存储超级周期
Search documents
“韩流”霸屏全球交易台! 资金疯抢韩国芯片股 跨境ETF被买爆
智通财经网· 2026-02-27 08:52
智通财经APP获悉,全球资金正在大规模涌向近期涨势如虹且屡创历史新高点位的韩国芯片制造巨头股票,这股围 绕韩国股市的投资巨浪正推动全球范围跨境交易所交易基金(即ETF)出现异常波动与成交量。毋庸置疑的是,在 "美国例外论"逐渐崩塌和"抛售美国"论调席卷市场以及全球AI基建热潮如火如荼的大趋势之下,韩国股市在经历基 准指数疯涨75%的2025年之后,2026年仍然位列"全球最疯狂股市"——韩国基准股指KOSPI年内涨幅已经高达 50%,强势领跑全球股市,韩流(K-Pop)可谓从首尔时尚圈杀到全球股票市场。 在韩国股市以及中国台湾股市强劲带动之下,全球股市可谓上演历史性分化:亚洲股市不断创下佳绩,大幅跑赢 美国股市以及发达市场基准指数。"AI恐慌交易"以及"AI颠覆一切"基调正在重塑全球投资者的资产配置逻辑,推 动全球机构与散户资金从美国流向被视为人工智能算力产业链参与者名单最集中的亚洲股票市场。最新数据显 示,MSCI亚太指数本月累计上涨超7%,创该指数1998年成立以来的最佳2月表现,韩国证券交易所更是超越法 国,跻身全球第九大交易所。 当前股票市场交易格局非常有利于半导体以及AI算力基础设施类股票,而非软件 ...
中芯国际“喜忧参半”:业绩虽创新高,但压力重重
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 03:25
来源:市场资讯 李平 | 作者 平凡 | 编辑 砺石商业评论 | 出品 资本开支飙升、折旧压力以及"存储超期周期"给晶圆代工产业带来的负面影响,成为中芯国际备受投资 者关注的焦点问题。 1 淡季不淡,营收再创新高 前不久,国产晶圆代工龙头中芯国际发布2025年第四季度业绩快报以及2025年全年业绩预告。数据显 示,2025年第四季度,中芯国际实现营业总收入178.13亿元,同比增长11.9%,单季度营收再创历史新 高。同期,公司实现归母净利润12.23亿元,同比增长23.2%。 根据公司此前所给出的业绩指引,中芯国际管理层预计第四季度的收入环比持平至增长2%,毛利率则 介于18%至20%的范围内。从四季度业绩预告数据来看,中芯国际四季度营收环比增长4.5%,明显好于 指引区间(环比增长0-2%)。 2022年之前,智能手机业务一直是中芯国际最大的营收来源。然而,自2022年起,受全球智能手机市场 需求疲软以及华为手机订单下滑等影响,智能手机作为最大单一营收来源的地位开始被消费电子所取 代。在存储芯片持续涨价的大背景下,智能手机业务未来仍将面临到一定压力。 2025年第四季度,中芯电子来自消费电子领域的销售占比 ...
未知机构:持续首推协创数据算力存力机器人大脑全面开花坚定看2000亿市值-20260227
未知机构· 2026-02-27 02:10
持续首推【协创数据】:算力+存力+机器人大脑全面开花,坚定看2000亿+市值 #国产AI大模型井喷式发展,Agent推理时代弯道超车 2月以来,多家国产大模型厂商推出顶尖AI大模型版本,在agent推理性能和使用体验优化方面,进步显著: 2月14日,字节跳动视频生成模型Seedance2.0引发现象级传播,成为当前 AI 视频生成的SOTA标杆; 2月12日,智谱发布GLM-5 ,成为全球首个 7 持续首推【协创数据】:算力+存力+机器人大脑全面开花,坚定看2000亿+市值 #四十年一遇存储超级周期,2026业绩大年拭目以待 在AI需求爆发与供应瓶颈的共振下,存储芯片正全面进入"卖方市场",极度短缺正显著提升供应商议价权,产业 链已开启长期合约谈判以锁定未来供应。 公司25Q3以来积极备货,并与闪迪签署晶圆保供协议,为国内头部云厂提供企业级SSD,百亿订单在手,2026业 绩释放有望大超预期。 OmniBot助力机器人"ChatGPT时刻" 2026春晚舞台上,人形机器人再次成为亮眼的中国智造名片,多家机器人轮番登场,机器人板块迎来最强催化。 公司前瞻布局机器人板块,早于2024年即推出基于NVIDIAPhy ...
