上周四的线下活动圆满结束，大家很热情，嘉宾很卷，干货很满。有AI、有宏观，还有现场的AI agent demo。整体很精彩，有一种经济上行期的美。 直到尾声Q&A环节，问题又把我们拉回到了经济下行期的现实。 大家主要关心的是： 1. 百年未有之大变局再叠加势不可当的AI，年轻人到底还有什么机会？ 2. 那怎么办？ 一 线性回归这道题解不出来了，怎么办？ 每一代人都有自己的挑战。对00后（Z世代）来说，挑战叫做：所有和人生规划相关的线性回归不work了。比如： 卷教育线性回归不出"就业"，或者回归的结果是"灵活就业"。 工资收入线性回归不出"买房"和退休。 其实美国的Z世代也一样，目前美国人买房的中位年龄大约是54岁，在1980年代是34岁。藤校毕业也可能找不到工作。 来感受下美国毕业生的失业率： 不只是中国和美国，欧盟、英国、加拿大、日本都一样： 最直接的情绪是迷茫。不用我说，现在大家都应该感受到了，各种文章讨论年轻人的精神状态，虚无主义蔓延。其实都不用看文章，路上随便擦肩而过一 个Z世代，迷茫和困惑就扑面而来——真不知道该怎么办。 于是他们被冠名为"被拒一代"（the most rejected gener ...

Group 1 - The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia escalated with military engagement near the Ta Moan temple, leading to both sides deploying heavy artillery and airstrikes [1][3][10] - Thailand's military response included airstrikes using F-16 fighter jets, targeting Cambodian military facilities, which resulted in significant damage [3][22] - Cambodia retaliated with artillery fire, including the use of BM-21 rocket launchers, causing civilian casualties in Thailand [5][10] Group 2 - The historical context of the conflict centers around the disputed ownership of the Preah Vihear temple, with both countries claiming sovereignty based on historical treaties and court rulings [12][14][16] - The region is rich in strategic resources, including rare earth minerals and oil fields, which adds to the tension between the two nations [19][20] - Domestic political pressures in both countries are influencing the conflict, with leaders seeking to bolster their support through nationalistic rhetoric [20] Group 3 - The military tactics employed by both sides reflect modern warfare trends, with Thailand utilizing drones for reconnaissance and targeting, similar to strategies seen in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [22][24] - Cambodia's approach relies on traditional artillery tactics, but their lack of advanced military hardware limits their effectiveness against Thailand's superior air capabilities [30][31] - The ongoing conflict highlights the evolving nature of warfare in the region, with both sides adapting to new technologies and strategies [21][32]

流量是做自媒体的基础变量。没有数据反馈你无法优化内容，也无法验证定位。 但长期看价值，是因为你给观众带来的价值感知，才能发展出信任关系和商业转化。 一个成熟的内容创作者，不逃避流量，也不迷信爆款，而是需要清楚地知道不同阶段自己在获取什么。 二 平台的核心推荐机制是基于短期反馈的：播放量、完播率、点赞评论分享的数据模型决定你的分发。 本文来自微信公众号：珞石居，作者：珞石居，原文标题：《个人的影响力是均值回归的》，题图来 自：AI生成 短期看流量，长期看价值。 三 要用短期流量验证内容结构，再用长期内容塑造价值认知和沉淀影响力。 一 内容行业的长期回报，不是来自流量的总量，而是来自流量的质量和转化。 很多账号做生活段子、情绪共鸣类内容，数据非常高，但商业化（广告、带货、咨询、课程、付费社 群）的转化很差。因为观众没有认可你在某个领域有高价值，自然也不信任你。 所以短期你要靠爆款抢到注意力；但长期来看，你必须通过内容去建立明确的价值锚点。 这个机制当然主要推送高情绪刺激、信息密度高、结构紧凑的内容。 所以一些账号会突然暴涨几百万播放，但几天后热度迅速消失，新内容也很可能没人看。 原因很简单：平台是推内容的，不是推 ...

当辛顿在上海人工智能大会上，把AI比作人类正在豢养的一只可爱的小老虎时，我想起了机器人先驱莫拉维克 的名著《心灵的孩子：机器人与人类智能的未来》（Mind Children:The Future of Robot and Human Intelligence），他把人工智能看成是人类教养自己的智能后代，这甚至可能是一种人类文明的继承者。 在未来半个世纪里，计算能力将持续增长，机器人也将逐步超越"爬行动物阶段"：它们将像哺乳动 物那样学习、像灵长类动物那样构建对世界的模型，最终达到类人推理的能力。 那时，取决于你的视角，人类要么造出了一个真正值得的继任者，要么超越了自身的某些先天局 限，从而将自己转化为一种全新的存在。 莫拉维克并非无视AI可能带来的风险，因为它会代替人类，但是莫拉维克更倾向于认为这是对人类的一种"温和 的接管"，这是人类演化和自然选择的产物。 这也体现出莫拉维克与辛顿对于AI发展各自的侧重。莫拉维克推崇进化时间带来的感知/动作优化；强调机器模 拟人脑需大量计算力与架构复制。而辛顿注重训练方法与神经结构设计，强调数据与算法的力量；更关注如何 让AI学习而非进化。一个强调进化的时间，一个强调设计的 ...

