Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the real estate sector [5] Core Insights - In January and February 2026, the transaction area of residential land in 100 cities decreased by 34% year-on-year, with the average transaction floor price down by 24% year-on-year [1][20] - The supply of residential land in 100 cities was 17.5 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 17.2%, while the transaction area was 19.19 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.1% [1][20] - The report highlights a significant decline in land transaction volumes and prices across different city tiers, indicating a challenging market environment [2][4] Summary by Sections 1. Supply and Demand of Land/Residential Land in 100 Cities - In January and February 2026, the total land supply in 100 cities was 175 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while the transaction area was 142 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 18.3% [10] - The supply of residential land in first-tier cities was 1.36 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 9.3%, and the transaction area was 1.11 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.4% [30] - In second-tier cities, the supply of residential land was 7.45 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 40.0%, and the transaction area was 5.65 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 44.6% [40] 2. Transaction Prices of Land/Residential Land in 100 Cities - The average transaction floor price for residential land in 100 cities was 5,457 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 23.9% [58] - In first-tier cities, the average transaction floor price was 30,662 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 30.4% [68] - In second-tier cities, the average transaction floor price was 4,688 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 40.9% [71] 3. Top 50 Real Estate Companies' Land Acquisition - In January and February 2026, the top 50 real estate companies saw a 60% year-on-year decrease in the value of newly acquired land reserves, totaling 777 billion yuan [84] - The top three companies by newly acquired land value were Yuexiu Property (26.2 billion yuan), China Resources Land (2.2 billion yuan), and China Communications Construction (2.2 billion yuan) [90] - The total area of newly acquired land by the top 50 companies decreased by 35% year-on-year [87] 4. Transaction Situation of Residential Land in Core 30 Cities - In January and February 2026, the transaction area of residential land in the core 30 cities decreased by 55% year-on-year, with a total transaction area of 561 million square meters [98] - The average transaction floor price in these cities was 11,391 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 14.8% [98] - The overall premium rate for land transactions in the core 30 cities was 10.4%, a decrease of 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [98] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: 1. Real estate companies with comprehensive development capabilities and strong credit advantages, such as China Jinmao [116] 2. Public REITs with rich stock resources and strong operational brand competitiveness, such as China Resources Land [117] 3. Long-term development potential in property services, recommending companies like China Merchants Shekou [117]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the national new housing transaction area and second-hand housing transaction area have both declined year-on-year for six consecutive weeks, reflecting a slight shortfall in the "small spring" recovery. However, with the central bank's continued implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the introduction of various real estate optimization policies in cities like Nanjing and Zhengzhou, it is expected that the real estate market will see improvements in supply and demand, leading to price stabilization [3][5][51]. Summary by Sections Policy Insights - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the sales area of new commercial housing in January-February was 92.93 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 13.5%, with the decline rate widening by 4.8 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2025. The sales amount for new commercial housing was 818.6 billion yuan, down 20.2% [4][12]. - The central bank continues to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the importance of stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [4][14]. Sales Data - In the 12th week of 2026, the new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 2.216 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 12.4%. Cumulatively, the new housing transaction area in 32 cities was 17.912 million square meters, down 19.8% year-on-year [20][29]. - The second-hand housing transaction area in 15 cities was 1.7075 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 8.5% [29][30]. Investment Data - In the 12th week of 2026, the land transaction area in 100 major cities was 19.618 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 35%. Cumulatively, the land transaction area in these cities was 276.286 million square meters, down 7% year-on-year [37][39]. - The average land transaction price was 1,082 yuan per square meter, up 9% year-on-year, with a total land transaction value of 23.11 billion yuan, an increase of 48% [39][40]. Price Trends - The Iceberg 100 Index for the 12th week of 2026 was 9,994, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 12.5%. Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou saw year-on-year declines of 14.9%, 11.1%, 10.1%, and 12.8% respectively [47][49]. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the industry, recommending companies with strong credit and good urban fundamentals, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Resources Land. It also suggests companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, as well as high-quality property management firms [3][51].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the national real estate market is experiencing a slight downturn in transaction volumes, with new home sales in 30 cities and second-hand home sales in 15 cities showing a continuous decline for six weeks year-on-year. However, the implementation of various policies aimed at stabilizing the market is expected to lead to improvements in supply and demand, as well as price stabilization [3][51] - The report recommends several companies for investment based on their strong fundamentals and ability to meet the needs of improvement-oriented customers, including Greentown China, Jianfa International Group, and China Overseas Development [3][51] Summary by Sections Policy Insights - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the sales area of new commercial housing in January-February was 92.93 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 13.5%, with a significant drop in residential sales area [12] - The central bank continues to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the importance of stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [4][12] - Cities like Shanghai and Nanjing have introduced policies to optimize the real estate market, including adjustments to down payment ratios for commercial housing loans [4][16] Market Performance - In the 12th week of 2026, the new home transaction area in 30 cities was 2.216 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 12.4%, while the cumulative transaction area for new homes in 32 cities was 17.912 million square meters, down 19.8% [20][29] - The transaction area for second-hand homes in 15 cities was 1.7075 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 8.5% [29][30] - The land transaction area in 100 major cities increased by 35% year-on-year, with a total land transaction area of 27.6286 million square meters in the first 12 weeks of 2026, showing a cumulative decrease of 7% [37][39] Price Trends - The Iceberg 100 Index for the 12th week of 2026 was 9994, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 12.5% [47][49] - The report notes that the average land transaction price was 1082 yuan per square meter, with a year-on-year increase of 9% [39][40] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the industry, suggesting that the market will see improvements in supply and demand and price stabilization due to recent policy implementations [51] - Recommended companies include those with strong fundamentals and those benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, such as China Resources Land and Longfor Group [3][51]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate market remains robust, with stabilization expected in core cities [1] - The overall market is experiencing a significant pullback, but strong fundamental expectations are anticipated to gradually form over the next month [5] Policy Overview - The central bank has maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged, while local governments are optimizing housing fund policies, such as increasing withdrawal limits and introducing home purchase subsidies in cities like Shenyang and Shenzhen [5][16] - Local policies include adjustments to housing fund management, with Inner Mongolia raising the rental withdrawal limit to a maximum of 21,000 yuan and Shenzhen allowing flexible employment individuals to participate in the housing fund [17][19] Transaction Performance - New home transaction volume in 49 cities reached 350.85 million square meters, showing a week-on-week increase of 20.2%, but a year-on-year decline of 14.1% [21][22] - The second-hand housing market also saw a week-on-week increase in transaction volume, with a notable rise in the number of transactions in 78 cities [5][21] Market Sentiment - The new home supply decreased by 22% week-on-week, while the transaction volume exceeded the new supply, indicating a potential improvement in market conditions [5] - The average price of second-hand homes remained stable at 10,176 yuan per square meter, suggesting a strong price trend in the near term [5] Land Market Performance - Land supply increased, with a total of 215 billion yuan in land sales across 300 cities, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.0% but a year-on-year decline of 35% [5][21] - The land supply area reached 7.2 million square meters, with a transaction conversion rate of 64% [5] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - Major companies in the real estate sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, maintain a "Buy" rating with reasonable values set at 7.64 yuan and 16.02 yuan per share, respectively [6] - The report highlights the financial metrics of various companies, including EPS, PE ratios, and ROE, indicating a diverse range of valuations across the sector [6]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate market remains robust, with stabilization expected in core cities [1] - The industry rating is maintained at "Buy" [2] Policy Overview - The central bank has kept the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged, while local governments are optimizing housing fund policies, including subsidies for home purchases in cities like Shaoxing [6][17] - Local policies include increased housing fund withdrawal limits and adjustments to down payment ratios for commercial properties [19][21] Transaction Performance - New home transaction volume in 49 cities reached 350.85 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 20.2%, but a year-on-year decrease of 14.1% [22][23] - Second-hand