中资金融股方面，中国银行涨0.22%，收报4.53港元；建设银行跌0.37%，收报8.02港元；工商银行涨 0.16%，收报6.25港元；中国平安跌0.97%，收报56.25港元；中国人寿无升跌，收报24.7港元。 石油石化股方面，中国石油化工股份跌0.71%，收报4.2港元；中国石油股份涨0.36%，收报8.36港元； 中国海洋石油跌0.29%，收报20.34港元。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:谷玥】 新华社香港11月5日电 香港恒生指数5日跌16.99点，跌幅0.07%，收报25935.41点。全日主板成交 2388.25亿港元。 国企指数跌9.97点，收报9163.24点，跌幅0.11%。恒生科技指数跌32.44点，收报5785.85点，跌幅 0.56%。 蓝筹股方面，腾讯控股无升跌，收报629港元；香港交易所跌0.47%，收报423.6港元；中国移动跌 0.06%，收报86.65港元；汇丰控股涨0.19%，收报108.2港元。 香港本地股方面，长实集团涨0.05%，收报39.52港元；新鸿基地产跌1.42%，收报96.85港元；恒基地产 涨0.72%，收报28.04港元。 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 恒基兆業地產有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00012 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,841,387,003 | | 0 | | 4,841,387,003 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,841,387,003 | | 0 | | 4,841,387 ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，自2025年3月的低谷以来，香港住宅价格已反弹超过4%，该 行观察到更多迹象支持住宅市场持续复苏，包括股市表现韧性，历史上与楼价展现出良好的相关性(财 富效应);被压抑的需求释放，成交量持续保持强劲;银行上调物业估值;二手市场挂牌量持续呈现下降趋 势;越来越多成交以高于估值价格完成，助长"害怕错过"的情绪;按息预计将进一步(至少温和)下降;库存 水平下降;租金上涨;内地买家的兴趣保持稳固(其人口预计将出现结构性增长);金融产业复苏(香港GDP的 最大贡献者)。 在香港房地产开发商中，该行的首选是信和置业(00083)(风险较低;6%的股息收益率确定性高)，其次是 恒基地产(00012)(股息收益率较高，为6.6%，但诚然存在股息削减的风险)。如果新鸿基地产(00016)的 股价回落至约85港元，该行会考虑买入。 在此背景下，该行预测到2026年底，楼价将再反弹约5%。诚然，市场仍面临一些阻力(例如，高风险开 发商可能仍会降价促销，某些行业失业率较高)，但该行相信上述正面迹象在短期内将占据主导地位。 话虽如此，该行的建设性立场取决于恒生指数的持续韧性，因为房地产市场是由情 ...

Core Points - The Hang Seng Index fell by 87.56 points, a decrease of 0.33%, closing at 26,346.14 points [1] - The total turnover on the main board was HKD 242.7 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 91.43 points, closing at 9,375.79 points, a decline of 0.97% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 77.64 points, closing at 6,093.44 points, a drop of 1.26% [1] Blue Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings fell by 1.68%, closing at HKD 645 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing decreased by 0.41%, closing at HKD 432.4 [1] - China Mobile rose by 0.41%, closing at HKD 85.55 [1] - HSBC Holdings increased by 4.41%, closing at HKD 106.5 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings rose by 1.15%, closing at HKD 38.86 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 0.74%, closing at HKD 95.8 [1] - Henderson Land Development fell by 0.14%, closing at HKD 28.22 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China rose by 0.45%, closing at HKD 4.44 [1] - China Construction Bank increased by 0.25%, closing at HKD 7.9 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China fell by 0.33%, closing at HKD 6.06 [1] - Ping An Insurance rose by 0.27%, closing at HKD 56.15 [1] - China Life Insurance decreased by 0.71%, closing at HKD 25.04 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation fell by 0.24%, closing at HKD 4.22 [1] - China National Petroleum Corporation rose by 0.13%, closing at HKD 8 [1] - CNOOC Limited decreased by 0.55%, closing at HKD 19.95 [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley raised its year-end targets for the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) to 13,000 and 14,000 points, with potential targets for 2026 of 14,366, 15,522, and 16,679 points, indicating potential increases of 8%, 16%, and 25% respectively [1] - The recovery trend in Hong Kong has been significant since 2023, with strong financial market performance and a stabilizing residential property market, making valuations attractive compared to historical levels and other markets [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook for Hong Kong for the next year, favoring stocks such as Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388), Futu Holdings (FUTU.US), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), Techtronic Industries (00669), China State Construction International (03311), Henderson Land Development (00012), and MTR Corporation (00066) [1] Group 2 - Year-to-date, the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) has returned 26% in USD terms, and its forecasted P/E ratio remains 0.3 standard deviations below the 10-year average, making Hong Kong the cheapest market in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN [2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the MSCI Hong Kong Index (MXHK) has returned 26% in USD terms year-to-date, indicating that Hong Kong remains one of the cheapest markets in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN, with a forecasted P/E ratio still 0.3 standard deviations below the 10-year average [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The MXHK index's year-to-date return of 26% highlights a significant recovery trend in Hong Kong since 2023 [1] - The financial market performance in Hong Kong has been strong, and the residential property market is stabilizing [1] Group 2: Valuation and Forecast - Morgan Stanley has raised its year-end targets for MXHK to 13,000 and 14,000 points, assuming the index maintains or increases its P/E ratio relative to the past 10 years [1] - Potential targets for the end of 2026 are set at 14,366, 15,522, and 16,679 points, representing potential increases of 8%, 16%, and 25% respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The firm maintains a positive outlook for Hong