格隆汇11月19日丨海欣食品(002702.SZ)在互动平台表示，公司目前未开展水产品养殖业务。公司的业 务目前聚焦于水产品精深加工与速冻菜肴制品的研发、生产和销售。通过持续提升研发能力、严控产品 质量和拓展渠道品牌，不断巩固和强化在这一核心领域的竞争力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anjiu Food (603345.SH) shows stable fundamentals despite stock price adjustments, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and market presence in the frozen food industry [3][24]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue reached 11.4 billion, a slight increase of 2.7% year-on-year, indicating a continued slowdown [4]. - Net profit was 949 million, down 9.35% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit decline of 13.36%, primarily due to rising raw material costs and increased operational expenses [6]. - The gross margin decreased by 3 percentage points compared to the previous year [7]. - In Q3 alone, revenue was 3.77 billion, up 6.61% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 11.80% to 270 million [10]. Industry Growth and Trends - The frozen food industry in China is projected to reach a scale of approximately 221.2 billion RMB in 2024, making it the second largest globally, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.4% expected from 2024 to 2029 [12]. - The demand for standardized ingredients is expected to rise due to the low chain restaurant penetration in China, which is only half of that in mature markets [14]. - The per capita consumption of frozen food in China is only 10.0 kg, significantly lower than in the US (62.2 kg) and Japan (25.3 kg), indicating substantial growth potential [14]. Business Strategy - Anjiu Food employs a "three-pronged approach" focusing on frozen prepared foods, frozen dishes, and frozen noodle products, with a particular emphasis on the rapidly growing frozen dish segment [16]. - The company has developed a "big single product" strategy, focusing on 3-5 strategic products each year, with 39 products generating over 100 million in annual revenue, including 4 products exceeding 500 million [17][26]. - The company has established 12 production bases nationwide, achieving a capacity utilization rate of 92.24% in 2022, and is planning to launch new projects in 2024 [18]. Market Expansion and Innovation - Anjiu Food is accelerating its internationalization and capital operations, with plans to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in July 2025, becoming the first A+H listed frozen food company in China [24]. - The company is entering the frozen baking sector, having acquired stakes in Jiangsu Dingwei and Dingyifeng, and plans to invest 361 million in a new baking project [25]. - The company is also enhancing its product offerings, with the launch of the "Meat More Grilled Sausage Series" in 2025 [26]. Shareholder Dynamics - In 2023, the company experienced a change in actual control, with the new controllers promising not to reduce their holdings within 18 months [27]. - Prior to this change, the former controlling shareholder reduced their stake by 5% over four months, raising nearly 2.3 billion [27].

Core Viewpoint - Anjiu Food's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a total market capitalization of 27.27 billion yuan, while the company has experienced a year-to-date stock price increase of 4.76% [1] Company Overview - Anjiu Food Group Co., Ltd. is based in Xiamen, Fujian Province, and was established on December 24, 2001, with its listing date on February 22, 2017. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of frozen foods, including products like fish tofu, fish balls, and various frozen dishes [2] - The revenue composition of Anjiu Food includes 49.43% from frozen prepared foods, 31.77% from frozen dishes, 16.32% from frozen noodle and rice products, and 2.38% from agricultural products and others [2] Financial Performance - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Anjiu Food reached 63,200, an increase of 78.56%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 43.98%. For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 11.371 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 949 million yuan, a decrease of 9.35% [3] - Anjiu Food has distributed a total of 3.219 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.521 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [4] Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 5.401 million shares, a decrease of 6.5391 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Zhonggeng Value Pioneer Stock and the South China Securities 500 ETF, which has exited the top ten circulating shareholders list [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company has shown a turning point in performance with a positive contribution from the consolidation of Dingwei Thai, leading to a recovery in its main business [1][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 11.37 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.95 billion yuan, down 9.3% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.77 billion yuan, an increase of 6.6%, with Dingwei Thai contributing 0.16 billion yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue from various product categories was as follows: - Frozen prepared foods: 5.67 billion yuan (+0.7%) - Frozen dishes: 3.64 billion yuan (+9.2%) - Frozen noodles and rice products: 1.73 billion yuan (-5.4%) - Agricultural products and others: 0.29 billion yuan (+8.2%) - Bakery products: 0.03 billion yuan (not comparable) - Other foods: 0.01 billion yuan (-39.0%) [2] - In Q3 2025, revenue from these categories was: - Frozen prepared foods: 1.91 billion