Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Huayi Group's stock price increased by 5.02% to 56.08 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 166 million CNY and a market capitalization of 65.445 billion CNY as of September 19 [1] - Huayi Group, established on September 2, 2004, and listed on April 26, 2021, is primarily engaged in the development, design, production, and sales of sports footwear [1] - The revenue composition of Huayi Group includes 89.53% from sports casual shoes, 8.31% from sports sandals/slippers and others, 2.07% from outdoor boots, and 0.09% from other supplementary products [1] Group 2 - BlackRock's fund, specifically the BlackRock Excellence Voyage Mixed A (018101), holds a significant position in Huayi Group, with 90,000 shares representing 3.33% of the fund's net value, making it the seventh-largest holding [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 26.16%, ranking 3416 out of 8172 in its category, and a one-year return of 56.31%, ranking 2628 out of 7980 [2] - The fund manager, Bi Kai, has an experience of 8 years and 29 days, with a total fund size of 360 million CNY, while the co-manager, Shan Xiuli, has 4 years and 14 days of experience with a fund size of 2.967 billion CNY [3]

Core Viewpoint - 华利集团's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a notable decline of 28.63% year-to-date, while showing some recovery in the last 20 and 60 days [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, 华利集团 reported revenue of 12.661 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 9.103 billion yuan, with 6.652 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 10, 2025, the number of shareholders for 华利集团 is 14,100, a decrease of 2.76% from the previous period, with an average of 82,765 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 2.84% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with notable changes in holdings, such as a decrease in shares held by Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and E Fund's Growth Mixed Fund [3] Stock Performance - As of September 17, 华利集团's stock price was 53.78 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 62.761 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 87.839 million yuan on the same day, with a turnover rate of 0.14% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has achieved double-digit revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.36%. However, the net profit has declined by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [1][2] - The company has a rich resource of well-known sports shoe clients, with strong design and rapid response capabilities as core advantages, enhancing its competitive position in the market [3] - The new factories in Southeast Asia and China have achieved mass production, with improved gross margins in Q2 compared to Q1, indicating a positive trend in operational efficiency [4] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 20.114 billion yuan in 2023 to 34.255 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% [1] - The net profit is expected to increase from 3.2 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.949 billion yuan in 2027, with fluctuations in growth rates, including a projected decline in 2025 [1] - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 21.85%, down 6.38 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.20%, down 3.17 percentage points [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 3.01 yuan in 2025, 3.60 yuan in 2026, and 4.24 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 18.1X, 15.1X, and 12.9X respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is adjusted to "Accumulate" due to short-term profit pressure from new factory ramp-up and efficiency issues [4][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.671 billion yuan, down 11.06% year-on-year [1][2]. - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to several new factories being in the ramp-up phase, affecting overall efficiency and profit margins [2][3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.167 billion yuan, which accounts for approximately 70% of the net profit for the first half of the year [1]. Revenue Performance - Revenue growth was driven by a significant increase in new customer orders, despite a decline in some existing customer orders. The overall sales volume of sports shoes increased by 6.14% year-on-year [2]. - In terms of product categories, sports casual shoes generated revenue of 11.336 billion yuan (up 10.78% year-on-year), while outdoor boots saw a significant decline of 57.31% to 262 million yuan due to customer adjustments in product categories [3]. - Geographically, revenue from Europe surged by 88.94% to 2.398 billion yuan, while North America experienced a slight decline of 0.43% to 9.887 billion yuan [3]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin decreased by 6.38 percentage points to 21.85%, mainly due to lower efficiency in new factories. However, it is expected to recover as operations stabilize [3]. - The net profit margin also fell by 3.17 percentage points to 13.20% [3]. - Management expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased by 2.30 percentage points to 2.78%, primarily due to reduced performance-related compensation [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 24.006 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 19.35%, and is expected to reach 26.694 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 11.20% [10]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is adjusted to 3.513 billion yuan, down from previous estimates, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 15, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating short-term pressure on profitability despite a revenue increase. [1][2] Financial Performance - For 25H1, the company achieved revenue of 12.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.42% [1] - In 25Q2, revenue reached 7.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, with net profit of 902 million yuan, down 17.3% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for 25H1 decreased by 6.38 percentage points to 21.85%, and the net profit margin fell by 3.17 percentage points to 13.2% [2] - In 25Q2, the gross profit margin was 21.08%, down 7.05 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 12.42%, down 3.84 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product and Regional Performance - Revenue from sports leisure shoes in 25H1 was 11.34 billion yuan, up 10.78% year-on-year, while revenue from sports sandals/slippers and other products surged by 74.35% to 1.05 billion yuan [1] - Outdoor footwear revenue dropped significantly by 57.31% to 260 million yuan [1] - Revenue from North American customers was 9.89 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.43% year-on-year, while European customer revenue soared by 88.94% to 2.397 billion yuan [1] - The company sold 115 million pairs of shoes in 25H1, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, with an average price of approximately 110.09 yuan per pair, up 3.6% year-on-year [1] Customer Diversification and Strategy - The company is experiencing a shift in customer orders, with some older clients seeing a decline, but new client orders have increased significantly [2] - The top five customers now account for 71.88% of revenue, down from 76.61% the previous year, indicating a diversification strategy [2][3] Production