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PMI对HNB全年销量预期不变,把握新型烟草产业链布局机遇
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-28 14:11
FDA 审批允许 JUUL 相关雾化产品继续在美销售,美国合规市场扩容趋势愈发清晰。7 月 17 日,FDA 官网发布最新版 的《获批电子烟产品清单》,JUUL 旗下一款雾化电子烟烟具及四款烟草味和薄荷味烟弹已正式获得市场销售授权(MGO)。 这意味着 JUUL 在 2022 年被 FDA 下达销售禁令后,重新获得在美国市场销售的合法地位。截止目前,FDA 已审批通过 的雾化电子烟产品总数由此前的 34 款增加至 39 款。 投资逻辑 HNB 市场规模持续增长,美国市场有望贡献显著增量。HNB 方面,欧洲市场风味禁令影响逐渐消退,菲莫 25Q2 欧洲市 场 HTU 销量恢复双位数增长,一定程度上验证口味的限制并不会显著影响 HNB 吸引力,这是 HNB 行业后续政策风险较 低且能健康长期成长的关键。后续重点期待美国 FDA 正式通过相关品牌的 HNB 产品,美国 HNB 市场开启并且扩容已是 大势所趋,有望显著打开行业成长空间。 合规审批加速与严厉打击非法产品并行,美国合规雾化市场扩容趋势依旧清晰。FDA 允许 JUUL 雾化电子烟继续在美 销售,表明 FDA 监管风向不是简单的一刀切,而是以维护行业健康发展 ...
思摩尔国际今日大跌9.95% 大股东计划减持不超过3.5%
Core Viewpoint - Smoore International (06969.HK) experienced a significant stock price drop of 9.95%, closing at HKD 17.92 per share, with a market capitalization of HKD 110.9 billion and a trading volume of HKD 1.28 billion on the same day [2] Group 1: Shareholder Actions - EVE Lithium Energy (300014) plans to reduce its stake in Smoore International by up to 3.5% within a year through block trades and centralized bidding, involving approximately 216 million shares [4] - EVE Lithium currently holds 30.73% of Smoore's total share capital, and after the reduction, it will no longer be the controlling shareholder [4] - The market value of EVE Lithium's stake in Smoore International is approximately HKD 34.08 billion, with the planned reduction valued at HKD 3.882 billion [4] Group 2: Historical Performance and Financials - EVE Lithium has invested in Smoore International for over ten years, acquiring 50.1% of its predecessor in 2014 for HKD 439 million [5] - Smoore International went public in July 2020 at an issue price of HKD 12.4 per share and has since distributed nine cash dividends, yielding EVE Lithium nearly HKD 2 billion [5] - Smoore's revenue has declined from HKD 137.55 billion in 2021 to an estimated HKD 117.99 billion in 2024, with net profits dropping from HKD 52.87 billion to HKD 13.03 billion over the same period [5] Group 3: Market Opportunities and Challenges - Smoore International has struggled to capitalize on the disposable e-cigarette market but may benefit from recent bans on disposable e-cigarettes in major sales countries [5] - The company has seen improvements in its ODM business for vaping products, with its own brand revenue increasing to 21% [6] - Smoore is collaborating with British American Tobacco on HNB products, with plans for a new product launch in mid-2025 [6] - The company is investing in the medical nebulization sector, with a 41.3% increase in R&D spending in this area, although current revenue from medical nebulization remains low at HKD 27 million [6]
国海证券晨会纪要-20250604
Guohai Securities· 2025-06-04 01:37
Group 1 - The report highlights the price increase of chromium oxide green and the frequent safety issues in the chemical industry, emphasizing the need to focus on capacity reduction in the sector [3][4][6] - The chromium salt industry is expected to experience significant opportunities as demand shifts from traditional low-growth applications to high-growth sectors such as AI data centers and aerospace [4][5] - The supply-demand tension in the phosphate rock market is anticipated to continue, with existing production capacity facing delays and increasing demand from lithium iron phosphate batteries [4][5] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of new materials in the chemical industry, which is expected to see rapid growth driven by policy support and technological breakthroughs [33][38] - Key sectors to focus on include electronic information materials, aerospace materials, and renewable energy materials, with specific companies highlighted for their strong positions in these areas [34][36][38] - The hydrogen energy sector is projected to lead global consumption in 2024, with significant advancements in renewable energy hydrogen production [39] Group 3 - The report on Li Auto indicates a slight increase in gross margin and a year-on-year profit growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 25.93 billion yuan [46][47] - The company has launched new models equipped with advanced driving assistance systems, enhancing its competitive edge in the electric vehicle market [49][50] - Li Auto's delivery volume is expected to grow in Q2 2025, with projected revenue between 32.5 billion and 33.8 billion yuan [50] Group 4 - The aluminum industry is experiencing a favorable macro environment, with potential easing of tariff pressures and improved inventory management during the off-season [54][56] - The report notes stable operating capacity in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a slight increase in production costs due to rising alumina prices [56][57] - Demand for aluminum in various sectors, including construction and automotive, is expected to remain stable, although some segments may face seasonal slowdowns [56][57]