新华财经北京8月26日电（高二山）人民银行26日开展4058亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率为1.40%，与此前持平；鉴于当日有3000亿 元1年期中期借贷便利（MLF）和5803亿元7天期逆回购到期，公开市场全口径实现净回笼4745亿元。 上海银行间同业拆放利率（Shibor）短期品种均小幅下行。具体来看，隔夜Shibor下跌3.90BP，报1.3170%；7天Shibor下跌1.70BP，报 1.4670%；14天Shibor下跌4.00BP，报1.5150%。 | | | | 2025-08-26 11:00 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期限 | Shibor(%) | 涨跌(BP) | | 1 | O/N | 1.3170 | 3.90 | | ↑ | 1W | 1.4670 | 1.70 | | t | 2W | 1.5150 | 4.00 | | ゃ | 1M | 1.5300 | 0.00 | | t | 3M | 1.5500 | 0.00 | | � | 6M | 1.6100 | 0.00 | | f | 9M | 1.6420 | 0.00 | | t ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short term, bond yields may fluctuate downward. Although government bond issuance brings certain net - increase pressure, the certainty of the downward trend of capital prices is relatively high due to the marginal decline of the central bank's open - market maturity scale and the gradual subsidence of tax - period disturbances. In the long term, the bond yield is still in a downward trend under the background of weak fundamentals [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Bond Market Performance Last Week - Bond yields generally increased, the term spread widened, and the curve became steeper. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield rose 6BP to 1.7465%, the short - term interest rate rose slightly, and the term spread increased by 4BP. Bank - to - bank pledged repo rates and financial institution pledged repo rates both increased. The liquidity of the banking system remained reasonably abundant, and the R007 - DR007 spread narrowed, but the stratification between non - bank institutions and banks still existed [3]. Factors Driving Bond Yield Increases - The increase in market risk preference, tax - period disturbances, and the substantial increase in government bond supply jointly pushed up bond yields. The stock - bond seesaw effect, with the steady rise of the equity index, suppressed the bond market. The tax - period on the 15th led to a convergence of the money market and a significant increase in capital prices. The net increase in government bond issuance also contributed to the rise in bond yields [4]. Policy - related Influences - Policies on preventing capital idling and fiscal discount loans indicate that the pace of comprehensive interest rate cuts may slow down. The central bank's second - quarter monetary policy report emphasizes preventing capital idling, suggesting a possible delay in the pace of reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts. The fiscal discount policy for personal consumption and business loans strengthens the signal of a slowdown in the pace of comprehensive interest rate cuts [5]. Fundamental Situation - Economic data generally declined, and loans in the real - sector weakened, reflecting the weak economic operation. In July, economic and financial data showed that the contradiction of "weak demand + resilient supply + low prices" continued. Industrial added - value growth slightly decreased, overall investment growth was dragged down by real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing, consumption momentum slightly slowed down, and financing in the resident and enterprise sectors was weak [6][7]. Capital - related Situation - This week, liquidity continued to be relatively loose. The maturity scale of the central bank's reverse repurchase decreased significantly, which will relieve capital pressure. The tax - period disturbances are gradually subsiding, and capital prices may decline [7]. Supply - side Situation - This week, local government bond issuance increased, and government bond issuance maintained a net - increase trend. It is expected that the central bank will adjust capital injection to maintain liquidity. The net increase in local government bond issuance this week was 2366 billion yuan compared with last week, and the net increase in Treasury bond issuance also increased by about 1000 billion yuan compared with last week. The scale of government bond payments decreased marginally compared with last week [8].

