Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Jiaxin International Resources (03858) has seen a significant stock price increase of nearly 7%, currently trading at 88.4 HKD, with a transaction volume of 87.2766 million HKD [1] - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to equity holders of approximately 300 million to 340 million HKD for 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss to profit [1] - The expected turnaround to profitability is attributed to the fact that the group will not commence operations until 2024, resulting in losses without any revenue during that period [1] Group 2 - Recent reports indicate that the price of black tungsten concentrate has risen by 25.19% to 671,000 RMB per ton, while the price of ammonium paratungstate has increased by 24.68% to 985,000 RMB per ton [1] - On the supply side, stricter safety and environmental controls in mines have led to a noticeable decline in production and shipments as the year-end approaches, resulting in a temporary tightening of tungsten supply [1] - On the demand side, domestic demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential procurement, with a positive outlook for PCB tool demand [1]

SHMET 网讯：美国铝业市场参与者预计，2026年初将有大量进口铝材涌入以补充库存缺口。受现货供 应紧张影响，Platts美国中西部铝溢价已攀升至历史新高。 该溢价于1月23日首次突破1美元/磅关口，评估价格为1.0095美元/磅。自年初以来，生产商、贸易商和 消费方均预期溢价将飙升至1美元/磅以上，尤其因关税政策持续不确定性，进口商不愿大量补充库存。 美国国内贸易与行业协会数据显示，2025年末铝流入量与铝制品订单量同步下滑。美国关税政策的不确 定性持续笼罩2026年初市场动态，迫使多数参与者维持薄弱的现货交易和紧缺的库存水平。"除非你愿 意冒险采购无订单支撑的金属，否则就是在赌运气，"一位铝锭消费商向Platts表示。 S&P Global Energy旗下Platts数据显示，中西部溢价在1月出现反弹，但交易量仍处于低位。 2025年末至2026年初的美国需求基本维持不变，采购意愿被认为保持稳定。根据美国铝业协会最新统 计，2025年1月至11月国内铝生产商的平均订单量较2024年同期仅相差0.5个百分点。 但数据显示，铝订单量在2025年末开始下滑。11月平板轧制产品（板材、板坯、罐料和箔材）订单环 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that copper prices are supported by a decline in the US dollar and supply disruptions, with recent price increases leading to decreased purchasing willingness among downstream consumers [1][3] - The latest closing price for London copper is reported at $13,183 per ton, an increase of $54 or 0.42%, while the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 103,460 yuan per ton, up 700 yuan or 0.68% [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper inventory has decreased to 170,525 tons, down 1,175 tons or 0.68% from the previous trading day [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has announced adjustments to trading rules for copper futures, effective January 28, 2026, including an increase in the price fluctuation limit to 9% and higher margin requirements [2] - The adjustments aim to reduce leverage trading risks and avoid frequent trading halts due to price limits, thereby improving market liquidity [2] Group 3 - Supply concerns are heightened due to ongoing disruptions at the Capstone Copper's Mantoverde mine in Chile, while domestic copper concentrate processing fees continue to decline, indicating a persistent tight supply situation [3] - Domestic smelting capacity has expanded, achieving a record high production last year, but rising inventories in both London and Shanghai are suppressing upward price movement [3] - The increase in copper prices has led to a decline in purchasing willingness among consumers, with expectations of further widening of spot discounts due to weak demand and rising inventories [3]

