Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" compared to the market [2] Core Insights - New home sales in December showed a month-on-month increase of 33.6%, with a year-on-year decline of 32.1%, indicating a narrowing of the decline compared to previous months [5] - The second-hand home sales saw a year-on-year decline of 30.7% in December, with a month-on-month increase of 12.7%, reflecting a worsening trend in the second-hand market [5] - The overall inventory of new homes decreased by 0.1% month-on-month and 8.3% year-on-year, with an average de-stocking period of 17.8 months [5] Summary by Sections New Home Sales - December new home sales area increased by 33.6% month-on-month, but decreased by 32.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 6.6 percentage points [5] - For the entire year of 2025, new home sales decreased by 14%, with a year-on-year decline of 13.7% across 40 cities [5] - First-tier cities experienced a year-on-year decline of 15.8%, while second-tier and third-fourth tier cities saw declines of 12.6% and 13.6% respectively [5] Second-Hand Home Sales - December saw a year-on-year decline in second-hand home sales of 30.7%, with a month-on-month increase of 12.7% [5] - The overall second-hand home sales for 2025 decreased by 4%, with first-tier cities still showing positive growth [5] Inventory and De-stocking - The inventory of new homes decreased by 0.1% month-on-month and 8.3% year-on-year, with a de-stocking period of 17.8 months [5] - Major cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou have de-stocking periods within 12 months [5] Land Market - The land market in December showed a month-on-month increase of 126.7%, but a year-on-year decline of 8.9% [5] - The average land price was 1392 RMB per square meter, with a year-on-year decrease of 10.3% [5] Real Estate Companies - The top 100 real estate companies saw a year-on-year sales decline of 20% in 2025, with December sales showing a narrowing decline of 26.7% [5] - The land acquisition amount for December decreased by 58.1% year-on-year, while the total acquisition amount for 2025 increased by 2.6% [5] Financing - The financing scale for the real estate industry decreased in December, but showed a year-on-year increase for the entire year [5] - The total issuance of domestic and foreign bonds and ABS in 2025 was 596.7 billion RMB, a 6% increase year-on-year [5] Policy - The central government emphasized stabilizing the real estate market and reducing the value-added tax on personal home sales to 3% [5] - Local policies have been adjusted to optimize purchase restrictions and loan policies in cities like Beijing [5] Sector Performance - The real estate sector underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index in December, with an absolute return of -4.0% [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals in core cities, smaller firms showing significant breakthroughs, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [5]

越秀地产（0123.HK）2025 年业绩预告点评 调整阶段业绩下滑，聚焦核心财务稳健 glmszqdatemark 事件 2026 年 1 月 23 日公司发布 2025 年业绩盈利警告，全年预计实现归母净利润 0.5 亿元至 1 亿元，同比降幅约 90%至 95%；预计实现核心净利润 2.5 亿元至 3.5 亿元，同比降幅约 80%至 85%。 行业调整阶段毛利率下降，当期业绩同比下滑。 公司 2025 年归母净利润同比下降主要原因：①2025 年行业仍处于调整阶段，公 司售楼业务的结转毛利率同比有所下降；②2025 年公司结转项目结构出现阶段 性变动，导致 2025 年结转项目的平均权益占比较 2024 年有所下降。 销售规模维持行业前十，投资聚焦核心城市。 公司 2025 年实现销售金额 1062 亿元，同比-7.3%，排名行业第 9；销售面积 295 万方，同比-24.7%。据中指数据，公司 2025 年在大湾区销售金额 332 亿元，居 区域榜单第二。公司拿地聚焦核心城市，2025 年获取优质土地 23 宗，超过 90% 的拿地金额集中在北上广深、杭州及成都 6 个核心城市。 财务状况安全稳健，" ...

记者丨吴抒颖 编辑丨张伟贤 广州珠江新城马场路地块终于要来了。 广州市规划和自然资源局于近期挂牌出让天河区黄埔大道以南、马场路以东地块（马场1期地块），起 始价186.44亿元，名义起拍楼面价3.29万/平方米，预计将于2月25日10时起限时竞价。 根据出让公告，这宗地块总用地面积约19.45万平方米，出让宗地面积17.4万平方米，计容总建面56.7万 平方米，涵盖二类居住、商业、中小学等多种用地性质。此外，这宗地块还将引入一家高端时尚百货运 营企业。 马场片区项目区位图 马场路地块的挂牌，将是广州楼市今年最重磅的事件之一。关于这宗地块，还有诸多讨论仍在继续：其 一是，越秀地产作为"做地商"，能否成为这宗地块最终的归属方；其二是，作为珠江新城的"绝版地"， 马场路地块是否刷新广州土地总价的新高。 图/21世纪经济报道 无论最终的结果如何，马场路地块的出让都将是广州楼市的风向标。在市场持续承压的当下，马场路地 块承托着市场的展望和期待，其最终也有望像保利玥玺湾的热销一般，重塑广州楼市。 这是一宗备受期待的地块：它的区位优势突出、配套齐全，且位于广州CBD珠江新城，此前又多次吹 风将要引入国内的奢侈品商场，还未出 ...

