrinkage of the 9 - 1 spread [8]. 3.2. Industry News - **Farmland Moisture in Guangxi**: According to a report released by the Guangxi Soil and Fertilizer Station in mid - July, among 42 monitoring points of 14 farmland moisture monitoring stations in the region, 16 points had excessive moisture, 22 points had suitable moisture, and 4 points had insufficient moisture. Over 90% of the farmland moisture was suitable to excessive during the monitoring period [9]. - **Sugar Production Forecast in Central - Southern Brazil**: A survey of 23 analysts by S&P Global Commodity Insights showed that the sugar production in central - southern Brazil in the first half of July is expected to increase by 12.5% to 3.329 million tons. The cane crushing volume is expected to increase by 11.3% year - on - year to 48.31 million tons. The sugar yield per ton of cane (ATR) is expected to decrease by 4.1% year - on - year to 136.18 kilograms per ton. The sugar - making ratio of cane is expected to be 53.11% [9]. - **Sugar Mill Clearance in Guangxi**: Tiandong Ertang Sugar Factory's "Dongxing" brand cleared its inventory on July 25, becoming the 7th sugar factory of Guangxi Nanhua to clear its inventory in the 24/25 crushing season, 2 more than the same period last year. Currently, only Longtian and Mianhuahua brands are still quoting [9]. - **Customs Mutual Recognition Arrangement**: The "Arrangement on Mutual Recognition of the Chinese Customs Enterprise Credit Management System and the Thai Customs 'Authorized Economic Operator' System" will be officially implemented on August 1, 2025 [9]. - **Coca - Cola's New Product**: Coca - Cola Company announced on Tuesday that it will launch a signature cola product using sucrose in the US market this fall, confirming a recent statement by President Donald Trump [9]. 3.3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the spot price trend, the basis of the 2509 contract, the SR9 - 1 spread, the import profit of Brazilian raw sugar, the number of Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, the Brazilian real exchange rate, and the trading and position data of the top 20 seats of the Zhengzhou sugar main contract [11][15][20]. - The total long - position of the top 20 seats was 325,093 contracts, an increase of 105,773 contracts; the total short - position was 212,307 contracts, a decrease of 17,666 contracts; the total delivery - related position was 192,544 contracts, a decrease of 26,731 contracts [23].
白糖日报-20250725
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 01:34
1. Report Information - Report Name: Sugar Daily Report - Date: July 25, 2025 - Researchers: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [2][3] 2. Market Review and Operational Suggestions Futures Market Conditions - SR509 closed at 5866 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan or 0.69%, with an increase of 9969 contracts in open interest [7]. - SR601 closed at 5668 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan or 0.32%, with an increase of 7680 contracts in open interest [7]. - US Sugar 10 closed at 16.27 cents/pound, down 0.01 cents or -0.06%, with an increase of 4799 contracts in open interest [7]. - US Sugar 03 closed at 16.91 cents/pound, up 0.01 cents or 0.06%, with an increase of 2469 contracts in open interest [7]. Market Trends - On Wednesday, New York raw sugar futures fluctuated weakly. The main October contract closed down 0.06% to 16.27 cents/pound. The London ICE white sugar futures' main October contract closed down 0.2% to $471.40/ton. There were rumors that India might allow new - season sugar exports due to a bumper new - season sugarcane crop, which affected raw sugar prices. However, the current market sugar price is not high enough to support Indian exports [7]. - The main contract of Zhengzhou sugar closed up in a fluctuating manner. The 09 contract closed at 5866 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan or 0.69%, and the open interest increased by 9969 contracts. The spot prices in domestic producing areas slightly decreased. The price of Nanning sugar was 6070 yuan, and that of Kunming sugar was 5860 yuan. Recently, the domestic commodity market rose generally due to the anti - involution theme, and Zhengzhou sugar was slightly affected, showing a stronger trend than raw sugar [8]. 