Summary of Ball Corporation Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) - **Industry**: Paper and Packaging Key Points and Arguments Financial Guidance and Performance - Ball Corporation is guiding for **10% earnings growth** and **free cash flow** exceeding **$900 million** for the year [3][4] - North and Central America are expected to grow at the **low end of 1%-3%**, while Europe is anticipated to grow at the **high end of the range** [3][4] - The company experienced a **positive surprise** in North America, with expectations for growth towards the **top end of the range** in Europe due to recent acquisitions [5][6] Strategic Focus - The company’s strategy is built on **four pillars**: excellence in execution, customer proximity, managing substrate shifts, and capitalizing on market complexity [4] - Ball is focusing on **profitable growth** through its **Ball Business System**, which combines commercial and operational excellence [4] Market Dynamics - The beverage can market in North America finished strong, with pipelines being refilled and customers using cans to support revenue growth management strategies [7][8] - Customers are increasingly using cans as a means to offer value to consumers, especially after a high inflationary period [8] Operational Excellence - Ball Corporation aims to be the **best can maker in the world**, emphasizing operational excellence and standardization across all plants [60][62] - The company is confident in achieving **2x operating leverage** across various regions, with Europe already exceeding this target [58][62] Capacity and Growth Initiatives - The new **Millersburg plant** is set to start operations in **Q3 2026**, providing much-needed capacity and improving operational efficiency [111][113] - The company is committed to maintaining capital expenditures at or below **depreciation and amortization levels**, with a target of **$600 million** over a three-year period [78][80] Customer Relationships and Market Trends - Ball Corporation is focused on maintaining strong relationships with customers, ensuring they provide quality service and competitive pricing to encourage a shift towards cans [15][21] - The company is not concerned about a substrate shift away from cans, as the can market continues to grow while other substrates remain flat [153][157] Future Outlook - For **2027**, Ball Corporation is approximately **90% sold** for its book of business, indicating a strong foundation for growth [68][162] - The company plans to buy back **4%-6%** of its shares, contributing to earnings per share growth [69][107] Cost Management and Efficiency - Ball Corporation achieved **$500 million** in targeted cost savings a year earlier than expected by standardizing operations across its plants [117][120] - The company anticipates finding **$100 million-$200 million** in gross savings annually from supply chain costs [122] Tariff Impacts - Tariff headwinds are expected to ease by **Q4 2026**, with significant improvements anticipated by **2027** [116] Additional Important Insights - The company is actively involved in co-packing and contract manufacturing, which is a growing segment in the beverage industry [21][22] - There is a focus on collectible packaging for major events like the **World Cup** and **America's 250th anniversary**, which is expected to drive additional demand [130][147] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the Ball Corporation conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial performance, and market outlook.

► 文 观察者网 王一 在生活成本高企、选民怨气升温的背景下，特朗普政府又要TACO了，在钢铁和铝制品关税问题上出现 松动迹象。英国《金融时报》2月13日援引知情人士的话报道称，美国总统特朗普正计划削减部分钢铁 和铝制品关税，暂停扩大征税清单，并对部分商品给予豁免。 三名知情人士透露，美国商务部和贸易代表办公室的官员们认为，相关关税推高了食品罐、饮料罐等日 用品的价格，给消费者带来负担。他们正重新审查受影响产品名单，计划对部分商品予以豁免，暂停通 过"纳入程序"不断扩大征税范围的做法，转而对特定商品启动更具针对性的国家安全调查。 这被外界视为特朗普的又一次TACO，"特朗普总是退缩"的英文缩写（Trump Always Chickens Out）， 这常被用以戏谑特朗普在政策执行中表现出反复无常和最终妥协的倾向。 美国自2025年3月12日起对所有进口钢铁和铝征收25%关税，特朗普后来又将这一关税提高至50%，6月 4日开始生效，并将征税范围扩大至以这些金属为原材料生产的一系列商品，包括洗衣机、烤箱等，导 致美国整体关税水平升至二战前以来的最高水平。 加征关税后，特朗普政府还允许美国企业通过所谓"纳入程序" ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings per share for the quarter were $1.31, down from $3.02 in the prior year quarter, which included a $2.32 per share gain from the sale of Eviosys. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.74, up 9% from $1.59 in the prior year quarter [3][4] - Net sales increased by 8% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a 3% increase in global beverage can volumes, $189 million from higher raw material cost pass-through, and $58 million from favorable foreign exchange [4] - Record adjusted EBITDA of almost $2.1 billion was achieved for the year, compared to $1.9 billion in 2024, with record free cash flow of $1,146 million compared to $814 million in 2024 [4][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Segment income for the quarter was $420 million, slightly down from $428 million in the prior year, with strong performance in European beverage offset by lower volumes in transit packaging [4] - North American beverage volumes were up slightly more than 1% in the quarter, with North American gains of 2.5% offset by a 3% decline in Brazil. For the full year, North American volumes were flat, while Brazil was down 3% [8][9] - European beverage volumes increased by 10% in the fourth quarter, generating record segment income, more than double what it was a few years ago [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales unit volumes across Asian operations were down 3% in the fourth quarter due to the border conflict between Cambodia and Thailand, with expectations for commercial adjustments to drive volume growth in 2026 [10] - The North American