Capacity and Future Outlook - The new factories are ramping up production as expected, with output in 25H1 reaching 3.73 million pairs from the Vietnam factory, 1.99 million pairs from Indonesia, and 670,000 pairs from China [3] - The company anticipates gradual improvement in profitability as new factory margins improve [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain healthy revenue growth as it continues to expand its high-potential customer base [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected to grow by 11%, 14%, and 13% year-on-year, with net profits of 3.5 billion, 4.35 billion, and 4.96 billion yuan, respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [6][13]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [7][8]. - The company is experiencing a phase of pressure on profitability due to the transitional efficiency of new factories and a decline in orders from older factories, leading to a temporary drop in gross margin [8][10]. - The company is successfully diversifying its customer base, with significant contributions from new clients like On and New Balance, and a successful partnership with Adidas [9]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the basic earnings per share (EPS) was 1.43 yuan, and the diluted EPS was also 1.43 yuan [4]. - The net asset return rate (ROE) stood at 10.34% [4]. - The company’s total production capacity reached 116.71 million pairs, with a utilization rate of 95.78% [10]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 3.54 billion, 4.07 billion, and 4.65 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 16, and 14 times [13]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 26.325 billion yuan in 2025 to 32.688 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.7% and 10.7% respectively [15][19].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the financial performance and operational status of Huali Industrial Group Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, indicating a growth in revenue but a decline in net profit compared to the previous year [1][17]. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 reached approximately RMB 12.66 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.36% from RMB 11.47 billion [8][17]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately RMB 1.67 billion, showing a decrease of 11.06% compared to RMB 1.88 billion in the same period last year [8][17]. - The basic earnings per share decreased to RMB 1.43, down 11.18% from RMB 1.61 [8][17]. - Total assets increased by 11.91% to approximately RMB 25.48 billion, while net assets attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.33% to approximately RMB 16.15 billion [8][17]. Business Operations - The company primarily engages in the design, production, and sales of sports shoes, serving as a key manufacturer for globally recognized brands such as Nike, Adidas, and Puma [12][15]. - In the first half of 2025, the company sold approximately 115 million pairs of shoes, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.14% [17]. - The company operates a production model based on "sales-driven production," with manufacturing primarily conducted in Vietnam and Indonesia [11][12]. Market and Industry Trends - The sports shoe industry is experiencing structural growth driven by increasing participation in sports and a rising demand for high-quality, comfortable products [12][13]. - However, the industry faces challenges such as macroeconomic pressures, trade policy uncertainties, and potential declines in consumer demand [12][16]. - The company has established a diversified customer base, reducing reliance on any single client, which enhances its competitive position in the market [15][17]. Profit Distribution - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of RMB 10.00 per 10 shares, totaling approximately RMB 1.17 billion, which represents about 70% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [1][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.840 billion yuan, up 20.00% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 23 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a payout ratio of 69.89% [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, leading to a production capacity of 229 million pairs, a 3.3% increase year-on-year, and a utilization rate of 96.72%, up 10.06 percentage points [5][9]. Financial Performance - The company reported a quarterly revenue breakdown for 2024 as follows: 4.765 billion yuan in Q1, 6.707 billion yuan in Q2, 6.039 billion yuan in Q3, and 6.495 billion yuan in Q4, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.15%, 20.83%, 18.50%, and 11.88% respectively [3]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 improved by 1.2 percentage points to 26.8%, while the net profit margin was 16.0%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [5][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 3.29 yuan, with projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 3.69 yuan, 4.25 yuan, and 4.76 yuan respectively [6][9]. Market Position and Client Base - The company has established partnerships with major global brands, including Nike and Adidas, with the top five clients accounting for 79.13% of total sales, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [4][9]. - The revenue from sports casual shoes, outdoor boots, and sports sandals/slippers for 2024 was 20.991 billion yuan, 0.898 billion yuan, and 2.070 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.88%, -33.70%, and 125.76% [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the normalization of orders from core clients and the continued growth of new brand clients, leading to a projected increase in revenue and profit for the coming years [9]. - The report forecasts a revenue growth of 14.1% in 2025, 14.2% in 2026, and 12.1% in 2027, with net profit growth rates of 12.2%, 14.9%, and 12.2% respectively [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company has exceeded dividend expectations, indicating potential for sustainable growth in the future [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [6]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be 3.71, 4.22, and 4.83 yuan respectively, with a target price of 66.51 yuan based on an 18x PE valuation for 2025 [2][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 20.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, indicating consistent profitability [2][10]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s operating profit for 2024 is expected to be 4.97 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 16% [6][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 22.6% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting a stable but slightly decreasing profitability trend [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 11.6 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation as earnings grow [10].

纺织服饰 | 纺织制造 非金融|公司点评报告 证券研究报告 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 月 | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 56.14 | | | | | 一 年 内 最 最 低 | 高 | / | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | 65,515.38 | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | 65,514.95 | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | 1,167.00 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | | 23.38 | | | | | 每股净资产（元/股） | | | | | | 14.94 | | | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | ...