Core Viewpoint - China is the largest traditional tobacco market globally, while the US leads in the new tobacco market, with Japan and South Korea also holding significant shares in the new tobacco sector [1][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The traditional tobacco market is gradually shrinking, while the new tobacco market is experiencing rapid growth. In 2020, the market size of heated not-burn (HNB) products surpassed that of electronic cigarettes, establishing itself as the new leader in the new tobacco sector [2] - The US market currently leads in vaporized electronic cigarettes but has a significant gap in the HNB market. The resolution between PMI and BAT is expected to accelerate the development of the HNB market [3] - The regulatory environment in Europe is tightening for vaporized products while remaining stable for HNB, which may allow HNB to gradually capture a larger market share [3] Group 2: Product Landscape - The transition from traditional cigarettes to new tobacco products is driven by a dual focus on flavor and health, with new tobacco products offering significant harm reduction advantages and more diverse taste options [2] - Major multinational tobacco companies are actively investing in new tobacco products, which is likely to increase the penetration rate of these products in the market [2] Group 3: Compliance and Regulation - The structure of tobacco products and their acceptance in different countries is largely determined by national policies and regulations. Taxation influences the differing policy attitudes towards traditional and new tobacco products, while health concerns shape the regulatory stance on various new tobacco products [4] - Strict regulations and weak enforcement may lead to unintended consequences, such as the growth of the illegal electronic cigarette market [4] Group 4: Brand Landscape - The traditional tobacco market is highly concentrated, dominated by brands like Marlboro, Winston, and Camel. In the new tobacco sector, PMI and BAT hold leading market shares, but changes in policy and company strategies may alter the brand landscape [5] Group 5: Industry Chain - The tobacco supply chain includes essential materials for both cigarette and electronic cigarette production, such as cigarette labels, rolling paper, and electronic cigarette components like lithium batteries and control chips. Key listed companies in this supply chain include Jinjia Co., Dongfeng Co., and others [8]

Core Viewpoint - Huachuang Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Smoore International (06969) with a target price of HKD 21.90, highlighting the company's leading position in the global electronic vaporization market and potential for growth in both e-cigarette and HNB (Heated Not Burned) businesses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of CNY 10.21 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while net profit was CNY 809 million, a decrease of 23.8%. Adjusted net profit was CNY 1.182 billion, a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - For Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of CNY 4.197 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, and net profit of CNY 317 million, down 16.4%. Adjusted net profit for the quarter was CNY 444 million, up 4.0% year-on-year [1] Group 2: HNB Product Growth - The market feedback for HNB products is positive, with significant increases in product shipments contributing to impressive revenue growth. The Glo Hilo product has received praise for its stylish design and flavor delivery compared to IQOS [2] - As Glo Hilo expands in the European market, the product penetration rate is expected to accelerate [2] Group 3: E-Cigarette Business and Regulatory Environment - The company benefits from stricter regulations on non-compliant products globally, with a recent poll indicating that 80% of U.S. voters support increased enforcement against illegal e-cigarettes, which may help the company's business recovery [3] - The company's own brand performance remains strong due to the launch of flagship new products and enhanced localized operations [3] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - The adjusted net profit margin for Q3 was approximately 10.6%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the product mix with a higher proportion of lower-margin HNB products in early sales [4] - The company has seen steady improvement in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, which is expected to enhance profit flexibility in the future [4]

Core Viewpoint - Huachuang Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Smoore International (06969) with a target price of HKD 21.90, highlighting the company's leading position in the global electronic vaporization market and potential for growth in both e-cigarette and HNB (Heated Not Burned) segments [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 10.21 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while net profit was CNY 809 million, a decrease of 23.8%. Adjusted net profit stood at CNY 1.18 billion, a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - For Q3 alone, revenue reached CNY 4.197 billion, up 27.2% year-on-year, with net profit at CNY 317 million, down 16.4%. Adjusted net profit for the quarter was CNY 444 million, reflecting a 4.0% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: HNB Product Growth - The market feedback for HNB products has been positive, with significant increases in product shipments contributing to impressive revenue growth. The Glo Hilo product has received favorable comparisons to IQOS, particularly for its design and flavor delivery [2] - As Glo Hilo expands in the European market, the product penetration rate is expected to accelerate [2] Group 3: Vaporization Business and Regulatory Environment - The vaporization business is benefiting from stricter regulations on non-compliant products globally, with a recent survey indicating that 80% of U.S. voters support enhanced enforcement against illegal