第一财经每日精选最热门大公司动态。 【今日推荐】 【互联网】 京东：近期报名秒送全职骑手预计审核需要一周左右的时间 据京东黑板报消息，近期加入京东秒送全职骑手报名太火爆，预计审核需要一周左右的时间，请保持 电话畅通并耐心等待。 京东稳定币已进入香港"沙盒"测试 京东集团副总裁、首席经济学家沈建光表示，目前，京东已经进入了香港的稳定币发行"沙盒"测试阶 段，香港的稳定币相关法案制定还在推进中，还没有明确的条款。预计香港的《稳定币条例草案》获 得批准后，香港金融管理局可以据此正式发布稳定币的具体落成细则。（每日经济新闻） 中午崩了？京东外卖致歉：超时20分钟全部免单 4月22日中午，不少网友在社交媒体上发文称，京东外卖崩了相关话题迅速冲上热搜。对此，京东外 卖下午13:21分发文致歉称：非常抱歉，耽误大家用餐了！因今日午高峰京东外卖下单量暴增，导致 系统出现短暂故障，目前已全面恢复，大家可以正常下单了。感谢大家的理解与支持，为表达歉意， 所有已送达超时20分钟以上的外卖订单，京东全部免单。同时，对于22日午高峰宕机期间所有下单 用户，京东外卖将于当日额外发放一张10元无门槛优惠券到下单账户。 刘强东分享送外卖感受 ...

Group 1 - China Southern Airlines has suspended the ticket sales qualification of Qunar due to violations of the sales agency agreement, which poses risks to passenger rights [1] - The airline's customer service indicated that there has been no notification regarding the potential restoration of Qunar's sales qualifications [1] - As of the time of reporting, Qunar has not provided a response to the situation [1]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.26% to 3276 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell by 0.85% and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.21%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.91% at 21056.98 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index declining by 3.72% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 2.55%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 220 billion HKD[1] Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales increased significantly in March, with a month-on-month growth of 1.4%[1] - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for March showed a year-on-year increase of 2.7%[19] - China's GDP growth for Q1 was reported at 5.4% year-on-year[19] Federal Reserve and Trade Relations - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed interest rate cut expectations, emphasizing the need to prevent tariffs from causing persistent inflation[1] - China expressed an open attitude towards trade negotiations with the U.S., contingent on the U.S. showing more respect and appointing a liaison for talks[1][14] Sector Performance - Precious metals and hotel sectors showed strong performance, while the technology sector faced declines in both Hong Kong and the U.S. markets[1] - Shenzhen Holdings reported a 83.5% year-on-year increase in contract sales for Q1, amounting to approximately 3.133 billion RMB[12]

Core Insights - Eastern Airlines has expanded its C919 fleet to 10 aircraft, having executed over 6,500 flights with these planes [1] - Among the 10 C919 aircraft, 4 are owned by Eastern Airlines while 6 are held through financing leases [1] - In the past two years, a total of 16 C919 aircraft have been delivered in China, with Southern Airlines operating 3 leased C919s and Air China operating 3 purchased C919s [1] - Over 600 out of approximately 1,500 C919 orders received by COMAC are from financial leasing or financing leasing companies [1]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that Chinese airlines may benefit from slow aircraft deliveries leading to supply shortages and falling oil prices [1] - Concerns about demand growth are noted due to tariff increases causing macroeconomic weakness and faster-than-expected fleet introduction plans [1] - Despite these concerns, Goldman Sachs believes that the demand for air travel in China is relatively resilient, primarily driven by leisure travel [1] Group 2 - The management of the three major airlines indicates that their current fleet plans are based on existing contracts, but actual new aircraft numbers may be lower than expected due to delivery delays and uncertainties in lease renewals [1] - Goldman Sachs forecasts net demand growth for the years 2025 to 2027 at 4.2%, 2.1%, and 1.7% respectively, with ticket prices expected to improve continuously [1] - The airlines' profitability is sensitive to falling oil prices, and it is anticipated that airlines may share some fuel cost savings with customers to attract more passengers [1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs maintains its net demand forecast while adjusting net profit estimates for the three major mainland airlines from a decrease of 5% to an increase of 2% due to lower ticket prices and revised oil price assumptions [2] - The target price for China National Aviation Holdings (601111) (00753) H-shares remains unchanged at HKD 6.7, while China Eastern Airlines (00670) H-shares target price is raised from HKD 3.4 to HKD 3.5, and China Southern Airlines (600029) (01055) H-shares target price remains at HKD 4.4 [2] - Overall, Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on the three major airline stocks [2]

