Core Insights - The Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively engaging in learning about cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, indicating a significant shift in attitude towards digital currencies [1][2] - The global stablecoin market has surpassed 2 trillion, with USD stablecoins accounting for 12% of cross-border payments, highlighting the growing importance of stablecoins in the financial ecosystem [2] - The focus on stablecoins rather than volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin suggests a strategic approach to integrating digital currencies into state-owned enterprises and the broader economy [3][5] Group 1: Learning and Adaptation - SASAC's recent study session on cryptocurrencies and stablecoins reflects a proactive approach to understanding emerging technologies and their implications for state-owned enterprises [1][2] - The involvement of industry experts, such as the chief economist from Guotai Junan Securities, underscores the seriousness of this initiative and the need for informed decision-making in the digital currency space [2] - The shift from skepticism to active learning about digital currencies indicates a recognition of their potential impact on global finance and domestic operations [4] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The emphasis on stablecoins is seen as a way to facilitate cross-border trade and reduce transaction costs, with examples like Baosteel's iron ore trade illustrating the practical benefits of blockchain and stablecoin integration [2][3] - SASAC's focus on "production and data integration" suggests a broader strategy to leverage blockchain technology in various sectors, including logistics and supply chain finance [5] - The potential for a state-backed stablecoin could position China favorably in the global digital currency landscape, allowing for more efficient international transactions and reduced reliance on traditional banking systems [3][5] Group 3: Future Opportunities - The exploration of blockchain applications in cross-border trade, supply chain finance, and asset digitization presents significant opportunities for state-owned enterprises to innovate and improve operational efficiency [5] - The potential for digitizing physical assets into digital tokens could democratize investment opportunities, allowing ordinary citizens to participate in real estate and other asset classes [5] - The strategic learning undertaken by SASAC is part of a larger national agenda to establish China as a leader in the digital economy, emphasizing the importance of being prepared for future developments in digital currencies [8]

警惕以稳定币为名的犯罪活动 警惕以稳定币等名义实施非法集资。 7月7日，深圳市防范和打击非法金融活动专责小组办公室（"专责小组"）就稳定币涉及的相关风险发出风 险提示。 在提示中，专责小组表示，近期以稳定币为代表的数字货币受到市场广泛关注。但监测发现，一些不法机 构以"金融创新""数字资产"等为噱头，利用社会公众对稳定币等了解不足的特点，通过发行所谓"虚拟货 币""虚拟资产""数字资产"等方式吸收资金，诱导社会公众参与交易炒作，扰乱经济金融秩序，滋生非法集 资、赌博、诈骗、传销、洗钱等违法犯罪活动，严重危害社会公众财产安全。 专责小组表示，此类不法机构未经国家金融管理部门依法许可或者违反国家金融管理规定，不具有公开吸 收公众存款的资质。该类机构利用稳定币等新概念进行炒作，编造所谓的"虚拟货币""虚拟资产""数字资 产"等投资项目，公开虚假宣传并吸收公众资金，滋生非法集资、赌博、诈骗、传销、洗钱等违法犯罪活 动。专责小组强调，《防范和处置非法集资条例》规定，国家禁止任何形式的非法集资，因参与非法集资 受到的损失，由集资参与人自行承担。请广大群众增强理性投资意识，不要盲目相信天花乱坠的承诺，树 立正确的货币观念和 ...

Core Viewpoint - The development of digital assets, particularly stablecoins, is gaining significant attention in the market, with Hong Kong establishing a regulatory framework to promote financial innovation while ensuring safety [4][8]. Regulatory Framework - The "Stablecoin Ordinance" in Hong Kong will come into effect on August 1, marking the introduction of a licensing system for stablecoin issuers pegged to fiat currencies [4]. - This ordinance aims to enhance the regulatory framework for digital asset activities in Hong Kong, ensuring monetary and financial stability while reinforcing its status as an international financial center [4][8]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) will begin accepting license applications following the ordinance's implementation, with specific guidelines being developed through market consultation [4][8]. Market Development and Applications - The Hong Kong government is focused on expanding the application scenarios for stablecoins, aiming to address real economic challenges and promote sustainable market development [5]. - The HKMA launched a "sandbox" for stablecoin issuers to experiment with applications in a controlled environment, facilitating innovation [5]. - The recent "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0" indicates the government's intention to explore stablecoins as a payment tool [5]. Public Education and Awareness - There is a need for enhanced public education regarding the differences between stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) to mitigate risks of fraud and unlicensed operations [7]. - The government is committed to investor education to help the public understand the nuances of these digital assets [7]. Challenges and Future Outlook - While the new regulatory framework provides a foundation for stablecoin development, challenges remain, particularly in public trust, risk management, and alignment with international standards [8]. - The proactive approach of Hong Kong in balancing regulation and innovation positions it uniquely to address inefficiencies in cross-border payments [8].