每日投行/机构观点梳理(2026-02-25)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2026-02-26 01:52
Group 1: Gold Price Predictions - Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices will reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, raising its long-term forecast to $4,500 per ounce [1] - UBS expects gold prices to touch $6,200 per ounce in the coming months, driven by persistent geopolitical risks and continued support from the Federal Reserve's easing policies [1] Group 2: Copper Price Outlook - Citigroup holds a bullish outlook on copper prices, forecasting a rise to $14,000 per ton in the next three months, citing strong demand from China and limited downside risks [1] - The bank maintains a long-term average copper price forecast of $13,000 per ton for 2026, indicating a balanced global copper market [1] Group 3: AI Impact on GDP - Goldman Sachs reports that AI contributed nearly zero to the U.S. GDP last year, as investments were offset by imports of chips and hardware [2] - A survey of executives revealed that while 70% of companies are actively using AI, about 80% believe it has not impacted employment or productivity [2] Group 4: S&P 500 Index Forecast - A Reuters survey indicates that the S&P 500 index is expected to rise nearly 10% to around 7,500 points by the end of 2026, supported by strong earnings and stable economic growth [3] - Despite a resilient market, risks remain from inflation trends, Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical tensions [3] Group 5: Bond Market Dynamics - Societe Generale highlights that geopolitical uncertainties are supporting the safe-haven demand for bonds, leading to a dovish shift in market expectations for central bank interest rate paths [4] Group 6: UK Interest Rate Expectations - ING analysts suggest that the British pound may decline if the Bank of England's Governor hints at a potential rate cut in March [5][6] Group 7: Canadian Interest Rate Outlook - Scotiabank anticipates that the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates unchanged until the outcome of the USMCA negotiations becomes clearer [7] Group 8: Domestic AI Developments - CITIC Securities reports a surge in the usage of domestic AI models, indicating a significant expansion in AI inference demand and investment opportunities in domestic computing power [8] Group 9: Electronic Fabric Demand Cycle - CITIC Securities notes that the current electronic fabric demand cycle, driven by AI, may be more intense than previous storage cycles, with a projected 100% increase in demand for specialty fabrics by 2026 [9] Group 10: AI Industry Chain Outlook - CITIC JianTou expresses optimism about the AI industry chain, highlighting strong demand for computing power and the transition of large models towards monetization [10] Group 11: AIDC Growth and Equipment Demand - CITIC JianTou indicates that the AIDC construction phase will lead to significant demand for power capacity and related equipment, with a projected CAGR of 55% from 2025 to 2028 [11] Group 12: AIDC Sector Performance - Founder Securities anticipates continued high growth in the AIDC sector, driven by increased capital expenditures from leading internet companies and a growing demand for power equipment in the U.S. [12] Group 13: New Energy Vehicle Market Recovery - Galaxy Securities predicts a recovery in the automotive market post-Spring Festival, with several flagship new energy vehicle models set to launch, potentially boosting market demand [13]
SEMICONKorea前线:从炸鸡店到存储超级周期
