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需求萎缩速度超过供应 预计锡价短期震荡偏弱
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-08 08:47
周四沪锡主力SN2509合约日内震荡偏强,夜间横盘震荡,轮锡收涨。现货市场:听闻小牌对9月平水- 升水300元/吨左右,云字头对9月升水300-升水600元/吨附近,云锡对9月升水600-升水800元/吨左右不 变。 (8月8日)今日全国锡价格一览表 | 规格 | 报价 | 报价类型 | 交货地 | 交易商 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品名:1#锡锭 ;牌号:Sn99.90 ; | 268050元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海 | 上海华通有色金属现货市场 | | 品名:1#锡锭 ;牌号:Sn99.90 ; | 268250元/吨 | 市场价 | 广东省 | 上海物贸中心有色金属交易市场 | | 品名:1#锡锭 ;牌号:Sn99.90 ; | 268000元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海 | 广东南储有色现货市场 | 【市场资讯】 8月8日,伦敦金属交易所(LME):锡注册仓单1390吨,注销仓单320吨,减少70吨;锡库存1710吨, 减少60吨。 8月7日,上期所锡期货仓单7332吨,环比上个交易日减少26吨。 分析观点: 东海期货研报:供应端,云南江西两地合计开工率大 ...
短期内市场供需矛盾并不突出 锡价或震荡调整为主
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-30 08:35
Price Overview - On May 30, the spot price of 1 tin ingot in Shanghai was quoted at 251,500.00 CNY/ton, which is a premium of 1,200.00 CNY/ton over the futures main price of 250,300.00 CNY/ton [1] - The national tin price list on May 30 shows various market prices for 1 tin ingot, with quotes ranging from 251,500 CNY/ton in Guangdong to 252,750 CNY/ton in Shanghai [2] Futures Market - On May 30, the closing price of the Shanghai tin futures main contract was 250,300.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a decline of 2.87%. The highest price reached was 257,600.00 CNY/ton, while the lowest was 250,000.00 CNY/ton, with a trading volume of 149,442 contracts [2] Production and Inventory - In May 2025, China's refined tin production decreased by 2.37% month-on-month and by 11.24% year-on-year [3] - As of May 30, the inventory of Shanghai tin futures recorded 8,107.00 tons, a decrease of 338.00 tons from the previous trading day [4] Market Analysis - According to New Lake Futures research, current consumption shows some elasticity, supported by solid basic consumption in key end markets and strong performance in the new energy vehicle sector. However, sensitivity to price changes is high, and the white goods and consumer electronics markets are entering a low season, leading to insufficient overall consumption momentum [5] - There is an expectation of increased overseas mineral supply, but it is currently difficult to transmit this to domestic smelters, which are maintaining low operating rates. Domestic inventory levels are neutral, while overseas inventories are low. The short-term supply-demand contradiction is not prominent, suggesting that tin prices may experience a period of adjustment [5]