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实物无熊市!对话牟一凌:当前AI没有泡沫,但机会向电力、资源等实物转移
券商中国· 2026-03-09 10:20
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of viewing the A-share market within a global context, highlighting three key factors that will create systemic opportunities for A-shares: external demand growth, increased global pricing power, and capital inflows from foreign exchange settlements [3][5]. Investment Themes - The core investment themes for A-shares in 2026 are identified as: 1. Commodities 2. Export chains related to electrical equipment 3. Recovery in consumer spending [4][7]. Global Market Dynamics - The article outlines three major variables affecting the global market: 1. The transition of AI from an industrial investment focus to a macroeconomic variable, with a shift in demand from computing power to physical resources like electricity and storage [5][6]. 2. The prolonged global interest rate cut cycle, influenced by structural changes brought about by AI, which is expected to create opportunities in financial assets and commodities [6]. 3. The industrial resonance in emerging markets, where resource-rich countries will require more electricity and physical assets to support their development [6]. Commodity Market Outlook - Commodities are highlighted as the most critical investment direction for the year, with a clear opportunity for resonance driven by AI's demand for physical resources and global monetary policy easing [7][8]. - The article suggests that the demand for resources will be driven by global economic recovery, with a shift in focus from China to a more global perspective on resource needs [13]. AI Industry Perspective - The AI industry is not expected to collapse or bubble but will experience valuation adjustments as the focus shifts from application layers to physical resource demands [11][12]. - The article argues that the current market dynamics reflect a transition where opportunities are moving towards sectors related to electricity and resources rather than just AI applications [11]. Consumer Spending Recovery - The article notes that consumer spending in China is entering a recovery phase, with signals indicating a potential bottoming out, driven by increased foreign exchange settlement volumes [8][9]. Investment Recommendations - For ordinary investors, the article advises focusing on professional funds or leading companies in the commodities sector, as they are likely to capture market opportunities without the risk of missing out [14][15].
大力整治体育“饭圈”乱象!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 07:29
国家体育总局局长高志丹:将大力整治体育"饭圈"乱象 国家体育总局局长高志丹3月9日在十四届全国人大四次会议第二场"部长通道"上表示,将认真开展体育 领域"深化治理年"行动,大力整治体育"饭圈"乱象,加强体育诚信和赛场文明建设,整肃赛风赛纪,规范 行业发展秩序,以高效能治理保障高质量发展。 来源:新华社微信公众号 责编:罗晓霞 校对:许欣 违法和不良信息举报电话:0755-83514034 邮箱:bwb@stcn.com 券中社 × 券商中国 券 中 社 扫码下载券中社APP 扫码关注券商中国公众号 quanshangcn qzs.stcn.com 舞中 券中社APP 券 商 中 国 是 证 券 市 场 权 威 媒 体 《 证 券 时 报 》 旗 下 新 媒 体 , 券 商 中 国 对 该 平 台 所 刊 载 的 原 创 内 容 享 有 著 作 权 , 未 经 授 权 禁 止 转 载 , 否 则 将 追 究 相 应 法 律 责 任 。 看券商中国 知天下财经 F 百万用户都在看 两项"新政",即将推出!吴清发言全文来了 最新!美军:军事行动将升级!伊朗:已做好长期战争准备! 伊朗:已有超500名美军丧生!刚刚, ...
出圈!HALO交易,成公募投研新宠!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 07:29
Core Viewpoint - The HALO trading strategy, emphasizing heavy assets and low obsolescence, is gaining traction among public funds as concerns grow over AI's potential to replace rather than empower traditional business models [1][4][5]. Group 1: Shift in Fund Investment Logic - The narrative around AI+ vertical applications, once a strong driver for excess returns, is now viewed with skepticism by some institutions, leading to a shift in investment strategies towards risk aversion [2][3]. - As of late 2025, concerns about AI's disruptive potential have led to significant adjustments in the holdings of public funds, with many technology stocks experiencing substantial declines [3][6]. Group 2: Characteristics of HALO Trading Strategy - HALO stands for Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence, focusing on companies with physical asset barriers and stable business models that are less susceptible to AI disruption [4][5]. - The strategy prioritizes companies with enduring business models and stable cash flows, aiming to mitigate risks associated with technological obsolescence [5][6]. Group 3: Market Trends and Performance - The HALO strategy has gained popularity due to the recent underperformance of high-valuation tech stocks, prompting funds to seek more stable, lower-valuation assets [6][7]. - Notable companies within the HALO framework, such as Huazhu Group and Jiangnan Buyi, have shown significant stock price increases, indicating a positive market response to this strategy [7][8]. Group 4: Divergence in Strategy Applicability - There is a divergence of opinion among fund managers regarding the applicability of the HALO strategy, with some suggesting it may not directly translate to the A-share market due to differing economic conditions [9]. - The HALO strategy is seen as a way to balance risk and return in a market influenced by AI developments, with a focus on companies that can provide stable cash flows and withstand technological changes [9][10].