Kong, expecting continued capital inflows, and has upgraded the telecommunications services sector to "overweight" [1] - Preferred stocks include Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388), Futu Holdings (FUTU.US), Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), Techtronic Industries (00669), China State Construction International (03311), Henderson Land Development (00012), and MTR Corporation (00066) [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 245.78 points, a decrease of 0.94%, closing at 25,781.77 points [1] - The total turnover for the day was 227.536 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 78.88 points, closing at 9,223.78 points, a decline of 0.85% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 84.85 points, closing at 5,923.09 points, a drop of 1.41% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings decreased by 1.11%, closing at 623.5 HKD [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing fell by 1.58%, closing at 422.4 HKD [1] - China Mobile declined by 0.88%, closing at 84.45 HKD [1] - HSBC Holdings increased by 0.1%, closing at 102.5 HKD [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings fell by 0.26%, closing at 37.86 HKD [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties decreased by 1.44%, closing at 92.35 HKD [1] - Henderson Land Development dropped by 0.87%, closing at 27.3 HKD [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China decreased by 0.23%, closing at 4.36 HKD [1] - China Construction Bank fell by 0.13%, closing at 7.81 HKD [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China increased by 0.17%, closing at 5.96 HKD [1] - Ping An Insurance dropped by 0.72%, closing at 55.5 HKD [1] - China Life Insurance decreased by 2.33%, closing at 24.36 HKD [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - Sinopec increased by 0.24%, closing at 4.13 HKD [1] - PetroChina rose by 1.15%, closing at 7.89 HKD [1] - CNOOC increased by 0.93%, closing at 19.5 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) has experienced a significant decrease in both share count and total assets in 2024, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) was established on September 4, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of October 10, 2024, the fund had a total of 70.08 million shares and a total size of 98.15 million yuan, down from 123 million shares and 146 million yuan at the end of 2024, representing a 43.09% decrease in shares and a 32.92% decrease in size year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the ETF has accumulated a total trading amount of 688 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 34.41 million yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the ETF has seen a total trading amount of 2.643 billion yuan over 186 trading days, averaging 14.21 million yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Performance and Holdings - The current fund manager, Li Qian, has managed the ETF since its inception, achieving a return of 40.20% during her tenure [2]. - The ETF's top holdings include Shougang Resources (3.83%), Far East Horizon (3.69%), Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (3.27%), and others, with the total holdings reflecting a diversified portfolio [2].

杨 侃 投资咨询资格编号：S1060514080002 郑茜文 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520090003 2025年10月13日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 投资要点 风险提示：1）中国香港楼市复苏不及预期风险；2）港资地产业绩大幅下行风险；3）中国香港经济及居民收入恢复不及预期风险。 证券研究报告 楼市调整或近尾声，港资房企迎投资机遇 ——中国香港地产系列研究之一 行业深度报告 地产行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 1 历史复盘：购房意愿与能力均提升，供需格局优化带来上轮中国香港房价企稳。上轮周期中国香港楼市自1997年开始调整，2003年逐 步筑底企稳，梳理其止跌回稳前后特征，可以发现：1）经济及收入预期好转、房价下跌带来置业门槛下降，居民购房能力提升；2）租 金回报率逐步超过或接近理财及房贷利率，租金相对吸引力提升，带来购房意愿改善；3）需求端逐步恢复，叠加新增供应大幅下降， 最终带来供需格局优化、房价逐步企稳。 当前展望：积极因素有望形成共振，本轮中国香港楼市或接近调整尾声。本轮中国香港楼市自2021年开始调整，2021.9-2025.3房价累 计下跌28.4%，但2025Q2房价现企稳迹象，我 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS upgraded the investment rating of Cheung Kong Property from "Neutral" to "Buy," identifying it as the most undervalued stock among the real estate companies covered by the bank [1] Group 1: Potential Catalysts for Value Release - Potential catalysts for value release include acquisitions of distressed commercial real estate (CRE) assets in Hong Kong, continuous improvement in hotel profitability, and opportunities to convert hotels into student accommodations due to a structural increase in non-local student enrollment [1] - Additional catalysts mentioned are the disposal of UK railway assets and higher foreign exchange conversion gains following potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2: Stance on Hong Kong Banks and Developers - UBS maintains a "Neutral" stance on Hong Kong banks due to increased provisioning expenses related to commercial real estate exposure and risks of net interest margin contraction from a potential rate cut cycle [1] - The bank holds a "Positive" stance on Hong Kong developers, with top picks including Henderson Land, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Link REIT, Wynn Macau, Galaxy Entertainment, and Cathay Pacific, all rated as "Buy" [1] - Conversely, UBS is bearish on MTR Corporation, rating it as "Sell" [1]