7月26日，世界人工智能大会（WAIC）在上海正式拉开帷幕。 在展会现场，具身智能无疑是最备受瞩目的行业。从灵活完成格斗动作的人形机器人，到能精准执行家务、康复辅助的服务型机器人，这些具备物理交互能 力的智能体凭借流畅的动作、自然的交互赚足了观众眼球。 然而，在这场科技盛宴中，当人们沉浸在具身智能带来的震撼体验时，人工智能产业的核心底座——以芯片、板卡、服务器、计算集群等为核心构成的算力 基础设施，依然是整个行业绕不开的关键话题。 与往届大会相比，今年算力基础设施展区呈现出截然不同的风貌。 往年展台上随处可见的"参数竞赛"已悄然淡去，各厂商送展的芯片和服务器展品中，很少再有将某项极致性能参数用醒目字体刻意标记出来的情况。 曾经被重点标注的技术指标，如今更多地融入到具体的产业解决方案中，或是隐藏在真实的应用场景演示里。 现场的讨论也多是基于"碎片化算力资源统筹"、"低功耗与低成本"与"垂类产品软硬件整合"这些非常务实的话题。 全链路国产化进行时 在算力基础设施的务实转型浪潮中，"全链路国产化"的推进节奏尤为引人关注。 过去几年，全球供应链波动引发的芯片断供风险，以及核心技术"卡脖子"的现实挑战，反复挑动着国内人 ...

Core Insights - The global advertising industry is undergoing a significant restructuring by 2025, with two distinct paths emerging: one focusing on scale through mergers and acquisitions, and the other leveraging technology and AI for efficiency and agility [2][3][4] - The competition between scale and speed represents a strategic choice that can determine the success or failure of companies in the industry [4] Company Performance - Public financial reports reveal contrasting performances between major players: Publicis Groupe (阳狮) reported a net income of €3.617 billion in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, while WPP experienced a revenue decline of 5.5% in the same period [7][8] - Publicis has raised its organic revenue growth forecast to nearly 5%, while WPP has downgraded its annual forecast to a negative growth of 3% to 5% [7][8] Strategic Choices - Publicis has made significant investments in technology and data, positioning itself as a platform-driven growth company, while WPP has struggled with debt reduction and brand integration, appearing to be reactive rather than proactive [15][31] - The acquisition of Sapient in 2014 marked a pivotal moment for Publicis, allowing it to integrate technology and digital transformation into its core services, while WPP's strategy remained conservative, focusing on optimizing traditional research businesses [17][30] Data and Technology - The acquisition of Epsilon for $4.4 billion allowed Publicis to establish a stronghold in first-party data, which is becoming increasingly critical in the advertising landscape due to privacy regulations and the decline of third-party cookies [32][35] - Epsilon's data capabilities have significantly enhanced Publicis's revenue structure, with digital income rising from less than 30% to over 50% [47] AI and Platformization - Publicis has introduced the Marcel platform to enhance internal collaboration through AI, while also investing €300 million over three years in AI research and data platform upgrades [56][63] - WPP has also developed its own technology platform, OpenX, but lacks the proprietary data assets that Publicis has secured, limiting its competitive edge [65][51] E-commerce and Retail Media - Publicis has recognized the shift towards retail media advertising, acquiring companies like Profitero and Corra to enhance its capabilities in e-commerce solutions [76][77] - Retail media advertising is projected to account for over 20% of global ad spending by 2024, indicating a significant growth opportunity for companies that can adapt quickly [74] Industry Dynamics - The advertising industry is facing competition not only from traditional players but also from consulting firms and tech giants, which are increasingly encroaching on advertising budgets [84][85] - The success of Publicis raises critical questions about whether advertising holding companies must evolve into technology companies to remain relevant in the changing landscape [87]

林远是TOP3高校的学生。在这个暑假，她回到自己老家所在的南方省份地级市，做本校的招生志愿者。 招生组的目的是在普通批分数段内，争取高分生；在低分数线的冷门专业内，招到足够数量的学生。往常，后者并非难题。招生组只需要用惯常的策略 ——描摹蓝图，勾画理想，强调名校光环——就能完成任务。 但林远发现，今年，招生组的策略正逐一失效。越来越多的考生开始意识到，志愿填报在个人意愿之外，是多方力量的博弈。 在高校招生组的任务、家庭的期许、中学的绩效之间，刚成年不久的孩子们在多方利益中周旋。有人识破被营造的幻觉，尝试从各类期许中逃逸。但离开 主流描摹的道路后，地域、阶级与信息差筑造的鸿沟，又给他们的前路带来新的迷雾。 以下是林远的自述： 一、策略失效 "你好，我是来问我的分数能不能报你们学校的。"房间里百无聊赖的氛围被座机的铃声搅碎。电话那头，女孩的声音怯生生的。 在记录下她的成绩和毕业学校之前，我就大概知道了不能给到肯定的回复：对于我所在的这所TOP3高校招生组，主动打来电话的考生，往往都游离在分 数线上下，并不是有竞争力的高分考生。 我建议对方参考以基础学科为主的"强基计划"和提前批中的小语种专业。这两个方向的分数线更 ...