11分钟,20%涨停!盘后,突传重磅利好!“龙虾”引爆涨停潮!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 07:29
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the explosive growth and popularity of the OpenClaw project, which has gained significant traction in the market, leading to a surge in related stocks despite a global market downturn [1][2]. Group 1: OpenClaw Development and Support - OpenClaw has surpassed 250,000 stars on GitHub, marking a historical milestone [1]. - Xiaomi announced its own version of the OpenClaw, called Xiaomi miclaw, further supporting the initiative [1]. - The National Supercomputing Internet has integrated OpenClaw services with Feishu and WeChat Work, allowing users to flexibly choose various model API services [1]. - Wuxi High-tech Zone has introduced 12 supportive policies for OpenClaw and OPC community development, with individual support reaching up to 5 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Market Reaction and Stock Performance - "Lobster concept stocks" have seen a significant rise, with companies like UCloud and others in the computing rental sector experiencing stock price surges, some reaching the daily limit [2]. - Despite a global stock market decline, the OpenClaw phenomenon has triggered a wave of stock price increases, with 18 stocks hitting the daily limit [2]. Group 3: Product Features and Market Positioning - UCloud has launched a lightweight application cloud host for OpenClaw, simplifying the deployment process and lowering the barrier for AI technology usage [4]. - The deployment of OpenClaw is noted to be more complex than similar applications, requiring over an hour for setup, which may limit its current user base primarily to professional media and entry-level researchers [4]. - The B-end enterprises are identified as the primary purchasers of OpenClaw, positioning it as a productivity tool for new employees [4].
“找桩难、排队长”,交通运输部部长回应!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 04:40
交通运输部部长刘伟3月9日在十四届全国人大四次会议第二场"部长通道"上表示: 努力缓解高速公路充电"找桩难、排队长"难题 责编:罗晓霞 校对:许欣 百万用户都在看 两项"新政",即将推出!吴清发言全文来了 最新!美军:军事行动将升级!伊朗:已做好长期战争准备! 伊朗:已有超500名美军丧生!刚刚,日韩股市暴涨! 深夜暴跌!美股,全线重挫!美联储,遭遇重大变数! 违法和不良信息举报电话:0755-83514034 邮箱:bwb@stcn.com 券中社 × 券商中国 券 中 社 扫码下载券中社APP 扫码关注券商中国公众号 quanshangcn qzs.stcn.com 舞中 券中社APP 券 商 中 国 是 证 券 市 场 权 威 媒 体 《 证 券 时 报 》 旗 下 新 媒 体 , 券 商 中 国 对 该 平 台 所 刊 载 的 原 创 内 容 享 有 著 作 权 , 未 经 授 权 禁 止 转 载 , 否 则 将 追 究 相 应 法 律 责 任 。 看券商中国 知天下财经 目前全国高速公路服务区充电设施覆盖率已达98.8%,今年重点是提升大功率充电能力,努力缓解"找桩难、 排队长"的难题。 目前我国平 ...