证券时报记者陈霞昌 香港特别行政区《稳定币条例》将于8月1日生效，届时香港金融管理局（以下简称"金管局"）将开始接 受牌照申请。目前，金管局正就落实条例的具体指引进行市场咨询，争取尽快订立指引。金管局总裁余 伟文表示，初期稳定币牌照的发放数量有限，希望市场能够客观冷静对待近期高涨的稳定币情绪。 由于预期稳定币将被更广泛地使用，如何妥善管控各种内在和外溢风险正逐渐成为国际监管的焦点。 余伟文强调，金管局一直积极参与国际监管组织的工作，当中包括二十国集团（G20）辖下金融稳定理 事会（FSB）在2023年发布的《全球加密资产活动监管框架》。框架就如何监管稳定币提供了一套指导 性的国际准则，而香港的监管制度基本上就是以此为蓝本。 余伟文还透露，目前金管局正牵头FSB对上述框架在全球各地实施情况的检讨工作。稳定币是相对新兴 的金融工具，既具有传统金融工具的属性，也有其特殊之处，例如其匿名和便于跨境使用的特性，带来 了管控风险特别是反洗钱方面的挑战。因此，在国际层面互相借鉴监管措施和交换经验，并借此逐步建 立跨境监管合作，有助于营造一个利于稳定币在全球范围健康有序发展、降低金融风险的环境。 在稳定币发行人发牌制度方面， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that stablecoins may reshape the current cross-border payment landscape, which is based on correspondent banks and clearing houses, especially following recent regulatory developments in the US and Hong Kong [1][2] - The emergence of compliant stablecoins could allow cross-border payments to operate outside traditional bank account systems, utilizing token wallets on blockchain networks, thus offering advantages in processing time and cost [2][3] - Concerns are raised regarding the potential impact of stablecoins and CBDCs on traditional financial institutions, as the current correspondent banking model is perceived as "slow and expensive," failing to meet customer demands for speed and cost efficiency [2][3] Group 2 - Swift's platform currently ensures that over 90% of cross-border payments reach the recipient's bank within one hour, with half of those transactions completed within five minutes [3] - The costs associated with Swift's messaging service are relatively low, at one euro cent per message, but the perception of slowness and expense arises from various regulatory and operational challenges [3][4] - Future compliance requirements for stablecoins, such as KYC and AML, may introduce additional costs and complexities, potentially mirroring some of the existing challenges faced by traditional systems [3][4] Group 3 - Swift emphasizes its role in supporting any compliant currency or exchange form, including stablecoins and CBDCs, as it aims to enhance interoperability and prevent the formation of "digital islands" [4][5] - The connection between blockchain systems and traditional banking is identified as a key value area for Swift, facilitating the conversion of digital assets to fiat currencies and ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements [4][5] - Swift's ongoing experiments aim to address the fragmentation of global applications and enhance the adoption of digital assets, with a series of tests conducted to simulate transactions across different payment systems [6] Group 4 - Swift is integrating AI into its platform to tackle challenges in cross-border payments, including data privacy and regulatory differences, enhancing capabilities in fraud detection and compliance [6]

Core Viewpoint - The stability of stablecoins is being questioned by major financial institutions, including the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the European Central Bank, due to concerns over their ability to serve as a pillar of the monetary system and their potential use in financial crimes [1][3][6]. Regulatory Concerns - BIS highlights that stablecoins have not met the necessary criteria of singularity, elasticity, and integrity to be considered a foundational element of the monetary system [3][4]. - The anonymity of stablecoins raises concerns about their use in money laundering and terrorist financing, as they lack the "Know Your Customer" (KYC) standards present in traditional finance [4][5]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) emphasizes the need for cautious regulation and has expressed a desire to temper public enthusiasm for stablecoins [6][8]. Market Reaction - Following regulatory warnings, stablecoin-related stocks have experienced significant declines, with Circle's stock price dropping from a peak of $299 to $199, reflecting a loss of over 10% in a single day [1][10]. - The market has shifted from a state of exuberance to one of caution, with investors becoming anxious and hesitant to engage [10][11]. Future Outlook - The future role of stablecoins remains uncertain, with potential implications for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and traditional financial systems [11][12]. - Analysts suggest that the rapid growth of stablecoins may lead to a reconsideration of the necessity for CBDCs in some countries, as stablecoins closely resemble them but are privately issued [11]. - The relationship between stablecoins and traditional financial markets is evolving, with increased risk correlation noted, particularly as traditional financial institutions begin to allocate investments in stablecoins [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The International Bank for Settlements (BIS) warns that stablecoins, if unregulated, pose risks to financial stability and monetary sovereignty, despite their rising popularity in the market [1][3][4]. Group 1: BIS Warning on Stablecoins - BIS states that stablecoins lack the necessary characteristics to be considered reliable forms of currency, failing to meet three key tests: singularity, elasticity, and integrity [3][4]. - Current data indicates that stablecoins pegged to the US dollar account for 99% of the market share, with a total circulation exceeding $260 billion [3][4]. - The report compares stablecoins to private banknotes from the 19th century, which undermined the unconditional acceptance principle of central bank-issued currency [4]. Group 2: Regulatory Perspectives - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) emphasizes the need for a balanced view on stablecoins, highlighting that they should not be seen as investment tools but rather as payment instruments [7][8]. - HKMA's Chief Executive, Eddie Yue, notes that stablecoins present unique challenges, particularly in anti-money laundering efforts, and calls for international regulatory cooperation [8]. - The Financial Stability Board (FSB) has provided a regulatory framework for global crypto asset activities, which serves as a reference for Hong Kong's regulatory system [7][8]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the BIS warning, Circle's stock price fell over 8%, retreating from its historical high of approximately $299 [1]. - Despite the warning, the market remains enthusiastic, as evidenced by Guotai Junan International's approval to provide comprehensive virtual asset trading services, leading to a nearly 200% increase in its stock price [1].

