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罕见!DDR4存储芯片价格跳涨,部分型号已与DDR5产品“倒挂”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-25 13:13
Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - DDR4 memory chip prices have surged recently, with some DDR4 chips even priced higher than DDR5, leading to a "price inversion" phenomenon [1][2] - As of early June, the prices for 16GB, 32GB, and 64GB DDR4 RDIMM have increased to $58, $105, and $195 respectively, with a cumulative increase of over 30% for 32GB DDR4 RDIMM since early April [1][2] - The price increase is primarily driven by supply-side production cuts rather than strong demand growth, as several manufacturers announced the end of life (EOL) for various DDR4 modules [1][2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Production Adjustments - Major manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix have announced significant reductions in DDR4 production, with SK Hynix planning to cut its DDR4 capacity to below 20% of total capacity by April 2026 [2][3] - The supply constraints have led to a significant increase in server DDR4 prices, reaching the highest levels in a year and a half, with TrendForce revising its price increase forecast for server DDR4 modules to 18%-23% for Q2 [3][4] Group 3: Transition to DDR5 - The narrowing price gap between DDR4 and DDR5 is expected to accelerate the transition to DDR5 products, as the cost of DDR4 becomes less sustainable for end-users [5][6] - The price difference between 64GB DDR4 and DDR5 RDIMM has decreased from nearly 100% to 36%, indicating a shift in market dynamics favoring DDR5 adoption [6][7] - Domestic manufacturers are ramping up DDR5 production, with companies like Biwei and Jiangbolong launching DDR5 products aimed at AI PCs, while companies like Lanke Technology have reported increased profits due to rising DDR5 penetration [6][7] Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the current price surge, some manufacturers are reassessing their production strategies for DDR4, considering the potential for continued supply [4][5] - Analysts predict that while DDR4 prices may continue to rise in Q3, the rate of increase will slow to 10%-15% [5][6] - The ongoing supply shortage of DDR4 is likely to push server terminals to adopt DDR5 more aggressively, benefiting domestic DDR5 market share [7]