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 789.3 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation and a 400 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation on July 25, resulting in a net injection of 801.8 billion yuan into the market [1] - For the week, the PBOC executed a total of 1.6563 trillion yuan in reverse repurchase operations and 400 billion yuan in MLF operations, leading to a net injection of 129.5 billion yuan after accounting for maturing operations [1] - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) fell by over 11 basis points, while the 7-day and 14-day Shibor rates increased [1][2] Group 2 - The overnight Shibor rate decreased by 11.50 basis points to 1.5200%, while the 7-day Shibor rose by 7.50 basis points to 1.6200%, and the 14-day Shibor increased by 11.30 basis points to 1.7280% [2] - In the interbank pledged repo market, overnight rates decreased, and the 7-day and 14-day rates increased, with the R007 transaction share rising to 14.7% [6] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 fell by 13.4 basis points and 14.0 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 rates increased [6] Group 3 - The funding environment was reported to be loose on July 25, with overnight funding rates dropping to around 1.50% by the end of the day [11] - A total of 91 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on July 25, with an actual issuance amount of 74.54 billion yuan [11] - The secondary market for certificates of deposit showed a slight decline in overall yield levels compared to the previous day [12]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 3,310 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1,195 billion yuan due to 4,505 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1]. Group 1: Market Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products increased significantly, with the overnight Shibor rising by 26.80 basis points to 1.6350%, while the 7-day and 14-day Shibor rose by 8.20 basis points and 8.80 basis points, respectively, to 1.5450% and 1.6150% [1][2]. - In the interbank pledged repo market, rates for various products also increased, with the overnight and 7-day rates rising to 1.6515% and 1.5759%, respectively, while the transaction volumes for these products decreased [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - On July 24, the funding environment showed a trend of tightening followed by easing, with overnight funding rates initially high at 1.80%-1.85% before dropping to around 1.50% by the end of the day [9]. - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit saw 25 issues with a total issuance amount of 387.4 billion yuan by the end of the day [10]. Group 3: Monetary Policy - The PBOC announced plans to conduct a 4,000 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation on July 25, with a net injection of 1,000 billion yuan due to 3,000 billion yuan of MLF maturing, marking the fifth consecutive month of increased MLF operations [12]. - A joint opinion from the PBOC and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized enhancing financial services for rural revitalization, focusing on food security and financial support for agricultural development [13].

Group 1: Financial Market Data - DRO01 closed at 1.47 with a -6.11bp change, DR007 at 1.53 with a -4.05bp change, GC001 at 1.50 with a 0.50bp change, and GC007 at 1.54 with a -1.50bp change [3] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.56 with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.35 with a -0.60bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.51 with a 0.60bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.66 with a 0.40bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.50 with a 7.00bp change [3] - The central bank conducted 520.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations with an interest rate of 1.4%, and the net injection was 444.6 billion yuan after 75.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured [3] Group 2: Market Analysis - This week, 425.7 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open - market operations. Due to the tax period, liquidity has tightened, and the central bank's reverse repurchases have increased to signal care for the capital market [4] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 fell 0.3% to 4007.2, the Shanghai 50 fell 0.23% to 2740.9, the CSI 500 fell 0.03% to 6017.2, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.3% to 6462.1. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.442 trillion yuan, a decrease of 170 billion yuan [5] - The stock index fluctuated throughout the day. The banking sector corrected, and small and medium - cap stocks rose slightly due to news about AMD. The stock index is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term due to factors like the "asset shortage" and policy expectations [6] Group 3: Futures Data - IF's current - month contract closed at 3998 with a -0.3% change, IH at 2734 with a -0.2% change, IC at 6007 with no change, and IM at 6444 with a 0.3% change [5] - IF's trading volume was 100,264 with a -19.3% change, and its position was 255,864 with a -4.3% change; IH's trading volume was 49,486 with a -19.3% change, and its position was 91,270 with a -6.4% change; IC's trading volume was 100,200 with a -0.5% change, and its position was 223,573 with a -3.3% change; IM's trading volume was 197,891 with a -6.0% change, and its position was 326,014 with a -5.4% change [5] - IF's current - month contract had an annualized premium rate of 41.91%, IH 48.61%, IC 32.13%, and IM 49.88% [7]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 340 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous level, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan due to 5,259 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - For the week, the PBOC executed a total of 6,522 billion yuan in reverse repos, with 20,275 billion yuan maturing, leading to a cumulative net withdrawal of 13,753 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for various tenors has been declining, with the overnight Shibor down by 0.20 basis points to 1.3130%, and the 7-day Shibor down by 3.30 basis points to 1.4230% [1] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, the rate declines have slowed, with the overnight weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 down by 0.1 basis points and 1.1 basis points, respectively, while transaction volumes increased significantly [4] - The overall funding environment on July 4 was described as relaxed, with overnight rates