Core Insights - The real estate market continues to face downward pressure, with all 70 cities experiencing a decline in second-hand housing prices for four consecutive months, indicating a "catch-up" phenomenon in first-tier cities [9][19] - The average year-on-year decline in new housing prices across 70 cities in 2025 was 3.8%, which is less than the 4.5% decline in 2024, marking three consecutive years of decline [4][12] - The average year-on-year decline in second-hand housing prices was 6.3% in 2025, also less than the 7.4% decline in 2024, indicating a persistent downward trend for four years [4][12] Real Estate Market Performance - In December 2025, new home prices in 70 major cities fell by 0.4% month-on-month, while second-hand home prices decreased by 0.7%, maintaining the same rate of decline as in November [4][12] - The total sales area in December was 93.99 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 15.6%, showing a slight improvement from the previous month's decline of 17.3% [12][13] - The total investment in real estate development in December was 419.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 35.8%, marking the largest single-month decline since 2000 [16][19] Housing Price Trends - In first-tier cities, new home prices fell by 0.3% month-on-month in December, with Shanghai showing a slight increase of 0.2%, while Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou experienced varying declines [5][9] - The average year-on-year decline in new home prices in first-tier cities was 1.8% in 2025, a reduction of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [5][9] - Second-hand home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.9% month-on-month in December, with an average year-on-year decline of 4.2% [5][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stable companies with high sales and land reserve ratios in core cities, smaller companies that have made significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition since 2024, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [10][20] - Companies such as China Resources Land, Binjiang Group, and China Merchants Shekou are highlighted for their strong market positions [10][20] - The report anticipates potential policy adjustments by the end of Q1 2026, which could help stabilize the market [9][19]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, Guangzhou's economy shows a U-shaped rebound, while the real estate market is undergoing significant adjustments, with a notable decline in transaction volume and prices, yet major players like Yuexiu Property and Poly Developments are increasing their investments in the Greater Bay Area [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Guangzhou's residential transaction area and average price fell by 11% and 4% respectively in 2025, indicating a narrowing decline but highlighting significant de-stocking pressures compared to Beijing and Shanghai [1] - Yuexiu Property emerged as the "land acquisition champion" in Guangzhou for 2025, securing 9 prime land parcels with an investment of 10.616 billion yuan, accounting for over 20% of the city's total residential land transaction value [1] - The real estate market in first-tier cities is highly competitive, with major developers adjusting their strategies in response to market conditions [1] Group 2: Long-term Strategy and Urban Development - Guangzhou has maintained a strong population inflow over the past decade, establishing a resilient market foundation with an annual transaction volume of 60,000 to 70,000 residential units [2] - The 2026 government work report emphasizes high-quality economic development, industrial upgrades, and urban renewal, indicating significant opportunities for real estate companies [4] - The relationship between real estate companies and urban development is evolving from resource extraction to value co-creation, positioning companies as "city partners" [4][7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition in the real estate sector has shifted from project-based competition to ecosystem-based competition, focusing on comprehensive value systems [12][16] - Yuexiu Property's strategic land acquisitions reflect a commitment to long-term urban development goals, integrating their growth with the city's strategic plans [7][8] - The company is actively participating in urban renewal projects, contributing to local economic stability and addressing urban challenges [8][23] Group 4: Leadership and Industry Standards - Yuexiu Property has transitioned from a mid-tier player to a leading national developer, influencing industry standards and practices [17][21] - The focus on high-quality housing and innovative product standards is becoming a competitive advantage, with projects like the high-end residential development redefining market expectations [21] - The company's leadership is characterized by a commitment to social responsibility and sustainable development, setting a benchmark for the industry [24]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong real estate sector, with most property stocks experiencing gains, indicating a recovery in the market [1] - The Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Ni Hong, emphasized three key areas for urban renewal this year: the renovation of old urban communities, the promotion of complete community construction, and the transformation of small