2025年8月25日，截至收盘，沪指涨1.51%，报收3883.56点；深成指涨2.26%，报收12441.07点；创业板 指涨3.00%，报收2762.99点。科创半导体ETF（588170）跌0.33%，半导体材料ETF（562590）跌 0.08%。 半导体材料ETF（562590）及其联接基金（A类：020356、C类：020357），指数中半导体设备 （59%）、半导体材料（24%）占比靠前，充分聚焦半导体上游。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 隔夜外盘：截至收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数跌0.77%；标准普尔500种股票指数跌0.43%；纳斯达克综合 指数跌0.22%。费城半导体指数涨0.03%，美光科技跌1.07%，ARM跌0.10%，恩智浦半导体涨0.78%， 微芯科技跌0.85%，应用材料跌0.31%。 2. 芯原股份(688521.SH)公告称，根据2025年8月25日询价申购情况，初步确定的本次询价转让价格为 105.21元/股。参与报价的机构投资者为37家，涵盖了基金管理公司、保险公司、证券公司等。本次询 价转让拟转让股份已获全额认购，初步确定受让方为37家机构投资者，拟受让股份总数为2628. ...

"近期主要受到AI云侧、端侧需求带动，公司订单增长明显。随着这些订单逐步转化为收入，ASIC业务 将持续推动业绩增长，为公司未来营业收入的提升提供坚实支撑。"芯原股份近日上午举行2025年半年 度业绩说明会，该公司董事长兼总裁戴伟民在业绩会上如是称。 3. 拓荆科技8月25日公布2025年半年度报告。财报显示，拓荆科技2025年上半年实现营业收入19.54亿 元，同比增长54.25%；归母净利润0.94亿元，同比下降26.96%；归母扣非净利润0.38亿元，同比增长 91.35%。关于收入变化，拓荆科技在公告中表示，公司产品竞争力持续提升，先进制程的验证机台已 顺利通过客户认证，逐步进入规模化量产阶段。基于新型设备平台和新型反应腔的PECVD Stack、 ACHM及PECVD Bianca等先进工艺设备陆续通过客户验收，量产规模不断增加，ALD设备持续扩大量 产规模，业务增长强劲。 行业资讯： 1. 华为将于8月27日发布新品AI SSD，目标直指AI存储器市场。传统HBM存在容量限制，而华为或将通 过技术创新提供大容量SSD。 2. 芯原股份(688521.SH)公告称，根据2025年8月25日询价申购情 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company,拓荆科技, is expected to achieve a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q2 2025, with revenue projected between 1.21-1.26 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.18%-58.47% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 74.26% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be between 238-247 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 100.64%-108.22% and a turnaround from loss to profit [5] - The gross profit margin has improved significantly quarter-on-quarter, indicating better cost control and operational efficiency [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q2 2025, the company anticipates a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.48-1.58 billion yuan, a substantial year-on-year increase due to higher advance payments and sales collections [7] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.61 billion, 7.23 billion, and 8.98 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 990 million, 1.38 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan [9][10] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 44, 32, and 23 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend as the company grows [9][10] Market Performance - As of July 17, 2025, the company's stock price is 156.55 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 43.79 billion yuan [6] - The company's performance relative to the CSI 300 index shows a 1-month increase of 11.7%, a 3-month decrease of 1.1%, and a 12-month increase of 22.9% [6]

Performance Forecast - The company forecasts a net profit of between 238 million and 247 million yuan for the second quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 101% to 108% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company, after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, is expected to be between 215 million and 224 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 235% [1] Previous Year Performance - In the second quarter of 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 795.10 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 118.62 million yuan [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 64.17 million yuan [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -178.46 million yuan [1] Reasons for Performance Changes - The significant growth in operating income for the second quarter of 2025 is attributed to the company's strategic focus on domestic substitution in semiconductor equipment, leveraging its advanced technology in thin film deposition equipment and three-dimensional integration bonding equipment [1] - The company’s advanced process verification machines have successfully passed customer certification and are entering large-scale production [2] - The gross profit margin for the second quarter is expected to improve significantly compared to the previous quarter, indicating a steady recovery [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities is expected to increase significantly year-on-year due to a substantial rise in advance payments and sales collections [2]

Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 4.103 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 688 million, with a year-on-year increase of 3.86% [1] - However, in the first quarter of this year, the company reported a net loss of 147 million, attributed to high costs associated with new products and processes [1] Order Backlog and Market Outlook - The company has a robust order backlog, with an order amount of approximately 9.4 billion as of the end of 2024, indicating a healthy operational trend for 2025 [1] - The main products include thin film deposition equipment and advanced bonding equipment for 3D integration [1] Industry Position and Competition - The thin film deposition equipment industry is characterized by monopolistic competition, dominated by international giants such as Applied Materials, Lam Research, and Tokyo Electron, which hold about 70% of the CVD market [2] - The company has established a significant first-mover advantage in the domestic semiconductor equipment industry through its technological accumulation and rapid development [2] Research and Development - In 2023, the company's R&D investment reached 756 million, and in the first quarter of this year, it totaled 157 million, accounting for 22.38% of revenue, one of the highest among domestic semiconductor equipment companies [3] - The company launched over 10 new products/processes in 2024, including various thin film deposition equipment and advanced bonding equipment for 3D integration [3] International Expansion - The company's revenue is primarily sourced from mainland China, but it has established subsidiaries in Japan and Singapore to facilitate overseas market expansion [4] - The company plans to actively seek opportunities in overseas markets to continue its growth trajectory [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 51.7%, driven by increased demand for domestic semiconductor equipment from wafer manufacturers [4][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 690 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 3.9% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 41.7%, a decrease of 9.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - As of the end of 2024, the company had nearly 9.4 billion yuan in orders on hand, providing strong support for future performance [5] - In Q1 2025, the company continued to achieve high growth with a revenue of 710 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 50.2% [5] - The company is expanding its film deposition process coverage and developing 3D integration equipment, which is expected to benefit from the expansion of advanced processes and packaging [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.8 billion yuan, 7.7 billion yuan, and 9.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 940 million yuan, 1.49 billion yuan, and 1.96 billion yuan [5][7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 47, 31, and 23 times respectively [5][7] - The company’s gross margin is expected to recover to 45.2% in 2025 and further improve in subsequent years [7] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 15.3 billion yuan in 2024 and 22.8 billion yuan in 2027 [9]