NYMEX钯金主力合约
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贵金属期现日报-20260330
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-03-30 09:22
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short term, although the US has signaled peace talks with Iran, the conditions for a cease - fire agreement may be harsh. There may be more intense conflicts leading to a liquidity shock and a decline in gold prices. However, the impact of geopolitical conflicts on the market is expected to be gradually digested. The halt of outflows from gold ETF funds is beneficial for price stability. The market will enter a technical repair phase. One can try to buy call options below $4400 per ounce to seize the opportunity of a phased rebound [2] - As gold stops falling, silver may gradually bottom out around $60 - $65, with an upper resistance at $85. It is recommended to continue holding the short position of out - of - the - money call options on Shanghai silver futures [2] - Platinum and palladium are following the trends of gold and silver, entering a volatile phase. Platinum fluctuates in the range of $1850 - $2000, while palladium fluctuates in the range of $1450 - $1600. Since the fundamentals of palladium are relatively weaker, one can try to go long on the platinum - palladium ratio at low prices [2] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2606 contract closed at 998.66 yuan per gram on March 27, up 2.68 yuan (0.27%) from March 26 [2] - AG2606 contract closed at 17,489 yuan per kilogram on March 27, up 17 yuan (0.10%) from March 26 [2] - PT2606 contract closed at 493.05 yuan on March 27, up 5.65 yuan (1.16%) from March 26 [2] - PD2606 contract closed at 358.20 yuan per gram on March 27, up 4.85 yuan (1.37%) from March 26 [2] 2. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold main contract closed at 4489.70 on March 27, up 112.80 (2.58%) from March 26 [2] - COMEX silver main contract closed at 69.77 on March 27, up 1.65 (2.41%) from March 26 [2] - NYMEX platinum main contract closed at $1866.40 per ounce on March 27, up $53.10 (2.93%) from March 26 [2] - NYMEX palladium main contract closed at 1384.50 on March 27, up 19.50 (1.43%) from March 26 [2] 3. Spot Prices - London gold was at 4493.36 on March 27, up 113.54 (2.59%) from the previous value [2] - London silver was at 69.73 on March 27, up 1.67 (2.45%) from the previous value [2] - Spot platinum was at $1849.00 per ounce on March 27, down $20.00 (- 1.07%) from the previous value [2] - Spot palladium was at 1387.00 on March 27, up 15.00 (1.09%) from the previous value [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 992.45 yuan per gram on March 27, up 2.68 yuan (0.27%) from the previous value [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 17467 yuan per kilogram on March 27, up 175 yuan (1.01%) from the previous value [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 477 yuan per gram on March 27, down 8 yuan (- 1.55%) from the previous value [2] 4. Spreads - The spread between gold TD and Shanghai gold main contract was - 6.21, unchanged from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [2] - The spread between silver TD and Shanghai silver main contract was - 22, up 158 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [2] - The spread between London gold and COMEX gold was 3.66, up 0.74 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 99.20% [2] - The spread between London silver and COMEX silver was - 0.05, up 0.02 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 59.70% [2] 5. Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold to silver was 64.35, up 0.10 (0.16%) from the previous value [2] - The ratio of Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold to silver was 57.10, up 0.10 (0.17%) from the previous value [2] - The ratio of NYMEX platinum to palladium was 1.35, up 0.02 (1.48%) from the previous value [2] - The ratio of Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum to palladium was 1.38, unchanged from the previous value, with a change rate of - 0.21% [2] 6. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.44% on March 27, up 0.02 percentage points (0.5%) from the previous value [2] - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.88% on March 27, down 0.08 percentage points (- 2.0%) from the previous value [2] - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 2.13% on March 27, up 0.05 percentage points (2.4%) from the previous value [2] - The US dollar index was 100.17 on March 27, up 0.26 (0.26%) from the previous value [2] - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9198 on March 27, down 0.0007 (- 0.01%) from the previous value [2] 7. Inventories and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 106,644 kilograms on March 27, down 99 kilograms (- 0.09%) from the previous value [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory was 371,799 on March 27, up 1500 (0.41%) from the previous value [2] - COMEX gold inventory was 31,713,528 on March 27, down 192,945 (- 0.60%) from the previous value [2] - COMEX silver inventory was 328,297,364 on March 27, down 250,587 (- 0.08%) from the previous value [2] - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 16,618,235 on March 27, down 123,951 (- 0.74%) from the previous value [2] - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 76,024,857 on March 27, down 1,144,816 (- 1.48%) from the previous value [2] - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1053 on March 27, up 0.28 (0.03%) from the previous value [2] - The SLV silver ETF position was 15,409 on March 27, unchanged from the previous value [2]
广发期货《金融》日报-20260327
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-03-27 02:08
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - The latest values, changes from the previous day, 1 - year historical percentiles, and all - time historical percentiles of IF, IH, IC, and IM futures price - spot price spreads and inter - period spreads are presented. For example, the IF futures price - spot price spread is - 81.53, with a change of 5.93 from the previous day, and 1 - year and all - time historical percentiles of 2.40% and 2.20% respectively [1]. - The ratios of different stock indices such as CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 500/SSE 50, etc., along with their changes and percentiles, are provided. For instance, the CSI 500/CSI 300 ratio is 1.7068, with a change of - 0.0051, and 1 - year and all - time historical percentiles of 81.50% and 77.30% respectively [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - The latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of the basis and inter - period spreads of TS, TF, T, and TL treasury bond futures are given. For example, the TS basis on March 26, 2026, is 0.0400, with a change of 0.0012 from the previous day, and a percentile of 8.809 since listing [3]. - The cross - variety spreads between different treasury bond futures, such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., along with their changes and percentiles, are presented. For example, the TS - TF spread on March 26, 2026, is - 3.4600, with a change of - 0.0450, and a percentile of 13.10% [3]. Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - The closing prices, price changes, and price change rates of domestic and foreign precious metal futures contracts on March 26 and March 25 are reported. For example, the AU2606 contract closed at 095.98 on March 26, down 17.98 (- 1.77%) from March 25 [4]. - The spot prices, price changes, and price change rates of precious metals such as London gold, London silver, etc., are provided. For example, the price of London gold on March 26 is 4379.82, down 125.49 (- 2.79%) from March 25 [4]. - The basis values, their changes, and historical 1 - year percentiles are presented. For example, the gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is - 6.21, with a change of - 6.69, and a 1 - year historical percentile of 46.10% [4]. - The ratios between different precious metals, along with their changes and price change rates, are given. For example, the COMEX gold/silver ratio is 64.25, up 1.22 (1.93%) [4]. - The values of interest rates, exchange rates, inventories, and positions, along with their changes, are reported. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.42, up 0.09 (2.1%) [4]. - Investment suggestions are provided: in the short - term, although the US is actively promoting peace talks with Iran, reaching a cease - fire agreement may be difficult, and there may be intense conflicts, causing the gold price to fall again. In the medium - to - long - term, allocation should be cautious. In the short - term, one can try to buy call options around $4400 to seize the opportunity of a phased recovery. Silver may gradually bottom out around $60 - 65, with resistance at $85. It is recommended to continue holding short positions of out - of - the - money call options on Shanghai silver. Platinum and palladium fluctuate widely following the trends of gold and silver, with platinum fluctuating in the range of $1850 - 2000 and palladium in the range of $1450 - 1600 [4].
