据私募排排网统计，截至9月29日，量化、主观和"主观+量化"混合型投资模式百亿级私募分别有45家、41家和7 家，另有1家百亿级私募未披露投资模式。 9月市场波动加剧，但增量资金并未停止入场步伐。私募排排网最新统计数据显示，截至9月底，百亿级私募数量 较8月底增加3家，总数达94家。至此，百亿级私募数量已经连续两个月实现正增长。 | | | 百亿级私募名单(截至9月底) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 公司简称 | 办公城市 | 公司量化标签 | 员工人数 | | 1 | 外贸信托 | 北京 | 主观+量化 | 224 | | 2 | 九坤投资 | 北京 | 量化 | 160 | | 3 | 灵均投资 | 北京 | 量化 | 157 | | 4 | 高毅资产 | 深圳 | 主观 | 156 | | 5 | 佳期私募 | 上海 | 量化 | 148 | | 6 | 敦和资管 | 杭州 | 主观+量化 | 142 | | 7 | 宽德私募 | 上海 | 量化 | 119 | | 8 | 乾象投资 | 北京 | 量化 | 108 | | 9 | 因诺资产 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Market style rotation is a typical characteristic of A-shares, where no single style can consistently outperform the market. This rotation significantly impacts quantitative long strategies, influencing their excess returns directly [2][3]. Group 1: Impact of Style Rotation - Style rotation serves as a double-edged sword for quantitative long strategies, affecting performance and sustainability. When market style aligns with historical preferences of quantitative models (e.g., small-cap style), strategies can capture significant stock selection alpha, leading to outstanding performance [3]. - In the first half of 2023 and the small-cap market in 2024, many quantitative products achieved considerable returns. However, when market styles reverse sharply (e.g., collective pullback of small-cap stocks in early 2024), quantitative strategies face significant challenges, often resulting in noticeable drawdowns [3]. - Quantitative models rely on historical data to identify patterns. If a particular style (like small-cap) remains dominant, models will increase exposure to that style. A sudden style reversal can lead to the short-term failure of factors based on historical data, causing stock selection alpha to vanish or even turn negative [3]. Group 2: Performance Disparity Among Strategies - Style rotation exacerbates performance disparities among different quantitative products. Funds focusing on different tracks (e.g., 300 index enhancement vs. 1000 index enhancement) or employing varying style constraints or risk control capabilities will exhibit significant performance differences during style shifts [3]. - The average excess return of over 200 quantitative long strategy products under billion-yuan private equity was approximately -1.69%, with only 22.67% showing positive excess returns, indicating a high exposure to small-cap and growth styles [7]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The market exhibited significant style switching from August to September 2025, driven by macroeconomic changes, capital flows, and policy expectations. The relative performance of broad-based indices reflects the rotation between large-cap and small-cap styles [7]. - The small-cap factor's return volatility has increased, and the average excess drawdown during rapid style transitions typically ranges from 1-4%, with the potential for a higher average excess drawdown of 8-9% in February 2024. However, subsequent recovery trends are generally smooth [11].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 ◎记者 马嘉悦 今年以来新备案私募证券投资基金已超8000只，同比增长超80%。其中，股票策略是今年私募发行市场 的"主力军"，新备案产品数量占比超60%。在业内人士看来，在无风险收益率下行的背景下，中国优势 产业的全球竞争力持续凸显，增量资金有望陆续入场。 私募发行市场持续回暖 私募排排网数据显示，截至9月10日，今年以来新备案私募证券投资基金达8211只，较2024年同期的 4468只增长83.77%。 值得一提的是，股票策略是今年以来私募发行市场的"主力军"。私募排排网数据显示，截至9月10日， 今年以来新备案股票策略私募产品5343只，占备案总量的65.07%，较2024年同期增长92.68%。 从月度备案数据来看，今年3月私募证券投资基金备案情况明显回暖，单月备案产品数量突破1000只，5 月受假期影响数量略有下滑，但6至8月连续3个月维持在1100只以上，发行市场持续升温。 排排网旗下融智投资FOF基金经理李春瑜在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，今年以来私募发行市场回 暖，有三方面推动因素：一是A股和港股市场结构性行情持续演绎，人工智能等战略性新兴产 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financing balance of the two markets has surpassed 2.3 trillion yuan, marking a historical high since 2015, indicating a significant increase in liquidity and investor risk appetite during the current bull market [2][3]. Group 1: Exposure of Micro-Cap Stocks - There is a noticeable differentiation in the exposure of quantitative long products to micro-cap stocks this year, with micro-cap indices significantly outperforming mid and large-cap stocks [4][5]. - The weighted discount rate of IC/IM stock index futures has remained high, suggesting an increased exposure of quantitative managers to micro-cap stocks [7]. - In the first quarter, the proportion of holdings in stocks below the 2000 index was about 20-40%, which may rise to over 50% in the third quarter [8]. Group 2: Reasons and Risks of Exposure to Micro-Cap Stocks - Historically, small-cap stocks have shown higher average annualized beta returns compared to large-cap stocks, attracting speculative interest from retail investors [9]. - The lower coverage of small micro-cap stocks by large institutional investors leads to higher mispricing probabilities, providing opportunities for quantitative models to identify undervalued targets [9]. - The current market liquidity favors micro-cap stocks, pushing their prices higher, especially during periods of weak economic data [9]. Group 3: Investor Strategies to Mitigate Risks - As long as micro-cap stocks maintain a strong market position, the likelihood of high exposure in quantitative long products remains significant [10]. - New investors may have concerns, but the current bull market is relatively rare, and any adjustments are expected to manifest as fluctuations rather than sharp declines [10]. - Quantitative long strategies differ from simple micro-cap strategies, focusing on identifying strong stocks and increasing exposure based on market conditions [10].

