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9月26日【港股Podcast】恆指、銀河、美團、建行、中芯、兗礦能源
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 04:42
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing mixed sentiments, with bullish investors expecting a settlement price above 26,400 next week, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to between 25,500 and 25,300 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,574 and 25,200, and resistance levels at 26,700 and 26,900 [1] Group 2: Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) - Galaxy Entertainment's stock has been stable in recent months, with a current price of 43 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" stance [4] - Support levels are identified at 42.1 HKD and 40.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 43.4 HKD and 44.2 HKD [4] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock is currently stabilizing around 100 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" recommendation [10] - Resistance is noted at 107 HKD, with potential to rise to 115 HKD if this level is breached; support levels are at 96.2 HKD and 91.7 HKD [10] Group 4: China Construction Bank (00939.HK) - China Construction Bank's stock has seen a low of 7.22 HKD, with a technical signal leaning towards "buy" [17] - Resistance levels are at 7.63 HKD and 7.86 HKD, with options available at a strike price of 9.9 HKD [17] Group 5: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock is currently at 72.95 HKD, with a technical signal indicating a "sell" recommendation [23] - Support levels are at 66.4 HKD and 58.9 HKD, while the first resistance level is at 80.1 HKD [23] Group 6: Yancoal Australia (01171.HK) - Yancoal's stock is currently at 10.31 HKD, with technical signals showing a neutral stance [27] - Resistance levels are at 10.7 HKD and 11.3 HKD, with support levels at 9.8 HKD and 9.4 HKD [27]
港股异动丨濠赌股盘初拉升 黄金周将至澳门旅游局料日均旅客达15万人次
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 02:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive outlook for Macau's gaming stocks, driven by an expected increase in tourist arrivals during the upcoming National Day holiday, with daily visitor numbers projected to reach 150,000 [1] - The Macau tourism director expressed optimism regarding hotel occupancy rates during the holiday period, indicating a favorable environment for the gaming industry [1] - Analysts emphasize that the volume of tourists is a critical driver for Macau's gaming sector, predicting that the anticipated daily visitor flow will significantly boost casino traffic and revenue, particularly from mass market gaming [1] Group 2 - Key gaming stocks such as Wynn Macau, Melco International Development, and Sands China have shown notable price increases, with Wynn Macau rising by 4.6% and Sands China by 3.58% [1] - The article suggests focusing on leading companies with balanced business layouts and strong non-gaming capabilities, such as Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, and Melco International Development, for potential investment opportunities [1] - There is a cautionary note regarding the need to monitor the sustainability of consumer recovery and changes in the competitive landscape of the industry in the medium to long term [1]
銀娛多頭排列成形 43.3元阻力位攻防戰
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-27 12:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of the gaming sector in Hong Kong, particularly Galaxy Entertainment, which saw a 2.5% increase in stock price, closing at 42.66 HKD, indicating significant capital inflow [1] - Galaxy Entertainment has shown a clear improvement in technical patterns, with multiple indicators supporting further short-term upward movement [1] - The stock is currently above all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 41.66 HKD, significantly higher than the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, forming a bullish arrangement [1] Group 2 - The primary resistance level for Galaxy Entertainment is at 43.3 HKD, and if this is surpassed, the next target will be 44.4 HKD; key support is at 41.2 HKD, with stronger support at 40.6 HKD [1] - Despite technical indicators suggesting a "sell" signal, several oscillators like momentum and volatility indicators are issuing "buy" signals, indicating a divergence that investors should analyze further [1] - The MACD indicator maintains a buy signal, but the psychological line shows a top divergence, which may suggest a weakening of short-term upward momentum [3] Group 3 - Recent performance of warrants linked to Galaxy Entertainment shows significant leverage effects, with a 9% increase in a warrant product following a 1.97% rise in the stock price [3] - For investors optimistic about future performance, four warrants are highlighted: Morgan Stanley's warrant with a leverage of 7.3 times and a strike price of 50.93 HKD, and HSBC's warrant with a leverage of 7.9 times, both offering low premiums [6] - UBS and Bank of China warrants provide leverage of 7.6 times and 7.78 times respectively, with a balanced configuration in terms of premium and implied volatility [6] Group 4 - When selecting warrants, investors should focus on the stability of implied volatility to avoid incurring additional costs during periods of volatility expansion [8] - The article encourages engagement with the "Hong Kong Stock Warrant Jenny" account for ongoing professional market analysis and insights into warrant products of interest [8]
港股博彩股午后涨幅扩大 新濠国际发展涨5.03%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-26 06:14
每经AI快讯,9月26日,港股博彩股午后涨幅扩大,截至发稿,新濠国际发展(00200.HK)涨5.03%,报 5.64港元;银河娱乐(00027.HK)涨3.08%,报42.9港元;澳博控股(00880.HK)涨2.59%,报3.17港元;美 高梅中国(02282.HK)涨1.72%,报16.01港元。 ...