public spaces in cities [1] - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market by implementing targeted policies and supporting reasonable financing needs of property companies, as well as addressing the housing demands of residents [1] Group 2 - In the secondary housing market, major cities are showing signs of recovery, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities experiencing increased activity [1] - Data from monitoring agencies indicate that the transaction volume in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen is improving, with Shanghai's second-hand housing listings decreasing for nine consecutive months, leading to a more balanced supply-demand relationship [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong real estate stocks, with several companies experiencing significant gains, indicating a recovery in the market [1] - The Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, Ni Hong, emphasized three key areas for urban renewal this year: the renovation of old urban communities, the promotion of complete community construction, and the transformation of small public spaces [1] - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market by implementing targeted policies and supporting reasonable financing needs of real estate companies, as well as addressing the housing demands of residents [1] Group 2 - In the secondary housing market, major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen are showing signs of recovery, with a notable decrease in the number of listings in Shanghai for nine consecutive months, leading to a more balanced supply-demand relationship [1] - Specific stock performance includes China Jinmao rising by 4.4%, Greentown China by 4%, Zhongliang Holdings by over 3%, and New City Development by 1.8%, among others, indicating a general upward trend in the sector [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant rebound in Hong Kong's property stocks, driven by recent financial measures from mainland China aimed at stabilizing the real estate market [1] - Notable stock performances include Greentown China rising nearly 6%, Jianfa International Group up nearly 5%, and China Overseas Hong Kong Group increasing by 4.4% [2] - Recent financial measures include a 25 basis point reduction in the People's Bank of China's re-lending rate and a decrease in the minimum down payment ratio for commercial real estate from 50% to 30% [1] Group 2 - Shenwan Hongyuan believes that the fundamentals of China's real estate sector have undergone a deep adjustment, with a positive shift in policy expectations following central government directives to stabilize the market [1] - Ping An Securities forecasts a narrowing decline in the housing market by 2025, with signs of recovery expected by 2026, emphasizing that quality properties will be key to boosting new home sales [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, focusing on high-quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [3][4][21]. Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate sector remains weak, with a year-on-year decline of 17.2% in total real estate development investment for 2025, and a significant drop of 35.8% in December alone [4][21]. - The sales side shows a narrowing decline in sales area, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.7% for 2025, and a 15.6% drop in December [22][32]. - The funding side indicates a continued decline in funding sources, with a 13.4% year-on-year decrease in total funding for real estate development in 2025, and a sharp 26.7% drop in December [37]. Summary by Sections Investment Side - Total real estate development investment for 2025 reached 828.8 billion yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year, with December's investment declining by 35.8% [4][21]. - New construction area decreased by 20.4% year-on-year, with December showing a 19.4% decline [20][21]. - The report adjusts 2026 forecasts, predicting a 7.7% decline in new construction and a 9.1% drop in investment [21]. Sales Side - The total sales area for 2025 was 880 million square meters, down 8.7% year-on-year, with December's sales area declining by 15.6% [22][32]. - The total sales revenue for 2025 was 8.4 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.6% year-on-year decrease, with December's sales revenue down 23.6% [24][32]. - The average selling price of commercial housing for 2025 was 9,527 yuan per square meter, down 4.3% year-on-year [31][32]. Funding Side - Total funding sources for real estate development in 2025 amounted to 9.3 trillion yuan, a decrease of 13.4% year-on-year, with December's funding sources down 26.7% [37]. - Domestic loans saw a year-on-year decline of 7.3%, with a significant drop of 45% in December [37]. - The report anticipates that funding sources will gradually improve due to ongoing policy relaxations [37].