Group 1 - The number of billion-level private equity firms has reached 91 as of September 11, showing an increase of 10 firms since the end of July, with the new addition being Nianjue Private Equity based in Shanghai [1][3] - The growth of billion-level private equity firms contrasts with last year's contraction, indicating a recovery in the private equity issuance market [3][5] - The average return of private equity securities investment funds with performance records has exceeded 20% this year, with stock strategy products averaging over 25% [5][6] Group 2 - The number of new registered private equity securities investment funds has reached 7,907 this year, marking an 82.19% increase compared to the same period last year [6] - Despite recent market fluctuations, there has been no significant redemption from investors, indicating a stable sentiment towards the market [8] - Quantitative managers are continuously optimizing their strategy models to adapt to market changes, enhancing their investment portfolios' resilience [9]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown strong performance in 2025, with private equity securities products achieving an average return of 20.41% year-to-date, and 90.85% of the 10,135 products recorded positive returns [1] - Among stock strategy private equity products, 93.09% of the 6,473 products achieved positive returns, with an average return of 25.38%, driven by structural opportunities in the market [1] - Quantitative long strategies have outperformed subjective long strategies, with 96.24% of the 1,303 quantitative products showing positive returns and an average return of 31.84% [1][2] Group 2 - Subjective long strategies have a positive return rate of 92.68% and an average return of 25.62%, with many relying on in-depth research by fund managers to identify quality stocks [2] - Market-neutral and long-short strategies have lower performance due to their hedging nature, with positive return rates of 88.47% and 91.67%, and average returns of 8.15% and 14.53% respectively [2] - Multi-asset strategies have shown strong performance, with 89.91% of the 1,279 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 15.61% [2] Group 3 - Combination fund strategies have the highest positive return rate among the five strategies, with 95.98% of the 398 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 14.12% [3] - The commodity market has experienced wide fluctuations, negatively impacting futures and derivatives strategies, which have a positive return rate of 77.15% and an average return of 8.55% [3] - Bond strategies have benefited from a loosening monetary policy, with 92.50% of the 773 products achieving positive returns and an average return of 7.89% [3]

Core Insights - In July, the number of newly registered private equity funds and product filings reached a record high for the year, indicating a strong growth trend in the private equity sector [2][4]. Group 1: Registration and Filings - In July, 22 new private equity fund managers were registered, marking the highest monthly figure for the year. This includes 6 private securities investment funds and 16 private equity and venture capital funds [2]. - The total number of registered private fund managers reached 19,700 by the end of July, with 11,785 in private equity and venture capital, 7,722 in private securities investment, and 187 in other private investment funds [2]. - A total of 1,698 new products were filed in July, also a record for the year, with a total filing scale of 107.43 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Product Types and Strategies - The majority of the newly filed products in July were stock strategy products, totaling 887, which accounted for 68.34% of the total filings [5]. - Quantitative funds gained significant attention, with 620 quantitative private securities products filed in July, representing 47.76% of the total filings [5]. - Among the quantitative stock strategy products, 321 were filed under the quantitative long strategy, making up 67.15% of that category [5]. Group 3: Fund Scale and Growth - The total number of existing private funds reached 139,430 by the end of July, with a total scale of 20.68 trillion yuan, showing continuous growth for seven consecutive months [5]. - Among the 676 private securities managers with filed products, the distribution by scale was as follows: 357 managers with 0-500 million yuan, 86 with 500 million-1 billion yuan, and 48 with over 10 billion yuan [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the private equity market is experiencing a significant recovery, with over 90% of large private equity firms achieving positive returns this year, driven by structural market opportunities and active trading [2][3] - As of the end of July, the average return for large private equity