yuan (+6.4%) - Frozen dishes: 1.23 billion yuan (+8.8%) - Frozen noodles and rice products: 0.48 billion yuan (-9.1%) - Agricultural products and others: 0.11 billion yuan (+38.8%) - Bakery products: 0.03 billion yuan (not comparable) - Other foods: 0.01 billion yuan (+632.4%) [2] Sales Model Analysis - Revenue by sales model for the first three quarters of 2025 was: - Distributors: 9.00 billion yuan (-1.0%) - Direct sales: 0.87 billion yuan (+23.5%) - New retail and e-commerce: 0.85 billion yuan (+25.9%) - Supermarkets: 0.64 billion yuan (+6.7%) [3] - In Q3 2025, revenue by sales model was: - Distributors: 2.96 billion yuan (-0.6%) - Direct sales: 0.32 billion yuan (+68.1%) - New retail and e-commerce: 0.27 billion yuan (+38.1%) - Supermarkets: 0.22 billion yuan (+28.1%) [3] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 20.3%, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points, while the net margin was 8.4%, down 1.2 percentage points [4] - In Q3 2025, the gross margin improved slightly to 20.0% (+0.1 percentage points), and the net margin increased to 7.3% (+0.3 percentage points) [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a positive trend in revenue for Q4 and 2026, with projected revenues of 15.78 billion yuan, 16.94 billion yuan, and 18.16 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 4.4%, 7.3%, and 7.2% [5] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 1.39 billion yuan, 1.57 billion yuan, and 1.73 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 6.5% in 2025 followed by growth of 12.7% and 10.6% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [5]

Core Insights - The Chinese quick-frozen food industry is undergoing a structural transformation while maintaining continuous growth, with the market size approaching 600 billion RMB in 2024 and expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8%-10% over the next five years [1][13][15] - The industry is characterized by a clear differentiation in product categories, with traditional quick-frozen rice and noodle products stabilizing in growth but still holding nearly 50% market share in the consumer segment [1][14] - Quick-frozen hot pot ingredients are experiencing rapid growth driven by the booming hot pot industry, while quick-frozen dishes (the core form of prepared dishes) are emerging as a key growth driver due to demand for convenience and cost efficiency in both B2B and B2C segments [1][14] Market Size and Structure - The overall market size of the quick-frozen food industry in China was approximately 420 billion RMB in 2018, growing to over 550 billion RMB by 2023, with projections nearing 600 billion RMB in 2024 [33][34] - The market growth is driven by both B2B and B2C structural demands, with B2B demand for standardized products in the restaurant sector being particularly strong [33][38] - The consumer segment is increasingly focused on convenience, with trends such as the "lazy economy" and smaller household sizes driving demand for quick-frozen foods [33][38] Industry Chain Analysis - Upstream raw materials account for 60%-70% of total costs, making price fluctuations a direct influence on company profits [2] - Midstream processing relies on automation, fresh-lock technology, and nationwide capacity layout as core competitive advantages [2] - Downstream cold chain logistics face challenges such as high costs and uneven development, but are improving with policy support and the rise of third-party logistics [2] Competitive Landscape - The market exhibits a "one strong, many strong" and highly fragmented structure, with Anjuke Foods leading the B2B channel and brands like Sanquan and Si Nian dominating the C2C rice and noodle market [2][14] - Core competitive barriers are concentrated in supply chain efficiency, channel coverage, and brand R&D capabilities, with new entrants and cross-industry players enriching the competitive landscape [2][14] Consumer Behavior Insights - The primary consumer demographic includes Generation Z and young professionals, with 1-2 person households being the main consumption unit [2] - Consumer motivations have shifted from mere sustenance to convenience, quality, and situational needs, with health consciousness and ingredient quality becoming significant purchasing factors [2] - O2O instant retail and community group buying have emerged as mainstream purchasing channels [2] Future Development Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards four major trends: product structure high-end and health-oriented, deep integration of prepared dishes, B/C channel collaboration and differentiation, and intelligent supply chain upgrades [2][15] - Companies that can seize opportunities in prepared dishes, balance B/C development, and build efficient supply chains will gain advantages in the industry transformation [2][15]

