Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Fuyao Glass [4][6]. Core Views - Fuyao Glass's 1H25 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue increasing by 16.9% year-on-year to RMB 21.45 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 37.3% to RMB 4.81 billion [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of industry intelligence, leading to an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E by 15%, 13%, and 14% respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, Fuyao's automotive glass sales grew by 9.3%, with average selling price (ASP) increasing by 6.2%, resulting in automotive glass revenue of RMB 19.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2% [2]. - The gross margin for 1H25 was 37.1%, with a notable improvement in 2Q25, where the gross margin reached 38.5% [2]. Capacity Expansion and Business Synergy - The company invested RMB 2.86 billion in capital expenditures in 1H25, focusing on the second phase of the U.S. factory and new plants in Anhui and Fujian [3]. - Fuyao has established synergy between its automotive glass and aluminum trim businesses, enhancing its market position [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The report projects a steady increase in gross margin due to cost control and operational efficiency, with expectations for continued growth in 2H25 as the U.S. factory ramps up production [2]. - The target prices for A-shares and H-shares have been adjusted to RMB 77.58 and HKD 84.97 respectively, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 20x for 2025E [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q2 2025, with revenue of 11.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit of 2.78 billion yuan, up 31.5% year-on-year [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of high-value automotive glass products, which will enhance its average selling price (ASP) and market share [6] - The company has plans for significant capacity expansion, which is expected to further improve its competitive position in the global market [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 21.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.95%, and a net profit of 4.8 billion yuan, up 37.3% year-on-year [6] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 38.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.76 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.09 percentage points [6] Revenue Growth Drivers - The revenue growth is attributed to the rising proportion of high-value products, which increased by 4.81 percentage points year-on-year in H1 2025 [6] - The company is also benefiting from enhanced global competitiveness and new capacity contributions from its U.S. operations [6] Future Outlook - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 9.9 billion yuan, 11.5 billion yuan, and 13.4 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting expected growth rates of 32%, 16%, and 17% [6] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected payout ratio of 62.65% for 2024 [6]

执业证书编号：S0740523020004 Email：hejy02@zts.com.cn 汽车零部件 执业证书编号：S0740522120003 Email：liuxc03@zts.com.cn 分析师：毛䶮玄 执业证书编号：S0740523020003 Email：maoyx@zts.com.cn 基本状况 | 总股本(百万股) | 2,609.74 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 2,609.74 | | 市价(元) | 54.34 | | 市值(百万元) | 141,813.46 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 141,813.46 | 1、《汽玻量价齐升，强盈利、高分红 延续》2025-03-20 2、《Q3 再创佳绩，盈利能力持续优 异》2024-10-17 3、《【中泰汽车】福耀玻璃 24Q2 点评： Q2 超预期盈利质量向上，全球龙头 兼具成长性与确定性》2024-08-07 福耀玻璃（600660.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 18 日 股价与行业-市场走势对比 | 评级： 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Fuyao Glass [2][4][7] Core Views - Fuyao Glass achieved a revenue of 39.25 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.4%, with a net profit of 7.5 billion yuan, up 33.2% year-on-year [4][5] - The company continues to outperform the industry, driven by an increase in high-value-added products and enhanced global competitiveness [5][6] - The report highlights the company's strong profitability, with a gross margin of 32.12% in Q4 2024, despite a slight decline due to accounting changes [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023A was 33.16 billion yuan, projected to grow to 39.25 billion yuan in 2024A, with a consistent growth rate of 18% expected through 2027E [2][6] - Net profit for 2023A was 5.63 billion yuan, expected to rise to 7.5 billion yuan in 2024A, with a projected growth rate of 33% in 2024 [2][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 2.16 yuan in 2023A to 2.87 yuan in 2024A [2][6] Market Position and Strategy - Fuyao Glass is focusing on expanding its production capacity, with significant investments planned for new facilities, aiming to increase its market share [5][6] - The company is enhancing its product offerings, particularly in high-value segments such as panoramic sunroofs and HUD windshields, which are expected to drive ASP (average selling price) upward [5][6] - The aluminum trim business is anticipated to enter a growth phase, contributing to overall revenue [5][6] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 26.7 for 2023A, decreasing to 11.6 by 2027E, indicating a strong valuation outlook as earnings grow [2][6] - The projected P/B ratio is expected to decline from 4.8 in 2023A to 2.3 in 2027E, reflecting improved financial health and market confidence [2][6]