贵金属期现日报-20260327
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-03-27 02:02
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short term, although the US is actively promoting peace talks with Iran, the conditions for reaching a cease - fire agreement may be harsh. There is a possibility of intense conflicts between the two sides, causing the gold price to fall again. Gold ETF funds may stop flowing out, and there will be a liquidity shock. In the medium - to - long - term, allocation should be cautious. Intraday, one can try to buy call options around $4400 to seize the opportunity of a phased recovery [2] - The silver correction may gradually bottom out around $60 - 65, with resistance at $85. It is recommended to continue holding the short position of out - of - the - money call options on Shanghai silver [2] - Platinum and palladium follow the wide - range fluctuations of gold and silver. Platinum fluctuates in the range of $1850 - 2000, and palladium fluctuates in the range of $1450 - 1600 [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2606 contract closed at 995.98 yuan/gram on March 26, down 1.77% from the previous day [2] - AG2606 contract closed at 17472 yuan/kilogram on March 26, down 3.53% from the previous day [2] - PT2606 contract closed at 487.40 yuan/gram on March 26, down 3.65% from the previous day [2] - PD2606 contract closed at 353.35 yuan/gram on March 26, down 4.12% from the previous day [2] 3.2 Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold main contract closed at 4376.90 on March 26, down 2.81% from the previous day [2] - COMEX silver main contract closed at 68.13 dollars/ounce on March 26, down 4.65% from the previous day [2] - NYMEX platinum main contract closed at 1813.30 on March 26, down 5.06% from the previous day [2] - NYMEX palladium main contract closed at 1365.00 on March 26, down 3.77% from the previous day [2] 3.3 Spot Prices - London gold was at 4379.82 on March 26, down 2.79% from the previous day [2] - London silver was at 68.06 dollars/ounce on March 26, down 4.38% from the previous day [2] - Spot platinum was at 1869.00 dollars/ounce on March 26, down 4.15% from the previous day [2] - Spot palladium was at 1372.00 on March 26, down 4.32% from the previous day [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange gold T + D was at 989.77 yuan/gram on March 26, down 2.43% from the previous day [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange silver T + D was at 17292 yuan/ten grams on March 26, down 4.57% from the previous day [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange platinum 9995 was at 485 yuan/gram on March 26, down 4.88% from the previous day [2] 3.4 Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract was - 6.21, down 6.69 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [2] - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract was - 180, down 190 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [2] - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 9.13, up 4.16 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 75.60% [2] - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was - 0.37, down 0.15 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 21.70% [2] 3.5 Price Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold/silver was 64.25, up 1.93% from the previous day [2] - The ratio of SHFE main gold/silver was 57.00, up 1.82% from the previous day [2] - The ratio of NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.33, down 1.34% from the previous day [2] - The ratio of GZFE platinum/palladium was 1.38, up 0.50% from the previous day [2] 3.6 Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.42%, up 2.1% from the previous day [2] - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.96%, up 3.1% from the previous day [2] - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 2.08%, up 3.0% from the previous day [2] - The US dollar index was 99.92, up 0.29% from the previous day [2] - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9206, up 0.23% from the previous day [2] 3.7 Inventories and Positions - The SHFE gold inventory was 106743, unchanged from the previous day [2] - The SHFE silver inventory was 370299 kilograms, down 1.54% from the previous day [2] - The COMEX gold inventory was 31906473, down 0.12% from the previous day [2] - The COMEX silver inventory was 328547950, down 0.09% from the previous day [2] - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 16742186, down 0.12% from the previous day [2] - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 77169673, up 0.65% from the previous day [2] - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1053, up 0.03% from the previous day [2] - The SLV silver ETF position was 15409, down 0.67% from the previous day [2]
贵金属期现日报-20260326
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-03-26 02:31
