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贵金属期现日报-20260127
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 01:11
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report [1] Group 2: Core Views - The future market may be more affected by US economic data's impact on Fed policy expectations and geopolitical disruptions. In the short - term, the precious metals market will maintain a strong oscillation, with gold's upward momentum increasing above the 20 - day moving average, and long positions should continue to be held [1] - Driven by factors such as capital sentiment, the short - term silver price trend is strong and hard to predict the peak, but the market fluctuates greatly. It is recommended to pay attention to risk control measures of exchanges, maintain the idea of buying on dips with light positions and lock in profits in a timely manner [1] - Platinum and palladium, supported by macro - financial attributes and a tight supply pattern, form a linkage with the rising trend of gold, and their price centers continue to rise. Given the current RMB appreciation, the overseas market prices perform stronger than the domestic ones, and it is recommended to buy on dips [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - The AU2604 contract rose 27.68 yuan/g to 1143.32 yuan/g, a 2.48% increase from January 23rd to January 26th - The AG2604 contract rose 2242 yuan/ten grams to 27207 yuan/ten grams, an 8.98% increase - The PT2606 contract rose 58.80 yuan/g to 744.70 yuan/g, an 8.57% increase - The PD2606 contract rose 36.85 yuan/g to 534.80 yuan/g, a 7.40% increase [1] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - The COMEX gold主力 contract rose 21.70 to 5004.80, a 0.44% increase - The COMEX silver主力 contract rose 0.63 to 103.89, a 0.61% increase - The NYMEX platinum主力 contract fell 197.60 to 2575.60 dollars/ounce, a 7.13% decrease - The NYMEX palladium主力 contract fell 54.50 to 1992.50, a 2.66% decrease [1] Spot Prices - London gold rose 28.57 to 5009.88, a 0.57% increase - London silver rose 0.53 to 103.87, a 0.52% increase - Platinum rose 106.00 to 2811.00 dollars/ounce, a 3.92% increase - Palladium rose 116.00 to 2092.00, a 5.87% increase - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D rose 33.91 yuan/g to 1144.26 yuan/g, a 3.05% increase - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D rose 2525 yuan/ten grams to 27513 yuan/ten grams, a 10.10% increase - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 rose 52 yuan/g to 733 yuan/g, a 7.59% increase [1] Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 increased 6.23 to 0.94, at the 46.10% quantile of the past year - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 increased 283 to 306, at the 60.60% quantile of the past year - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold increased 6.87 to 5.08, at the 99.60% quantile of the past year - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver decreased 0.10 to - 0.02, at the 69.00% quantile of the past year [1] Price Ratios - The COMEX gold/silver ratio fell 0.08 to 48.17, a 0.17% decrease - The Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver ratio fell 2.67 to 42.02, a 5.96% decrease - The NYMEX platinum/palladium ratio fell 0.06 to 1.29, a 4.58% decrease - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange platinum/palladium ratio rose 0.02 to 1.39, a 1.09% increase [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.02 to 4.22, a 0.5% decrease - The 2 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.04 to 3.56, a 1.1% decrease - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield fell 0.02 to 1.90, a 1.0% decrease - The US dollar index fell 0.45 to 97.05, a 0.47% decrease - The on - shore RMB exchange rate rose 0.0006 to 6.9492, a 0.01% increase [1] Inventory and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory rose 1020 to 103050 ten grams, a 1.00% increase - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory fell 7280 to 573810, a 1.25% decrease - The COMEX gold inventory fell 202778 to 35941502, a 0.56% decrease - The COMEX silver inventory fell 1183026 to 415241837, a 0.28% decrease - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts fell 386 to 18845680, a 0.00% decrease - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 114262775 - The SPDR gold ETF position remained unchanged at 1087 - The SLV silver ETF position fell 115.58 to 15974, a 0.72% decrease [1]
贵金属期现日报-20260119
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-19 08:36