Core Viewpoint - Haixin Food's stock price has increased by 6.69% on November 5, reaching 5.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 80.63 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.47%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 2.923 billion CNY. The stock has risen for four consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 4.23% during this period [1]. Company Overview - Haixin Food Co., Ltd. is located in Fuzhou, Fujian Province, and was established on April 22, 2005. The company was listed on October 11, 2012. Its main business involves the research, production, and sales of frozen food, primarily frozen fish paste products and frozen meat products [1]. - The revenue composition of Haixin Food is as follows: frozen fish and meat products account for 60.76%, frozen dishes 25.32%, ambient snacks 11.47%, frozen rice and flour products 1.36%, and others 1.10% [1]. Shareholder Information - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Haixin Food, a fund under Jinyuan Shun'an Fund has increased its holdings. The Jinyuan Shun'an Yuanqi Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (004685) added 202,800 shares in the third quarter, bringing its total holdings to 3.1028 million shares, which represents 0.68% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 1.0239 million CNY, with a floating profit of 620,600 CNY during the four-day increase [2]. - The Jinyuan Shun'an Yuanqi Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (004685) was established on November 14, 2017, with a current scale of 1.432 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 40.31%, ranking 1602 out of 8150 in its category; the one-year return is 45.6%, ranking 1018 out of 8043; and since inception, the return is 555.28% [2]. - The fund manager, Miao Weibin, has a tenure of 8 years and 327 days, with a total fund asset scale of 1.432 billion CNY. The best fund return during his tenure is 549.2%, while the worst is -28.79% [2].

Strategy Overview - The report indicates that the market is currently in a "slow bull" phase, with short-term corrections not altering the overall trend. Key policies and events impacting the market have been implemented, and November marks a performance gap period. Signals of domestic demand recovery show divergence, with significant recovery in corporate revenue and profits in September, but a weakening PMI in October. The focus will shift to the implementation of incremental macro policies as the year-end approaches [5][6][10]. November Stock Picks - The November stock picks from Zhongyin Securities include: China Eastern Airlines (transportation), COSCO Shipping Specialized (transportation), Hualu Hengsheng (chemicals), Yake Technology (chemicals), CATL (electricity), Bairen Medical (pharmaceuticals), Anjuke Food (food and beverage), Lingnan Holdings (social services), Shenghong Technology (electronics), Industrial Fulian (electronics), and iFlytek (computers) [10][12]. Transportation Industry: China Eastern Airlines - China Eastern Airlines is one of the three major state-owned airlines in China, with a focus on passenger transport, which constitutes over 90% of its revenue. The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 132.12 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.11%, with a gross profit margin of 4.26% [12][13]. Transportation Industry: COSCO Shipping Specialized - COSCO Shipping Specialized reported a revenue of 16.611 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.92%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.329 billion yuan, up 10.54%. The company is expanding its fleet and has raised funds through a private placement to support its growth [15][16]. Chemical Industry: Hualu Hengsheng - Hualu Hengsheng's gross profit margin decreased to 18.01% in the first half of 2025, down 3.19 percentage points year-on-year, due to weak market demand. The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a significant increase in R&D expenses [17][18]. Chemical Industry: Yake Technology - Yake Technology's revenue grew due to increased sales in LNG and electronic materials. However, net profit growth lagged behind revenue growth due to foreign exchange losses and increased R&D expenses. The company is actively developing new technologies and products in the electronic materials sector [20][21]. Electric Industry: CATL - CATL reported a revenue of 283.072 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.28%, with a profit growth of 36.20%. The company maintains a strong market position, with a global market share of 36.8% in battery installations [24][25]. Pharmaceutical Industry: Bairen Medical - Bairen Medical has seen rapid growth in its revenue and profits, particularly in its heart valve replacement and repair segment, which grew by 64.28% year-on-year. The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with new product approvals [27][28]. Food and Beverage Industry: Anjuke Food - Anjuke Food's revenue for Q3 2024 was 3.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%. The company is focusing on promoting new products, particularly in the frozen food segment, which has shown significant growth [30][31]. Social Services Industry: Lingnan Holdings - Lingnan Holdings achieved a revenue of 2.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.52%. The company is expanding its travel agency and hotel operations, with a focus on enhancing its market presence [32][33]. Electronics Industry: Shenghong Technology - Shenghong Technology reported a revenue of 10.731 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.31%. The company is leveraging its technological advantages to expand its high-end product offerings [35][36]. Electronics Industry: Industrial Fulian - Industrial Fulian's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 360.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.58%. The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI infrastructure and cloud services [39][40]. Computer Industry: iFlytek - iFlytek's revenue for Q1 2025 was 4.658 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.74%. The company is focusing on enhancing its cash flow and controlling expenses while investing in R&D for new technologies [42][43].