博彩股午后涨幅扩大 中秋国庆双节将至 博彩企业普遍预期需求强劲
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 05:55
博彩股午后涨幅扩大,截至发稿,新濠国际发展(00200)涨5.03%,报5.64港元;银河娱乐(00027)涨 3.08%,报42.9港元;澳博控股(00880)涨2.59%,报3.17港元;美高梅中国(02282)涨1.72%,报16.01港 元。 高盛此前发布研报称,对于十一黄金周,基于酒店预订几乎"爆满",以及与客户沟通的情况,博彩企业 普遍预期需求强劲,而全国运动会则不会对博彩收入有显著影响。中泰国际分析亦指出,若9月与国庆 期间的游客数量与赌场收入较好,对龙头博彩股将受益。 消息面上,为防范超强台风"桦加沙",澳门特区政府于9月23日下午5时关闭赌场,至9月25日凌晨2时重 开,历时33小时。汇丰表示,赌场停业或进一步抑制国庆黄金周前的淡季需求。但分析人士表示,中秋 国庆"超级黄金周"已然临近,旅游业的强劲复苏也为博彩股带来长期信心。 ...
港股异动 | 博彩股午后涨幅扩大 中秋国庆双节将至 博彩企业普遍预期需求强劲
智通财经网· 2025-09-26 05:52
智通财经APP获悉,博彩股午后涨幅扩大,截至发稿,新濠国际发展(00200)涨5.03%,报5.64港元;银 河娱乐(00027)涨3.08%,报42.9港元;澳博控股(00880)涨2.59%,报3.17港元;美高梅中国(02282)涨 1.72%,报16.01港元。 高盛此前发布研报称,对于十一黄金周,基于酒店预订几乎"爆满",以及与客户沟通的情况,博彩企业 普遍预期需求强劲,而全国运动会则不会对博彩收入有显著影响。中泰国际分析亦指出,若9月与国庆 期间的游客数量与赌场收入较好,对龙头博彩股将受益。 消息面上,为防范超强台风"桦加沙",澳门特区政府于9月23日下午5时关闭赌场,至9月25日凌晨2时重 开,历时33小时。汇丰表示,赌场停业或进一步抑制国庆黄金周前的淡季需求。但分析人士表示,中秋 国庆"超级黄金周"已然临近,旅游业的强劲复苏也为博彩股带来长期信心。 ...