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The market will be more affected by U.S. economic data's impact on Fed policy expectations and geopolitical situations. In the short term, the influence of news will weaken, and the market will maintain a strong and volatile trend with reduced fluctuations. Gold long - positions above the 20 - day moving average can be held, and selling out - of - the - money put options can earn time value [1] - For silver, the short - term suspension of the 232 investigation tariff in the U.S. and the exchange's position - limit measures have eased capital sentiment. The price may enter a high - level consolidation phase. It is recommended to wait for the market volatility to decline and then buy on dips, or sell out - of - the money options to earn volatility - reduction returns [1] - Under the influence of strong macro and supply - demand fundamentals, platinum will fluctuate strongly in the short term but with a narrowing range. Platinum futures are recommended to be traded with high - selling and low - buying around the 20 - day moving average, with a fluctuation range of 587 - 640 yuan. Palladium performs weaker than platinum, and out - of - the money call options above 510 yuan can be sold [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract closed at 1032.32 yuan/gram on January 16, down 2.88 yuan (-0.28%) from January 15 [1] - AG2604 contract closed at 22483 yuan/kilogram on January 16, down 182 yuan (-0.80%) from January 15 [1] - PT2606 contract closed at 610.05 yuan/gram on January 16, up 1 yuan (0.16%) from January 15 [1] - PD2606 contract closed at 469.35 yuan on January 16, down 9.25 yuan (-1.93%) from January 15 [1] Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 4601.10 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 19.40 dollars (-0.42%) from January 15 [1] - COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 89.05 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 2.27 dollars (-2.46%) from January 15 [1] - NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at 2342.90 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 72.90 dollars (-3.02%) from January 15 [1] - NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at 1846.50 dollars/ounce on January 16, down 19 dollars (-1.02%) from January 15 [1] Spot Prices - London gold was at 4599.04 dollars/ounce, down 16.48 dollars (-0.36%) from the previous value [1] - London silver was at 90.13 dollars/ounce, down 2.26 dollars (-2.45%) from the previous value [1] - Spot platinum was at 2301 dollars/ounce, down 85 dollars (-3.56%) from the previous value [1] - Spot palladium was at 1755 dollars/ounce, down 51 dollars (-2.82%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 1031.09 yuan/gram, down 2.83 yuan (-0.27%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 22641 yuan/kilogram, down 43 yuan (-0.19%) from the previous value [1] - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 602 yuan/gram, up 5 yuan (0.85%) from the previous value [1] Basis - Gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 1.23, up 0.05 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.10% [1] - Silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was 158, up 139 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 60.60% [1] - London gold - COMEX gold was - 2.06, up 2.92 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 92.90% [1] - London silver - COMEX silver was 0.19, unchanged from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 90.00% [1] Price Ratios - COMEX gold/silver was 51.15, up 1.05 (2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE gold/silver was 45.92, up 0.24 (0.53%) from the previous value [1] - NYMEX platinum/palladium was 1.27, down 0.03 (-2.02%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE platinum/palladium was 1.30, up 0.03 (2.14%) from the previous value [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year U.S. Treasury yield was 4.24%, up 0.07% (1.7%) from the previous value [1] - 2 - year U.S. Treasury yield was 3.59%, up 0.03% (0.8%) from the previous value [1] - 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.91%, up 0.03% (1.6%) from the previous value [1] - U.S. dollar index was 99.37, up 0.03 (0.03%) from the previous value [1] - Offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9674, up 0.0043 (0.06%) from the previous value [1] Inventories and Positions - SHFE gold inventory was 100053, down 99 (-0.10%) from the previous value [1] - SHFE silver inventory was 626843, down 11556 (-1.81%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold inventory was 36135901, up 3000 (0.01%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver inventory was 429156441, down 4225669 (-0.98%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 18823797, down 14274 (-0.08%) from the previous value [1] - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 120632557, down 2571966 (-2.09%) from the previous value [1] - SPDR gold ETF position was 1086, up 10.87 (1.01%) from the previous value [1] - SLV silver ETF position was 16073, up 11.28 (0.07%) from the previous value [1]
贵金属期现日报-20260113
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-13 02:27