tin plate business benefited from 5% food can volume growth, offsetting softness in steel aerosols during the fourth quarter [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a net leverage target of 2.5 times, achieved at the end of September 2025, down from 2.7 times at the end of 2024. The focus remains on compounding earnings, investing in the business, and returning excess cash to shareholders [5][6] - The company is committed to responsibly investing to support partners' growth needs while maintaining a growing dividend and disciplined share repurchases [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving North American volume gains of 2%-3% in 2026, despite inflation and startup costs impacting income [19][21] - The company remains positive about Brazil's long-term prospects, despite current economic challenges, and expects to see a return to growth in the coming years [38] Other Important Information - The company plans to invest approximately $550 million in capital spending to support growth objectives, including capacity expansions and facility upgrades in Brazil, Greece, and Spain [7] - The adjusted earnings guidance for the full year includes net interest expense of approximately $350 million-$360 million and a full-year tax rate of approximately 25% [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for America's EBIT and European volume growth - Management expects America's EBIT to be down slightly due to ongoing inflationary impacts and startup costs in Brazil, while European volume growth is projected at 4%-5% [19][21] Question: Drivers of volume growth in North America and Europe - Key drivers include beer growth in Europe and strong performance in flavored alcohols and sparkling water in North America, with the World Cup expected to boost demand [25][26] Question: Free cash flow growth expectations - Management believes a sustainable free cash flow number of around $1 billion is reasonable, with potential for growth aligned with volume increases [28] Question: Demand outlook in January and February - January was impacted by weather, but February is expected to recover lost volume [70][72] Question: Impact of startup costs in Brazil, Greece, and Spain - Most startup costs are expected to be second-half weighted, with hiring and training beginning in Q2 [106] Question: Growth potential in Asia - Management sees significant growth potential in Asia, with a low-cost structure allowing for commercial adjustments to drive business growth [64] Question: Capacity utilization in North America - Capacity in North America is tight, and management does not foresee the need for new capacity in the next couple of years [46][82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings per share for the quarter were $1.31, down from $3.02 in the prior year quarter, which included a $2.32 per share gain from the sale of Eviosys. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.74, up 9% from $1.59 in the prior year quarter [2][3] - Net sales increased by 8% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a 3% increase in global beverage can volumes, $189 million from higher raw material costs, and $58 million from favorable foreign exchange [3] - Record adjusted EBITDA of almost $2.1 billion was achieved for the year, compared to $1.9 billion in 2024, with record free cash flow of $1,146 million compared to $814 million in 2024 [3][4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Segment income for the quarter was $420 million, slightly down from $428 million in the prior year, with strong performance in European beverage offset by lower volumes in transit packaging [3] - North American beverage volumes were up slightly by 1% in the quarter, while full-year volumes were flat, and Brazil experienced a 3% decline [6][7] - European beverage volumes increased by 10% in the fourth quarter, contributing to record segment income, more than double what it was a few years ago [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales unit volumes across Asian operations were down 3% in the fourth quarter due to the border conflict between Cambodia and Thailand, with expectations for commercial adjustments to drive volume growth in 2026 [9] - North American tin plate businesses benefited from 5% food can volume growth, with income in other categories up 80% against an easy prior year comparison [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a net leverage target of 2.5 times, achieved at the end of September 2025, down from 2.7 times at the end of 2024 [4] - The company is committed to returning excess cash to shareholders, with $191 million of shares repurchased in the fourth quarter and a total of $625 million returned to shareholders for the year [4] - Future investments will focus on capacity expansions and facility upgrades in Brazil, Greece, and Spain, with a projected full-year free cash flow of approximately $900 million after $550 million of capital spending [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's performance, highlighting a strong balance sheet and substantial free cash generation, positioning the company to consistently deliver value to shareholders [11] - The outlook for North American beverage volumes is expected to grow by 2%-3% in 2026, but this may be offset by inflation and startup costs [19] - European beverage growth is anticipated to be strong, with management suggesting a potential volume growth of 4%-5% for the year [21] Other Important Information - The company has maintained a focus on responsible investment to support partners' growth while ensuring dividends grow over time [10] - Management noted that the demand for beverage cans is expected