for various transactions showing a downward trend, indicating a continued loose monetary condition [8] - As of July 4, there were 114 interbank certificates of deposit issued, with an actual issuance volume of 124.64 billion yuan, reflecting active market participation [9]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 131 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net withdrawal of 275.5 billion yuan due to 406.5 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) saw declines across all maturities, with the 7-day and 14-day rates leading the drop; specifically, the overnight Shibor fell by 5.50 basis points to 1.3670%, the 7-day Shibor decreased by 23.30 basis points to 1.5300%, and the 14-day Shibor dropped by 1.10 basis points to 1.7660% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, the R001 rate plummeted by over 80 basis points, with significant increases in transaction volumes; the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 fell by 14.3 basis points and 84.6 basis points, respectively, with transaction amounts rising to 9.64 billion yuan and 222.68 billion yuan [6] - The money market rates showed a trend towards easing, with overnight rates trading around 1.40% and 7-day rates around 1.58% by the end of the day, indicating a shift to a more relaxed liquidity environment [10] Group 3 - The China Banking Research Institute reported that the net interest margin for commercial banks in the first quarter of 2025 was 1.43%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.11 percentage points, marking a historical low; however, the decline rate has narrowed compared to the same period in 2024 [13] - The China Fund Industry Association indicated that in May 2025, 132 new asset-backed special plans were registered, with a total new registration scale of 120.619 billion yuan [13]

Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 331.5 billion yuan, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - With 220.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing on the same day, the net injection into the open market was 111.0 billion yuan [1] Interbank Offered Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products rose across the board, with the 7-day Shibor leading the increase [1] - Specifically, the overnight Shibor increased by 5.10 basis points to 1.4220%, while the 7-day Shibor rose by 9.50 basis points to 1.7630% [2][3] - The 14-day Shibor saw a smaller increase of 1.10 basis points, reaching 1.7660% [2] Repo Market Activity - In the interbank pledged repo market, short-term rates increased significantly, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates rising by 14.2 basis points and 83.5 basis points, respectively [4] - The transaction volumes for DR001 and R001 decreased by 363.6 billion yuan and 414.6 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 also increased, with DR007 rising by 21.9 basis points to 1.9159% and R007 increasing by 8.5 basis points to 2.0056% [4] Funding Conditions - On June 30, the funding environment was tight in the morning, influenced by the quarter-end [9] - The overnight lending rates ranged from 3.50% to 3.80%, while the 7-day credit lending rate opened around 2.05% [9] - By the afternoon, the funding conditions balanced out but remained slightly tight, with overnight lending rates dropping to around 1.75% by the end of the trading day [9] Interbank Certificate of Deposit Issuance - As of June 30, there were 32 interbank certificates of deposit issued, with a total issuance amount of 16.78 billion yuan [9]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 509.3 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net injection of 305.8 billion yuan after 203.5 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1][12]. - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed slight fluctuations, with the overnight Shibor decreasing by 0.10 basis points to 1.3700%, the 7-day Shibor also down by 0.10 basis points to 1.6700%, while the 14-day Shibor increased by 1.40 basis points to 1.7360% [1][2][3]. - In the interbank pledged repo market, the 14-day rate continued to rise, with R007 and R014 rates showing an inversion. The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreased slightly, while DR007 and R007 saw mixed movements with DR007 down by 0.9 basis points and R007 up by 6.0 basis points [4][9]. Group 2 - The overall funding situation on June 26 was balanced, with significant credit differentiation. The rates for pledged deposits and commercial credit showed a range of 1.52% to 2.10%, indicating a slight easing in the market towards the end of the trading day [9][10]. - A total of 51 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on June 26, with an actual issuance volume of 42.74 billion yuan. The market sentiment was generally positive, although the total transaction volume remained limited due to fewer issuing institutions [10][12]. - The recent joint announcement by the Financial Regulatory Bureau and the People's Bank of China outlined a plan for the high-quality development of inclusive finance, aiming to establish a comprehensive inclusive financial system over the next five years [12].

Monetary Policy Operations - The People's Bank of China conducted a 365.3 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net injection of 209 billion yuan after 156.3 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments saw a slight increase, with overnight Shibor rising by 0.10 basis points to 1.3710%, and 7-day Shibor increasing by 4.20 basis points to 1.6710% [1][2] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, all varieties experienced slight increases, with the R007 transaction ratio rising to 15.6%, while R014 continued to be inverted [4] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 rose by 0.1 basis points and 0.2 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 saw increases of 2.5 basis points and 3.7 basis points [4] Money Market Rates - The overall funding situation in the money market on June 25 was balanced and slightly loose, with various rates showing minor declines post-OMO [10] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit totaled 100.77 billion yuan, with trading sentiment remaining subdued, particularly in the 9-month maturity segment [11] REITs Market Development - On June 25, the Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT expansion project was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking the first successful expansion of a rental housing REIT in China, indicating a further development in the public REITs market [13]