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - Future market may focus on the impact of US economic data on Fed policy expectations and geopolitical disturbances. If the market overheats, the exchange will take further risk - control measures. If the impact of news weakens, the market will maintain a moderately strong oscillation. Gold can be lightly held long - position above $4300, or sell out - of - the - money put options to earn time value [1]. - For silver, due to the intensifying global inventory shortage and the large - scale increase of spot by institutional long - position funds through ETF and physical delivery, the price is running strongly. The price center is expected to rise continuously, but the rising raw material cost may suppress industrial demand. After the adjustment of the global commodity index is basically digested, it is recommended to hold long - positions above $75 and operate cautiously on a single side in the short - term under high - volatility risk [1]. - Platinum and palladium are strong in terms of macro and supply - demand fundamentals, and their prices are still undervalued compared with gold. The value is reshaped by capital, and they are expected to continue to oscillate upward in the medium - to - long - term. In the short - term, market speculative sentiment weakens and fluctuations narrow. Given the strong external market trend, it is recommended to buy lightly near the 20 - day moving average [1]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract: Closed at 1026.28 yuan/gram on January 12, up 1.97% from January 9 [1]. - AG2604 contract: Closed at 20945 yuan/kilogram on January 12, up 11.82% from January 9 [1]. - PT2606 contract: Closed at 622.80 yuan/gram on January 12, up 3.83% from January 9 [1]. - PD2606 contract: Closed at 499.05 yuan, up 1.21% from January 9 [1]. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力合约: Closed at 4518.40 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 2.00% from January 9 [1]. - COMEX silver主力合约: Up 6.72% from January 9 [1]. - NYMEX platinum主力合约: Closed at 2361.30 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 3.67% from January 9 [1]. - NYMEX palladium主力合约: Closed at 1911.50 dollars/ounce on January 12, up 2.00% from January 9 [1]. Spot Prices - London gold: The current price is 4509.02 dollars/ounce, up 1.99% [1]. - London silver: Up 6.54% [1]. - Spot platinum: The current price is 2374.00 dollars/ounce, up 4.03% [1]. - Spot palladium: The current price is 1851.00 dollars/ounce, up 0.98% [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange gold T + D: Closed at 1022.12 yuan/gram on January 12, up 1.91% from January 9 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange silver T + D: Closed at 20902 yuan/kilogram on January 12, up 11.42% from January 9 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange platinum 9995: Closed at 613 yuan/gram on January 12, up 3.39% from January 9 [1]. Basis - Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract: The current value is - 4.16, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 46.10% [1]. - Silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract: The current value is - 43, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 60.60% [1]. - London gold - COMEX gold: The current value is - 10.24, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 73.80% [1]. - London silver - COMEX silver: The current value is - 0.14, with a historical 1 - year quantile of 71.20% [1]. Ratio of Different Metals - COMEX gold/silver: The current value is 54.12, down 4.43% [1]. - SHFE gold/silver: The current value is 53.73, down 8.81% [1]. - NYMEX platinum/palladium: The current value is 1.24, up 1.63% [1]. - GZFE platinum/palladium: The current value is 1.23, up 2.59% [1]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year US Treasury yield: The current value is 4.19%, up 0.2% [1]. - 2 - year US Treasury yield: The current value is 3.54%, unchanged [1]. - 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield: The current value is 1.90%, unchanged [1]. - US dollar index: The current value is 98.89, down 0.24% [1]. - Offshore RMB exchange rate: The current value is 6.9687, down 0.10% [1]. Inventory and Positions - SHFE gold inventory: The current value is 97653 kilograms, unchanged [1]. - SHFE silver inventory: The current value is 649643 kilograms, up 4.74% [1]. - COMEX gold inventory: The current value is 36311918 ounces, unchanged [1]. - COMEX silver inventory: The current value is 439740503 ounces, down 0.51% [1]. - COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts: The current value is 19180167 ounces, down 0.52% [1]. - COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts: The current value is 123897999 ounces, down 1.23% [1]. - SPDR gold ETF position: The current value is 1071 tons, up 0.59% [1]. - SLV silver ETF position: The current value is 16348 tons, up 0.24% [1].