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short term, although the US is actively promoting peace talks with Iran, the conditions for a cease - fire agreement may be harsh. There is a possibility of intense conflicts between the two sides, and the gold price may fall again. Gold ETF funds have stopped flowing out, but long - term allocation requires caution. For short - term intraday trading, one can try to buy call options around $4400 - $4450 to seize the opportunity of a phased recovery [2] - If the US - Iran war eases, the silver price is expected to stop falling and rise. However, if the situation escalates again, it may fall back to around $60 - $65. The upper resistance is at $85. It is recommended to continue holding the short position of out - of - the - money call options on Shanghai silver [2] - Platinum fluctuates in the range of $1850 - $2000, and palladium fluctuates in the range of $1450 - $1600 [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2606 contract closed at 1013.96 yuan/gram on March 25, up 36.68 yuan or 3.15% from March 24 [2] - AG2606 contract closed at 18111 yuan/kilogram on March 25, up 1026 yuan or 6.01% from March 24 [2] - PT2606 contract closed at 505.85 yuan on March 25, up 18.45 yuan or 3.79% from March 24 [2] - PD2606 contract closed at 368.55 yuan/gram on March 25, up 9.05 yuan or 2.52% from March 24 [2] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold main contract closed at 4503.30 on March 25, up 28.40 or 0.63% from March 24 [2] - COMEX silver main contract closed at 71.45 on March 25, unchanged from March 24 [2] - NYMEX platinum main contract closed at 1910.00 dollars/ounce on March 25, down 10.50 or - 0.55% from March 24 [2] - NYMEX palladium main contract closed at 1418.50 on March 25, down 26.00 or - 1.80% from March 24 [2] Spot Prices - London gold was at 4505.31 on March 25, up 33.29 or 0.74% from the previous value [2] - London silver was at 71.18 dollars/ounce on March 25, down 0.10 or - 0.14% from the previous value [2] - Spot platinum was at 1950.00 on March 25, up 58.00 or 3.07% from the previous value [2] - Spot palladium was at 1434.00 on March 25, up 41.00 or 2.94% from the previous value [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1014.44 yuan/gram on March 25, up 36.45 or 3.73% from March 24 [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 18121 yuan/kilogram on March 25, up 5.56% from March 24 [2] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 509 yuan/gram on March 25, up 34 or 7.21% from the previous value [2] Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract was 0.48, down 0.23 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [2] - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract was 10, down 71 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [2] - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 9.13, up 4.16 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 75.60% [2] - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was - 0.37, down 0.15 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 21.70% [2] Price Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold/silver was 63.03 on March 25, up 0.40 or 0.63% from the previous value [2] - The ratio of Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold/silver was 55.99 on March 25, down 1.22 or - 2.12% from the previous value [2] - The ratio of NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.35 on March 25, up 0.02 or 1.28% from the previous value [2] - The ratio of Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum/palladium was 1.37 on March 25, up 0.02 or 1.24% from the previous value [2] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.33 on March 25, down 0.06 or - 1.4% from the previous value [2] - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.84 on March 25, down 0.06 or - 1.5% from the previous value [2] - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 2.02 on March 25, down 0.04 or - 1.9% from the previous value [2] - The US dollar index was 99.63 on March 25, up 0.40 or 0.41% from the previous value [2] - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9046 on March 25, up 0.0120 or 0.17% from the previous value [2] Inventory and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 106743 on March 25, unchanged from the previous value [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory was 376094 kilograms on March 25, up 10171 or 2.78% from the previous value [2] - COMEX gold inventory was 31945633 on March 25, down 70802 or - 0.22% from the previous value [2] - COMEX silver inventory was 328841370 on March 25, down 2610436 or - 0.79% from the previous value [2] - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 16762284 on March 25, up 217355 or 1.31% from the previous value [2] - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 76672090 on March 25, up 123511 or 0.16% from the previous value [2] - SPDR gold ETF position was 1052 on March 25, down 0.57 or - 0.05% from the previous value [2] - SLV silver ETF position was 15514 on March 25, unchanged from the previous value [2]
贵金属期现日报-20260306