3. Industry News - Coca - Cola will launch a signature cola product using sucrose in the US market this fall, confirming a recent statement by President Donald Trump [11]. - The European crop monitoring agency MARS lowered the 2025 EU sugar beet yield forecast to 74.8 tons per hectare, down from last month's forecast of 76.3 tons per hectare, but still 2% higher than the average of the past five years [11]. - In June 2025, China imported a total of 11.55 tons of syrup and premixed powder (tax codes 1702.90, 2106.906), a year - on - year decrease of 10.35 tons. From January to June 2025, the total import was 45.91 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 49.24 tons. As of June in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, the total import was 109.83 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 26.95 tons [11]. - In June 2025, China imported 42 tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 39.23 tons. From January to June 2025, China imported 105.08 tons of sugar, a year - on - year decrease of 25.12 tons, a decline of 19.29%. As of June in the 2024/25 sugar - crushing season, China imported 251.26 tons of sugar, a year - on - year decrease of 64.93 tons, a decline of 20.54% [11]. - In June 2025, China's dairy product output was 2.546 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%; from January to June, it was 14.33 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 0.3%. In June 2025, China's beverage output was 18.428 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.2%; from January to June, it was 93.089 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% [11]. 4. Data Overview Trading Volume and Open Interest of Top 20 Seats in Zhengzhou Sugar's Main Contract - The total trading volume was 332,449 lots, an increase of 87,359 lots. The total long - position volume was 250,320 lots, an increase of 8,473 lots. The total short - position volume was 237,085 lots, an increase of 7,251 lots [24]. - Among them, Dongzheng Futures (on behalf of clients) had the highest trading volume of 76,875 lots, an increase of 24,293 lots; CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) had the highest long - position volume of 76,332 lots, an increase of 3,151 lots; COFCO Futures (on behalf of clients) had the highest short - position volume of 54,245 lots, an increase of 3,136 lots [24].
白糖日报-20250724
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 01:40
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Date: July 24, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market Quotes** - SR509 closed at 5834 yuan/ton, up 9 yuan or 0.15%, with a position of 332,040 contracts, a decrease of 2,120 contracts [7] - SR601 closed at 5656 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan or 0.02%, with a position of 126,227 contracts, an increase of 2,396 contracts [7] - ICE US Sugar 11 Oct closed at 16.26 cents/lb, down 0.11 cents or 0.67%, with a position of 392,620 contracts, a decrease of 4,151 contracts [7] - ICE US Sugar 11 Mar closed at 16.88 cents/lb, down 0.15 cents or 0.88%, with a position of 215,397 contracts, a decrease of 1,492 contracts [7] - **Market Analysis** - New York raw sugar futures trended weaker on Tuesday. The market rumor that India may allow new - season sugar exports due to a bumper cane crop affected the raw sugar price, but the current low price is not enough to support Indian exports [7] - Zhengzhou sugar futures' main contract closed higher. Recently, the domestic commodity market rose due to the "anti - involution" theme, and Zhengzhou sugar was slightly affected, showing a stronger trend than raw sugar. In the third quarter, the supply of refined sugar will gradually increase, which will suppress the domestic sugar price [8] Group 3: Industry News - Coca - Cola will launch a signature cola product using sucrose in the US market this fall [11] - The European Union's crop monitoring agency MARS lowered its 2025 sugar beet yield forecast to 74.8 tons per hectare from 76.3 tons last month, but it is still 2% higher than the five - year average [11] - In June 2025, China imported 115,500 tons of syrup and premixes, a year - on - year decrease of 103,500 tons. From January to June 2025, the total import was 459,100 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 492,400 tons. From the 2024/25 sugar season to June, the total import was 1,098,300 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 269,500 tons [11] - In June 2025, China imported 420,000 tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 392,300 tons. From January to June 2025, the total import was 1,050,800 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 251,200 tons or 19.29%. From the 2024/25 sugar season to June, the total import was 2,512,600 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 649,300 tons or 20.54% [11] - In June 2025, China's dairy product output was 2.546 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%. From January to June, the total output was 14.33 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 0.3% [11] - In June 2025, China's beverage output was 18.428 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.2%. From January to June, the total output was 93.089 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% [11] Group 4: Data Overview - **Transaction and Position Data of Top 20 Seats in Zhengzhou Sugar Futures' Main Contract** - Dongzheng Futures (for clients) had the highest trading volume of 52,582 lots, an increase of 3,443 lots [22] - CITIC Futures (for clients) had the highest long position of 73,181 contracts, an increase of 1,840 contracts [22] - COFCO Futures (for clients) had the highest short position of 51,109 contracts, an increase of 1,037 contracts [22]