to continue growing globally, with a focus on balancing customer growth objectives with fair value returns [119] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for America's EBIT and European volume growth - Management expects America's EBIT to be down slightly due to ongoing inflationary impacts and startup costs in Brazil, while European beverage growth could be penciled in at 4%-5% [19][21] Question: Drivers of volume growth in North America and Europe - Key drivers include beer growth in Europe and strong performance in energy and flavored alcohols in North America, with the World Cup expected to boost demand [25] Question: Free cash flow sustainability - Management indicated that a free cash flow of around $1 billion seems reasonable and sustainable, with expectations for growth in line with volume [27] Question: Demand and capacity utilization in North America - Management noted that capacity in North America is tight, with no immediate need for new capacity, and they are focused on generating cash flow [45][81] Question: Impact of startup costs in Brazil, Greece, and Spain - Most startup costs are expected to be second-half weighted, with hiring and training occurring in Q2 [108] Question: Growth potential in Asia - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential in Asia, emphasizing a low-cost structure and the ability to make commercial adjustments to drive growth [63] Question: Demand for food cans and market share - The company expects to grow above market in food cans, particularly in the pet food segment, which is growing faster than human food [75]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings for the quarter were $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 per share in the prior year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.24 compared to $1.99 in the prior year quarter [3] - Net sales in the quarter increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, reflecting a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage [4] - Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year, reflecting higher income and lower capital spending [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Segment income was $490 million in the quarter compared to $472 million in the prior year, driven by increased volumes in Europe and strong results in tin plate businesses [4] - North American beverage volumes were down 3%, while European beverage posted a record quarter with income 27% above the prior year on the back of 12% volume growth [10][11] - Transit packaging income remained level to the prior year, with increased shipments offsetting the impact of lower equipment activity [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Latin American volumes were down 5% in the quarter, primarily due to a 15% volume decline across Brazil and Mexico [10] - North American volumes were mixed, down 3% after a slow start in July and August, but rebounded in September [10] - Margins across Asia remained above 17% despite lower Southeast Asian volumes of 3% [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company achieved its long-term net leverage target of 2.5 times and remains committed to a healthy balance sheet while returning excess cash to shareholders [5] - The company is raising its guidance for the full year, projecting adjusted EPS to be in the range of $7.70 to $7.80 [5] - The company is focused on continuous operational improvements and maintaining a strong balance sheet to support shareholder returns [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted limited direct impact from tariffs but remains attentive to indirect effects on global consumer and industrial demand [5] - The company expects the fourth quarter in Brazil to return to growth, supported by government initiatives to lower interest rates [10] - Management expressed confidence in the strength of the beverage can market and consumer demand, despite inflationary pressures [80] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year to date, returning more than $400 million to shareholders this year [4] - The company expects net interest expense of approximately $350 million and a full-year tax rate of 25% [6][7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in Europe and potential concerns about pre-buying - Management indicated that the growth in Europe is largely due to underlying market growth and substitution, with a long-term growth rate of 4% to 5% expected [19] Question: Outlook for Americas EBIT and impact from Mexico and Brazil - Management stated that the $1 billion EBIT target is aspirational but achievable this year, with Brazil and Mexico contributing to the decline in Americas beverage [27] Question: North American volumes and promotional spending - Management noted that North American volumes were down 3%, attributed to a specific customer pruning, and that consumer demand is driving growth rather than promotions [34][36] Question: Capacity in Europe and ability to service demand - Management confirmed that they are adding capacity in Europe and expect to continue to grow volume and income-wise [71] Question: Capital allocation for 2026 - Management indicated that they will responsibly return cash to shareholders while considering capital expenditures in the range of $450 million to $500 million for 2026 [92] Question: Impact of Novelis fire on volumes - Management stated that the direct impact from the Novelis fire is not significant for the company, but they are monitoring potential indirect impacts on customers [112]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings for the quarter were $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 per share in