21世纪经济报道 记者 崔文静 实习生 张长荣 北京报道当我们还在谈论"新三样"（新能源汽车、锂电 池、光伏产品）重塑中国出口格局之时，一场更深层次的产业变革已悄然启幕。 机器人精准执行、人工智能深度学习、创新药攻克顽疾——这三股力量正汇聚成中国经济高质量发展的 新动能，接过增长"接力棒"，形成引领未来的新"新三样"矩阵。 为什么是机器人、人工智能与创新药？ 这与当前国际科技竞争与中国经济转型的大背景紧密相关。全球百年变局加速演进，科技已成为大国竞 争的主战场；而在国内，经济增长逻辑正从传统要素驱动全面转向新质生产力驱动，迫切需要新的战略 性产业支撑。人工智能等技术突破，也为中国产业升级带来历史性机遇。 新"新三样"不仅是中国制造从"规模领先"走向"技术引领"的标志，更是以创新驱动突破传统增长瓶颈的 关键路径。它们分别代表智能制造的根基、千行百业的"智慧大脑"和生命科学的价值高地，共同构建出 技术密集、高附加值的新经济柱石。 政策层面，国家发布《"人工智能+"行动意见》，明确产业战略地位。 从市场表现看，这三大赛道已获资本高度认可。 机器人领域，汇川技术（300124.SZ）市值超2000亿元，北交所多家机器 ...

Core Viewpoint - The innovative pharmaceutical sector has become a key driver of revenue growth for listed companies, with some companies reporting that innovative drug revenue has surpassed 50% of total revenue, indicating a significant shift towards innovation-driven business models [1][3]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - In the first half of 2025, multiple innovative pharmaceutical companies in the A-share market reported both revenue and profit growth, with the proportion of innovative drugs continuing to rise [3]. - A representative product, the BTK inhibitor Zebutini, achieved global sales of 12.527 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 56.2% [3]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, 39 innovative pharmaceutical companies reported total revenue of 152.061 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 7.66%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 28.266 billion yuan, a significant increase of 54.37% [3]. Group 2: Market Signals - The strong performance of innovative pharmaceutical companies indicates that the long-term innovation-driven strategies are beginning to yield results, with sustained R&D investments gaining market recognition [3][6]. - Increased health awareness among residents and supportive healthcare policies are contributing to the growing market demand for innovative drugs [3]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - R&D capabilities are improving in both quantity and quality, with China becoming a global center for new drug development, particularly in areas like ADC and multi-antibody technologies [7]. - Continuous policy support from the government, including 32 specific measures aimed at enhancing the innovative pharmaceutical sector, is fostering overall industry vitality [7]. - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs entering international markets is expected to enhance company performance through upfront and milestone payments from overseas collaborations [7]. Group 4: Market Potential - The Chinese innovative pharmaceutical market is projected to exceed 750 billion yuan in 2025, representing an 18% increase from 2024, and is expected to capture 6% of the global market share [8]. - By 2030, the market size is anticipated to surpass 2.3 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2025 to 2030 [8]. - The transition from "Made in China" to "Created in China" signifies the beginning of a new growth phase for the industry, with several quarters of growth expected to be relatively certain [8].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of innovative pharmaceutical companies in China for the first half of 2025 has been impressive, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by innovative drug sales, indicating a potential recovery in the pharmaceutical industry [1][6][15]. Group 1: Company Performance - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 15.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.88%, with a net profit of 4.45 billion yuan, up 29.67%. Innovative drug sales accounted for 60.66% of total revenue [3][9]. - BeiGene reported total revenue of 17.52 billion yuan, a 46.0% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 450 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [3][6]. - China Biopharmaceutical's revenue reached 17.57 billion yuan, a 10.7% increase, with innovative product revenue of 7.8 billion yuan, up 27.2%, representing 44.4% of total revenue [3][6]. - XinDa Biopharmaceutical achieved revenue of 5.95 billion yuan, a 50.6% increase, and a net profit of 1.21 billion yuan, turning a loss from the previous year [7][8]. - Xiansheng Pharmaceutical reported a revenue increase of 15.1% to 3.58 billion yuan, with innovative drug revenue surpassing 75% of total revenue [8]. Group 2: Market Trends - The rising proportion of innovative drug revenue among multiple pharmaceutical companies suggests a shift towards innovation-driven strategies, indicating a growing market for innovative drugs in China [6][8][15]. - The second-tier market is experiencing a prosperous phase, leading to speculation about a potential "spring" for the pharmaceutical industry, although the primary market remains challenging [4][15]. - The demand for high-quality products that can compete globally is increasing, with a focus on "best-in-class" products [4][15]. Group 3: Business Development (BD) Contributions - Business development (BD) activities are becoming crucial for the growth of innovative pharmaceutical companies, with significant deals contributing to revenue [9][10]. - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical's BD activities included a $1.97 billion contract with Merck and a partnership with GSK, highlighting the increasing global engagement of Chinese innovative drug companies [10][11]. - The first half of 2025 saw over 50 BD transactions in China's innovative drug sector, with a total disclosed cooperation amount exceeding $48.44 billion, marking a significant increase compared to the previous year [10][11]. Group 4: Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive trends, companies face challenges such as intense market competition, high project uncertainty, and increasing accounts receivable [13][14]. - Some companies, like BeiDa TianHeng, reported significant revenue declines due to high R&D investments and previous income recognition from collaborations [13][14]. - Overall, the industry is transitioning from an "investment phase" to a "harvest phase," indicating a recovery in profitability and a moderate expansion phase [14][15].

Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is witnessing a significant transformation towards innovation, with many companies reporting that innovative drugs now account for over half of their revenues [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Heng Rui Medicine reported a revenue of 15.762 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.88%, with net profit reaching 4.45 billion yuan, up 29.67% [2] - Heng Rui's innovative drug sales and licensing income amounted to 9.561 billion yuan, representing 60.66% of total revenue, with innovative drug sales reaching 7.570 billion yuan [2] - Han Sen Pharmaceutical achieved approximately 6.145 billion yuan in innovative drug and cooperative product sales, a year-on-year increase of 22.1%, accounting for about 82.7% of total revenue [3] - Han Sen's total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 7.434 billion yuan, up 14.3%, with net profit of 3.135 billion yuan, a 15% increase [4] - Yuan Da Pharmaceutical reported a record revenue of approximately 6.11 billion HKD, with innovative and barrier products accounting for about 51% of total revenue, a nearly 15 percentage point increase year-on-year [4] - Xian Sheng Pharmaceutical's total revenue grew by 15.1% to 3.585 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit of 651 million yuan, up 21.1%, driven by innovative drug revenue [4] Group 2: R&D Investment - Heng Rui Medicine invested 3.871 billion yuan in R&D in the first half of 2025, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 48 billion yuan [5] - Xian Sheng Pharmaceutical reported an R&D investment rate of 28.7%, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 10 billion yuan over the past decade [5] Group 3: Market Expansion and Challenges - China National Pharmaceutical's innovative drug revenue accounted for 44.4% of total revenue, with plans to enhance its innovative drug business through acquisitions, including a recent acquisition of a Shanghai-based innovative drug company for 500 million USD [6] - Despite the growth in innovative drug sales, most companies are still primarily focused on the domestic market, with limited international presence [6][7] - Heng Rui has established 15 external licensing collaborations and is actively seeking partnerships with global pharmaceutical companies to enhance international market penetration [8] - Xian Sheng Pharmaceutical is accelerating its global layout, having achieved three self-researched products going overseas, with external licensing expected to be a sustainable growth source [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share pharmaceutical sector, particularly the innovative drug segment, has shown strong performance, with R&D investment becoming a critical variable for company success in a competitive environment [1] Group 1: R&D Investment Overview - The total R&D expenditure of A-share pharmaceutical companies has steadily increased over the past three years, reaching 111.11 billion yuan in 2022, 118.50 billion yuan in 2023, and projected to be 121.01 billion yuan in 2024 [2][3] - The chemical pharmaceutical sector leads in R&D spending, with an expected 2024 expenditure close to 60 billion yuan, followed by the medical device sector at over 23 billion yuan and the biological products sector at 16.87 billion yuan [2][3] Group 2: R&D Intensity - The R&D intensity, measured as the ratio of R&D expenditure to revenue, ranks the biological products sector highest at 13.01%, followed by chemical pharmaceuticals at 10.87% and medical devices at 9.68% for 2024 [4][5] Group 3: Performance of Key Sectors - Despite overall pressure on performance, the chemical pharmaceutical sector has shown consistent growth, with net profits increasing from 21.68 billion yuan in 2022 to 34.44 billion yuan in 2024 [3][14] - The medical device sector has faced significant declines, with net profits dropping from 80.28 billion yuan in 2022 to 33.18 billion yuan in 2024, a nearly 59% decrease [3][14] Group 4: Leading Companies in R&D Investment - Among biological products companies, Changchun High-tech leads with an average R&D investment of 2.26 billion yuan over the past three years, showing a growth of over 60% from 1.66 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.69 billion yuan in 2024 [10][11] - In the chemical pharmaceutical sector, BeiGene has the highest average R&D investment at 12.70 billion yuan, with a significant reduction in losses from 13.64 billion yuan in 2022 to 4.98 billion yuan in 2024 [12][14] - In the medical device sector, Mindray Medical tops the list with an average R&D investment of 3.66 billion yuan, maintaining stable profit growth despite overall sector challenges [16][17]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.11%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.26% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1,303.5 billion yuan, an increase of 16.