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-03-06 05:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For gold, due to the Middle - East situation and the impact of US non - farm payroll data on the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations, gold is in a short - term volatile trend. It is recommended to wait and see for now, and consider taking profits on long positions at high levels or selling out - of - the - money call options to protect long positions [1]. - For silver, the logic of medium - to - long - term price increase driven by supply inventory shortage and strong investment demand still holds. However, short - term exchange rule adjustments and cautious capital attitudes limit the upward momentum. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money call options to earn time value [1]. - For platinum and palladium, supported by macro - financial attributes and a tight supply pattern, with stable industrial demand and slightly increasing investment demand, prices are generally supported. But due to the drag of gold and silver, the short - term trend remains weakly volatile, and it is recommended to sell out - of - the money call options [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2604 contract closed at 1152.00 yuan/gram on March 5, down 1.06 yuan or 0.09% from March 4 [1]. - AG2604 contract closed at 21639 yuan/ten grams on March 5, down 215 yuan or 0.98% from March 4 [1]. - PT2606 contract closed at 563.95 yuan/gram on March 5, up 0.45 yuan or 0.08% from March 4 [1]. - PD2606 contract closed at 428.00 yuan/gram on March 5, down 5.80 yuan or 1.34% from March 4 [1]. 3.2 Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 5093.30 on March 5, down 58.30 or 1.13% from March 4 [1]. - COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 82.52 on March 5, down 1.25 or 1.49% from March 4 [1]. - NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at 2128.20 dollars/ounce on March 5, down 37.60 or 1.74% from March 4 [1]. - NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at 1650.00 on March 5, down 48.50 or 2.86% from March 4 [1]. 3.3 Spot Prices - London gold was at 5084.69 on March 5, down 35.85 or 0.70% from the previous value [1]. - London silver was at 82.26 on March 5, down 1.28 or 1.54% from the previous value [1]. - Spot palladium was at 2120.10 dollars/ounce on March 5, down 46.90 or 2.16% from the previous value [1]. - Spot platinum was at 1629.50 on March 5, down 38.00 or 2.28% from the previous value [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold + D was at 1148.56 on March 5, down 4.39 or 0.38% from the previous value [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 21068 yuan/ten grams on March 5, down 493 or 2.29% from the previous value [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 554 yuan/gram on March 5, up 3 or 0.47% from the previous value [1]. 3.4 Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 3.44, down 3.33 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [1]. - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was - 571, down 278 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [1]. - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 8.61, up 22.45 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 76.30% [1]. - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was - 0.26, down 0.04 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 30.20% [1]. 3.5 Price Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold/silver was 61.72, up 0.22 or 0.36% from the previous value [1]. - The ratio of Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold/silver was 53.24, up 0.48 or 0.90% from the previous value [1]. - The ratio of NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.29, up 0.01 or 1.15% from the previous value [1]. - The ratio of Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum/palladium was 1.32, up 0.02 or 1.44% from the previous value [1]. 3.6 Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.13, up 0.04 or 1.0% from the previous value [1]. - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.57, up 0.03 or 0.8% from the previous value [1]. - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.82, up 0.02 or 1.1% from the previous value [1]. - The US dollar index was 99.04, up 0.25 or 0.25% from the previous value [1]. - The offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9184, up 0.0238 or 0.35% from the previous value [1]. 3.7 Inventories and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 105033, unchanged from the previous value [1]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory was 272721 kilograms, down 22102 or 7.50% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold inventory was 33100294, up 59808 or 0.18% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver inventory was 351341925, down 877946 or 0.25% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 17003460, up 2000 or 0.01% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 81235306, down 5908189 or 6.78% from the previous value [1]. - The SPRD gold ETF position was 1076, down 5.15 or 0.48% from the previous value [1]. - The SLV silver ETF position was 15810, down 138.05 or 0.87% from the previous value [1].