the prior year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.24 compared to $1.99 in the prior year quarter [2][3] - Net sales in the quarter increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, reflecting a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage [3] - Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year, reflecting higher income and lower capital spending [3][4] - Segment income was $490 million in the quarter compared to $472 million in the prior year, indicating year-on-year improvements [3][4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - European beverage posted a record quarter with income 27% above the prior year on the back of 12% volume growth [8][9] - America's beverage volumes were down 5% in the quarter, primarily due to a 15% volume decline across Brazil and Mexico [7][8] - North American volumes were mixed, down 3% overall, but rebounded firmly in September, which was up 3% [8][9] - Transit packaging income remained level to the prior year, with increased shipments offsetting lower equipment activity [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved its long-term net leverage target of 2.5 times in September and remains committed to a healthy balance sheet [4] - The impact of tariffs has been limited, with management remaining attentive to indirect effects on global consumer and industrial demand [4][6] - The delivered aluminum price reached $2.10 a pound, up 54% in the last 10 months, impacting percentage margins in North America [6][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is raising its guidance for the full year, projecting adjusted EPS to be in the range of $7.70 to $7.80 [4] - The company plans to responsibly return cash to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet [4][10] - Management emphasized the importance of continuous improvement in manufacturing operations and maintaining a competitive edge in the market [40][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the can business is typically low-growth, with historical growth rates in Europe around 4% to 5% [15][25] - The company expects the fourth quarter in Brazil to return to growth, supported by government initiatives [8] - Management expressed confidence in the strength of the beverage can market, driven by consumer demand rather than promotional spending [22][23] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year to date, returning over $400 million to shareholders this year [3][4] - The company expects full-year adjusted free cash flow to be approximately $1 billion after $400 million of capital spending [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the growth in Europe? - Management indicated that the growth in Europe was driven by underlying market growth and substitution, with a long-term growth rate of 4% to 5% expected [12][15] Question: What is the outlook for Americas EBIT? - Management stated that the $1 billion EBIT target is still aspirational but looks achievable this year, with impacts from Brazil and Mexico noted [16][18] Question: How did North American volumes perform? - North American volumes were down 3%, attributed to customer pruning, but management expects to service demand better next year [20][21] Question: What are the expectations for capital expenditures in 2026? - Management indicated that capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be in the range of $450 million to $500 million, with ongoing projects in Europe and Brazil [45][68] Question: How is the company addressing debt and share repurchases? - Management confirmed that they are comfortable with the current debt levels and will consider share repurchases based on market conditions [78][82]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company is focusing on enhancing its customer structure and actively expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia [4][5]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.2 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 150 million yuan, a decrease of 37% [1]. - The company is optimizing its production capacity and layout, with new projects being implemented to meet customer demands [3]. - The company is adjusting its profit forecasts due to the performance in the first half of 2025, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 360 million, 450 million, and 560 million yuan respectively [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.6 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was 50 million yuan, down 51% [1]. - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.2 billion yuan, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, reflecting a 37% decrease [1]. Market Strategy - The company is actively responding to structural and cyclical changes in the beverage and beer industry, focusing on both consolidating existing customer market share and expanding to new customers [2]. - The company is also capturing opportunities in niche markets by accelerating the development of new products and businesses [2]. Capacity and Project Development - The company is carefully controlling capital expenditures and new capacity construction while optimizing domestic capacity layout [3]. - The Nanning factory has commenced production in the first half of 2025, and the company is increasing regional capacity investments to quickly match customer needs [3]. Overseas Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, particularly in Southeast Asia, with ongoing projects in Cambodia and Indonesia [4]. - The Indonesian factory began trial production in the first half of 2025, and the company has initiated investment projects for a two-piece can production line in Vietnam [4].