蔗糖可乐救不了肥胖的美国人
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-23 10:25
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political and economic implications of Trump's proposal to replace high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) with cane sugar in Coca-Cola, highlighting the complex interplay between health concerns, agricultural subsidies, and political interests in the U.S. beverage industry [1][4][8]. Group 1: Political and Economic Context - Trump's announcement to negotiate with Coca-Cola regarding the sugar content in its products is seen as a politically motivated move rather than a personal preference [1]. - The widespread use of HFCS in the U.S. is largely due to its cost-effectiveness, influenced by protective tariffs on imported sugars and agricultural subsidies that favor corn production [2][3]. - The political connections between sugar industry stakeholders and the Republican Party suggest that Trump's actions may be aimed at benefiting specific interest groups, such as sugar barons in Florida [2][3]. Group 2: Health Implications - The article raises questions about the health impacts of HFCS compared to cane sugar, noting that while some studies link fructose to metabolic issues, the evidence is not definitive [5][6]. - Public perception of HFCS as unhealthy has been fueled by rising obesity rates in the U.S., leading to calls for healthier alternatives [4][5]. - The debate over sugar types reflects broader societal issues regarding diet and health, with the article suggesting that simply switching sugars will not resolve the underlying health crisis in America [7][9]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - Coca-Cola's choice to use HFCS is primarily driven by cost considerations, complicating any potential compliance with Trump's proposal [4][8]. - The competition between traditional sugar producers and HFCS manufacturers has led to a public relations battle, contributing to a general distrust in food safety among consumers [6][7]. - The article emphasizes that the real issue is not the type of sugar consumed but the overall high sugar intake in the American diet, which is linked to various health problems [7][9].
可口可乐改配方背后,是一场已持续40年的甜味剂暗战
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-07-18 07:12
Core Viewpoint - The announcement by former President Trump regarding Coca-Cola potentially switching back to real cane sugar in its U.S. products has sparked significant attention and concern within the industry, particularly affecting corn syrup manufacturers like Archer-Daniels-Midland, whose stock dropped by 8% in after-hours trading [2]. Group 1: Historical Context and Ingredient Changes - Coca-Cola originally used cane sugar as the sole sweetener in its classic formula until the 1980s when high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) began to replace it due to lower production costs influenced by U.S. corn subsidy policies [3][5]. - By the 1980s, nearly 40% of added sugars in the U.S. market were HFCS, leading Coca-Cola to switch its U.S. formula to HFCS while maintaining flexibility for other products [3][5]. Group 2: Market Variations and Consumer Preferences - In contrast to the U.S. market, countries like Mexico, the UK, and Australia still use cane sugar in Coca-Cola, creating a unique consumer preference for the "Mexican Coke," which is often sold at a premium due to its nostalgic value [7]. - The flavor profiles of cane sugar and HFCS differ significantly, with HFCS providing a quick sweetness and cane sugar offering a more prolonged, nuanced taste experience [7][8]. Group 3: Economic and Supply Chain Considerations - Transitioning back to cane sugar would significantly increase production costs for Coca-Cola, potentially leading to higher retail prices and reduced market competitiveness [9]. - The existing supply chain for HFCS is well-established, and switching to cane sugar would require substantial adjustments, including sourcing new suppliers and modifying processing equipment [9][10]. - The HFCS industry supports approximately 120,000 jobs, and a shift to cane sugar could result in a 3%-5% reduction in these positions, impacting the livelihoods of many in the food manufacturing sector [9]. Group 4: Political and Consumer Resistance - The U.S. agricultural subsidy structure heavily favors corn production, with about 60% of agricultural subsidies allocated to corn and other grains, complicating any potential shift to cane sugar [10]. - Consumer taste preferences have evolved, and while some may long for the original formula, many have adapted to the HFCS version, creating uncertainty about market acceptance of a potential switch back to cane sugar [10][11].
重大突破! 二氧化碳制作蔗糖,仅需17小时!
