以下文章来源于有数DataVision ，作者赵瑜 有数DataVision . 季度营收增长保持个位数水平，全年营收指引再度下调，免不了投资机构带头跑路。今年以来， lululemon的的市值距历史高点已跌去60%以上。 面对四面八方的平替，以拳头产品瑜伽裤为代表的女装业务尚且维持增长。被寄予厚望的男装业务增 速再创新低，千言万语汇成一句话： 男人的钱太难赚了。 数据表象与商业真相 来源丨 有数DataVision （ID： ycsypl ） 作者丨赵瑜 编辑丨 李墨天 图源丨Midjourney 月初lululemon季报发布，主打一个扑街。 没刮的彩票 2022年北京冬奥会开幕，加拿大代表团统一身着lululemon进场。同年7月，lululemon市值历史性的 超过阿迪达斯，随后突破400亿美元。 不过，lululemon的强劲势头当时已经放缓，2018年进入中国市场带来的增长红利所剩无几，反倒是 库存水位逐渐走高，外面站满了Alo Yoga和Maia Active这些小号平替。 但资本市场审视一家公司，既要看它做了什么，也要看它"还没做"什么。 2022年冬奥会上的加拿大代表团 表面上看 ，lulu ...

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's recent quarterly report indicates a significant decline in market performance, with a 60% drop in market value from its historical peak, primarily due to single-digit revenue growth and lowered annual revenue guidance [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's quarterly revenue growth remains in single digits, and the annual revenue guidance has been revised downward, prompting investment firms to withdraw [1]. - Lululemon's market value has decreased by over 60% from its historical high, reflecting investor concerns about its growth trajectory [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The women's apparel segment, particularly yoga pants, continues to show growth, while the men's apparel segment has seen a record low growth rate, indicating challenges in capturing the male consumer market [1][2]. - Despite entering the men's apparel market in 2014, Lululemon's revenue contribution from this segment remains low, with only 23.5% in 2019 [2]. Group 3: Market Opportunities - There are significant untapped opportunities in the men's apparel and footwear markets, which are seen as potential growth areas for Lululemon [2][3]. - The footwear market is highlighted as a lucrative segment, with top brands like Nike and Adidas deriving a substantial portion of their revenue from this category [3]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - CEO Calvin McDonald has emphasized the importance of diversifying the business, aiming to double men's sales by 2026, although current growth rates are not meeting expectations [8][9]. - Lululemon's marketing strategy has shifted towards targeting male consumers through various sports and fitness events, but the effectiveness of these efforts has been questioned [12][14]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The company faces intense competition from established brands like Nike and Adidas, particularly in the men's market, where it has struggled to gain traction [11][12]. - Lululemon's advertising expenses have increased significantly, yet brand recognition among male consumers remains low, indicating a disconnect in marketing effectiveness [14]. Group 6: Challenges and Criticism - The company's attempts to diversify have been criticized, with the founder Chip Wilson expressing concerns about the brand's direction and market positioning [16][18]. - Lululemon's lack of proprietary fabric technology has hindered its ability to compete in high-performance segments, leading to legal challenges with competitors like Nike [24][26].

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's recent quarterly earnings report indicates a significant slowdown in growth, with a downward revision of annual revenue guidance, leading to a 60% drop in market value from its historical peak. The company faces intense competition in the market, particularly in men's apparel, which has shown disappointing growth despite initial expectations [5][9][10]. Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - Lululemon's revenue growth has remained in single digits, with the women's apparel segment still growing, while the men's segment has reached new lows, highlighting the challenges in attracting male consumers [5][10]. - The company has struggled with inventory levels and competition from brands like Alo Yoga and Maia Active since entering the Chinese market in 2018, which has diminished the growth benefits previously enjoyed [7][9]. - Despite generating $5 billion in revenue primarily from women's apparel, Lululemon's business structure remains highly concentrated, with limited diversification efforts yielding minimal results [9][10]. Group 2: Diversification Efforts and Challenges - Lululemon's entry into the men's apparel market in 2014 has not been strategically prioritized, with men's revenue only accounting for 23.5% in 2019, indicating a lack of focus on this segment [10][16]. - The company has ambitious plans to double men's sales by 2026, but the current growth rate is insufficient to meet this target, raising concerns about the feasibility of these goals [15][16]. - The diversification strategy has led to increased advertising expenditures, but brand recognition among male consumers remains low, with only 13% awareness in the U.S. [22][24]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Strategic Missteps - Lululemon's marketing strategy has shifted towards a broader appeal, attempting to attract male consumers through various sports and endorsements, but this has not yielded the desired results [18][19]. - The company's failure to maintain a clear brand identity and its attempt to cater to a wider audience have drawn criticism from its founder, who argues that the brand's success was rooted in its original focus on yoga [26][28]. - Lululemon's lack of proprietary technology and material innovation has hindered its ability to compete in high-performance markets, as evidenced by legal challenges from competitors like Nike [31].

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's recent financial performance shows strong growth, but the brand faces challenges in maintaining its core identity while expanding into new product categories, leading to concerns about long-term sustainability and brand dilution [4][5][6][29]. Financial Performance - In the fiscal year 2024, Lululemon reported a net profit of 1.815 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.06%, with revenue growth in China reaching 46% [4]. - Despite strong quarterly results, the guidance for fiscal year 2025 fell below market expectations, causing a significant drop in stock price [6]. Market Dynamics - The brand's sales in the U.S. are expected to slow down, compounded by rising supply chain costs and tariff impacts on profit margins [7]. - Lululemon is expanding its presence in lower-tier cities, with nearly 25% of its stores located in second and third-tier cities, targeting a broader demographic including male consumers [9]. Brand Strategy Shift - The brand is shifting focus from its core yoga products to include a wider range of apparel, such as outerwear and accessories, which has led to concerns about losing its original brand identity [5][13]. - Lululemon has begun to break its "no discount" policy, actively participating in e-commerce promotions and opening outlet stores, indicating a shift towards a more mainstream market approach [11][12]. Target Audience Evolution - The brand is increasingly targeting male consumers, as evidenced by partnerships with male ambassadors and the opening of dedicated men's stores [9][29]. - The traditional core audience of high-income women is shrinking, prompting Lululemon to adapt its strategy to attract a more diverse customer base [29]. Competitive Landscape - Lululemon's expansion into non-yoga categories has yielded short-term revenue growth, but the brand faces challenges in competing with established sports brands like Nike and Adidas in terms of product specialization and technology [31][34]. - The brand's reliance on community-driven marketing is being tested as it shifts towards a broader appeal, which may dilute its premium positioning [15][35]. Industry Trends - The yoga market is becoming more mainstream, with increasing competition from alternative fitness trends like Pilates, which are gaining popularity among the same demographic [26]. - Changing consumer values, particularly among younger generations, are shifting away from collective brand identities towards individual expression, impacting Lululemon's traditional marketing strategies [27].