Group 1 - As of July 29, the stock price of Yinglian Co., Ltd. closed at 16.28 yuan, down 4.24% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day reached 450 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 10.60% [1] - Yinglian Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, production, and sales of metal packaging products, including food cans, beverage cans, and daily chemical cans [1] Group 2 - The company operates in the packaging materials industry and is also involved in composite electrolytes and solid-state battery concepts [1] - On July 29, the company announced on its investor interaction platform that its integrated materials for lithium metal/composite electrolyte anodes for solid-state batteries have been sent for samples to leading automotive and battery companies [1] - On the same day, the net outflow of main funds was 54.83 million yuan, accounting for 1.31% of the circulating market value [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global shipments grew by 5% and adjusted EBITDA increased by 18% compared to the prior year, exceeding guidance [4][12] - Revenue in Europe rose by 9% to $615 million, or 4% on a constant currency basis, while adjusted EBITDA in Europe decreased by 3% to $77 million [5][6] - Revenue in The Americas increased by 21% to $840 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 34% to $133 million [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, shipments grew by 1%, driven by soft drinks, while beer experienced weakness due to adverse weather [5][6] - In The Americas, shipments increased by 8%, with strong demand for nonalcoholic beverages, particularly carbonated soft drinks and energy drinks [7][8] - Brazil's beverage can shipments increased by 12%, outperforming the industry which grew modestly [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beverage can market continues to gain share in the packaging mix, with expectations for shipments growth in Europe around 3% for the full year 2025 [6][12] - North America is expected to see mid single-digit growth in shipments for the full year, while Brazil is anticipated to have at least low single-digit growth [9][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is upgrading its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $700 million to $725 million based on current FX rates [12] - The company plans to maintain a robust liquidity position and expects adjusted free cash flow for 2025 to be at least $150 million [10][11] - Capacity remains tight in certain geographies, and the company is evaluating the need for future capacity additions [42][43] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business despite macroeconomic uncertainties, with strong volume growth in The Americas [4][12] - The company anticipates a reduction in growth rates in the second half of the year compared to the first half, but still expects healthy performance overall [19][20] - Management noted that the European market remains healthy, with long-term growth trends expected to continue [39][40] Other Important Information - The company announced a quarterly ordinary dividend of $0.10 per share [11] - Net leverage decreased to 5.3 times net debt over the last twelve months adjusted EBITDA, reflecting adjusted EBITDA growth [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on North American volumes and expectations for the region - Management highlighted strong performance in soft drinks and energy drinks, with expectations for continued growth but not as strong as the first half [17][19] Question: Capacity constraints in Europe - Management acknowledged capacity constraints in certain can sizes and indicated that they could not fully meet the growth in soft drinks due to these limitations [22][24] Question: Performance drivers in The Americas - Management noted strong promotional activity and innovative products contributing to better-than-expected performance, but anticipated a potential slowdown in the second half [30][33] Question: European cost impacts and guidance - Management discussed timing effects related to aluminum pricing and indicated that they do not expect a significant recovery in Q3 [48][50] Question: Overall growth outlook and cost considerations - Management expressed caution regarding growth rates in the second half, reflecting a more challenging macroeconomic environment [60][61] Question: Energy market dynamics and consumer behavior - Management reported no significant cannibalization between energy drinks and carbonated soft drinks, with both categories performing well [63][66] Question: Manufacturing efficiency and future targets - Management confirmed improved operational costs and efficiency in manufacturing, with ongoing targets for cost savings [73][75] Question: Contract negotiations for future volumes - Management indicated good visibility on contracted volumes for 2026 and 2027, with ongoing negotiations progressing well [76][77]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in financial performance for Ball Corporation in Q1 2025, with net sales reaching $3.097 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7.5% and a year-on-year growth of 7.8% [1][8] - The cost of sales for Q1 2025 was $2.493 billion, which represents an 8.9% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 9.2% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The pre-tax profit for Q1 2025 was $229 million, showing a remarkable quarter-on-quarter increase of 3171.4% and a year-on-year increase of 126.7% [1][8] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was $179 million, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 496.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 95.1%, primarily due to the sale of the aerospace business in the previous year [1][8] Financial Performance by Region - North and Central America beverage packaging segment reported comparable operating profit of $195 million and sales of $1.463 billion in Q1 2025, compared to $192 million and $1.403 billion in Q1 2024, indicating growth driven by increased sales volume and pricing/product mix [2][9] - EMEA beverage packaging segment achieved comparable operating profit of $96 million and sales of $903 million in Q1 2025, up from $85 million and $810 million in Q1 2024, with growth in shipment volume and pricing/product mix, partially offset by currency effects [2][9] - South America beverage packaging segment reported comparable operating profit of $69 million and sales of $544 million in Q1 2025, compared to $55 million and $482 million in Q1 2024, reflecting positive performance [2][9] Outlook - The company plans to continue assessing the evolving trade landscape and its impact on business, believing that the direct effects of announced tariffs are manageable [6] - The company is actively collaborating with customers to mitigate the impact of aluminum price fluctuations and emphasizes local sourcing and production to reduce exposure to international trade volatility [6] - While the broader indirect effects of tariffs remain uncertain, the company currently does not foresee significant impacts on Q2 performance [6]