e-cigarettes, which may help the company's business recovery [3] - The company's own brand performance has shown steady growth, aided by the launch of flagship products and enhanced local operations [3] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - The adjusted net profit margin for Q3 2025 was approximately 10.6%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the product mix with a higher proportion of lower-margin HNB devices in early sales [4] - The company has seen steady improvements in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, which are expected to enhance profit flexibility in the future [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company's third-quarter performance confirms the upward trend in industry prosperity, with significant achievements in technology research and development [1] Group 1: Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.03 billion, 1.94 billion, and 2.54 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] - The company is positioned as a core supplier in the heated non-combustible industry chain, benefiting from long-term R&D investments and a broad growth space [1] - The target price for 2025 is set at 19.87 HKD, based on a PE ratio of 110.0X [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a record revenue of 4.197 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 317 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.7% [1] - Excluding equity incentive expenses, net profit increased by 4.0% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: Business Growth - The OEM and proprietary brand revenues both experienced growth, with significant increases in HNB and vaping businesses [2] - The company supports strategic customers in global market expansion, leading to a substantial increase in product shipments for HNB [2] - The company has successfully launched new compliant electronic vaping products in response to increased regulatory scrutiny in major global markets [2] Group 4: Industry Trends - The upward trend in industry prosperity is clear, with traditional vaping businesses expected to benefit from regulatory changes in the US and Europe [2] - The new Glo Hilo product has received positive feedback, with plans for nationwide promotion in Japan by September 2025 and expansion into more core markets in the second half of 2025 [2] - The company is developing multiple technology platforms to address various user pain points, accelerating commercialization efforts in collaboration with partners [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [5]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 revenue reached a historical high of 4.197 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.5%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 317 million RMB, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 5.7% quarter-on-quarter. Excluding equity incentive expenses, the net profit increased by 4.0% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter [9][10]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in various business segments, including OEM and proprietary brands, with significant growth in HNB (Heated Not Burned) and vaping products. The company is actively supporting strategic customers in global market expansion, leading to a substantial increase in product shipments [9][10]. - The industry is experiencing an upward trend, with traditional vaping businesses expected to benefit from regulatory changes in Europe and the U.S. The new Glo Hilo product has received positive feedback, and the company is assisting clients in expanding into key markets [9][10]. Financial Summary - The financial summary indicates total revenue projections for 2023 to 2027, with expected revenues of 11.168 billion RMB in 2023, increasing to 19.137 billion RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17% [3][10]. - The gross profit is projected to grow from 4.334 billion RMB in 2023 to 7.845 billion RMB in 2027, while net profit is expected to recover from 1.645 billion RMB in 2023 to 2.541 billion RMB in 2027 [3][10]. - The report also provides a valuation based on a PE ratio of 110.0X for 2025, resulting in a target price of 19.87 HKD, equivalent to approximately 18.28 RMB [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that Smoore International (06969) has shown an upward trend in industry prosperity in Q3, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for the company, with expected net profits of 1.03 billion, 1.94 billion, and 2.54 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a record revenue of 4.197 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 317 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.7%; excluding stock incentive expenses, net profit increased by 4.0% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Business Growth - The OEM and proprietary brand revenues both experienced growth on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with significant increases in HNB and vaping businesses [2] - In the HNB segment, the company supported strategic customers in global market expansion, resulting in a substantial increase in product shipments [2] - In the vaping segment, the company assisted more clients in launching new compliant electronic vaping products due to increased regulatory scrutiny in major global markets [2] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The traditional vaping business is expected to benefit from changes in regulatory environments in the US and Europe, with a potential increase in market share under compliant operations [3] - The new Glo Hilo product in the HNB segment has received positive feedback, with the company aiding clients in nationwide product promotion in Japan by September 2025 and plans to expand into more core markets in the second half of 2025 [3] - The company has developed multiple technology platforms to address various user pain points, and collaborative efforts to accelerate commercialization are ongoing, indicating a clear growth path for the business [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Smoore International, projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027 [1] Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Smoore International: CNY 14.175 billion in 2025, CNY 16.689 billion in 2026, and CNY 19.495 billion in 2027, representing year-on-year growth of +20.14%, +17.73%, and +16.81% respectively [1] - Projected net profit attributable to shareholders: CNY 1.08 billion in 2025, CNY 1.934 billion in 2026, and CNY 2.652 billion in 2027, with year-on-year growth of +17.15%, +79.13%, and +37.10% respectively [1] Market Dynamics - British American Tobacco is increasing resources and marketing efforts for Glo Hilo, with positive sales feedback in Japan and early deployment in several European countries, indicating potential for future growth [1] - The vaping market is expected to recover due to regulatory pressures on illicit tobacco, which bodes well for core supplier Smoore International [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zheshang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Smoore International (06969), projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027 [1] Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Smoore International: - 2025: 14.175 billion - 2026: 16.689 billion - 2027: 19.495 billion - Year-on-year growth: +20.14%, +17.73%, +16.81% [1] - Expected net profit attributable to shareholders: - 2025: 1.08 billion - 2026: 1.934 billion - 2027: 2.652 billion - Year-on-year growth: +17.15%, +79.13%, +37.10% [1] Market Dynamics - British American Tobacco is increasing resources and marketing efforts for Glo Hilo, with positive sales feedback in Japan and early deployment in some European countries [1] - The regulatory crackdown on illegal vaping products is expected to lead to a recovery in the vaping market, which bodes well for core supplier Smoore International [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in Q3 2025 aligns with expectations, showing a revenue increase but a decline in net profit due to stock incentive expenses and ongoing high R&D investments [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8% - Adjusted net profit after stock incentive expenses was 1.18 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% [1]. Development Trends - Glo Hilo is expanding steadily in Japan and Poland, with positive sales momentum in the European vaping market - The company expects to see growth in revenue from HNB products and compliant vaping products in Europe, despite regulatory challenges in the U.S. [1][2]. Short-term Profitability and R&D - Short-term profitability may be slightly pressured due to increased orders from small clients in Europe and initial sales of HNB heating devices - The company is increasing R&D investments in vaping medical and HNB new businesses, which may impact net profit in Q3 2025 [2]. Long-term Growth Prospects - The company anticipates accelerated global expansion of Glo Hilo by 2026, which is expected to drive revenue growth - The vaping medical segment is expected to commercialize, opening up long-term growth opportunities [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders in 2025 has been reduced by 20% to 1.05 billion yuan, while the 2026 forecast has been increased by 11% to 1.88 billion yuan - The current stock price corresponds to a 47 times P/E ratio for 2026, with a target price maintaining a 69 times P/E ratio, indicating a potential upside of 46% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment of 20% in the forecast for Smoore International's (06969) 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders, bringing it to 1.05 billion yuan, while the 2026 net profit forecast is raised by 11% to 1.88 billion yuan, reflecting a positive outlook driven by HNB product sales [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, a decrease of 23.8%. Adjusted net profit after accounting for stock incentive expenses was 1.18 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.1% [2] - Quarterly net profit figures for 2025 were 200 million yuan in Q1, 300 million yuan in Q2, and 317 million yuan in Q3, with year-on-year changes of -43.4%, +12.7%, and -16.4% respectively, aligning with CICC's expectations [2] Group 2: Market Expansion and Product Development - The Glo Hilo brand is expanding steadily in Japan and Poland, with the company positioned as a leader in flavor restoration, heating speed, and brand image. The positive sales momentum of heating devices is expected to contribute to revenue [3] - The company anticipates continued growth in the European vaping market, driven by differentiated compliant products from small brands, while orders in the U.S. are expected to remain stable despite regulatory tightening [3] - The company is leading in global market share for open-system proprietary brands, with expectations of continued year-on-year growth in Q3 2025 [3] Group 3: Profitability and R&D Investment - Short-term profitability may be slightly pressured due to increased orders from small customers in the European vaping market and initial sales of HNB heating devices. However, profitability is expected to improve as orders for vaping products increase and high-margin HNB products gain traction [4] - The company is increasing R&D investments in vaping medical and HNB new businesses, which, combined with the impact of stock incentive expenses, resulted in a year-on-year net profit decline of 16.4% and an adjusted net profit increase of 4% in Q3 2025 [4] Group 4: Long-term Growth Prospects - The company expects Glo Hilo to accelerate its global expansion in 2026, with concentrated shipments of HNB products likely to drive revenue growth. New products, technologies, and customers are anticipated to open up long-term opportunities [5] - In the vaping medical sector, the acceleration of complex generic drug development and the gradual realization of innovative drug collaborations are expected to lead to commercialization, providing long-term growth potential [5]