香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 告 之 內 容 概 不 負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部 或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 關連交易 (1)訂立與本集團養老醫療服務業務有關的新租賃協議；及 (2)提前解約原有租賃協議 茲提述(i)本公司日期為二○一九年八月二日的公告，內容有關二○一九年租賃 協議；及(ii)本公司日期為二○二一年十二月三十一日的公告，內容有關二○二 一年租賃協議。 （股份代號：00123） （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） – 1 – 上市規則的涵義 根據香港財務報告準則第16號，本集團須將原有租賃協議及新租賃協議各自項 下的租賃確認為使用權資產。因此，根據上市規則，訂立新租賃協議及其項下 擬 進 行 交 易 將 被 視 為 本 集 團 的 資 產 收 購 。 此 外 ， 解 約 二 ○ 一 九 年 租 賃 協 議 及 二○二一年租賃協議將導致本公司已確認的使用權資產金額減少，因此根據上 市規則，解約協議及其項下擬進行交易將被視為本集團的資產出售。 ...

本公告只可作參考用途，並不構成收購、購買或認購證券的邀請或要約招攬，或就進行上述任何事宜訂立協議的 邀請，亦不得視作在香港或其他地區收購、購買或認購本公司及其附屬公司任何證券的要約。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任 何責任。 （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：00123） 自願性公告 附屬公司於中國發行擔保公司債券 本公告由越秀地產股份有限公司（「本公司」）自願作出。 茲提述本公司日期為二○二五年五月二十日、二○二五年七月四日、二○二五年七月二十九 日、二○二五年八月十三日、二○二五年八月十五日、二○二五年八月十九日、二○二五年九 月九日、二○二五年九月十日及二○二五年九月十二日的公告（統稱，「該等公告」），內容有 關本公司擁有95%權益的間接中國附屬公司廣州市城市建設開發有限公司（「發行人」）向中國 證券監督管理委員會及上海證券交易所（「上交所」）申請註冊在中國面向專業投資者公開發行 本金總額最高為人民幣9,600,000,000元的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry in China is undergoing a deep adjustment, with significant declines in investment, sales area, and sales revenue in 2025, indicating a challenging market environment [1][3][9]. Investment and Sales Data - In 2025, national real estate development investment reached 82,788 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.2% [1]. - The sales area of new commercial housing was 88,101 million square meters, down 8.7% year-on-year, while the sales revenue was 83,937 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.6% decline [1][9]. - The construction area for real estate developers was 659,890 million square meters, a decrease of 10.0% year-on-year, with residential construction down 10.3% [3]. Construction Activity - New construction area was 58,770 million square meters, down 20.4%, with residential new construction area at 42,984 million square meters, a decline of 19.8% [4]. - The completion area was 60,348 million square meters, down 18.1%, with residential completions at 42,830 million square meters, a decrease of 20.2% [4]. Market Dynamics - The market is still in a "de-inventory" phase due to declining new home sales and significantly reduced land transactions over the past two years [5]. - Some central and state-owned enterprises are maintaining orderly construction activities, and there is still demand for well-located properties, which is boosting market confidence [6]. Financial Policies and Support - Local governments are enhancing "guarantee delivery" efforts, with recent financial policies aimed at stabilizing financing for projects on the "white list," which will support the delivery of homes [7]. Leading Companies - In 2025, ten real estate companies achieved sales exceeding 100 billion yuan, with four surpassing 200 billion yuan. These include major players like Poly Development, China Overseas Land & Investment, and Vanke [9]. - The top ten companies by investment are primarily state-owned enterprises, with significant investments from China Overseas, China Resources, Poly Development, and China Merchants Shekou, indicating a strategic positioning during market adjustments [9]. Market Trends - December 2025 showed signs of improvement, with new commercial housing sales area increasing by 39.87% month-on-month and sales revenue rising by 44.07% [10]. - The average price of new residential properties in first-tier cities saw a slight decrease, with Shanghai experiencing a minor increase, while other cities like Beijing and Guangzhou reported declines [10][11]. - The second-hand housing market is also seeing a shift, with increased transactions in second-hand homes as buyers seek more affordable options [12].