home transactions have shown a week-on-week increase of 2.3%, marking five consecutive weeks of growth [22] Market Sentiment - The new home supply has decreased by 22% week-on-week, while the transaction volume has exceeded the new supply, indicating improved absorption rates [6] - The average price of second-hand homes is stable at 10,176 yuan per square meter, with expectations for positive price trends in the coming month [6] Land Market Performance - Land supply has increased, with transaction revenue from residential land in 300 cities reaching 21.5 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 2.0% [6] - The land transaction area was 7.2 million square meters, with a weekly transaction conversion rate of 64% [6] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - Major companies in the sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, maintain a "Buy" rating with reasonable values set at 7.64 yuan and 16.02 yuan per share, respectively [7] - The report highlights the financial metrics of various companies, including EPS and PE ratios, indicating potential investment opportunities [7] C-REITs Market Overview - The C-REITs sector saw a slight decline in the comprehensive return index by 0.06%, with 39 out of 78 REITs experiencing gains [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][34]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector is a crucial pillar of the national economy and an important source of wealth for residents. It highlights the need for effective measures to stabilize the real estate market amidst new challenges [4][34]. - The report anticipates that the bottom of the industry fundamentals is approaching, supported by recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market and improving residents' financial conditions [4][34]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of March 14-20, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 2.584 million square meters, a 19% increase week-on-week. First and second-tier cities saw a 15.7% increase, while third and fourth-tier cities experienced an 80% increase [4][5]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in March (up to March 20) decreased by 16.6%, with first and second-tier cities down 12.9% and third and fourth-tier cities down 48.2% [4][8]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.288 million square meters, a 16% increase week-on-week. However, March's cumulative transactions were down 20.5% year-on-year [4][14]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of March 14-20, 2026, 15 key cities launched 940,000 square meters of new supply, with total sales of 960,000 square meters, resulting in a sales-to-launch ratio of 1.01. The average months of inventory for the last three months was 28.4 months, an increase of 0.48 months [4][24]. Policy and News Tracking - The report notes that the "Qiushi" magazine reiterated the importance of the real estate sector for the national economy and residents' wealth, calling for precise measures to stabilize the market [4][34]. - Recent policies include adjustments to commercial property loan requirements in Shanghai and measures in Nanjing to support the real estate market, such as interest subsidies for "old-for-new" transactions [4][34]. Company Performance Real Estate Companies - Several real estate companies reported their 2025 annual performance: - China Merchants Shekou: Revenue of 154.7 billion yuan (-13.5%); net profit of 1.02 billion yuan (-74.6%) [4][42]. - Beike: Revenue of 94.6 billion yuan (+1.2%); net profit of 2.99 billion yuan (-26.3%) [4][45]. - Greentown Service: Revenue of 19.16 billion yuan (+7.1%); net profit of 0.88 billion yuan (+29.9%) [4][45]. Property Management Companies - The report highlights the performance of property management companies, noting that Beike's revenue increased by 1.2%, while Greentown Service's revenue grew by 7.1% [4][45].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任 何責任。 香港，二○二六年三月十九日 執行董事： 林昭遠（董事長）、朱輝松、江国雄、賀玉平、陳靜及劉艷 非執行董事： 張貽兵及蘇俊杰 獨立非執行董事： 余立發、李家麟、劉漢銓及張建生 越秀地產股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）宣佈，本公司將於二○二六年三月 三十一日（星期二）舉行董事會會議，籍以（其中包括）批准本公司及其附屬公司截至二○二五 年十二月三十一日止年度的全年業績，以及考慮派發末期股息的建議。 承董事會命 越秀地產股份有限公司 余達峯 公司秘書 於本公告刊發日期，董事會成員包括： （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：00123） 董事會召開日期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry has officially entered a new development stage of "stabilization and quality upgrade" in 2025, with significant improvements in delivery capabilities and buyer confidence [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The central government continues to deepen the real estate financing whitelist system, with over 7.5 million historically delayed housing units completed and the pilot of selling completed homes expanding [1] - The asset-liability structure of companies has substantially improved, with a stable delivery pattern characterized by quality upgrades and steady volume [1] - Leading real estate companies have stabilized their delivery scales, and the ability of distressed companies to fulfill commitments has significantly recovered [1] Group 2: Delivery Capability Assessment - The "2025 China Real Estate Enterprise Delivery Capability TOP 50" evaluates companies based on total delivery scale, timeliness, satisfaction, and completeness of delivery systems [13] - The top 50 companies have become the main force in ensuring delivery, with an increasing proportion of high-quality improvement projects [16] Group 3: Policy and Mechanisms - The central government has established a long-term policy mechanism for the real estate market, focusing on ensuring delivery, preventing risks, and stabilizing expectations [15] - Key measures include the normalization of the real estate financing whitelist, full-cycle supervision of pre-sale funds, and the expansion of the completed home sales pilot [15] Group 4: Delivery Quality and Experience - Delivery capability has evolved from merely "on-time delivery" to a comprehensive ability encompassing full-process systems, precision craftsmanship, and full-cycle services [19] - The delivery process now integrates design and operation, creating a complete loop that enhances the value from "building good homes" to "living well" [19] Group 5: Notable Delivery Projects - The top delivery projects of 2025 include high-end, light luxury, and quality works, showcasing the industry's focus on quality and customer experience [6][9][11] - Notable projects include "Poly Tianrui" in Guangzhou and "Beijing Yuefu," reflecting the industry's commitment to high standards [6][9]