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.95 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.3% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.77 billion yuan, up 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.27 billion yuan, an increase of 11.8% year-on-year [1] Revenue Breakdown - In Q3 2025, revenue from various segments included: - Frozen prepared foods: 1.91 billion yuan (+6.4%) - Frozen dishes: 1.23 billion yuan (+8.8%) - Frozen rice and noodle products: 0.48 billion yuan (-9.1%) - Agricultural products and others: 0.11 billion yuan (+40.1%) [2] - The growth in the dish segment was driven by strong performance in products like shrimp and small fried meat, while the decline in rice and noodle products was attributed to intensified industry competition [2] Channel Performance - Revenue growth by channel in Q3 2025 was as follows: - Distributors: -0.6% - Supermarkets: +28.1% - Direct sales in special channels: +68.1% - New retail and e-commerce: +38.1% [2] - The strong performance in supermarkets and new retail channels was due to ongoing collaborations for customized products [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 20.3%, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 gross margin was 20%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The sales expense ratio in Q3 2025 remained stable at 6.1%, down 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, due to reduced advertising expenses [3] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 7%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Outlook - The company maintains a strong position in the industry, with expectations for growth driven by new channels and products [3] - The strategy includes focusing on high-quality products at competitive prices and expanding into new retail and e-commerce channels [3] - Anticipated demand recovery in Q4 2025, along with active collaborations with emerging channels, is expected to support continued performance growth [3] Earnings Forecast - Projected EPS for 2025-2027 are 4.29 yuan, 4.74 yuan, and 5.27 yuan, corresponding to dynamic PE ratios of 17x, 15x, and 14x respectively, with a maintained "buy" rating [4]

Core Viewpoint - Haixin Food reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating ongoing financial struggles and operational challenges [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Haixin Food achieved an operating revenue of approximately 970 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately -28.19 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17.94% [1] - The company experienced negative cash flow from operating activities, with a decrease of 320.32% year-on-year [1] Operational Challenges - Haixin Food's product offerings include frozen fish and meat products, frozen rice and noodle products, frozen dishes, and ambient temperature products [1] - The company faced losses in the second to fourth quarters of 2024, with overall performance also in the red for that year [1] - In 2025, the first quarter showed profitability, but both revenue and net profit declined year-on-year [1] - The second and third quarters of 2025 also resulted in losses for the company [1] Market Dynamics - The decline in cash flow was attributed to decreased sales and adjustments in distributor contract cycles to align with the natural year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady growth in Q3 2025, reversing the downward trend observed in Q1 and Q2, with significant improvements in revenue and net profit [2][4]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 11.371 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 949 million, a decrease of 9.35% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded total revenue of 3.766 billion, up 6.61% year-on-year, and a net profit of 273 million, an increase of 11.80% [1][2]. Product Category Performance - Revenue from various product categories for Q1-Q3 2025 includes: - Frozen prepared foods: 5.665 billion (+0.72%) - Frozen dishes: 3.643 billion (+9.19%) - Frozen noodles and rice products: 1.725 billion (-5.4%) - Agricultural products: 291 million (+8.2%) - Bakery products: 32 million (-) - Other income: 13 million (-38.97%) [2]. Channel Performance - Revenue by channel for Q1-Q3 2025 includes: - Distributors: 9.004 billion (-0.96%) - Direct sales: 872 million (+23.45%) - Supermarkets: 643 million (+6.74%) - New retail and e-commerce: 853 million (+25.87%) [2]. - In Q3 2025, the performance by channel shows: - Distributors: -0.58% - Direct sales: +68.09% - Supermarkets: +28.11% - New retail and e-commerce: +38.08% [2]. Profitability and Cost Control - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 20.34% and 8.36%, respectively, down 2.30 and 1.23 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - In Q3 2025, the gross margin and net margin improved slightly to 19.99% and 7.31%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 0.05 and 0.35 percentage points [3]. - The company maintained a cost control strategy, with a total expense ratio of 9.25% for Q1-Q3 2025, down 0.41 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Growth Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 16.029 billion, 17.325 billion, and 19.070 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, and net profits of 1.400 billion, 1.479 billion, and 1.730 billion [4]. - The company is focusing on a customized strategy for supermarkets to enhance product quality and expand its market share [4].