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第一上海:予泡泡玛特“买入”评级 目标价400港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 05:56
Core Viewpoint - The report from First Shanghai highlights that Pop Mart (09992) has exceeded expectations in Q3 revenue performance and has a strong outlook for Q4, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 132.9 billion, 197.8 billion, and 252.0 billion yuan respectively, with a target price of 400.0 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 75.3% from the current stock price and a buy rating [1] Domestic Online Business Performance - The domestic offline channel saw a revenue increase of 130-135% in Q3, attributed to optimized store experiences and improved operational efficiency, maintaining an average store efficiency above double [2] - The online channel performed exceptionally well, with a year-on-year growth of 300-305%, driven by effective conversion from live e-commerce, deep operation of private traffic through box machines, and recognition of some Q2 pre-sale orders in Q3 [2] Overseas Business Growth - In Q3 2025, overseas revenue continued to grow significantly, with the Asia-Pacific region (excluding China) increasing by 170-175%, the Americas by 1265-1270%, and Europe and other regions by 735-740% [3] - The company is rapidly expanding its market presence by opening new stores, with the number of overseas stores reaching 140 by August 20, 2025, and expected to reach 200 by year-end [3] - Future plans include exploring emerging markets in the Middle East, Central Europe, and Central South America, while also establishing flagship stores in major global cities like Paris, Sydney, Milan, and New York [3] New Product Success - The market demand for new products remains high, with strong growth momentum. The Halloween-themed "Why So Serious" plush series launched on October 9 sold out quickly, and several regular items are selling at multiple times their original price [4] - The "Starry Person" product has seen rapid market recognition and appreciation through series operation, with a secondary market premium of 99%, second only to LABUBU's 215% [4] - Collaborations with popular media, such as the SKULLPANDA series linked to the show "Wednesday," have significantly boosted brand awareness and engagement in the North American market [4] Q4 Growth Catalysts - Looking ahead to Q4, the domestic market will experience major e-commerce events like "Double Eleven" and "Double Twelve," while overseas markets will see traditional consumption peaks during Halloween, Thanksgiving, and Christmas [5] - The company is expected to launch several holiday-themed new products and replenish popular items, which is likely to reignite global consumer purchasing enthusiasm and support Q4 performance [5]
第一上海:予泡泡玛特(09992)“买入”评级 目标价400港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-31 05:56
Core Viewpoint - The report from First Shanghai highlights that Pop Mart (09992) has exceeded expectations in Q3 revenue performance and has a strong outlook for Q4, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 132.9 billion, 197.8 billion, and 252.0 billion respectively, with a target price of 400.0 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 75.3% from the current stock price, and a buy rating [1] Group 1: Domestic Performance - The domestic online business has shown remarkable performance, with offline revenue in Q3 growing by 130-135%, attributed to improved store experience and operational efficiency, maintaining an average store efficiency above double [1] - The online channel has performed exceptionally well, with a year-on-year growth of 300%-305%, driven by effective conversion from live e-commerce, deep operation of private traffic, and recognition of some Q2 pre-sale orders in Q3 [1] Group 2: Overseas Growth - The overseas business continues to experience explosive growth, with the Americas being the main growth engine; Q3 overseas revenue grew significantly, with the Asia-Pacific region (excluding China) increasing by 170%-175%, the Americas by 1265%-1270%, and Europe and other regions by 735%-740% [2] - The company is rapidly expanding its market presence by opening new stores, with the number of overseas stores reaching 140 as of August 20, 2025, and expected to reach 200 by the end of the year [2] - Future