Di Yi Cai Jing
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机构最新调研路线图出炉 熵基科技最受关注
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:30
Wind数据显示,机构本周(1月5日至1月9日)共调研了134家上市公司,其中熵基科技最获关注,参与 调研的机构为218家。超捷股份、广联航空、成都先导分别获109家、79家、69家机构调研。 从调研行业来看,机构持续聚焦工业机械、电子设备和仪器、电子元件等板块。 据统计,博盈特焊获机构调研4次,冰轮环境、超捷股份获调研3次。 ...
巴扎商人点燃“火药桶”,美以干涉伊朗迫在眉睫?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:20
伊朗货币贬值,让本已艰难的民生雪上加霜。 2026年的"炸裂"开局还在持续,继委内瑞拉之后,伊朗也陷入动荡,激烈程度多年未有。 据新华社报道,近期,伊朗因物价上涨和货币贬值爆发大规模示威活动,蔓延到多地并造成人员伤亡。分析人士 认为,内外压力叠加下,其局势走向将成为牵动中东格局的重要变量。 从当地时间1月8日晚间开始的全国"断网"还在持续,很多伊朗周边国家也表示已暂停往来伊朗的航班,这让外界 了解伊朗的动态变得更加困难。伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊和军方表示伊朗将采取"果断"行动,平息动荡。属于改革 派的总统佩泽希齐扬则表示,正全力通过根除腐败来改善民生。 上海外国语大学中东研究所副教授韩建伟向第一财经记者表示,此轮抗议由民生问题引发,加之外部势力的影 响,已经发展成政治运动。总体而言,伊朗政府目前依然对国内局势保持掌控力,未来美国和以色列的干涉或将 成为主要变量。 2025年12月28日,德黑兰大巴扎市场的商户集体闭店休市,开始抗议。货币贬值对百姓的购买力打击很大,进而 造成很多商店经营困难,在伊朗全国各地,也有很多巴扎商人加入抗议行列。 巴扎商人参与抗议具有指标性的意义。巴扎商人在伊朗传统社会中是经济中心的角色, ...
有色金属“开门红”,公募扎堆推新,机遇还是风险?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:13
2026年有色金属延续2025年的飙涨行情,当前位置到底高不高? "未来,越来越多的美国白领月收入,可能还比不上一吨铜的价值。"这是国金证券首席策略官牟一凌于 1月9日在2026博时基金投资策略会上提到的。 无独有偶,看好有色金属长期走势的还有平安基金基金经理王华,他于7日在平安基金2026年投资策略 会上抛出观点,今年的电解铝,就是2022年的煤炭。 中信建投期货有色首席分析师江露近日也公开表示,海内外宏观宽松共振叠加供需缺口持续,2026年仍 是商品大年,有色板块或持续上涨趋势。 然而,在市场热度节节攀升的同时,当前的有色板块,位置到底高不高?机构集体唱多的背后,是产业 逻辑的坚实支撑,还是又一次高位扎堆的风险预演? 牟一凌会上分析称,AI基建对全球的冲击将远超新能源,利率下行、投资放量,同步撬动金属与能源 需求;中国的受益链条正由光模块、PCB向电力设备、储能及更广制造业扩散。主要机会集中在工业资 源品,包括铜、铝、锡、锂、原油及油运。 牟一凌还提到,全球电力建设提速也进一步提振铜、铝、钢材直接需求。IEA预计2026年用电量增速继 续高于GDP,而2025年电源投资已再次快于电网,电网"欠账"明显,2 ...
死了么app下载价格从1元涨至8元,死了么曾被苹果AppStore多次清榜
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:07
第一财经记者下载该款APP后发现,该款产品界面简洁、功能单一,甚至无需输入个人电话号码等信息 进行注册。只需要填写个人ID名称与一个紧急联系人邮箱,若两日未能连续签到,系统将以该ID的名 义通过邮件通知紧急联系人。 【#死了么app下载价格从1元涨至8元#,#死了么曾被苹果AppStore多次清榜#】近日,一款宣称通过技 术与服务守护独居者平安的应用"死了么"火了。1月10日,该应用冲至苹果AppStore付费下载榜第一; 11日,官方将APP下载价格从1元调整至8元。 对于近期热度与价格调整,"死了么APP"官方微博账号今日发文回应称:团队由三名95后共同创立并独 立运营;接下来,团队将把主要精力投入到产品打磨中,如丰富短信提醒功能、考虑增加留言功能,并 探索推出更适老化的新产品;为了让项目能够健康、持续地发展,并覆盖日益增长的短信、服务器等成 本,遂基于成本推出8元付费方案。 ...