HTSC· 2026-02-25 02:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor industry [1] Core Insights - The storage supercycle remains a key theme for the semiconductor industry in 2026, driven by strong demand and limited supply [20][21] - Major technology companies are increasing their capital expenditure (Capex) forecasts, which supports the positive outlook for the storage market [22] - The report highlights the importance of advanced packaging and the potential for new technologies like CPO (Chiplet Packaging Optimization) to enhance system performance [15][14] Summary by Sections Storage Market - The storage market is entering a seller's market characterized by rising prices and demand, with DRAM ASPs increasing approximately 40% for Samsung and 20% for SK Hynix in Q4 2025 [4][20] - The report anticipates that DRAM prices will continue to rise in Q1 2026, with a forecasted increase of 90-95% for conventional DRAM [25] - Supply constraints are expected to persist, with capital expenditures focused on HBM and advanced processes rather than broad capacity expansion [21][4] Advanced Packaging - Advanced packaging is becoming a critical area of focus, with companies like Intel and Samsung investing in 2.5D/3D packaging technologies [14] - The demand for advanced packaging is expected to grow as cloud service providers increase their capital expenditures and accelerate in-house chip development [15] CPO (Chiplet Packaging Optimization) - CPO is projected to gain traction, with NVIDIA showcasing its CPO solutions that significantly enhance system-level efficiency [15] - The report notes that CPO applications are expected to transition from scale-out to scale-up, improving bandwidth density and energy efficiency [15] Capital Expenditure Trends - North American tech giants are significantly increasing their Capex forecasts for 2026, with estimates reaching approximately $655 billion, a 60% year-over-year increase [22] - This increase in Capex is expected to support ongoing demand for high-performance storage solutions and AI applications [22][24]
两融余额较上一日增加346.32亿元 电子行业获融资净买入额居首
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:48
上证报中国证券网讯(刘禹希 记者 徐蔚)截至2月24日,A股两融余额为26227.57亿元,较上一交易日增加346.32亿元,占A股流通市值比例为2.52%。当日 两融交易额为2281.23亿元,较上一交易日增加482.89亿元,占A股成交额的10.28%。 资金流向方面,申万31个一级行业中有26个行业获融资净买入,其中,电子行业获融资净买入额居首,当日净买入65.39亿元;获融资净买入的行业还有计 算机、有色金属、电力设备、通信等。 | 序号 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 证券代码 ◆ | 证券简称 = | 交易日期 ◀ | | 7 | 300308.SZ | 中际旭创 | 2026-02-24 | | 2 | 688111.SH | 金山办公 | 2026-02-24 | | ന | 600176.SH | 中国巨石 | 2026-02-24 | | ব | 000021.SZ | 深科技 | 2026-02-24 | | 5 | 300442.SZ | 润泽科技 | 2026-02-24 | | 6 | 600519.SH | 贵州茅台 | 2026-02 ...
资金风向标 | 两融余额较上一日增加346.32亿元 电子行业获融资净买入额居首
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:48
Group 1 - As of February 24, the margin trading balance in A-shares reached 26,227.57 billion yuan, an increase of 346.32 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.52% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The trading volume of margin financing on the same day was 2,281.23 billion yuan, which is an increase of 482.89 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 10.28% of the total A-share trading volume [1] - Among the 31 primary industries, 26 experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 6.539 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - A total of 84 individual stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Zhongji Xuchuang leading at a net inflow of 1.003 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net financing inflows include Kingsoft Office, China Jushi, Deep Technology, Runze Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Shannon Semiconductor, Dongshan Precision, TBEA, and Baiwei Storage [2] - The current storage super cycle is driven by explosive demand and supply lag, particularly in high-end chips due to AI demand, leading to significant price increases in the storage market [2]
中信证券:从特种布视角看7628电子布价格上涨空间
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 00:37
智通财经APP获悉,中信证券发布研报称,与存储超级周期类似,目前特种电子布供需持续紧张,企业在边际利润的驱动下有较强动力持续转产特种布, 从而造成7628电子布的织布机产能边际持续压缩。从投资收益率角度对比,本轮7628电子布价格上涨空间有望达到8元/米。 7628电子布涨价逻辑持续验证 根据卓创资讯,截至2026年2月9日,7628电子布均价5.11元/米,跳涨0.4元/米,持续验证我们的涨价大周期逻辑。综合织布机和产线建设,以低介电二代 的投资收益率为锚,中信证券认为7628电子布价格的上涨空间有望达到8元/米。 1)从织布机的角度,中信证券测算低介电一代/二代和低膨胀/Q布的投资收益率分别为189%/578%/1500%。当7628电子布价格为4/6/8元/米时,投资收益率 分别为60%/180%/300%;2)从产线建设的角度,低介电一代/二代和低膨胀/Q布的投资收益率分别为19%/75%/144%。当7628电子布价格为4/6/8元/米时, 投资收益率分别为11%/32%/54%。 | 从产线建设角度测算 | 7628 电子布 | 低介电一代 | 二代和低膨胀 | Q 布 | | --- | --- ...