NYMEX铂金主力合约大涨6% 钯金主力合约大涨5%
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-28 01:12
Group 1 - The NYMEX platinum main contract surged by 6%, currently priced at $2,693.2 per ounce [1] - The NYMEX palladium main contract increased by 5%, currently priced at $1,979.0 per ounce [1]
NYMEX钯金主力合约暴跌12%,现报1925.5美元/盎司
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-27 15:53
Core Viewpoint - The NYMEX palladium futures contract experienced a significant drop of 12%, currently priced at $1925.5 per ounce [1] Group 1 - The decline in palladium prices indicates a volatile market environment, which may impact related industries such as automotive and electronics that rely on palladium for catalytic converters and other applications [1]
贵金属期现日报-20260119
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-19 08:36
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The market will be more affected by U.S. economic data's impact on Fed policy expectations and geopolitical situations. In the short term, the influence of news will weaken, and the market will maintain a strong and volatile trend with reduced fluctuations. Gold long - positions above the 20 - day moving average can be held, and selling out - of - the - money put options can earn time value [1] - For silver, the short - term suspension of the 232 investigation tariff in the U.S. and the exchange's position - limit measures have eased capital sentiment. The price may enter a high - level consolidation phase. It is recommended to wait for the market volatility to decline and then buy on dips, or sell out - of - the money options to earn volatility - reduction returns [1] - Under the influence of strong macro and supply - demand fundamentals, platinum will fluctuate strongly in the short term but with a narrowing range. Platinum futures are recommended to be traded with high - selling and low - buying around the 20 - day moving average, with a fluctuation range of 587 - 640 yuan. Palladium performs weaker than platinum, and out - of - the money call options above 510 yuan can be sold [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract closed at 1032.32 yuan/gram on January 16, down 2.88 yuan (-0.28%) from January 15 [1] - AG2604 contract closed at 22483 yuan/kilogram on January 16, down 182 yuan (-0.80%) from January 15 [1] - PT2606 contract closed at 610.05 yuan/gram on January 16, up 1 yuan (0.16%) from January 15 [1] - PD2606 contract closed at 469.35 yuan on January 16, down 9.25 yuan (-1.93%) from January 15 [1] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 4601.10 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 19.40 dollars (-0.42%) from January 15 [1] - COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 89.05 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 2.27 dollars (-2.46%) from January 15 [1] - NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at 2342.90 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 72.90 dollars (-3.02%) from January 15 [1] - NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at 1846.50 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 19 dollars (-1.02%) from January 15 [1] Spot Prices - London gold was at 4599.04 dollars/ounce, down 16.48 dollars (-0.36%) from the previous value [1] - London silver was at 90.13 dollars/ounce, down 2.26 dollars (-2.45%) from the previous value [1] - Spot platinum was at 2301 dollars/ounce, down 85 dollars (-3.56%) from the previous value [1] - Spot palladium was at 1755 dollars/ounce, down 51 dollars (-2.82%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1031.09 yuan/gram, down 2.83 yuan (-0.27%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 22641 yuan/kilogram, down 43 yuan (-0.19%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 602 yuan/gram, up 5 yuan (0.85%) from the previous value [1] Basis - Gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 1.23, up 0.05 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [1] - Silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was 158, up 139 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [1] - London gold - COMEX gold was - 2.06, up 2.92 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 92.90% [1] - London silver - COMEX silver was 0.19, unchanged from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 90.00% [1] Price Ratios - COMEX gold/silver was 51.15, up 1.05 (2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE gold/silver was 45.92, up 0.24 (0.53%) from the previous value [1] - NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.27, down 0.03 (-2.02%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE platinum/palladium was 1.30, up 0.03 (2.14%) from the previous value [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year U.S. Treasury yield was 4.24%, up 0.07% (1.7%) from the previous value [1] - 2 - year U.S. Treasury yield was 3.59%, up 0.03% (0.8%) from the previous value [1] - 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.91%, up 0.03% (1.6%) from the previous value [1] - U.S. dollar index was 99.37, up 0.03 (0.03%) from the previous value [1] - Offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9674, up 0.0043 (0.06%) from the previous value [1] Inventories and Positions - SHFE gold inventory was 100053, down 99 (-0.10%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE silver inventory was 626843, down 11556 (-1.81%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold inventory was 36135901, up 3000 (0.01%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver inventory was 429156441, down 4225669 (-0.98%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 18823797, down 14274 (-0.08%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 120632557, down 2571966 (-2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SPDR gold ETF position was 1086, up 10.87 (1.01%) from the previous value [1] - SLV silver ETF position was 16073, up 11.28 (0.07%) from the previous value [1]