美元走向如何重构货币秩序?经济学家热议汇率与货币体系演变
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:07
Core Viewpoint - The discussion at the "2026 China Chief Economist Forum" highlighted the evolving dynamics of the dollar and the yuan amidst increasing global economic uncertainty, with a focus on the potential structural changes in the international monetary system [1] Group 1: Dollar Outlook - Experts believe that the dollar remains resilient but faces a gradual decline in its long-term dominance [1] - The current pressures on dollar credibility are significant, indicating a potential shift in its role in the global economy [1] Group 2: Yuan Prospects - The yuan is expected to appreciate moderately under controlled conditions, reflecting a cautious optimism about its future [1] - The discussions suggest that the yuan's rise could contribute to a more diversified international monetary landscape [1] Group 3: Global Monetary System - The future international monetary system may evolve towards a more multipolar structure, reducing reliance on a single currency [1] - This potential shift indicates a broader trend in the global economy, where multiple currencies could play more significant roles [1]
“AI+制造”国家方案发布,激发数十万亿增长新动能
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the promotion of the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with the manufacturing industry, aiming to accelerate the intelligent transformation of manufacturing and enhance economic growth through AI technology [1][2][4]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) and eight other departments have issued the "Implementation Opinions on the Special Action of 'AI + Manufacturing'," which outlines seven key tasks to promote the dual empowerment of AI technology and manufacturing applications [1][2]. - By 2028, the goal is to have at least 50,000 enterprises implement "AI + Industrial Internet" upgrades, significantly improving the integration level of industrial internet and AI [1][6]. Group 2 - The "Implementation Opinions" aim to drive the deep application of 3 to 5 general large models in manufacturing by 2027, creating specialized industry models and promoting 500 typical application scenarios [2][3]. - The focus is on fostering 2 to 3 globally influential leading enterprises and a batch of specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, while establishing a global leading open-source ecosystem [2][3]. - Specific measures include promoting the development of intelligent chips, supporting breakthroughs in key technologies, and enhancing the safety governance capabilities of AI [3][4]. Group 3 - The industrial internet is identified as a crucial carrier for the integration of AI and manufacturing, with plans to expand new industrial networks to meet the demands of AI applications [6][7]. - The MIIT emphasizes that AI is transitioning from being an auxiliary tool to becoming a core engine for industrial internet, enhancing real-time optimization and intelligent scheduling capabilities [7][8]. - Local governments are actively formulating their own "AI +" plans to drive high-quality development across various industries, with specific targets for manufacturing enterprises and AI core industry growth [8][9].
管涛:众口一词的人民币升值“真相”︱汇海观涛
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 12:53
细究一系列重大判断,似乎均缺乏数据、事实或理论的支持。 2025年,人民币汇率(如非特指,本文均指人民币对美元汇率)终结了过去三年跌多涨少的行情,逆势 走强。尤其是自去年11月底起加速升值,到年底境内外交易价先后升破7。一时间,结汇潮、重估之 旅、新周期之说等又甚嚣尘上。有外资投行提出,人民币汇率结构性低估,并直言人民币升值是2026 年"最高确信度"的交易。国内也有人呼应,人民币汇率重估将推动中国资产重估。然而,细究上述一系 列重大判断,似乎均缺乏数据、事实或理论的支持。 结汇潮迄今尚缺乏数据支持 2023年7月至2025年2月,人民币汇率总体承压。除2024年8~10月外,其他月份衡量境内主要外汇供求 关系的银行即远期(含期权)结售汇(下称"银行结售汇")均为逆差。2025年3月起,银行结售汇转为 持续顺差,人民币升值迹象逐步显现,到11月累计顺差2733亿美元。同期,银行代客人民币涉外收付累 计净流出1115亿美元。鉴于涉外人民币外流后部分将通过跨境人民币清算渠道到境内银行间市场购汇平 盘,不纳入银行结售汇统计,故境内外汇实际供过于求缺口小于结售汇顺差。其中,11月份,结售汇顺 差297亿美元,环比仅增 ...