plans include exploring emerging markets in the Middle East, Central Europe, and Central South America, while also establishing flagship stores in key global cities such as Paris, Sydney, Milan, and New York [2] Group 3: Product Innovation - The market demand for new products remains strong, with the Halloween-themed "Why So Serious" plush series selling out quickly, and several regular items commanding multiple times their original price [3] - The "Starry Person" product has seen a rapid increase in market heat and consumer recognition, with a secondary market premium of 99%, second only to LABUBU's 215% [3] - Collaborations with popular media, such as the SKULLPANDA series linked to the show "Wednesday," have effectively boosted brand awareness and engagement in the North American market [3] Group 4: Q4 Outlook - The Q4 outlook is promising, with the domestic market anticipating major e-commerce events like "Double Eleven" and "Double Twelve," while overseas markets will benefit from traditional holiday shopping seasons including Halloween, Thanksgiving, and Christmas [4] - The company plans to launch several holiday-themed new products and restock popular items, which is expected to reignite consumer purchasing enthusiasm and support Q4 performance [4]
A股突发!002278“地天板”,603903“天地板”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-27 09:06
Market Overview - The A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a 10-year high, approaching 4000 points, and the ChiNext Index surpassing 3200 points [1] - The market turnover exceeded 2 trillion yuan, marking a new high in nearly two weeks [1] - Key sectors that saw significant gains included consumer electronics, rare metals, storage chips, and controllable nuclear fusion, while sectors like gaming, engineering consulting services, wind power equipment, and beverage dairy experienced declines [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The electronic industry attracted over 13.9 billion yuan in net inflow from major funds, while the non-ferrous metals sector saw over 6.2 billion yuan [1] - Other sectors such as telecommunications and machinery also received over 5 billion yuan in net inflows, while media, power equipment, and real estate experienced net outflows [1] Company-Specific Developments - ShenKong Co., Ltd. (神开股份) opened at the limit down price but quickly rebounded to close at the limit up price, achieving an 8.5-year high with a trading volume of 2.82 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 57.16% [2] - ShenKong Co. expressed interest in participating in post-war reconstruction projects in Russia, highlighting its historical presence in the market despite recent challenges due to international financial settlement issues [4] - Zhongzhi Co., Ltd. (中持股份) experienced a contrasting performance, opening at the limit up price but closing at the limit down price, with a trading volume of 668 million yuan and a turnover rate of 16.95% [4][6] - Zhongzhi announced that its major shareholder, Changjiang Environmental Group, plans to transfer its entire stake of 63.13 million shares, representing 24.73% of the total share capital [6] Stock Performance - Nongxin Technology (农心科技) saw significant volatility, initially dropping 8.37% before surging to a limit up, marking its third consecutive day of gains and reaching a three-year high with a trading volume of 436 million yuan and a turnover rate of 34.48% [6] - Nongxin Technology stated that it had not identified any undisclosed significant information affecting its stock price and that its operational conditions remained normal [8]
第一上海:铀迎来发展新周期 需持续关注重点公司机会
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 08:53
智通财经APP获悉,第一上海发布研报称,铀的新周期由三件事叠加:①需求持续上修;②中游(转化/浓 缩)产能紧&去俄化;③二次供给占比回落。三者共同造成结构性紧平衡。根据缺口测算来看本轮各环节 机会:铀产业链的特点是技术密集且高度集中,其上游和中游环节主要由少数大型企业控制且对下游的 核电站供应具有重要影响。上游持续看好具备北美企业与生产成本较低的企业,将在铀价上行阶段持续 释放业绩弹性。中游来看,去俄化的政策导向持续提升限制区域企业发展空间。 上游:供需平衡角度上WNA认为全球铀精矿2025~2027年勉强平衡,缺口从2026年的-6百万磅走阔到 2029年-14百万磅(-3.5到-6.2%),如期间价格上涨足够则2030年有望平衡;其中2025年二次供应(库存再释 放/尾料再处理等,不包括金融需求/战略储备)占全球反应堆需求比例13%,但受限于一次供应的预计长 期回落到6%;中游:转化环节持续短缺,浓缩由于欧美去俄化存在区域性缺口,且推高对于铀精矿的需 求。根据测算,考虑去俄化预计到2030年浓缩环节缺口为30%。 报告中称,目前核能贡献了全球10%的发电量,贡献了欧洲25%、美国20%的发电量,成为全球重 ...
002278,上演“地天板”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 03:11
10月27日,神开股份拉升触及涨停,盘中上演"地天板",日内成交额近20亿元。 编辑|钉钉 ...