贵金属期现日报-20260113
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-13 02:27
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - Future market may focus on the impact of US economic data on Fed policy expectations and geopolitical disturbances. If the market overheats, the exchange will take further risk - control measures. If the impact of news weakens, the market will maintain a moderately strong oscillation. Gold can be lightly held long - position above $4300, or sell out - of - the - money put options to earn time value [1]. - For silver, due to the intensifying global inventory shortage and the large - scale increase of spot by institutional long - position funds through ETF and physical delivery, the price is running strongly. The price center is expected to rise continuously, but the rising raw material cost may suppress industrial demand. After the adjustment of the global commodity index is basically digested, it is recommended to hold long - positions above $75 and operate cautiously on a single side in the short - term under high - volatility risk [1]. - Platinum and palladium are strong in terms of macro and supply - demand fundamentals, and their prices are still undervalued compared with gold. The value is reshaped by capital, and they are expected to continue to oscillate upward in the medium - to - long - term. In the short - term, market speculative sentiment weakens and fluctuations narrow. Given the strong external market trend, it is recommended to buy lightly near the 20 - day moving average [1]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract: Closed at 1026.28 yuan/gram on January 12, up 1.97% from January 9 [1]. - AG2604 contract: Closed at 20945 yuan/kilogram on January 12, up 11.82% from January 9 [1]. - PT2606 contract: Closed at 622.80 yuan/gram on January 12, up 3.83% from January 9 [1]. - PD2606 contract: Closed at 499.05 yuan, up 1.21% from January 9 [1]. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力合约: Closed at 4518.40 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 2.00% from January 9 [1]. - COMEX silver主力合约: Up 6.72% from January 9 [1]. - NYMEX platinum主力合约: Closed at 2361.30 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 3.67% from January 9 [1]. - NYMEX palladium主力合约: Closed at 1911.50 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 2.00% from January 9 [1]. Spot Prices - London gold: The current price is 4509.02 dollars/ounce, up 1.99% [1]. - London silver: Up 6.54% [1]. - Spot platinum: The current price is 2374.00 dollars/ounce, up 4.03% [1]. - Spot palladium: The current price is 1851.00 dollars/ounce, up 0.98% [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange gold T + D: Closed at 1022.12 yuan/gram on January 12, up 1.91% from January 9 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange silver T + D: Closed at 20902 yuan/kilogram on January 12, up 11.42% from January 9 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange platinum 9995: Closed at 613 yuan/gram on January 12, up 3.39% from January 9 [1]. Basis - Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract: The current value is - 4.16, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 46.10% [1]. - Silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract: The current value is - 43, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 60.60% [1]. - London gold - COMEX gold: The current value is - 10.24, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 73.80% [1]. - London silver - COMEX silver: The current value is - 0.14, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 71.20% [1]. Ratio of Different Metals - COMEX gold/silver: The current value is 54.12, down 4.43% [1]. - SHFE gold/silver: The current value is 53.73, down 8.81% [1]. - NYMEX platinum/palladium: The current value is 1.24, up 1.63% [1]. - GZFE platinum/palladium: The current value is 1.23, up 2.59% [1]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year US Treasury yield: The current value is 4.19%, up 0.2% [1]. - 2 - year US Treasury yield: The current value is 3.54%, unchanged [1]. - 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield: The current value is 1.90%, unchanged [1]. - US dollar index: The current value is 98.89, down 0.24% [1]. - Offshore RMB exchange rate: The current value is 6.9687, down 0.10% [1]. Inventory and Positions - SHFE gold inventory: The current value is 97653 kilograms, unchanged [1]. - SHFE silver inventory: The current value is 649643 kilograms, up 4.74% [1]. - COMEX gold inventory: The current value is 36311918 ounces, unchanged [1]. - COMEX silver inventory: The current value is 439740503 ounces, down 0.51% [1]. - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts: The current value is 19180167 ounces, down 0.52% [1]. - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts: The current value is 123897999 ounces, down 1.23% [1]. - SPDR gold ETF position: The current value is 1071 tons, up 0.59% [1]. - SLV silver ETF position: The current value is 16348 tons, up 0.24% [1].