firms was reported at 16.6%, with 54 out of 55 firms showing positive returns, indicating a strong performance in the sector [2] - The number of large private equity firms has increased to 90, reflecting the expansion of the industry amid favorable market conditions [1][2] Group 2 - The issuance market for private equity has notably improved, with a total of 1,298 private equity securities investment funds registered in July, marking an 18% increase from the previous month [3] - Large private equity firms dominated the new fund registrations in July, with significant numbers of new funds being launched, particularly in index-enhanced strategies [3] - Investor sentiment has improved, with institutional investors increasing their participation and shifting their preferences towards long-biased strategies, while individual investors are also showing signs of renewed interest [3] Group 3 - Large private equity firms are maintaining aggressive positions and actively adjusting their portfolios to capitalize on structural opportunities in the market [4][5] - The current investment focus includes sectors such as technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, and cyclical stocks, with a high portfolio allocation of over 80% [4] - There is an expectation of profit-taking in popular sectors due to recent gains, particularly during the busy earnings reporting period in August, leading to potential adjustments in investment strategies [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that over 90% of billion-level private equity firms have achieved positive returns this year, indicating a strong profit effect and increased capital inflow into the market [1][2] - As of the end of July, the average return for billion-level private equity firms with performance disclosures is over 16%, with a positive return ratio of 98% [2][3] - The number of billion-level private equity firms has increased to 90, reflecting an expanding tier of firms benefiting from structural market opportunities [1][2] Group 2 - Quantitative private equity firms are leading in performance, with an average return of 18.92% and a 100% positive return ratio, compared to 13.59% and 93.75% for subjective private equity firms [3] - The private equity issuance market has significantly rebounded, with 1,298 private equity securities investment funds registered in July, an 18% increase from the previous month [4] - Major billion-level private equity firms are maintaining aggressive positions and actively adjusting their portfolios to seize structural opportunities in the market [4][6] Group 3 - Companies are focusing on sectors such as technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, new consumption, and non-bank financials, with a high portfolio allocation of over 80% [5][6] - The current market environment is expected to continue providing structural opportunities for Chinese equity assets, supported by increased capital inflow and ongoing policy effects [6]

Core Insights - The performance of quantitative private equity products has been outstanding this year, with average returns of 22.59% and 26.96% for the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 index-enhanced products respectively, leading to a surge in sales and management scale for several firms [1][4] - Many quantitative private equity firms, including Micro Bo Yi, Mengxi Investment, and Qianyan Investment, have entered the "100 billion club," while others like Qianxiang Asset, JQData Investment, and Ruitian Investment have also returned to this status [1][3] - There is a general optimism among private equity firms regarding the future excess returns of quantitative products, driven by a favorable market environment and improved risk control measures [1][4] Performance and Strategy - The active market environment has benefited quantitative strategies, with significant interest in index-enhanced, market-neutral, and quantitative stock selection strategies [2] - The sales of quantitative long-only and full-market stock selection strategies have been particularly strong, attributed to the robust performance of small-cap stocks this year [2][3] - The average returns for mainstream index-enhanced products have been notably high, with the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 yielding 11.04%, 22.59%, and 26.96% respectively [4] Market Outlook - The outlook for future excess returns in quantitative products is optimistic, supported by expected market activity and stricter risk control measures following extreme market conditions [4] - However, there is a cautionary note regarding the cyclical nature of excess returns, as increased market liquidity may lead to mean reversion in returns [4] - The competitive landscape in the quantitative industry has intensified, with stronger excess return capabilities among surviving managers [4] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on long-term strategies rather than short-term trading, emphasizing the importance of risk management and the sources of excess returns [5][6] - Recommendations include diversifying asset allocations, employing dollar-cost averaging, and assessing managers' performance over longer time frames [6]