这两天刷新闻，很容易被"降价"两个字骗了。 房子在打折，车子在大促，家电搞起买一送一。可真正和你生活最贴近的东西，却在慢慢涨价。 不是一夜暴富式的通胀，而是那种你不留意，就已经多花钱的"温水行情"。 为啥房子、车子这些大件跌得这么狠？不是商家良心发现，而是真的没得选。 楼盘太多卖不动，不降就扛不住资金压力；车企内卷到极限，价格战打到见血，不降价只能看着库存堆成山；家电行业也一样，库存积压严重，只能靠清仓 回血。 看起来是捡便宜，其实是过去的高溢价在慢慢退场。这些非日常高频的大件，降价再狠也只是偶尔消费。可那些每天都要花钱的刚需，才是悄悄"掏空"钱包 的主力。 第一类：粮油蔬菜，涨得不吭声。 去超市的时候你可能没细看，但米、面、油的价格确实在一点一点往上挪。几毛钱的变化，单看不大，可一年下来，累计的支出就是最扎心的那一刀。 天气异常导致产量波动，物流费用因为油价上涨而增加，这些成本最后都结结实实落到你的购物车里。民以食为天，这类消费躲不开、省不了，涨一点都影 响生活。 第二类：水电燃气，隐形涨价王。 你肯定有这感觉：水电燃气账单没暴涨，但每个月都比之前多一点。这种"温水煮青蛙"的涨价，最让人防不胜防。 不需要暴 ...

我卖掉了房子。 准确说，是割肉止损了结一笔持续四年的坏账。 决定买下它，只用了一个下午。 决定卖掉它，我纠结了三年。 这三年，与其说是在等房价回暖，不如说是在等自己"认输"。直到我彻底想通一件事：在财务的资产负 债表上，感情用事，是成本最高的负债。 这是一场价值百万的资产逻辑纠偏。 让我下定决心的，不是某个专家的分析，而是一个最基础的财务概念的颠覆——到底什么是"资产"？ 我们从小被灌输：房子、车子、存款，是资产。是"好东西"，是"家底"。 但真相是残酷的：不能带来正向现金流入的东西，都是负债。它们只是在消耗你的现金，伪装成资产的 样子。 我那套房子：每月吞噬房贷利息、物业费，每年因折旧和市价阴跌而缩水。它不再是我的"资产"，而是 我名下每月定时扣款的"不良负债"。 当年买房，理由无比正确：为了儿子上学。看了学校旁的房子，冲动之下，用了最高的价格、背了最高 的利息。 这几年我反复算一笔账：房价下跌的损失+利息成本+机会成本（这笔首付本可产生的投资收益），足 够我在学校隔壁租一套更好的房子，并雇一个专职保姆接送孩子，舒舒服服用上几年。 而我，却为了一个"拥有学区房"的虚名，把自己套牢在钢筋水泥的债务里，忍受着资 ...

Core Viewpoint - The perception of valuable assets is shifting from real estate and automobiles to health, skills, cash flow, and financial knowledge due to recent economic changes in China [1][3][5][12]. Group 1: Real Estate and Automobiles - Historically, real estate and automobiles were seen as the most valuable assets, with national average housing prices increasing from 2000 RMB per square meter in 1998 to a peak of 11,000 RMB per square meter in 2021, a rise of 5.5 times [1]. - In major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, average housing prices surged from 3,000 RMB per square meter to 60,000-70,000 RMB per square meter [1]. - Recently, from 2022 to now, average housing prices across the country have dropped by 30%, with significant adjustments even in core areas of first-tier cities [3]. Group 2: Health - The importance of health is increasingly recognized, with individuals prioritizing their well-being over work, leading to a rise in gym memberships and regular health check-ups [5][7]. Group 3: Skills - Possessing strong skills is crucial in the current job market, as it reduces the likelihood of being laid off and facilitates quicker re-employment if job loss occurs [7][8]. Group 4: Cash Flow - Stable cash flow is essential during economic downturns, allowing individuals to manage expenses and navigate unemployment without immediate financial stress [9][11]. Group 5: Financial Knowledge - Mastery of financial knowledge and investment skills is becoming increasingly valuable, as it helps individuals avoid losses and seize investment opportunities, especially as the economy recovers from deflation [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The rapid devaluation of cash in China is anticipated over the next five years due to severe monetary overproduction by the central bank, with M2 money supply reaching 331.98 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, while consumer prices are experiencing deflation, indicating a trend towards economic contraction [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Trends - The monetary overproduction is primarily due to excess liquidity within the financial system that is not reaching the real economy, leading to a perception of cash scarcity [3]. - The slowdown in income growth and shrinking consumer demand are contributing to economic deflation, resulting in significant inventory accumulation for businesses, forcing them to lower prices to recover funds [3]. Group 2: Asset Devaluation - Real estate prices are expected to continue their downward trend, with the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities dropping to 13,381 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 7.38%, marking 41 consecutive months of price decline [5]. - The automotive industry is facing a price war, with domestic mid-range cars dropping by 20,000 to 30,000 yuan and luxury imports seeing reductions up to 90,000 yuan, while second-hand electric vehicles are depreciating rapidly [8]. - The value of university degrees is declining due to an oversupply of graduates, with 12.22 million expected to graduate in 2025, and a lack of practical experience among graduates making them less attractive to employers [10]. - The collectibles market is experiencing a downturn, with significant price drops in items like the panda stamp and modern artworks, as reduced disposable income limits demand for such investments [13].

Group 1: Economic Overview - The future expectation is that cash will depreciate rapidly due to severe domestic currency overproduction, with M2 reaching 330 trillion, double that of the US and more than the combined total of Europe and Japan [2] - Despite the expectation of inflation, the economy is currently in a deflationary cycle, with CPI down 0.1% year-on-year in the first half of the year, indicating a trend of stable but declining prices [2] - The lack of rapid depreciation of currency is attributed to two main reasons: insufficient confidence among businesses and consumers leading to a shrinking loan market, and a weak real economy causing reduced consumer income and spending power [2] Group 2: Real Estate Market - Since 2022, domestic housing prices have entered a long-term adjustment phase, with declines observed in second and third-tier cities, and first-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen also experiencing price drops [5][7] - In Shanghai, housing prices have fallen from over 90,000 yuan per square meter to over 60,000 yuan, a decline exceeding 30%, with expectations of further decreases as prices return to reasonable levels [5][7] - The decline in housing prices is driven by three factors: extensive real estate regulation since 2016, reduced consumer income and purchasing power, and a prolonged decline in prices leading to a lack of investment appeal [7] Group 3: Automotive Market - The automotive market is experiencing a price drop, with some models from brands like Honda and Chevrolet seeing reductions of over 60,000 yuan, while domestic brands like Geely and BYD are also engaging in price promotions [6][9] - Average price reductions in the automotive sector range from 20,000 to 30,000 yuan, with some models dropping from 220,000 yuan to 180,000 yuan, indicating a continuing price war in the coming years [6][9] - Factors contributing to the decline in automotive prices include an oversupply due to the influx of electric vehicles, reduced purchasing plans among middle-income consumers, and increased competition from tech companies entering the automotive sector [9]