合成生物学与绿色生物制造· 2025-07-17 16:06
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a groundbreaking technology developed by Chinese scientists that enables the synthesis of sugar from carbon dioxide, significantly reducing the time and resources required compared to traditional methods [1][2]. Group 1: Key Breakthroughs - The technology breakthrough involves the artificial synthesis of hexoses (six-carbon sugars) from carbon dioxide, marking China's advancement in the field of artificial carbohydrate synthesis [2]. - In 2023, the team successfully synthesized hexoses, including glucose and other sugars, in just 17 hours, achieving a carbon conversion rate of 0.67 grams per liter per hour, which is over ten times more efficient than natural photosynthesis [3][8]. - By 2025, the team achieved direct synthesis of sucrose from carbon dioxide, with a product concentration of 14 grams per liter, representing a 20-fold increase in efficiency compared to hexose synthesis [4][8]. Group 2: Technical Advantages - The energy consumption for sucrose synthesis is only 2 ATP per sucrose, compared to 37 ATP in natural pathways, resulting in approximately 85% energy savings [9]. - The engineered enzymes allow for precise control over the synthesis of various sugars, addressing the challenge of controlling the stereochemistry of sugar molecules [9]. Group 3: Application Prospects - In the pharmaceutical sector, precisely synthesized sugar molecules are crucial for vaccines and anticancer drugs, with costs being only one-third of those derived from natural extraction [13]. - The industrial biotechnology sector consumes over ten million tons of glucose annually; utilizing carbon dioxide synthesis could reduce food consumption by 60% [14]. - The technology can consume 1.6 tons of carbon dioxide for every ton of sugar produced, equivalent to the annual emissions of three family cars, contributing to carbon neutrality efforts [15].
北师大最新Cell子刊:小时候吃糖太多,影响成年后大脑功能和行为
生物世界· 2025-07-15 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The excessive intake of added sugars has become a significant public health issue, particularly among children and adolescents, leading to potential long-term effects on obesity, metabolic disorders, and cognitive functions [2][4]. Group 1: Research Findings - A study published by a team from Beijing Normal University indicates that excessive sucrose consumption during early life alters cortical dynamics and adaptive behavior in adulthood [2][5]. - The research utilized wide-field calcium imaging to monitor the activity of the dorsal cortex in adult mice that had consumed high-sugar beverages since weaning, comparing them to a control group [4]. - Findings revealed that mice consuming high-sugar beverages exhibited changes in cortical dynamics and behavioral flexibility, despite no abnormalities in weight gain or glucose tolerance [4][7]. Group 2: Specific Observations - Mice exposed to sucrose during early life showed reduced cortical responses to sucrose in adulthood [7]. - These mice displayed delayed and prolonged learning-related cortical activity during early learning stages [7]. - There was a noted decrease in functional connectivity between the anterior and posterior cortices in mice that consumed sucrose early in life, along with heightened sensitivity to cue-reward association changes [7].
中科院“二氧化碳制糖”新成果全网热议!不依赖光合作用,“迈向深空前置技术”
量子位· 2025-07-11 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a groundbreaking technology developed by the Tianjin Institute of Industrial Biotechnology, which enables the conversion of carbon dioxide (CO₂) into sugar through a synthetic pathway, bypassing traditional agricultural methods [1][5][24]. Summary by Sections Technology Overview - The new method allows for the conversion of CO₂ to methanol and then to sucrose, effectively circumventing the need for photosynthesis in plants [1][5]. - The energy consumption for this process is significantly lower, requiring only 2 ATP per sucrose compared to 37 ATP in natural pathways [6]. Conversion Efficiency - The conversion efficiency of the new method reaches 86%, with a yield of 5.7 g/L for sucrose [7]. - The research also enables the synthesis of starch and oligosaccharides from low-carbon molecules [10]. Process Steps - The conversion process consists of two main steps: 1. Converting CO₂ to C1 raw materials using existing technologies [13][14]. 2. Transforming C1 molecules into sucrose through an engineered biotransformation system, enhancing the catalytic efficiency of key enzymes by 3 to 71 times [15][18]. Implications - This technology could address significant global challenges such as climate change and food security by reducing the need for arable land and freshwater [31]. - The potential to synthesize essential carbohydrates directly from CO₂ could revolutionize food production and agricultural practices [26][28]. Future Prospects - If successful, this method could eliminate the need for traditional crop cultivation, allowing for the production of staple foods in a controlled environment [24][26]. - The research team aims to simulate the complex systems evolved by plants over millions of years, providing a sustainable alternative to current agricultural practices [29].