Macroeconomic Insights - China will impose a 34% tariff on all imports from the United States starting April 10, 2025, which is expected to significantly reduce agricultural imports from the U.S. [3] - In 2024, China imported agricultural products worth $24.9 billion from the U.S., with major imports including soybeans (22.1 million tons), sorghum (5.7 million tons), corn (2.1 million tons), and wheat (1.9 million tons) [3]. Agricultural Sector - The increase in tariffs is likely to enhance domestic grain prices and benefit the planting industry chain, emphasizing the need for self-sufficiency in grain production [3]. - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in agriculture, particularly in genetically modified and gene-edited crops, which are expected to accelerate, benefiting seed companies with leading technology reserves [3]. - The report recommends focusing on companies that are actively expanding their domestic brands in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which primarily generate revenue from domestic sales [4]. Livestock Industry - The report indicates that the pig farming sector is expected to see a significant improvement in profitability for the 2024 annual report and the first quarter of 2025, driven by favorable pig prices and reduced costs [5]. - The analysis of March's supply and demand dynamics in the pig farming industry shows a balanced market, but a potential downward trend in prices is anticipated if there is no support from state reserves [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the poultry sector include Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Lihua Shares; for the post-cycle sector, recommended stocks are KQ Bio, Haida Group; in the pig farming sector, recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Tiankang Bio, and Shennong Group [7]. - In the seed industry, recommended stocks include Fengle Seed Industry, Quanyin High-Tech, Longping High-Tech, and Dabeinong [7]. - In the pet sector, recommended stocks are Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipu Bio [7]. Chemical Industry - The report suggests that the imposition of a 34% tariff on U.S. imports will accelerate the domestic substitution process for chemical products, particularly in high-end markets [17]. - Beneficiary products include lubricant additives, nucleating agents, adsorption separation resins, and nano-silica, with specific companies recommended for investment [19]. Rare Earth Industry - The report maintains an "overweight" rating on the rare earth sector, anticipating that the recent tariffs will enhance China's strategic advantages in rare earth production and lead to price increases due to supply-demand mismatches [22]. - The export control measures on heavy rare earths are expected to stimulate overseas stockpiling, further driving up prices [23]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is projected to see stable growth in 2025, with a focus on improving asset-liability matching strategies [25]. - The report recommends increasing holdings in companies like China Pacific Insurance and New China Life Insurance, which are expected to benefit from improved investment returns and stable business strategies [40].

Financial Performance - Total operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, was RMB 174,224 million, an increase of 8.06% from RMB 159,929 million in 2023[4] - Transportation revenue reached RMB 165,145 million, up 9.06% from RMB 151,445 million in the previous year[4] - The company reported a net profit of RMB 25 million for 2024, a significant recovery from a net loss of RMB 2,957 million in 2023[5] - Basic and diluted loss per share improved to RMB 0.10 from RMB 0.23 in the previous year[5] - The company reported a net loss of RMB 1,769 million for the year ending December 31, 2024, with total comprehensive income amounting to a loss of RMB 60 million[10] - The company’s net profit for the year ending December 31, 2023, was a loss of RMB 4,140 million, resulting in a total comprehensive loss of RMB 3,040 million[9] - The company reported a net profit of RMB 154 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of RMB 3,082 million in 2023, indicating a substantial improvement in profitability[32][33] - The net loss attributable to equity holders for 2024 was RMB 1,769 million, compared to a net loss of RMB 4,140 million in 2023, indicating a significant improvement[84] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses totaled RMB 171,806 million, reflecting an increase of 8.06% compared to RMB 159,052 million in 2023[5] - Operating expenses for flights rose to RMB 83,046 million in 2024, up from RMB 76,799 million in 2023, representing an increase of about 8.5%[44] - Fuel costs increased to RMB 54,989 million in 2024 from RMB 52,050 million in 2023, marking a rise of approximately 5.6%[44] - Operating expenses for 2024 totaled RMB 171,806 million, an increase of 8.14% from RMB 159,052 million in 2023[91] - Flight operating expenses accounted for 48.34% of total operating expenses, rising 8.13% from RMB 76,799 million in 2023 to RMB 83,046 million in 2024, primarily due to increased flight volume and fuel costs[91] Assets and Liabilities - Non-current assets increased to RMB 292,216 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to RMB 281,657 million in 2023[7] - Current liabilities rose to RMB 138,402 million, up from RMB 134,934 million in the previous year[8] - Total assets less current liabilities increased to RMB 191,577 million from RMB 174,662 million in 2023[8] - The total liabilities increased from RMB 129,436 million to RMB 134,934 million due to the reclassification of convertible bonds as current