Core Viewpoint - Both Boeing and Airbus, the world's largest commercial aircraft manufacturers, are improving their production rates and financial conditions but still face significant challenges before fully recovering to a stable state [1] Financial Performance - Airbus reported a revenue of €29.6 billion for the first half of 2025, a 3% increase from €28.8 billion in the same period last year [2] - The EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) for Airbus was €1.617 billion, up from €1.456 billion year-on-year [2] - Airbus's commercial aircraft segment generated €20.8 billion in revenue, a 2% decline compared to the previous year [2] - Boeing's Q2 revenue reached $22.75 billion, with a total revenue of $42.2 billion for the first half of the year, marking a 35% and 26% increase respectively [3] - Boeing's net loss for Q2 was $612 million, significantly reduced from $1.44 billion in the same quarter last year [3] Delivery and Orders - Airbus delivered 306 commercial aircraft in the first half of 2025, down from 323 in the same period last year [2] - Boeing's delivery of new aircraft reached 150 in Q2, totaling 280 for the first half, a substantial increase from 175 year-on-year [3] - Boeing's net order volume in Q2 was 455 aircraft, including high-value models like the 777X and 787 series [4] Production Capacity and Challenges - Boeing's current backlog includes nearly 6,000 aircraft valued at over $600 billion [6] - Boeing's 737 series production rate has reached 38 aircraft per month, with plans to increase to 42 pending regulatory approval [6] - Airbus aims to achieve a monthly production rate of 75 A320 aircraft by 2027, with ongoing production challenges affecting A350 and A220 projects [7] Market Environment - Recent agreements between the US and major economies, including the EU and China, have restored low or zero tariffs on aircraft manufacturing and parts, alleviating potential cost increases for airlines [8] - The aviation industry continues to face a complex operational environment, but recent tariff agreements are seen as a positive development for manufacturers [8]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Department of Commerce is considering imposing additional tariffs on imported aircraft and parts, following similar measures on automobiles and ships, which could significantly impact the aviation supply chain and related industries [1][2][14]. Group 1: Import and Export Data - In 2024, the U.S. is projected to import aircraft worth $62.1 billion and export aircraft worth $123.6 billion, indicating a substantial trade balance in favor of exports [4]. - Boeing primarily exports aircraft globally but relies on imported parts and materials, highlighting the interconnectedness of the supply chain [4][10]. Group 2: Impact on Aircraft Manufacturers - The potential tariffs could affect two main categories: aircraft imported from Europe and parts supplied globally to Boeing [5]. - Airbus, despite being a competitor, has a significant market presence in the U.S., with models like the A320 and A321 series being popular due to their operational efficiency [6][7]. Group 3: Supply Chain Implications - A single aircraft consists of approximately 3 million parts, and imposing a "plane tax" could disrupt Boeing's global supply chain, particularly affecting Japanese suppliers [8]. - Japanese manufacturers play a crucial role in Boeing's production, with significant contributions to models like the 787, where Japanese firms account for 35% of the production [9]. Group 4: Broader Economic Impact - The automotive industry in Japan, already affected by U.S. tariffs on cars, could face further challenges if tariffs extend to aircraft, potentially harming both Japanese and U.S. industries [15]. - The U.S. has also announced additional fees for ships, indicating a broader trend of increasing tariffs across various sectors, which could further strain international trade relationships [16].