Market Overview - The average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market was 12.2 trillion CNY, a decrease of over 150 billion CNY compared to the previous week[8] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51% during the week, with a year-to-date increase of 0.2%[11] Index Performance - The large-cap value index rose by 1.07%, while the ChiNext index dropped by 1.66%[11] - The market sentiment index decreased by 2.63%, reflecting a decline in market enthusiasm[21] Participant Performance - The "national team" index showed the best performance with a weekly increase of 0.18%[21] - The private equity heavy index fell by 2.23%, but it has increased by 46.32% since the beginning of 2025[21] Sector Trends - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a strong direction, with significant developments in AI custom chips and solid-state batteries[41] - The report emphasizes the importance of technology self-reliance and expanding domestic demand in the context of geopolitical tensions[49] Risk Factors - The pace of domestic economic recovery may not meet expectations, potentially increasing market uncertainty[52] - Geopolitical events could lead to heightened tensions, impacting market stability[52]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Marvell Technology (MRVL US) is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of $85.20 [7][8]. Core Insights - Marvell has significantly raised its forecast for the global accelerated computing chip market to $349 billion by 2028, an increase of 103%, driven by major cloud computing companies and emerging AI compute builders increasing their data center CAPEX [2]. - The company also revised its forecast for the AI custom chip market to $55.4 billion by 2028, reflecting a 29% increase, with custom chips expected to account for 25% of the AI computing chip market [2]. - Marvell aims to maintain a 20% market share in the data center potential market, which is projected to grow to $94 billion by 2028, up 26% from previous estimates [3]. Summary by Sections Market Potential - The global accelerated computing chip market is expected to reach $349 billion by 2028, with XPU and XPU supporting chips projected to be $221 billion [2]. - The AI custom chip market is anticipated to grow to $55.4 billion by 2028, with a notable increase in the market for custom XPU supporting chips, expected to rise from $6 million in 2023 to $146 million by 2028 [2]. Competitive Advantage - Marvell has established a differentiated advantage in core IP technologies such as Serdes, custom SRAM, and custom HBM, enhancing its competitive position in custom chips and data center interconnect chips [3]. - The company has secured 18 AI custom chip projects, including five XPU projects, indicating strong engagement with major clients for next-generation projects [3]. Financial Projections - Adjusted net profit forecasts for Marvell are $2.53 billion for FY2026, $3.23 billion for FY2027, and $4.02 billion for FY2028, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [4]. - The target price of $85.20 suggests a potential upside from the current closing price of $74.95, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [8].