Core Insights - The report highlights a tightening of urban construction planning, which is expected to increase attention on the real estate sector [4] - The market is showing signs of improvement in transaction performance, with new home sales and second-hand home transactions experiencing fluctuations [4][19] - The report suggests a growing capital attraction to the real estate sector, indicating potential for upward movement in the market [4] Policy Overview - Central policies emphasize urban development that prioritizes public welfare projects, limiting new construction land for commercial real estate [14][15] - Local policies include adjustments in housing subsidies and public fund loan relaxations in cities like Dongguan and Chengdu [18][20] Transaction Performance - New home sales in 49 cities decreased by 4.5% week-on-week and 12.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline of 6.5% when aligned with the Spring Festival [19][21] - Second-hand home transactions showed a week-on-week increase of 8.2%, indicating a positive trend despite ongoing challenges [19][21] Market Sentiment - The report notes a gradual increase in new home launches, with a 54% week-on-week rise, while second-hand listings have not kept pace with seasonal expectations [4] - The real estate sector's performance is improving, with the SW real estate index showing a relative recovery compared to the broader market [4] Land Market Dynamics - Land supply has increased, with a total of 170 billion yuan in land sales recorded, reflecting an 8.3% week-on-week increase [4][12] - The report indicates a significant drop in year-to-date land sales compared to the previous year, highlighting ongoing challenges in the land market [4] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - Key companies in the real estate sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, are rated as "Buy" with projected reasonable values indicating potential upside [5] - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, including EPS, PE ratios, and ROE, suggesting a focus on fundamental analysis for investment decisions [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the potential for recovery and growth in quality real estate companies and commercial properties [2][27]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom after significant adjustments, with recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the market and enhancing financial support for the sector [2][27]. - It emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, suggesting that their profitability will recover sooner and with more elasticity due to improved industry dynamics [2][27]. - The report also notes that the current valuation levels for some quality firms are at historical lows, making the sector attractive for investment [2][27]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of March 7-13, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 2.175 million square meters, representing a 20% increase week-on-week. First and second-tier cities saw a 21.6% increase, while third and fourth-tier cities experienced a 3.9% decline [3][11]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in March 2026 decreased by 16.6%, with first and second-tier cities down 13.5% and third and fourth-tier cities down 48.3% [6][7]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.11 million square meters, up 9% week-on-week. However, March's cumulative transactions were down 26.9% year-on-year [11][12]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of March 7-13, 2026, 15 cities launched 750,000 square meters of new supply, with total sales of 830,000 square meters, resulting in a sales-to-supply ratio of 1.12. The average months of inventory for these cities increased slightly to 27.9 months [19][20]. Policy and News Tracking - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for a new model of real estate development, focusing on high-quality growth and a balanced housing supply system [27][28]. - Recent policies include the establishment of a mechanism linking new land supply to the revitalization of existing land, prioritizing major projects and public welfare developments [27][28]. - Various cities are implementing measures to enhance housing affordability, such as increasing housing provident fund loan limits and optimizing loan policies [27][28]. Company Performance - Several real estate companies have reported their 2025 annual performance, with notable figures including: - Lujiazui: Revenue of approximately 18.17 billion yuan (+24%), net profit of 1.22 billion yuan (-19%) [38]. - Pudong Jinqiao: Revenue of approximately 5.97 billion yuan (+118.9%), net profit of 1.07 billion yuan (+7.1%) [38]. - Poly Development: Revenue of approximately 10.13 billion yuan (-36.7%) [38]. - Sales data for February 2026 showed significant declines for several companies, with China Jinmao reporting a 20.6% increase in sales amounting to 5.33 billion yuan [38].