Core Viewpoint - The demand for silver is at an unprecedented high, driven by retail investors, leading to supply shortages and significant price increases in various markets [2][11][15]. Group 1: Demand Surge - Retail investors in Turkey are willing to pay $9 above the London benchmark price per ounce for silver, indicating a strong demand in the region [11]. - The demand for silver in India is reportedly higher than during the previous year's peak, with small-sized silver bars and coins being particularly popular [3][11]. - Public Gold DMCC's general manager noted that the demand observed is the highest he has ever seen, with many small-sized silver bars sold out in Turkey [9]. Group 2: Supply Constraints - The supply of silver has been significantly impacted, with many Turkish refineries running out of stock for small-sized silver bars [9][11]. - The supply tightness observed in October last year has led to a global ripple effect, particularly affecting the liquidity of silver [3][11]. - Major refiners in India reported that their imports of silver ingots more than doubled from October to December last year, yet they still struggle to meet domestic demand [4][11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The retail market is experiencing a shortage of small-sized silver bars and coins, as refiners typically produce larger bars [6][13]. - Analysts suggest that the current retail demand is supporting high prices, and whether this demand can be sustained will be crucial for the future price trajectory of silver [8][14]. - The recent surge in demand has led to the reintroduction of old silver bars into the market, as refiners struggle to keep up with the increased consumption [13][14].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View - The copper prices of both domestic and foreign markets achieved a historic breakthrough in the intense game between "strong expectation" and "weak reality". The LME copper price reached a high point at the beginning of the week, and the main contract of Shanghai copper hit a record high of 98,800 yuan/ton during Friday's trading session. The "strong expectation" completely overwhelmed the "weak reality" this week. While the futures price reached a new high, the spot market sent a clear signal of weakness. The long - term bullish logic remains unchanged, but be vigilant against the short - term risk of high - level correction [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Market Review and Outlook - Macroscopically, the loose expectation continues, and the continuous weakening of the US dollar provides support for copper prices. On the supply side, the strike at Chilean mines brings the risk of production cuts. The production disturbances at the mine end resonate with the joint production cut plan of CSPT at the smelting end, strengthening the narrative of supply shortage. On the demand side, the extremely high spot price has seriously suppressed actual consumption. Downstream procurement is extremely cautious, the discount of spot electrolytic copper continues to widen, and the increase in social inventory is significant. The sharp rise in copper prices this week is mainly driven by high market sentiment. Once the sentiment fades, copper prices may fluctuate sharply [2]. Attention Factors - Pay attention to the Sino - US PMI data for December, the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, and changes in downstream demand [3]. This Week's Fundamental Data Weekly Changes | Indicator | Unit | This Week's Latest | Last Week | Weekly Change | Weekly Change Rate | Frequency | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Electrolytic copper price (≥99.95%): Shanghai | yuan/ton | 97800 | 92315 | 5485 | 5.94% | Weekly | | Electrolytic copper premium/discount (≥99.95%): Shanghai | yuan/ton | - 350 | - 155 | - 195 | - 125.81% | Weekly | | SHFE: Electrolytic copper: Basis | yuan/ton | - 980 | - 940 | - 40 | - 4.26% | Weekly | | Oxygen - free copper rod price | yuan/ton | 98800 | 93410 | 5390 | 5.77% | Weekly | | LME copper inventory | tons | 157025 | 160400 | - 3375 | - 2.10% | Weekly | | SHFE copper inventory | tons | 111703 | 95805 | 15898 | 16.59% | Weekly | [3] 1. Futures Market Review - The content mainly includes the price trend charts of Shanghai copper, London copper, and the Shanghai - London ratio, with data sources from Boyi Master and Nanjing Securities Futures [5][6][8]. 2. Supply Situation Analysis - It involves charts such as the forward spot price of copper concentrate (measured by TC price), the average spot processing price of blister copper, copper concentrate port inventory, domestic electrolytic copper production, the price change trend of electrolytic copper and scrap copper, and the refined - scrap price difference in major markets. The data sources are from Steel Union Terminal and Nanjing Securities Futures [13][14][16]. 3. Demand Situation Analysis - The content contains charts such as the premium/discount of 1 electrolytic copper (≥99.95%) in Shanghai, copper product prices, copper product capacity utilization rate, refined copper rod trading volume, Yangshan copper bonded area premium, and electrolytic copper warehouse receipt bill of lading premium (pyrometallurgy). The data sources are from iFinD and Steel Union Terminal [21][22][27]. 4. Inventory Situation Analysis - It includes charts of electrolytic copper bonded area inventory and the inventory of three major futures exchanges, with data sources from Steel Union Terminal and Nanjing Securities Futures [31].