贵金属期现日报-20260109
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 03:04
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Report's Core View - For gold, as funds quickly exit the market before the Spring Festival and the price correction is in place, the market may focus on the impact of US economic data such as non - farm payrolls on the Fed's policy and geopolitical disturbances. Gold long positions above $4300 should be held, and attention should be paid to the recovery of the gold - silver ratio [1]. - For silver, long - position funds have significantly increased holdings through ETFs and physical delivery, driving the price to run strongly. The global inventory shortage may not be truly alleviated, but high prices may suppress industrial demand. After exchanges like CME raise margins, the irrational upward movement driven by short - term capital sentiment is expected to end, leading to volatility reduction. Attention should be paid to the potential回调 risk caused by the rebalancing of the global commodity index, and in high - volatility markets, a light - position, low - buying strategy above $70 is recommended [1]. - For platinum and palladium, due to strong macro and supply - demand fundamentals and relatively undervalued prices compared to gold, funds are driving value re - evaluation. They are expected to continue to rise in the medium - to - long - term. In the short - term, as market speculative sentiment weakens and volatility narrows, and with a strong external market, platinum and palladium can be bought lightly at around the 20 - day moving average. Palladium is relatively stronger, and shorting the platinum - palladium ratio can be attempted [1]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract closed at 997.94 yuan/g on January 8, down 0.96 yuan or 0.10% from January 7 [1]. - AG2604 contract closed at 18,450 yuan/kg on January 8, down 840 yuan or 4.35% from January 7 [1]. - PT2606 contract closed at 575.00 yuan/g on January 8, down 23.50 yuan or 3.93% from January 7 [1]. - PD2606 contract closed at 460.70 yuan/g on January 8, down 15.25 yuan or 3.20% from January 7 [1]. Foreign Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold主力 contract closed at $4487.90 on January 8, up $20.80 or 0.47% from January 7 [1]. - COMEX silver主力 contract closed at $76.69 on January 8, down $1.29 or - 1.65% from January 7 [1]. - NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at $2282.60 on January 8, down $7.80 or - 0.34% from January 7 [1]. - NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at $1833.50 on January 8, up $16.50 or 0.91% from January 7 [1]. Spot Prices - London gold was at $4477.56 on January 8, up $21.49 or 0.48% from January 7 [1]. - London silver was at $76.97 on January 8, down $1.30 or - 1.66% from January 7 [1]. - Platinum spot was at $2267.45 on January 8, down $30.55 or - 1.33% from January 7 [1]. - Palladium spot was at $1780.26 on January 8, up $24.53 or 1.40% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 995.86 yuan/g on January 8, down 3.34 yuan or - 0.33% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T + D was at 18,338 yuan/10g on January 8, down 1027 yuan or - 5.30% from January 7 [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold 9995 was at 580 yuan/g on January 8, down 26 yuan or - 4.26% from January 7 [1]. Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 was - 2.08, down 2.38 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 69.00% [1]. - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 was - 112, down 187 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 0.00% [1]. - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 10.34, up 0.69 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 73.40% [1]. - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was 0.28, down 0.01 from the previous value, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 90.70% [1]. Price Ratios - The COMEX gold/silver ratio was 58.52, up 1.23 or 2.16% from the previous value [1]. - The SHFE gold/silver ratio was 54.09, up 2.31 or 4.45% from the previous value [1]. - The NYMEX platinum/palladium ratio was 1.24, down 0.02 or - 1.24% from the previous value [1]. - The GZFE platinum/palladium ratio was 1.25, down 0.01 or - 0.75% from the previous value [1]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.19%, up 0.04 percentage points or 1.0% from the previous value [1]. - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.49%, up 0.02 percentage points or 0.6% from the previous value [1]. - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.92%, up 0.04 percentage points or 2.1% from the previous value [1]. - The US dollar index was 98.86, up 0.12 or 0.12% from the previous value [1]. - The on - shore RMB exchange rate was 6.9823, down 0.0112 or - 0.16% from the previous value [1]. Inventory and Positions - The SHFE gold inventory was 97,653, unchanged from the previous value [1]. - The SHFE silver inventory was 637,647 kg on January 8, up 84,218 kg or 15.22% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold inventory was 36,387,376, down 16,076 or - 0.04% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver inventory was 442,479,414, down 3,257,982 or - 0.73% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 19,345,676, up 16,280 or 0.08% from the previous value [1]. - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 127,180,871, down 5,093 or 0.00% from the previous value [1]. - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1,067, unchanged from the previous value [1]. - The SLV silver ETF position was 16,215, up 115.60 or 0.72% from the previous value [1].