HSSP INTL股东将股票由第一上海证券公司转入发利证券 转仓市值3.4亿港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 00:36
Core Viewpoint - HSSP INTL has shown significant financial improvement, with a notable increase in revenue and a return to profitability, primarily driven by its manufacturing and sales of clothing labels and packaging printing products [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, HSSP INTL reported revenue of HKD 95.152 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.88% [1] - The company achieved a profit attributable to owners of HKD 2.656 million, marking a turnaround from a loss to profitability [1] - Earnings per share were reported at HKD 0.0144 [1] Shareholder Activity - On October 22, HSSP INTL's shares were transferred from First Shanghai Securities to Fai Lee Securities, with a total market value of HKD 340 million, accounting for 20.09% of the company's shares [1]
HSSP INTL(03626)股东将股票由第一上海证券公司转入发利证券 转仓市值3.4亿港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-23 00:32
Core Viewpoint - HSSP INTL has shown significant financial improvement, with a notable increase in revenue and a return to profitability, primarily driven by its clothing label and packaging printing segments [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, HSSP INTL reported revenue of HKD 95.152 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.88% [1] - The company achieved a profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.656 million, marking a turnaround from a loss to profitability [1] - Earnings per share were reported at HKD 0.0144 [1] Shareholder Activity - On October 22, HSSP INTL's shares were transferred from First Shanghai Securities to Fali Securities, with a total market value of HKD 340 million, accounting for 20.09% of the company's shares [1]
第一上海:维持招金矿业(01818)“买入”评级 目标价43.72港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-22 06:08
黄金牛市提供强劲支撑:2025年第三季度,国际黄金价格继续保持强势。三季度单季度黄金均价达到 3459美元/盎司,同比增幅高达39.88%。作为纯粹的黄金生产商,金价的上涨直接且显著地增厚了公司 的收入,是业绩同比大幅增长的最主要原因。在金价上行的大趋势下,公司未来盈利弹性将得到充分释 放。海域金矿的投产恰逢黄金牛市,有望形成"产量增长"与"价格上涨"的"戴维斯双击"效应,推动公司 业绩和市值迈上新台阶。 世界级资产即将兑现价值:海域金矿作为中国迄今为止发现的最大单体金矿,其资源禀赋极为优越,探 明黄金储量超过560吨,平均品位高达4.20克/吨,是国内罕见的特大型金矿。海域金矿上半年选矿系统 已经一次性带水试车成功,初步具备了工业化的生产能力,预计并在2026至2027年逐步达产,达产后有 望实现至少15吨黄金产量。由于海域金矿规模效应和高品位特性,预计其达产后的克金综合成本将处于 行业极低水平,具备强大的市场竞争力,是公司未来实现跨越式发展的核心引擎。 智通财经APP获悉,第一上海发布研报称,维持招金矿业(01818)"买入"评级,目标价43.72港元。该行 认为,随着海域金矿投产时点的明确和产能的逐步释 ...
第一上海:维持招金矿业“买入”评级 目标价43.72港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 06:04
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhaojin Mining (01818) with a target price of HKD 43.72, anticipating upward revisions in profit forecasts due to the clear production timeline and gradual capacity release of the offshore gold mine [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 12.43 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 53.73% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached approximately RMB 2.12 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 140.43% [2] - For the third quarter alone, the company reported operating revenue of approximately RMB 5.08 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.03% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.73% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the third quarter was about RMB 678 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 106.69% [2] Group 2: Market Conditions - The international gold price remained strong in the third quarter of 2025, with an average price of USD 3,459 per ounce, marking a year-on-year increase of 39.88% [2] - The rising gold prices significantly boosted the company's revenue, which is the primary reason for the substantial year-on-year growth in performance [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a "Davis Double Play" effect, where production growth coincides with price increases, enhancing both performance and market value [2] Group 3: Asset Value Realization - The offshore gold mine is the largest single gold mine discovered in China, with proven gold reserves exceeding 560 tons and an average grade of 4.20 grams per ton, making it a rare large-scale gold mine [3] - The ore dressing system of the offshore gold mine successfully completed a water trial run in the first half of the year, indicating initial industrial production capability, with full production expected to be achieved gradually from 2026 to 2027 [3] - Once fully operational, the offshore gold mine is anticipated to produce at least 15 tons of gold, with low comprehensive costs per kilogram due to its scale and high-grade characteristics, positioning it as a core engine for the company's future leap in development [3]
大行评级丨第一上海证券:给予汇通达网络(9878.HK)“买入”评级,目标价23.38港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 03:16
Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai Securities (Hong Kong) has issued a deep research report on Huitongda Network (9878.HK), giving it a "Buy" rating and setting a target price of HKD 23.38, indicating a potential upside of 50.8% from the closing price prior to the report [1][2] Group 1: Company Strategy and Market Position - Huitongda is positioned as a leader in China's sinking market, benefiting from the empowerment of innovative technologies such as AI, marking a turning point in its development [1] - The company has found a stable, high-quality, and sustainable growth path since its strategic upgrade and proactive business structure optimization in 2024, reinforcing its supply chain advantages while solidifying its core business [1] - Huitongda has established an AI strategic partnership with Alibaba Cloud, continuously optimizing its digital business and aligning its growth strategies with national policies and market trends, such as "AI+" and "targeted county assistance" [1] Group 2: Market Environment and Execution - The sinking market where Huitongda operates exceeds a scale of "trillions" and aligns well with national policy directions, providing a favorable environment for growth [2] - The company’s core business segments, smart supply chain and AI+SaaS, are entering a fast development phase, supported by investments and acquisitions to enhance its industrial layout and activate existing capital [1][2] Group 3: Capital Market Actions - Huitongda is expected to reach an inflection point in its performance by the first half of 2025, aided by a combination of "full circulation + repurchase plan + dividends," which will help the company re-enter the Hong Kong Stock Connect and enhance its long-term value [2] - The company is anticipated to achieve significant high-quality and rapid growth potential driven by rural revitalization policies, AI empowerment, and external acquisition strategies [2]