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Innovation Drug Sector Performance - The Guotai Innovation Drug ETF (517110) saw a daily increase of 4.39% [2] Driving Factors for Growth - On June 12, China Biopharmaceutical announced potential landmark licensing deals at the 46th Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference, following similar announcements from other companies [4] - The National Healthcare Security Administration released a draft for the 2024 National Medical Insurance Drug List, indicating a more favorable review process for innovative drugs, which is expected to ease pricing pressure [4] - Local governments, including Shanghai and Beijing, have introduced supportive policies for the biopharmaceutical industry, enhancing confidence in the sector [4] Clinical Progress and Data - The ASCO conference showcased a record 73 studies from Chinese innovative drug companies, with nearly 50% focused on ADC and bispecific antibody fields [5] - Notable clinical results include: - Heng Rui Medicine's PD-1 inhibitor showing a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 10.2 months, a 35% improvement over existing therapies [5] - BeiGene's BTK inhibitor achieving a total response rate (ORR) of 78% in lymphoma indications [5] - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical's ADC drug receiving FDA breakthrough therapy designation for gastric cancer [5] - Kangfang Biopharmaceutical's bispecific antibody AK112 meeting primary endpoints in Phase III trials [5] Future Outlook - The FDA is expected to make a decision on Innovent Biologics' PD-1 inhibitor for lung cancer on June 15, which could mark a significant milestone for Chinese innovative drugs in the U.S. market [6] - The upcoming ESMO conference is anticipated to reveal more clinical data from Chinese innovative drugs, particularly in high-incidence cancers [6] - The total value of License-out transactions for Chinese innovative drugs has surpassed 50 billion USD, reflecting a 30% increase year-on-year [6] Financial Performance Expectations - Approximately 60% of companies in the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Innovation Drug Index are expected to achieve positive operating cash flow by 2025, driven by the commercialization of key products and improved R&D efficiency [7] Investment Opportunities - The Guotai Innovation Drug ETF (517110) closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Innovation Drug Industry Index, capturing beta opportunities in the sector [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of President Trump's executive order aimed at reducing prescription drug prices in the U.S., which could lead to significant price reductions of 30% to 80% for American patients, while raising concerns for Chinese pharmaceutical companies operating in the U.S. market [1][2][6]. Summary by Sections Executive Order Details - On May 12, Trump signed an executive order requiring U.S. patients to have access to "Most-Favored-Nation Price" (MFN), limiting U.S. drug prices to the lowest levels among OECD countries [2][4]. - The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is tasked with implementing this policy, which includes establishing direct sales channels for drug companies and considering importing drugs from countries with lower prices [2][4]. Market Reactions - Following the announcement, large multinational pharmaceutical companies saw their stock prices rebound, with companies like Merck, Eli Lilly, and Pfizer experiencing gains of 5.87%, 2.86%, and 3.64% respectively [4]. - In contrast, Chinese innovative drug companies like BeiGene and Hutchison China MediTech faced stock declines prior to the announcement, reflecting market concerns about their profitability in the U.S. [2][4]. Long-term Implications - Analysts suggest that the executive order may face significant implementation challenges, and the long-term trend of reducing drug prices in the U.S. is unlikely to change [4][6]. - A study indicated that the price of brand-name drugs in the U.S. was 4.22 times higher than in other OECD countries, with these drugs accounting for 87% of U.S. prescription drug spending [6]. - The pricing disparity poses risks for Chinese companies like BeiGene, whose flagship product is priced significantly higher in the U.S. compared to China, potentially impacting their revenue if U.S. prices are forced down [6][7]. Risks for Chinese Pharmaceutical Companies - Chinese pharmaceutical firms that rely on overseas partnerships may face increased policy risks, as seen with Junshi Biosciences and its PD-1 product entering the U.S. market [7]. - The potential for reduced drug prices in the U.S. could lead to lower profit margins for these companies, affecting their valuation and revenue streams from international markets [7].