透视基金“她力量”:稳健为王,撑起市场半壁江山
券商中国· 2026-03-09 04:40
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant role of female fund managers in the public fund industry, showcasing their superior risk management, disciplined investment strategies, and strong performance across various market segments, particularly in the context of increasing market volatility and a shift towards "stable profitability" among investors [1]. Group 1: Female Fund Manager Statistics - As of March 8, 2026, there are 1,110 female fund managers in China, accounting for 26.73% of the total, an increase of 0.57 percentage points from the end of 2023 [3]. - 95.59% of female fund managers hold a master's degree or higher, with 48 having doctoral degrees, indicating a strong academic foundation for investment research capabilities [3]. - 135 female fund managers have over ten years of experience, with notable figures like Mao Congrong from Invesco Great Wall Fund having over 20 years in the industry [3]. Group 2: Management Scale and Performance - Female fund managers manage nearly 19 trillion yuan in public fund assets, representing over 50% of the total public fund market, highlighting their critical importance in the industry [4]. - In the fixed income sector, female fund managers have an average bond fund size of 2.837 billion yuan, which is 5.62 percentage points higher than their male counterparts [4]. Group 3: Performance in Active Equity - Female fund managers have expanded beyond traditional sectors like consumer and healthcare, achieving notable returns in technology and manufacturing. For instance, the Dazhong Fund's Guo Weiling achieved a 176.11% return over three years, ranking in the top 0.09% of peers [5]. - The average maximum drawdown for active equity funds managed by female fund managers is 27.85%, lower than the 29.82% for male managers, indicating better risk control [7]. Group 4: Risk Control and Investment Discipline - Female fund managers exhibit superior risk control, with their bond funds showing an average maximum drawdown of 1.57%, compared to 2.08% for male managers [8]. - Their investment approach emphasizes thorough fundamental research, strict valuation controls, and avoidance of high-volatility stocks, leading to more stable performance during market fluctuations [9]. Group 5: Investment Style and Strategy - Female fund managers prefer balanced and diversified portfolios, with an average investment concentration of 0.08%, lower than the 0.11% of male managers, reducing the risk associated with single-stock exposure [11]. - They focus on value investing, with an average price-to-book ratio of 5.1 for their top holdings, lower than the 5.25 for male managers, reflecting a preference for companies with sustainable profitability [12]. - 85.05% of female fund managers maintained consistent top sector allocations over five years, demonstrating strong discipline and stability in their investment strategies [12]. Group 6: Conclusion on Female Fund Managers - The "she power" in the public fund industry is characterized by lower drawdowns, reduced volatility, higher Sharpe ratios, and stronger style stability, aligning with the industry's direction towards high-quality development [13].
两会|谢文辉:强化国有资本投资科技创新,赋能构建现代化产业体系
券商中国· 2026-03-09 04:40
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for systemic reforms in state-owned capital to enhance its role in supporting technological innovation and industrial upgrading, addressing issues such as risk aversion and ineffective collaboration [2]. Group 1: Challenges Faced by State-Owned Capital - State-owned capital is currently facing challenges in supporting technological innovation, characterized by a lack of willingness to invest, difficulties in converting investments, and weak collaboration [2]. - The investment share of state-owned capital in the equity investment market is projected to reach 61.5% by 2025, yet it remains conservative due to structural imbalances and a lack of effective risk management standards [4]. Group 2: Recommendations for Systemic Reform - It is suggested to implement a "risk-sharing and collaborative recognition" ecosystem for patient capital, enhancing the effectiveness of state-owned capital in the tech innovation sector [4]. - Recommendations include improving the evaluation system for state-owned enterprises' strategic missions and incorporating performance metrics for tech investments into these evaluations [4]. Group 3: Mechanisms for Technology Transfer - The article highlights the low overall technology transfer rate in China, approximately 30%, compared to 60%-70% in developed countries, indicating a need for better integration between research and industry [6]. - A proposal is made to establish a unified "industry-technology innovation element integration platform" to facilitate better connections between research and market needs, particularly in high-demand sectors like AI and biomedicine [6]. Group 4: Talent Development in Investment - There is a noted shortage of specialized talent in state-owned capital for technology innovation investments, with existing personnel primarily focused on mature industries [8]. - Recommendations include enhancing the market-oriented recruitment mechanisms for investment firms and promoting flexible compensation structures to attract and retain talent [8][9]. Group 5: Data-Driven Decision Making - The article points out the inadequacy of current evaluation methods for technology enterprises, which rely heavily on traditional financial data, neglecting deeper insights from non-structured data [10]. - Suggestions include leveraging data intelligence to improve investment decision-making capabilities and exploring collaborative data applications between government, industry, and finance [11].