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio|2026年2月18日
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 23:53
华见早安之声 市场概述 AI担忧仍存,美股日内显著震荡,标普500盘中一度下跌接近1%,尾盘回升,最终收涨0.1%。软件股ETF下挫2.2%。苹果涨超3%。甲骨文跌超3.8%。 美债收益率小幅上行。10年期美债收益率上涨1个基点,2年期上行超3基点、盘中一度跌至2022年7月以来的最低,随后反弹。 美元倒V走势,盘中曾涨近0.5%。英镑一度跳水约1%,英国失业率创五年新高,英国央行降息概率上升。 受亚洲市场春节休市影响,贵金属缺乏买盘支撑。黄金盘中下挫2.2%、失守4900美元关口。COMEX白银期货跌超5.7%,COMEX铜期货跌超2%。伊美就谈 判"指导原则"达成一致,原油一度跌近3%。 要闻 中国 宇树机器人春晚武术表演再炸场,王兴兴:高动态高协同集群控制技术全球首秀。 海外 伊朗外长称就伊美就谈判"指导原则"达成一致,布油一度跌近3%。伊朗谈判新策略曝光:与美联合开发油气田、矿区,采购美飞机,"让美国能 快速获得高额经济回报"! 特朗普宣布5500亿美元日本投资正式启动,首批聚焦油气、发电、关键矿产。 Anthropic又"踢馆"!Sonnet 4.6操作电脑接近人类,性能堪比旗舰模型、定价仅1/5。 ...
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2026年2月18日
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-17 23:39
Market Overview - Concerns about AI persist, leading to significant fluctuations in the US stock market, with the S&P 500 dropping nearly 1% intraday before closing up 0.1% [2] - The software stock ETF fell by 2.2%, while Apple rose over 3% and Oracle dropped more than 3.8% [2] - US Treasury yields saw a slight increase, with the 10-year yield rising by 1 basis point and the 2-year yield up over 3 basis points [2] - The dollar exhibited a "V" shaped movement, rising nearly 0.5% intraday, while the British pound dropped about 1% due to a five-year high unemployment rate in the UK [2] - Gold prices fell 2.2%, dropping below $4900 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures declined over 5.7% [2] Key News - Apple is accelerating the development of three new wearable devices: AI glasses, a pendant, and a camera version of AirPods, with plans to integrate them with Siri [5] - Meta is increasing its investment in Nvidia, planning to deploy millions of chips over the coming years and will use Nvidia's Grace CPU for the first time [15] - Berkshire Hathaway has reduced its holdings in Apple and Bank of America while initiating a position in The New York Times [15] - Hillhouse Capital has increased its positions in Pinduoduo and Alibaba while reducing holdings in Baidu and Webull, indicating a more concentrated portfolio [16] International Developments - Iran's foreign minister announced an agreement on "guiding principles" for negotiations with the US, leading to a nearly 3% drop in Brent crude oil prices [13] - Former President Trump announced a $550 billion investment in Japan, focusing on oil, power generation, and critical minerals [13] - Anthropic has released the Sonnet 4.6 model, which operates computers nearly as well as flagship models but is priced at only one-fifth of the cost [14] - BHP reported a nearly 30% increase in profits, with copper business surpassing iron ore as the largest profit source for the first time [21]