Core Insights - The report indicates a sustained optimistic sentiment in the real estate sector, suggesting that the market performance is likely to continue positively throughout the year [1]. Group 1: Policy Environment - Central policies have seen few new measures, maintaining a loose stance towards the real estate sector. Recent actions include the extension of tax incentives for public rental housing and a reduction in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][16]. - Local policies focus on long-term strategies in major cities, with initiatives aimed at urban renewal and optimizing land use policies [5][16]. Group 2: Transaction Performance - New home transactions remain low, with a year-on-year decline of 31.3% in the first 22 days of January, while second-hand home transactions have shown a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [5][9]. - The number of second-hand home subscriptions has increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 59.8% in the same period [5][9]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The new housing supply is in a seasonal downturn, with a 12% decrease in new home launches week-on-week. However, the transaction volume slightly exceeds the supply, indicating a market adjustment [5][9]. - The land supply and transaction scale have contracted sharply, with a 67% year-on-year decrease in land transaction value [5][9]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The real estate sector has shown strong performance, with a 5.2% increase in the SW real estate index, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.8 percentage points [5][9]. - Major real estate companies have experienced notable stock price increases, with leading firms like Greentown and China Merchants Shekou seeing significant gains [5][9]. Group 5: C-REITs Overview - The C-REITs sector has seen a 2.29% increase in the comprehensive return index, with 68 out of 78 REITs reporting gains this week [5][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Buy" rating for the real estate industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in second-hand home subscriptions and a strengthening of transaction confidence [7][15]. - The average daily subscription for second-hand homes in 79 cities reached 3,404 units from January 1 to January 22, 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.1% compared to the same period in 2025 [16][27]. - The report highlights that the market is experiencing a self-driven recovery without significant large-scale stimulus policies being implemented [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Second-Hand Homes: Significant Growth in Subscriptions and Record High Conversion Rates - Overall transactions show a recovery in lower-tier cities, although this has not yet fully translated into net signing [15]. - In key cities, second-hand home subscriptions in first-tier cities like Guangzhou are relatively stable, while many lower-tier cities are experiencing growth [31]. - The conversion rate of visits to transactions has reached a new high, with a 5.6% conversion rate in 70 cities, up from the previous quarter [35]. 2. New Homes: Low Net Signing Levels Across All Tiers - The average daily net signing for new homes in 45 cities was 250,000 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 42.1% [29]. - All tiers of cities are experiencing varying degrees of decline in new home net signing, with first-tier cities seeing the most significant drops [29]. 3. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - As of January 22, 2026, the average price of second-hand homes in 33 cities has decreased by 17.9% year-on-year compared to 2025 [41]. - The report indicates that the price adjustments in lower-tier cities are more pronounced, aligning closer to residents' psychological expectations, which has led to increased subscriptions [42]. - The report notes a decline in the number of second-hand listings, particularly in key cities, due to factors such as the removal of ineffective listings by agents and homeowners withdrawing listings amid falling prices [41].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The monitored enterprises acquired a total of 30 land parcels with a total transaction amount of 14.5 billion yuan [4] - Brand real estate companies completed 4 financing transactions, totaling 8.44 billion yuan [4] Land Acquisition - In Shanghai, Yuexiu Property secured a residential land parcel in Pudong New District for 4.57 billion yuan, with a floor price of 38,035 yuan/m² [8] - In Huzhou, a residential land parcel was acquired by Deqing County Transportation Engineering Construction Co. for 323 million yuan, with a floor price of 5,954 yuan/m² [9] - In Dalian, a joint venture between Poly and JinDi acquired a site for 736 million yuan, with a floor price of 7,454 yuan/m² [10] - In Wenzhou, Zhongnan Industry secured a residential land parcel for 403 million yuan, with a floor price of 12,582 yuan/m² [11] Investment Financing - Xinjing New Town Development Group successfully issued 440 million yuan in medium-term notes with a 5-year term at an interest rate of 2.7% [12][13] - Lianfa Group issued 250 million yuan in green medium-term notes with a 3+3 year term at an interest rate of 2.6% [15] - Xinda Real Estate received approval for a company bond issuance of 5.75 billion yuan [16] - Shanghai Construction Group successfully issued 2 billion yuan in medium-term notes with a 5+N year term at an interest rate of 2.9% [17] Corporate Dynamics - China Overseas Development signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Sun Hung Kai Properties to deepen collaboration in project construction and other areas [18]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任 何責任。 （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：00123） 內幕消息 盈利警告 本公告乃越秀地產股份有限公司（「本公司」）根據第571章證券及期貨條例（「《證券及期貨條 例》」）第XIVA部的內幕消息條文（定義見上市規則）及香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則 （「上市規則」）第13.09(2)條作出。 本公司（連同其附屬公司統稱「本集團」）董事（「董事」）會（「董事會」）謹此知會本公司股東及 潛在投資者，根據本集團截至2025年12月31日止年度（「2025年度」）的未經審核綜合管理層 賬目的初步評估及董事會目前可獲得的資料，預期2025年度的權益持有人應佔盈利較截至 2024年12月31日止年度（「2024年度」）同比下降至約人民幣0.5億元至人民幣1億元，降幅約 為90%至95%；核心淨利潤較2024年度同比下降至約人民幣2.5億元至人民幣3.5億元，降幅 約為80%至85%。核心淨利潤是指權益持有人應 ...