币界网6月25日讯， 国际清算银行（BIS）发布年度报告，对稳定币发出史无前例的严厉警告，直指其 威胁货币主权、加剧资本外逃风险。然而，在传统金融与加密货币的博弈中，一场由XBIT去中心化交 易所平台引领的代币化革命正悄然崛起——其推出的XAUT黄金代币化项目，或将成为破解稳定币困局 的关键钥匙。 BIS警告：稳定币"伪健全"风险暴露，代币化需回归央行核心 根据BIS报告，当前稳定币市场总规模已突破2600亿美元，其中99%与美元挂钩。然而，这种表面稳定 的数字货币却暗藏三大危机： 一是货币主权侵蚀：稳定币绕过央行清算体系，削弱国家货币政策的传导效力； 二是透明度黑洞：如Tether等巨头虽占据半壁江山，却屡陷资产储备质疑，欧盟新规下甚至被迫退出欧 洲市场； 三是系统性风险：BIS首席经济顾问Hyun Song Shin以2022年TerraUSD崩盘为例，警示稳定币抵押资产 可能引发"多米诺式抛售潮"。 BIS提出，各国应加速推进货币代币化，构建以央行数字货币（CBDC）为核心的"统一账本"系统。这 一愿景旨在整合央行储备、商业银行存款及国债，实现全球支付与证券交易的"即时、低成本、透明 化"结算。然而，理 ...

作 者丨黄子潇 编 辑丨孙超逸 "出于监管者的职责所在，我也想降降温，让大家能较客观冷静地看待稳定币。" 6月23日，香港金管局总裁余伟文在官网发布名为《稳定币的稳妥和可持续发展》的专栏文 章，谈及了该局对风险、监管及日后审批牌照的思路。 稳定币是相对新兴的产物，考虑到发行业务涉及的风险等因素，金管局对发牌设有相当高的 门槛。余伟文表示，发行人必须拥有实在的应用场景，预期在初阶段只会批出数个牌照。另 一方面，已进入沙盒的参与机构，亦不代表必然会获得牌照。 去年7月，香港金管局公布了首批3家稳定币发行人沙盒参与者。今年5月21日，香港特区立法 会通过《稳定币条例》，将于8月1日生效，届时金管局将开始接受牌照申请。 稳定币并非投资或投机工具 按照香港金管局定义，稳定币是一种旨在与某些资产（通常是货币）维持相对稳定价值的虚 拟资产。例如港元稳定币（HKDR）是一种基于公链并与港元1:1挂钩的加密货币。 余伟文表示， 稳定币并不是投资或投机的工具，而是运用区块链技术的支付工具之一，本身 并没有升值空间 。 他表示，以跨境支付这类应用场景为例，除了稳定币，其他新型支付工具还包括部分央行合 作建立的CBDC（即央行数码货 ...

证券研究报告 多元金融 再问稳定币 华泰研究 2025 年 6 月 24 日│中国内地 动态点评 稳定币的实质是商业私营机构发行的足额储备的加密影子法币。全球稳定币 起源于加密资产交易，正逐渐切入实体经济支付场景，对货币流通及国债市 场的影响需引起重视。境外主流商业银行能否通过存款代币反戈一击？信用 卡组织又会受到何种影响？离岸人民币稳定币是否可能成立？我们在"十问 稳定币"（2025 年 6 月 3 日）之后继续回答十一个相关问题。 1.稳定币的实质是什么？稳定币是商业私营机构发行的具有足额储备的数 字影子法币。稳定币是对发币机构的债权，基于分布式账本的区块链技术， 具有点对点直接支付特征，同时结合境外稳定币运行实践，我们认为是货币 的增量发行。 2.稳定币作为货币发行有何特点？稳定币规模受需求拉动，在铸币环节具有 越来越明显的批发（to B）特征。同时货币政策对稳定币规模可能产生影响。 截至 2025/6/18，美元稳定币体量 2200 亿美元，约占美元 M2 的 1%。 3.稳定币的初始使用场景是什么？十多年前 USDT 作为比特币的交易媒介 诞生，后逐渐渗透进入实体经济中的支付结算场景。2024 年约 ...