《金融》日报-20260109
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 02:41
Group 1: Precious Metals Investment Rating No specific investment rating provided in the report. Core View - Gold: After the pre - holiday capital quickly left the market and the price corrected, the future market may focus on the impact of US economic data such as non - farm payrolls on the Fed's policy and geopolitical disturbances. Hold gold long positions above $4300 and pay attention to the recovery of the gold - silver ratio [1]. - Silver: Long - position funds increased holdings through ETFs and physical delivery, driving the price to run strongly. The global inventory shortage may not be truly resolved, but high prices may suppress industrial demand. After the "irrational" upward trend ends, pay attention to the possible callback caused by the global commodity index rebalancing. It is recommended to maintain a light - position and low - buying strategy above $70 [1]. - Platinum and Palladium: Driven by funds, their values are being reshaped due to strong macro and supply - demand fundamentals and undervalued prices compared to gold. They are expected to continue to rise in the medium - to - long - term. In the short - term, as market speculative sentiment weakens, it is recommended to buy platinum and palladium on dips near the 20 - day moving average, and try to short the platinum - palladium ratio as palladium is relatively stronger [1]. Summary by Related Catalog - **Domestic Futures Closing Prices**: On January 8, 2026, the AU2602 contract closed at 997.94 yuan/gram, down 0.10% from the previous day; the AG2604 contract closed at 18,450 yuan/kg, down 4.35%; the PT2606 contract closed at 575.00 yuan/gram, down 3.93%; the PD2606 contract closed at 460.70 yuan/gram, down 3.20% [1]. - **Foreign Futures Closing Prices**: The COMEX gold主力 contract closed at $4487.90 on January 8, up 0.47% from the previous day; the COMEX silver主力 contract closed at $76.69, down 1.65%; the NYMEX platinum主力 contract closed at $2282.60, down 0.34%; the NYMEX palladium主力 contract closed at $1833.50, up 0.91% [1]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at $4477.56 on January 8, up 0.48% from the previous day; London silver was at $76.97, down 1.66%; spot platinum was at $2267.45, down 1.33%; spot palladium was at $1780.26, up 1.40%. The Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D was at 995.86 yuan/gram, down 0.33%; silver T + D was at 18,338 yuan/kg, down 5.30%; platinum 9995 was at 580 yuan/gram, down 4.26% [1]. - **Basis**: The gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 basis was - 2.08, down 2.38 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 69.00%; the silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 basis was - 112, down 187 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 0.00% [1]. - **Ratios**: The COMEX gold/silver ratio was 58.52, up 2.16% from the previous day; the Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver ratio was 54.09, up 4.45%; the NYMEX platinum/palladium ratio was 1.24, down 1.24%; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange platinum/palladium ratio was 1.25, down 0.75% [1]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.19%, up 1.0% from the previous day; the 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.49%, up 0.6%; the 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.92%, up 2.1%. The US dollar index was 98.86, up 0.12%; the offshore RMB exchange rate was 6.9823, down 0.16% [1]. - **Inventory and Positions**: The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 97,653, unchanged from the previous day; silver inventory was 637,647 kg, up 15.22%. The COMEX gold inventory was 36,387,376, down 0.04%; silver inventory was 442,479,414, down 0.73%. The SPDR Gold ETF position was 1067, unchanged; the SLV Silver ETF position was 16,215, up 0.72% [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Investment Rating No specific investment rating provided in the report. Core View No core view explicitly mentioned in the provided content. Summary by Related Catalog - **Basis**: On January 8, 2026, the TS basis was 1.3950, with a change of 0.0071 from the previous day; the TF basis was 1.4169, with a change of 0.0051; the T basis was 1.4579, with a change of 0.0267; the TL basis was 1.4116, with a change of 0.0279 [3]. - **Inter - delivery Spread**: For