Core Viewpoint - The wireless charging technology, despite being around for nearly 15 years, has not seen widespread adoption compared to other smartphone features, with the Wireless Power Consortium (WPC) asserting that the technology is not at fault [2][3]. Group 1: Qi2 Protocol Updates - WPC recently updated the Qi2 protocol to version 2.2.1, increasing the charging power from 15W to 25W, a nearly 70% increase [3][6]. - The updated protocol aims to expand its ecosystem to include mainstream Android smartphones, although the first compliant devices do not support magnetic alignment [6][12]. - The Qi2 protocol emphasizes the magnetic alignment feature, which is considered essential for faster and more efficient wireless charging [6][12]. Group 2: Market Adoption Challenges - Despite the introduction of the Qi2 protocol, the actual adoption of magnetic charging technology in smartphones has been limited, with only a few models, such as Nubia Z40 Pro and HMD Skyline, fully supporting it [13][14]. - The slow adoption is attributed to the fact that many manufacturers prefer their proprietary high-power charging protocols over the Qi2 standard, which is seen as lagging behind [16][19]. - The requirement for built-in magnets in devices complicates design and manufacturing, as current smartphone designs prioritize battery and camera size over compatibility with Qi2 [17][20]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is further complicated by the existence of a mature market for third-party magnetic accessories, which has developed independently of the Qi2 protocol [22]. - Major players like Apple have successfully integrated magnetic charging into their ecosystem, while competitors like Samsung have faced challenges due to design constraints and interference issues with existing features [23][24]. - The future of Qi2 adoption remains uncertain, as manufacturers continue to prioritize proprietary solutions in a market characterized by increasing component density and competition [25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by graduates of hotel management programs, particularly those from prestigious institutions like EHL, in securing meaningful employment within the hotel industry, highlighting a disconnect between education and job market realities [2][4][14]. Employment Landscape - Hotel management is characterized as a high-investment, low-return field, with many graduates not entering the hotel industry [2][3]. - At EHL, only 54% of graduates find jobs in the hotel sector, while 46% pursue careers in consulting, finance, and retail [4][6]. - The average starting salary for management trainees in first-tier cities is between 7,000 to 9,000 yuan, significantly lower than the starting salaries in finance and tech sectors [15][16]. Educational Concerns - The curriculum in domestic hotel management programs is criticized for being broad but lacking depth, leading to a superficial understanding of the industry [20][21]. - Many educators in domestic programs may not have substantial industry experience, which affects the quality of education [23][24][25]. - The article contrasts the practical focus of EHL's curriculum with the theoretical and exam-oriented approach of many domestic institutions [26]. Industry Perception - There exists a societal bias against hotel work, often viewed as low-status despite the industry's significant economic contribution [28][33]. - The article points out the double standards in how society appreciates hotel services while simultaneously devaluing the work behind them [29][30]. Career Development - Despite the low starting salaries, the hotel industry offers structured career advancement opportunities, including comprehensive training and evaluation mechanisms [40]. - The article suggests that high-investment education in hotel management can lead to long-term career benefits, particularly in broader service industries [46][48]. Conclusion - The article concludes that while the hotel management profession faces significant challenges, the skills acquired through education can be valuable in various sectors, emphasizing the need for a shift in how the industry and society perceive hotel management roles [43][49].

本文来自微信公众号：新周刊 （ID：new-weekly），作者：陈倚，编辑：L，题图来自：AI生成 我们尽可以回顾那些苦中作乐的夏天，但不意味着要让更年轻的人们，在时代进步中没苦硬吃。 人丹、清凉油与湿毛巾，是对抗暑热的"神器" 你的夏天还好吗？ 眼下正值酷暑，空调房几乎成了所有人的救命稻草。可一脚踏出门外，汹涌的热浪瞬间就会将人裹挟，仿佛置身巨大的火炉之中。此前，东北更是迎来了 史上罕见的极端高温天气，部分地区地表温度最高甚至达65℃以上。这种持续高温的天气，直接使东三省的线下空调销售额同比狂增几百倍。 气候变化，在高温红色预警频发的夏季，一些传统意义上并不算"火炉"的地区，大学宿舍还未普及空调。此前有新闻报道，一些学生们热到睡不着，只能 在楼道、操场打地铺。 时间倒回二三十年前，特别对于大学校园而言，空调还是奢侈品。蒲扇、凉席、竹床，才是许多人对炎夏的共同记忆。尤其是在重庆、武汉、福州、长 沙、广州这些现在赫赫有名的"火炉城市"上大学，熬过夏天就像是一种"生存体验"。 70后、80后，甚至是90后，熬过了宿舍没有空调的酷暑，也见证了城市发展和生活水平的飞跃。全球变暖趋势仍在持续，夏季气温也在逐年升高，不 ...