AI进化速递丨中国首个金融气象AI模型发布
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 12:53
Group 1 - The first financial meteorological AI model in China, named "Entropy Machine," was launched in Guangzhou [1] - Huawei, in collaboration with Yunnan Construction Investment Logistics, has released a smart logistics model point and initiated the development of the "Cloud Chain Logistics Large Model" [1] - The Hong Kong Transport Department will promote unmanned testing of autonomous vehicles this year [1]
中国企业出海的风险纾解与应对思路︱问海·中企出海新观察
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 12:53
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges faced by Chinese companies in their overseas expansion due to changing geopolitical landscapes, complex business environments, and potential cultural and technological barriers [1] - It emphasizes the need for companies to elevate risk management to a strategic level to ensure sustainable overseas operations, which is crucial for both corporate success and national development [1] Group 1: Development Stages and Dynamics of Chinese Companies Going Global - Since joining the WTO in 2001, Chinese companies have transitioned from tentative layouts to strategic actions, with foreign direct investment stock reaching $31,399.3 billion by the end of 2024, a 105-fold increase since 2002 [2] - China has risen from 25th to a stable position among the top three in global rankings for foreign direct investment, with the number of overseas enterprises growing at an average annual rate of 10.4% to 52,000 [2] - Investment distribution shows a stable concentration in Hong Kong (55%-60%) and rapid growth in Southeast Asia, while the share of traditional markets like the U.S. has decreased from 2.6% in 2015 to 1.1% in 2024 [2] Group 2: Evolution of Outbound Investment Models - The outbound investment model has evolved through three stages: cost-driven exports (2001-2010), brand expansion (2011-2020), and ecosystem export (from 2021 onwards), where companies are now exporting technology, standards, and management practices [3] - The transition is driven by three main forces: market saturation and competitive pressure, technological iteration and industrial upgrading, and the need for resource acquisition and strategic positioning [3] Group 3: Risks Faced by Chinese Companies Abroad - Political risks are the primary challenge, influenced by the stability of host countries, policy changes, and international relations, which can affect operations and lead to significant financial losses [4] - Economic risks include exchange rate fluctuations, inflation, and changes in economic cycles, which can impact profitability and investment returns [4] - Legal risks arise from differences in legal systems, intellectual property protection, and contract enforcement, potentially leading to compliance issues and financial penalties [5] - Cultural risks stem from differences in language, customs, and values, which can create communication barriers and management conflicts [6] - Market risks involve variations in market demand, competitive dynamics, and consumer behavior, which can affect product sales and profitability [6] - Technological risks relate to differing technical standards and the pace of innovation, which can hinder market access and competitiveness [6] Group 4: Recommendations for Risk Mitigation - Companies should prioritize compliance management by understanding local regulations and forming high-caliber legal teams to navigate complex legal environments [8] - Diversifying business layouts across mature and emerging markets can mitigate risks associated with over-concentration in a single market [8] - Establishing robust technology and intellectual property protections is essential for maintaining competitive advantages in international markets [9] - Companies should enhance their ability to utilize policy and financial tools to manage risks effectively, including leveraging government resources and financial products [9] - Focusing on deep localization and building sustainable ecosystems is crucial for integrating into local markets and reducing operational friction [9] Conclusion - In the context of complex international dynamics, companies must adopt a strategic approach to compliance, diversification, technology protection, policy utilization, and localization to navigate risks and achieve sustainable growth [10]
晓数点丨一周个股动向:沪指站上4100点 最牛股周涨近150%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 12:46
多图速览>> 本周(1月5日至9日)三大指数均累计上涨,沪指涨3.82%,深成指涨4.40%,创业板指涨3.89%。科创综指涨10.19%。 | 指数 | 周五涨跌幅 | 周五收盘点数 | 周五成交额(亿元) | 近一周涨跌幅 | स्ट | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 0.92% | 4120 | 12892 | 3.82% | | | 深证成指 | 1.15% | 14120 | 18335 | 4.40% | | | 北证50 | 1.05% | 1524 | 298 | 5.82% | 5 | | 科创50 | 1.43% | 1476 | 910 | 9.80% | | | 创业板指 | 0.77% | 3328 | 8721 | 3.89% | 3 | | 下证50 | 0.39% | 3134 | 1777 | 3.40% | | | 沪深300 | 0.45% | 4759 | ୧୧୫୫ | 2.79% | | ►牛熊股:7股涨超60%,最牛股周涨近150% Wind数据显示,本周(1月5日至1月9日)共有7只个股涨幅超60%, ...