贵金属期现日报-20260109
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 03:04
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Report's Core View - For gold, as funds quickly exit the market before the Spring Festival and the price correction is in place, the market may focus on the impact of US economic data such as non - farm payrolls on the Fed's policy and geopolitical disturbances. Gold long positions above $4300 should be held, and attention should be paid to the recovery of the gold - silver ratio [1]. - For silver, long - position funds have significantly increased holdings through ETFs and physical delivery, driving the price to run strongly. The global inventory shortage may not be truly alleviated, but high prices may suppress industrial demand. After exchanges like CME raise margins, the irrational upward movement driven by short - term capital sentiment is expected to end, leading to volatility reduction. Attention should be paid to the potential回调 risk caused by the rebalancing of the global commodity index, and in high - volatility markets, a light - position, low - buying strategy above $70 is recommended [1]. - For platinum and palladium, due to strong macro and supply - demand fundamentals and relatively undervalued prices compared to gold, funds are driving value re - evaluation. They are expected to continue to rise in the medium - to - long - term. In the short - term, as market speculative sentiment weakens and volatility narrows, and with a strong external market, platinum and palladium can be bought lightly at around the 20 - day moving average. Palladium is relatively stronger, and shorting the platinum - palladium ratio can be attempted [1]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract closed at 997.94 yuan/g on January 8, down 0.96 yuan or 0.10% from January 7 [1]. - AG2604 contract closed at 18,450 yuan/kg on January 8, down 840 yuan or 4.35% from January 7 [1]. - PT2606 contract closed at 575.00 yuan/g on January 8, down 23.50 yuan or 3.93% from January 7 [1]. - PD2606 contract closed at 460.70 yuan/g on January 8, down 15.25 yuan or 3.20% from January 7 [1]. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力 contract closed at $4487.90 on January 8, up $20.80 or 0.47% from January 7 [1]. - COMEX silver主力 contract closed at $76.69 on January 8, down $1.29 or - 1.65% from January 7 [1]. - NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at $2282.60 on January 8, down $7.80 or - 0.34% from January 7 [1]. - NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at $1833.50 on January 8, up $16.50 or 0.91% from January 7 [1]. Spot Prices - London gold was at $4477.56 on January 8, up $21.49 or 0.48% from January 7 [1]. - London silver was at $76.97 on January 8, down $1.30 or - 1.66% from January 7 [1]. - Platinum spot was at $2267.45 on January 8, down $30.55 or - 1.33% from January 7 [1]. - Palladium spot was at $1780.26 on January 8, up $24.53 or 1.40% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 995.86 yuan/g on January 8, down 3.34 yuan or - 0.33% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 18,338 yuan/10g on January 8, down 1027 yuan or - 5.30% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold 9995 was at 580 yuan/g on January 8, down 26 yuan or - 4.26% from January 7 [1]. Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 2.08, down 2.38 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 69.00% [1]. - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was - 112, down 187 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 0.00% [1]. - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 10.34, up 0.69 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 73.40% [1]. - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was 0.28, down 0.01 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 90.70% [1]. Price Ratios - The COMEX gold/silver ratio was 58.52, up 1.23 or 2.16% from the previous value [1]. - The SHFE gold/silver ratio was 54.09, up 2.31 or 4.45% from the previous value [1]. - The NYMEX platinum/palladium ratio was 1.24, down 0.02 or - 1.24% from the previous value [1]. - The GZFE platinum/palladium ratio was 1.25, down 0.01 or - 0.75% from the previous value [1]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.19%, up 0.04 percentage points or 1.0% from the previous value [1]. - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.49%, up 0.02 percentage points or 0.6% from the previous value [1]. - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.92%, up 0.04 percentage points or 2.1% from the previous value [1]. - The US dollar index was 98.86, up 0.12 or 0.12% from the previous value [1]. - The on - shore RMB exchange rate was 6.9823, down 0.0112 or - 0.16% from the previous value [1]. Inventory and Positions - The SHFE gold inventory was 97,653, unchanged from the previous value [1]. - The SHFE silver inventory was 637,647 kg on January 8, up 84,218 kg or 15.22% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold inventory was 36,387,376, down 16,076 or - 0.04% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver inventory was 442,479,414, down 3,257,982 or - 0.73% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 19,345,676, up 16,280 or 0.08% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 127,180,871, down 5,093 or 0.00% from the previous value [1]. - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1,067, unchanged from the previous value [1]. - The SLV silver ETF position was 16,215, up 115.60 or 0.72% from the previous value [1].