TS, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts was - 0.0360, with a change of - 0.0060; for TF, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts was 0.0000, with a change of - 0.0100; for T, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts was 0.0950, with a change of 0.0400; for TL, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts was - 0.1500, with a change of 0.0200 [3]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The spread between TS and TF was - 0.0740; between TS and T was - 5.4320; between TF and T was - 2.1900; between TS and TL was - 8.6420; between TF and TL was - 5.4000; between T and TL was - 3.2100 [3]. Group 3: Container Shipping Industry Investment Rating No specific investment rating provided in the report. Core View No core view explicitly mentioned in the provided content. Summary by Related Catalog - **Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) was 1312.71 points on October 27, up 15.11% from October 20; the SCFIS (US West route) was 1107.32 points, up 28.24%. The SCFI composite index was 1656.32 points on October 24, up 6.66% from October 17; the SCFI (European) was $1246/TEU, up 8.82%; the SCFI (US West) was $2153/FEU, up 11.21%; the SCFI (US East) was $3032, up 6.27% [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: On January 8, 2026, the EC2602 (main contract) was 1706.0 points, down 4.11% from the previous day; the basis of the main contract was - 214.7, up 5.6 from the previous day, with a change of - 2.54% [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply was 3369.52 million TEU on January 8, up 0.00% from the previous day. The port on - time rate in Shanghai in December was 40.00%, down 18.50% from November; the port call volume in Shanghai was 345.00, up 5.83%. The monthly export amount was $3303.51 billion, up 8.23%. The euro - zone composite PMI in December was 51.50, down 2.46% from November; the EU consumer confidence index was - 13.70, down 0.74%; the US manufacturing PMI was 47.90, down 0.62%. The G7 group's OECD composite leading indicator was 100.57 in December, up 0.06% from November [6]. Group 4: Stock Index Futures Investment Rating No specific investment rating provided in the report. Core View No core view explicitly mentioned in the provided content. Summary by Related Catalog - **Spot - Futures Spread**: The IF spot - futures spread was - 19.25, up 4.41 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 51.20% and an all - time historical percentile of 24.70%; the IH spot - futures spread was 0.34, up 1.66, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 68.40% and an all - time historical percentile of 58.20%; the IC spot - futures spread was - 80.14, down 7.66, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 34.40% and an all - time historical percentile of 6.50%; the IM spot - futures spread was - 150.99, down 43.72, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 40.00% and an all - time historical percentile of 8.70% [9]. - **Inter - delivery Spread**: For IF, the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts was - 11.60, up 0.20; the spread between the quarterly - month and current - month contracts was - 19.40, up 0.40. For IH, the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts was - 0.80, up 1.40; the spread between the quarterly - month and current - month contracts was 0.80, up 1.40. For IC, the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts was - 40.20, down 2.00; the spread between the quarterly - month and current - month contracts was - 75.00, down 8.00. For IM, the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts was - 73.60, down 5.40; the spread between the quarterly - month and current - month contracts was - 133.40, down 9.20 [9]. - **Inter - variety Ratio**: The ratio of CSI 500/CSI 300 was 1.6663, up 0.0177, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 99.50% and an all - time historical percentile of 75.30%; the ratio of CSI 500/SSE 50 was 2.5286, up 0.0247, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 99.50% and an all - time historical percentile of 79.60%; the ratio of CSI 300/SSE 50 was 1.5175, down 0.0013, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 69.60% and an all - time historical percentile of 87.70%; the ratio of CSI 1000/CSI 300 was 1.6826, up 0.0274, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 96.70% and an all - time historical percentile of 61.60% [9].