里昂:银河娱乐拥稳健现金储备可借杠杆提升ROE 维持“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 09:29
Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais highlights Galaxy Entertainment (00027) as having the most robust cash reserves among licensed gaming operators in Macau, with significant potential to leverage financial resources to enhance shareholder return on equity (ROE) [1][2] Group 1: Financial Position and Strategy - Galaxy Entertainment has a net cash position equivalent to 17% of its current market value, amounting to approximately HKD 30.3 billion (USD 3.9 billion) as of Q2 2025 [1] - The company is expected to deploy its capital flexibly, with potential strategies including investments in local opportunities and increasing dividends, which would enhance capital efficiency and ROE through financial leverage [1][2] - The forecasted annualized ROE for Galaxy Entertainment is projected to be around 13% for the period, which is lower than the 18-22% range observed from 2017 to 2019 [1][2] Group 2: Dividend Policy and Market Outlook - Investors have shown a preference for increased dividends, including special dividends, especially in light of the structural slowdown in industry growth [1] - Credit Lyonnais anticipates that Galaxy Entertainment will increase its dividend per share to HKD 1.434, HKD 1.503, and HKD 1.634 for the years 2025 to 2027, yielding dividend returns of 3.5%, 3.7%, and 4% respectively [2] - The company is also expected to retain funds to capitalize on investment opportunities in Thailand, where each gaming license entity is required to invest a minimum of THB 100 billion (approximately USD 3.1 billion) [2]
里昂:银河娱乐(00027)拥稳健现金储备可借杠杆提升ROE 维持“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-19 09:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports indicates that Galaxy Entertainment (00027) has the strongest cash reserves among licensed gaming operators in Macau, allowing for effective financial leverage to enhance shareholder return on equity (ROE) [1] - The company has a net cash position of HKD 30.3 billion (approximately USD 3.9 billion), which represents 17% of its current market value, providing significant flexibility for capital deployment [1] - The report maintains a "Outperform" rating for Galaxy Entertainment with a target price of HKD 50.3, highlighting it as one of the top two picks in the Macau gaming sector [1] Group 2 - The DuPont analysis indicates that the lower asset turnover and financial leverage are impacting the ROE, as overall gaming revenue in Macau has not yet returned to 2019 levels [2] - The company is expected to increase dividends, including special dividends, to improve ROE, while also needing to retain funds for potential investment opportunities in Thailand [2] - Forecasted dividends per share for 2025 to 2027 are HKD 1.434, HKD 1.503, and HKD 1.634, yielding dividend returns of 3.5%, 3.7%, and 4% respectively, with projected ROE of 13.3%, 13.2%, and 13.7% for the same period [2]
博彩股涨幅居前 8月澳门赌收略超预期 博彩企业普遍预期十一需求强劲
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 07:31
Group 1 - Macau's gaming revenue reached a record high of 22.16 billion MOP in August, marking a 0.14% month-on-month increase and a 12.2% year-on-year increase, surpassing the estimated growth of 12.0% [1][1][1] - From January to August, the total gaming revenue amounted to 163.05 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1][1][1] - Haidong International forecasts that September will see a vibrant array of activities, likely boosting visitor numbers and gaming gross revenue (GGR) during the off-peak season [1][1][1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs attributes the strong performance of Macau's gaming companies to a combination of major events, wealth effects driven by the stock market, relaxed visa policies, and ongoing safety concerns in Thailand and the Philippines, which have led more mainland tourists to choose Hong Kong and Macau as destinations [1][1][1] - For the upcoming National Day Golden Week, gaming companies anticipate strong demand based on nearly full hotel bookings and communication with clients, while the National Games are not expected to significantly impact gaming revenue [1][1][1]
大行评级|里昂:银河娱乐现金储备稳健 维持“跑赢大市”评级并列为行业首选之一
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-19 05:28
大行评级|里昂:银河娱乐现金储备稳健 维持"跑赢大市"评级并列为行业首选之一 大行评级|大摩: 上调银河娱乐目标价至44港元 评级"与大市同步" 里昂发表报告指,在所有澳门持牌博彩公司当中,银河娱乐拥有最稳健的现金储备,最有条件运用财务 杠杆提升股东回报率(ROE)。该行维持对银河娱乐的"跑赢大市"评级及目标价50.3港元,是该行在澳门 博彩股的两大首选之一。里昂预计银娱2025年至2027年每股派息143.4港仙、150.3港仙及163.4港仙,提 供股息回报3.5厘、3.7厘及4厘,期内ROE分别为13.3%、13.2%及13.7%。 相关事件 ...