隆鑫通用 20250716 摘要 2025 年上半年，250CC 以上大排量摩托车销量同比增长超 40%，出 口贡献显著，达 26.5 万台，同比增长 70%。国内市场销量接近 23.7 万台，同比增长约 20%，显示行业景气度延续，利好相关企业股票表现。 龙星公司下半年海外市场重点为修理车和踏板车，包括 300-900CC 车 型；国内市场以巡航车为主，CU625 已推出，并即将上市 500CC 四缸 仿赛车型。DS625 和 DS800 已开始交付，DS800 产能爬坡完成，但 欧洲出货淡季或影响短期交付量。 龙星公司出口市场以欧洲为主，意大利和西班牙保持良好景气度，德法 英三国亦有突破。踏板车首次进入德国前 15 名销量榜单。拉美和亚洲 新兴市场也在布局，但短期内欧洲仍是重点，关注新兴市场专卖店设立 带来的长期效应。 龙星公司在西班牙已取得 6%的市占率，意大利表现同样优异，增强了 品牌外溢效果，吸引亚洲国家关注。意大利和西班牙市场正向 6%-10% 市占率迈进，德国、法国和英国刚突破 1%，处于 1%-5%的发展阶段。 龙星与宝马合作，踏板车和拉力车在欧洲市场适配度高。2025 年重点 推出 500- ...

Core Viewpoint - Yadea Holdings (01585.HK) is facing significant challenges, including regulatory penalties and declining financial performance, amidst increasing competition in the electric two-wheeler market [1][6][11]. Regulatory Issues - Yadea Industrial Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Yadea Holdings, received an administrative penalty of RMB 30,000 from the Tianjin Emergency Management Bureau for product quality issues [2][3]. - In June 2024, Yadea was listed among brands with non-compliant electric bicycle products, highlighting ongoing quality control challenges [2][5]. Financial Performance - For the year 2024, Yadea reported revenues of RMB 28.236 billion, a decrease of 18.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 1.272 billion, down 51.8% [6][9]. - The decline in performance is attributed to heightened public concern over battery safety following a fire incident in Nanjing, which reduced demand for electric two-wheelers [8][10]. Market Competition - Yadea's market position is under pressure from competitors like Ninebot and Aima Technology, which have reported significant revenue and profit growth [11]. - Aima Technology surpassed Yadea in net profit for the first time, indicating a shift in market leadership [11]. Product Strategy and Market Trends - Yadea has attempted to diversify its product offerings, including high-end brands and models targeting female consumers, but has not seen a corresponding increase in average selling prices [12][14]. - In 2024, the average price of Yadea's electric two-wheelers remained relatively stable at approximately RMB 1,487, with total sales volume decreasing by 21.2% to 13 million units [14][16]. Future Outlook - Yadea plans to innovate and adapt to new national standards for electric two-wheelers, aiming to stabilize the market and regain growth [16]. - The company is focusing on a dual strategy of "sodium batteries + battery swapping" to enhance its competitive edge in the evolving electric mobility landscape [16].

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 10 年 月 日 资料来源：Wind，国盛证券研究所 注：股价为 2025 年 06 月 06 日收盘价 | 买入（首次） | | | --- | --- | | 股票信息 | | | 行业 | 汽车零部件 | | 06 月 06 日收盘价（港元） | 12.36 | | 总市值（百万港元） | 38,472.32 | | 总股本（百万股） | 3,112.65 | | 其中自由流通股（%） | 100.00 | | 30 日日均成交量（百万股） | 9.65 | 雅迪控股（01585.HK） 政策驱动景气度上行，龙头盈利修复可期 以旧换新叠加新国标落地，行业需求有望重回快速增长区间。预计行业 2025/2026 年销量 5600/6175 万辆，同比+12%/+10%，未来行业稳态需 求接近 6500 万辆。主要受益于：1）以旧换新政策补贴力度大，截至 2025 年 4 月 8 日全国电动自行车售旧、换新各 334.1 万辆，平均单车补贴金额 688 元，据中国自行车协会监测，行业一季度产量同比+25%，刺激效果 显著，后续换购需求有 ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 10 年 月 日 雅迪控股（01585.HK） 政策驱动景气度上行，龙头盈利修复可期 以旧换新叠加新国标落地，行业需求有望重回快速增长区间。预计行业 2025/2026 年销量 5600/6175 万辆，同比+12%/+10%，未来行业稳态需 求接近 6500 万辆。主要受益于：1）以旧换新政策补贴力度大，截至 2025 年 4 月 8 日全国电动自行车售旧、换新各 334.1 万辆，平均单车补贴金额 688 元，据中国自行车协会监测，行业一季度产量同比+25%，刺激效果 显著，后续换购需求有望加速释放。2）2024 版新国标将于今年 9 月实施， 新增防火、防电池篡改的要求，降低铅酸电池重量要求，提高行业准入门 槛，预计行业 Q2-Q3 老国标车型需求有望维持旺盛。 行业格局：头部车企优势明显，未来市场份额有望稳中有升。龙头公司雅 迪/爱玛在产品价格带、渠道方面优势明显，市占率大幅领先同行，2024 年分别销售 1302/1070 万台，对应市占率 26%/21%，合计市占率达 47%。 展望未来，通勤场景（占比约 50%）与娱乐场景 ...

Core Viewpoint - VinFast reported a significant revenue increase of approximately 150% in Q1, reaching $656.5 million, surpassing analyst expectations, but still faced rising sales and operational costs leading to a net loss of $712.4 million, a 20% increase from the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 revenue grew to $656.5 million, exceeding analyst forecasts - The company reported a net loss of $712.4 million, a 20% increase year-over-year - Earnings per share loss was $0.30, slightly worse than the expected $0.28 loss [1] Cost Structure - Sales costs for the first quarter reached $887.5 million, up 112.9% from the previous year - Operating loss for the quarter was $485.6 million, a 20.3% increase year-over-year - Gross margin improved from -58.7% to -35.2% year-over-year [1] Delivery and Production - VinFast delivered 36,330 vehicles globally in Q1, a 296% increase year-over-year - The company also delivered 44,904 electric scooters, marking a 473% increase [1] Financial Support and Expansion Plans - As of the end of Q1, VinFast held $96.6 million in cash and cash equivalents - The company continues to receive financial support from its parent company Vingroup and its founder, Pham Nhat Vuong, who has invested nearly $1 billion in 2023 and 2024, with a commitment of an additional $2 billion by 2026 [2][3] - Vingroup has provided $1.2 billion in loans to VinFast, with $825.4 million of Vuong's promised $2 billion already disbursed [3] Market Focus - VinFast is focusing on establishing a foothold in price-sensitive Asian markets, with plans to open a factory in Tamil Nadu, India, on July 30, delayed by one month [2] - The company aims to deliver over 200,000 vehicles in Vietnam this year and has no immediate plans to expand sales in North America and Europe due to high logistics costs [2]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 绿源集团控股(2451.HK) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 骆峥 轻工制造行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525020001 邮 箱： luozheng1@cindasc.com 邓健全 汽车行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525010002 邮 箱： dengjianquan@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 绿源集团控股：电动两轮车稳健增长，积极布 局新成长曲线 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 26 日 [Table_S 事件：公司发布 ummary] 2024 年年报。24 年公司实现收入 50.72 亿元（-0.2%）， 归母净利润 1.17 亿 ...