刚刚,暴涨超96%!国际油价,拉爆全球!日本遭“锁喉”!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 04:40
Core Viewpoint - The international oil prices have surged dramatically, causing significant impacts on global markets and specific economies, particularly Japan, which is heavily reliant on oil imports from the Middle East [1][3][6]. Group 1: Oil Price Surge - WTI crude oil futures rose by 30%, reaching $118.88 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by over 27%, hitting $118.73 per barrel [1][3]. - The surge in oil prices has led to a sharp decline in major stock indices, with the Nikkei 225 dropping 7% and the KOSPI index falling nearly 9% [1]. - Oil and gas stocks have experienced significant gains, with companies like Shandong Molong seeing a price increase of up to 96% [3]. Group 2: Japan's Economic Impact - Japan's dependency on Middle Eastern oil reached 95.1% as of January, with most oil passing through the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz, making it vulnerable to supply disruptions [1][6]. - If the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, oil prices could potentially soar to $140 per barrel, leading to a projected inflation increase of 1.14 percentage points in Japan and a GDP growth reduction of 0.65 percentage points [7]. - Japan's strategic oil reserves can buffer short-term supply interruptions, but the price shock cannot be mitigated through reserves alone, posing a significant external risk to Japan's economy [7]. Group 3: Market Predictions - Morgan Stanley warns that Qatar's LNG production halts could eliminate much of the projected oversupply by 2026, with potential deficits arising from any extended disruptions [4]. - Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for European natural gas prices for Q2 2026 from €45 to €63 per megawatt-hour, reflecting the ongoing supply challenges [4]. - The outlook for Asian LNG prices has also been adjusted upward, with predictions increasing from $16 to $23 per million British thermal units for Q2 [4].
刚刚开盘,狂掀涨停潮!原油暴涨,特朗普:适时结束对伊军事行动!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 01:51
能源市场全线狂飙。 受国际油价暴涨刺激,今日国内期货市场开盘后,能化板块掀涨停潮,集运欧线、原油、燃料油等主力合约全 线涨停。今日稍早前,WTI原油期货一度涨超22%,布伦特原油一度也飙升近20%。 当被问及是否考虑采取更多措施应对燃油价格上涨,包括动用国家紧急石油储备时,特朗普没有明确表态,只 是指出美国拥有充足的石油储备。他还批评其前任乔·拜登动用美国战略石油储备。 "我把油箱加满了,他却把油箱降到了历史最低点。我们会在合适的时机开始加油,这基本上依靠一种直 觉。"他补充说。 面对能源市场的剧烈波动,美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上安抚市场,称油价的短期上涨是为和平付出的"极小 代价",并预测冲突结束后油价将迅速回落。美国能源部长Chris Wright也出面表态,预计霍尔木兹海峡的航运 将在几周内恢复正常,而非数月。 另据新华社最新报道,特朗普8日对以色列媒体说,将在"适当时机"作出结束对伊朗军事行动的最终决定。 中东局势方面,据央视新闻,当地时间3月9日凌晨,伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队公共关系部表示,8日晚,成功打击 了该地区的美军基地和以色列北部的目标。稍早前,在新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下,伊朗对以 ...
日程预告来了!
券商中国· 2026-03-09 01:51
fik 9时,举行第二次全体会议,听取全国人大常委会 委员长赵乐际关于全国人民代表大会常务委员会工 作的报告,听取最高人民法院院长张军关于最高人 民法院工作的报告,听取最高人民检察院检察长 应勇关于最高人民检察院工作的报告,审议全国人 民代表大会常务委员会关于法律清理工作情况和有 关法律和决定处理意见的报告 十四届全国人大四次会议 下午 上午 举行代表小组会议,审议全国人大常委会工作报告、 全国人大常委会关于法律清理工作情况和有关法律 和决定处理意见的报告 全国政协十四届四次会议 责编:罗晓霞 校对:许欣 百万用户都在看 两项"新政",即将推出!吴清发言全文来了 最新!美军:军事行动将升级!伊朗:已做好长期战争准备! 伊朗:已有超500名美军丧生!刚刚,日韩股市暴涨! 深夜暴跌!美股,全线重挫!美联储,遭遇重大变数! 违法和不良信息举报电话:0755-83514034 邮箱:bwb@stcn.com 券中社 × 券商中国 券 中 社 扫码下载券中社APP 扫码关注券商中国公众号 quanshangcn qzs.stcn.com 舞中 券中社APP 券 商 中 国 是 证 券 市 场 权 威 媒 体 《 证 券 ...