Core Insights - On December 29, spot silver prices surpassed $80 per ounce, while platinum reached a historical high, driven by supply constraints, strong industrial demand, and expectations of further interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1][2] - Year-to-date, silver has increased by 181%, significantly outpacing gold, which has risen by 72% [1][2]. - The surge in silver prices is attributed to its inclusion in the U.S. critical minerals list, tight supply, low inventory levels, and growing industrial and investment demand [1][2]. - Gold prices have also been supported by multiple factors, including expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, strong central bank demand, and increased holdings in exchange-traded funds [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - The surge in silver prices, which briefly surpassed $80 per ounce, is driven by supply constraints, strong industrial demand, and expectations of further interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Silver Market - Silver has seen a year-to-date increase of 181%, significantly outpacing gold [1] - Factors contributing to silver's rise include its inclusion in the U.S. critical minerals list, tight supply, low inventories, and growing industrial and investment demand [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices have increased by 72% year-to-date, reaching multiple historical highs [1] - The rise in gold prices is influenced by several factors, including expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions, strong demand from central banks seeking to diversify away from U.S. securities and the dollar, and increased holdings in exchange-traded funds [1]

Core Viewpoint - The international prices of gold and silver have reached new highs due to increased safe-haven demand, with gold futures for February 2026 hitting $4,581.30 per ounce and silver futures for March surpassing $79 per ounce, nearing $80 [1] Group 1: Gold Market - The most actively traded gold futures reached a record RSI of 95.94, the highest in history, with the previous second-highest value recorded in January 1980 at 94.69 [1] - Gold prices have surged over 70% this year, potentially marking the largest annual increase since 1979 [1] Group 2: Silver Market - Silver's RSI reading is at 93.86, the highest since January 1980, indicating strong market momentum [1] - Silver prices have increased by more than 170% year-to-date [1] Group 3: Platinum Market - Platinum futures have also reached historical highs, recently surpassing $2,300 per ounce due to supply constraints [1]

国际白银期价逼近每盎司80美元 多种贵金属期价创新高 受避险需求增加等因素拉动，国际黄金、白银价格26日再创新高。其中，交投最活跃的2026年2月黄金 期货价格一度达到每盎司4581.30美元，3月白银期货价格突破每盎司79美元，逼近80美元。 目前，白银相对强弱指数（RSI）读数为93.86，为自1980年1月以来最高。当时RSI曾创下98.77的历史 最高纪录。一些市场分析人士认为，任何高于70.0的RSI读数都表明市场上涨过度，后续可能出现回 调。 受供应紧张等因素影响，铂金期货价格最近一周也飙升至历史新高，首次突破每盎司2300美元大关。地 缘政治紧张局势升级以及近期美元走软也起到拉升作用。 最近一周，纽约商品交易所黄金期货RSI创下历史最高纪录，达95.94。黄金RSI历史第二高值出现在 1980年1月，当时达94.69。 今年以来，黄金价格飙升逾70%，有望创下自1979年以来最大年度涨幅。白银价格今年迄今已上涨超过 170%。 此外，纽约铜价继续上涨，进一步巩固了铜价的年度涨幅。一些投资者押注2026年全球铜供应将趋紧。 纽约商品交易所期铜价格26日上涨近4%，至每磅5.7855美元。 转自：新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international prices of gold and silver have reached new highs due to increased safe-haven demand, with gold futures hitting $4,581.30 per ounce and silver futures surpassing $79 per ounce, nearing $80 [1]. Group 1: Gold and Silver Market - The February 2026 gold futures price reached $4,581.30 per ounce, marking a significant increase [1]. - The March silver futures price broke the $79 per ounce mark, approaching $80 [1]. - Gold prices have surged over 70% this year, potentially marking the largest annual increase since 1979 [1]. - Silver prices have increased by more than 170% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Market Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for silver is at 93.86, the highest since January 1980, indicating potential overbought conditions [1]. - The RSI for gold futures reached a historical high of 95.94, with the second-highest value recorded at 94.69 in January 1980 [1]. Group 3: Other Precious Metals - Platinum futures have also surged to a historical high, breaking the $2,300 per ounce mark due to supply tightness and geopolitical tensions [1]. Group 4: Copper Market - Copper prices continue to rise, with a nearly 4% increase on December 26, reaching $5.7855 per pound, as investors anticipate tighter global copper supply in 2026 [1].