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The real estate market has shown a significant decline in sales, with a year-on-year decrease in sales area of 8.7% and sales amount down by 12.6% for the year 2025 [4][13] - The trend of "price for volume" is evident, with the average selling price of commercial housing dropping by 4.3% year-on-year [4][13] - New construction area has decreased for four consecutive years, with a decline of 20.4% in 2025 [5][20] - The total investment in real estate development has also seen a significant drop of 17.2% year-on-year [6][24] - The cash flow pressure on real estate companies remains high, with a 13.4% year-on-year decrease in funds available to developers [6][26] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In 2025, the total sales area of commercial housing was 881 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 8.7% [4][13] - The sales amount reached 8.39 trillion yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year [4][13] - December 2025 saw a sharp decline in sales area and amount, with year-on-year decreases of 15.6% and 23.6%, respectively [4][13] Construction Data - The new construction area for 2025 was 588 million square meters, reflecting a 20.4% decrease [5][20] - The completion area was 603 million square meters, down 18.1% year-on-year [5][20] Investment Data - Real estate development investment totaled 8.28 trillion yuan in 2025, a decrease of 17.2% [6][24] - The funds available to real estate developers were 9.31 trillion yuan, down 13.4% year-on-year [6][26] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include those with strong credit and good urban fundamentals, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Resources Land [7][34] - Companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery are also highlighted, such as Longfor Group and New City Holdings [7][34] - Quality property management firms with strong service standards are recommended, including China Resources Mixc Life and Greentown Service [7][34]

（在香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：00123） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則》第13.10B條而作出。 承董事會命 越秀地產股份有限公司 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任 何責任。 余達峯 公司秘書 香港，二〇二六年一月十九日 於本公告刊發日期，董事會成員包括： 執行董事： 林昭遠（董事長）、朱輝松、江國雄、賀玉平、陳靜及劉艷 非執行董事： 張貽兵及蘇俊杰 獨立非執行董事： 余立發、李家麟、劉漢銓及張建生 债券代码：138935 债券简称：23 穗建 01 广州市城市建设开发有限公司 2、发行人决定行使票面利率调整选择权的，自票面利率调整生效日起，本 期债券的票面利率按照以下方式确定：调整后的票面利率以发行人发布的票面利 率调整实施公告为准，且票面利率的调整方向和幅度不限。 3、发行人承诺不晚于票面利率调整实施日前的 1 个交易日披露关于是否调 整本期债券票面利率以及调整幅度（如有）的公告。 若本期债券投 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a continuous improvement in the real estate sector, driven by favorable policies and a strengthening of the second-hand housing market [1] - The overall industry rating remains at "Buy," consistent with previous assessments [2] Group 1: Policy Developments - Central government policies are increasingly supportive, with the Ministry of Finance announcing an extension of the tax exemption policy for second-hand housing transactions until the end of 2027 [5][14] - The People's Bank of China has introduced measures including a 0.25 percentage point reduction in various structural monetary policy tool rates and a decrease in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][15] - The publication of multiple articles in "Qiushi" magazine indicates a heightened focus on real estate and urban development, suggesting a strong policy commitment [5][17] Group 2: Market Performance - The second-hand housing market has shown significant improvement, with a 40.3% year-on-year increase in transactions for the first 15 days of January, despite a 10% decline compared to the previous week [5][23] - New housing transactions remain low, with a 29.7% year-on-year decrease in sales volume, although there was a 9.9% week-on-week increase [5][23][26] - The average transaction price for second-hand homes in 33 cities increased by 0.6% week-on-week, indicating a stabilization in prices [5][25] Group 3: Land Market Dynamics - The total land transfer revenue remains low, with a 25.2% week-on-week decline and a 54.3% year-on-year decrease, reflecting weak market conditions [5][24] - There are localized instances of structural premiums in third and fourth-tier cities, suggesting potential opportunities despite overall market weakness [5][24] Group 4: Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - Key companies in the real estate sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, maintain a "Buy" rating with reasonable valuations projected for 2025 and 2026 [6] - The report includes detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, which suggest potential for growth in the sector [6][30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Yuexiu Property Company achieved a contract sales amount of 106.2 billion yuan in 2025, falling short of its initial target of 120.5 billion yuan, resulting in a completion rate of 88.1% [1][2] - The overall performance for the year shows a year-on-year decline of 7.3% in contract sales amount, while the total sales area decreased by 24.7%, indicating significant pressure in the market [1] - In December 2025, the company recorded a monthly contract sales amount of 8.996 billion yuan, a substantial decrease of 33.4% compared to the same month last year, reflecting the severe market environment at year-end [1] Group 2 - Despite the decline in key sales indicators, the company’s completion rate of nearly 90% can be viewed as relatively stable during the current industry adjustment phase, demonstrating operational resilience [2] - The company has actively adjusted its sales strategies and operational pace to mitigate external shocks, ensuring the stability of its business fundamentals amid cyclical fluctuations and structural challenges [2] - The performance under pressure has validated the company's market response mechanisms and operational resilience during this "stress test" [2]