liabilities[20] - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, amounted to RMB 329,738 million, up from RMB 309,226 million in 2023, representing an increase of 6.65%[64] - The company's total liabilities rose to RMB 277,143 million in 2024, compared to RMB 257,229 million in 2023, marking an increase of 7.73%[66] Revenue Growth - The total revenue from customer contracts for 2024 is projected to be RMB 173,838 million, compared to RMB 159,566 million in 2023, indicating a growth of approximately 8.9%[26] - The revenue from cargo operations increased from RMB 15,275 million in 2023 to RMB 18,695 million in 2024, reflecting a growth of about 22.5%[26] - International passenger revenue surged by 52.64% from RMB 21,616 million in 2023 to RMB 32,994 million in 2024[89] - Cargo and mail revenue increased by 22.39% to RMB 18,695 million in 2024, up from RMB 15,275 million in 2023, due to rising international demand[89] Market and Operational Strategy - The company plans to continue expanding its market presence and investing in new technologies to enhance operational efficiency[3] - The company has implemented a strategy to enhance market competitiveness, focusing on optimizing operational efficiency and customer segmentation[72] - The company aims to enhance core competitiveness and achieve high-quality development, focusing on sustainable and safe operations[120] - The company plans to deepen safety management systems and improve safety quality, targeting a stable safety status by 2025[121] Cash Flow and Investments - The company’s cash and cash equivalents increased to RMB 12,984 million, up from RMB 9,531 million in 2023[7] - The company added non-current assets worth RMB 40,788 million in 2024, significantly higher than the RMB 28,099 million added in 2023, indicating a strong investment in growth[32][35] - The group reported a net current liability of RMB 106,995 million as of December 31, 2023, an increase from RMB 101,497 million[20] Shareholder Equity - As of December 31, 2023, total equity attributable to the company's shareholders was RMB 37,071 million, a decrease from RMB 41,275 million at the beginning of the year[9] - By December 31, 2024, total equity attributable to the company's shareholders was RMB 34,943 million, down from RMB 37,071 million[10] - The total equity attributable to shareholders under Chinese accounting standards as of December 31, 2024, is RMB 34,729 million, down from RMB 36,784 million in 2023[68] Safety and Compliance - The company achieved a total of 314.8 million safe flight hours during the reporting period, maintaining a leading safety level in the Chinese civil aviation sector[71] - The company received an AA rating from China National New ESG evaluation, highlighting its commitment to sustainable development[76] Future Outlook - The global economic growth forecast for 2025 is projected at 3.3%, with China's economy expected to remain stable and resilient[119] - The group has committed to expanding domestic demand and stabilizing expectations through proactive macroeconomic policies[119]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The aviation industry shows a long-term growth logic, with passenger traffic in January-February increasing by 6% year-on-year, and load factors recovering to 2019 levels. The new flight season is expected to support supply and demand recovery, with anticipated growth in business travel and ticket price recovery. Improved cost pressures may aid in better-than-expected profit recovery [3][4] Summary by Sections Passenger Traffic - During the Spring Festival period of 40 days, passenger volume increased by 7.4% year-on-year, reaching a new high. For January-February, the industry passenger volume grew by 6% year-on-year, which is an 18% increase compared to 2019. Domestic and international traffic increased by 3% and 39% year-on-year, respectively, with international traffic showing positive growth for the first time compared to 2019 [3][20] Load Factor - The industry load factor for January-February was 84%, up by 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, remaining consistent with 2019 levels. This trend continues from December 2024, where the increase compared to 2019 has narrowed [20][21] Ticket Prices - By the end of 2024, airlines' revenue management strategies have positively changed, continuing into the Spring Festival. Due to high base numbers and a reduction in fuel surcharges, it is estimated that domestic ticket prices fell by 5% year-on-year in January-February, with prices including fuel dropping by nearly 10%. After the Lantern Festival, domestic ticket prices remained stable year-on-year, and recently began to rise with the recovery of business travel post the Two Sessions [3][20] Airline Operations - In January-February, the turnover of airlines continued to improve year-on-year, with expectations that the growth rate of domestic Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) will gradually decrease. The first quarter of 2025 is expected to see continued improvement in fleet turnover and load factors, with a year-on-year increase in ASK of 5% for the three major airlines compared to 2019 [3][20] Flight Schedule Changes - The summer flight season will begin on March 30, 2025. The total planned flight volume is expected to decrease by 3% year-on-year, while actual flight operations are anticipated to stabilize. Domestic flight plans are expected to decrease by 3.9% year-on-year, while international flight plans are projected to increase by 4% year-on-year, recovering nearly 84% compared to the summer season of 2019 [3][20] Profitability Outlook - The report suggests that the recovery in profitability for airlines may exceed expectations due to improved unit non-fuel cost pressures and a 10% year-on-year decrease in aviation fuel prices. The consensus among airlines is that ticket price recovery is expected in 2025, with a focus on business demand growth and ticket price recovery [3][20] Company Ratings - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for several airlines, including Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines [3][32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Southern Airlines is "Accumulate" [2][5]. Core Views - The report indicates that the supply and demand in the industry are expected to continue recovering, with the company poised to reduce losses in its main operations. The construction of the Beijing Daxing hub is anticipated to elevate the profit center [4][5]. - The company has significant profit elasticity and benefits from a potential decline in oil prices, which could enhance profitability during peak seasons [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The net profit for the first half of 2024 is projected at -1.23 billion RMB, with a significant impact from a nearly 1.4 billion RMB investment loss due to the capital increase in Sichuan Airlines. The main operations are expected to continue reducing losses year-on-year [5]. - The company’s fleet size increased by 6.7% compared to the same period in 2019, with an ASK growth of 6% [5]. - The passenger load factor improved by 6 percentage points year-on-year, surpassing 2019 levels, while seat revenue increased by 4% compared to 2019 [5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively investing in international routes, capitalizing on cross-border e-commerce opportunities, leading to a 4.5 billion RMB increase in logistics profits to 1.7 billion RMB [5]. - The report highlights that if the average fuel procurement price decreases by 10%, the estimated annual net profit increases for China Southern Airlines and other airlines would be 4.2 billion RMB, 4.1 billion RMB, 3.5 billion RMB, 530 million RMB, and 470 million RMB respectively [5]. Long-term Development - The construction of the Beijing Daxing hub is a significant strategic move for China Southern Airlines, as it is the largest base airline at the airport. The company is expected to benefit from new slot allocation policies [5]. - The report anticipates that as supply and demand recover, the profitability of domestic routes will improve, and the long-term profitability of international routes is also expected to enhance [5].

Financial Performance - Operating revenue for the first half of 2024 reached RMB 84,790 million, an increase of 18.04% compared to RMB 71,830 million in the same period of 2023[8]. - The net loss attributable to equity holders of the company decreased by 63.36% to RMB 1,054 million from RMB 2,877 million year-on-year[8]. - Basic and diluted loss per share improved to RMB (0.06) from RMB (0.16), marking a 62.50% reduction in loss per share[8]. - Passenger revenue for the same period was RMB 71,764 million, up 17.73% from RMB 60,958 million in 2023, driven by an increase in passenger numbers[38]. - Cargo and mail revenue increased by 21.59% to RMB 8,730 million, compared to RMB 7,180 million in 2023, attributed to higher cargo volume[39]. - The total operating expenses rose by 16.51% to RMB 84,126 million from RMB 72,204 million in 2023[41]. - The company reported a pre-tax profit of RMB 357 million, compared to a pre-tax loss of RMB 1,764 million in the previous year[160]. - Total comprehensive loss for the period was RMB 538 million, compared to RMB 2,563 million in 2023[162]. Operational Efficiency - Net cash inflow from operating activities was RMB 12,893 million, down 23.40% from RMB 16,831 million in the first half of 2023[8]. - The company’s operational efficiency improved, reducing the number of passengers affected by irregular flights by 171.7 thousand[24]. - The average passenger load factor improved to 83.07%, up 7.30 percentage points from 75.77% in 2023[32]. - The total flight hours increased by 15.82% to 1,536.60 thousand hours from 1,326.73 thousand hours in 2023[33]. - The company’s hub transfer ratios reached 19.8% in Guangzhou and 11.6% in Beijing during the reporting period[25]. Market Expansion and Development - The company plans to continue expanding its market presence and enhancing operational efficiency in the upcoming quarters[8]. - New product and technology developments are underway to improve service offerings and customer experience[8]. - The group plans to accelerate the construction of a world-class enterprise through targeted actions to enhance quality and innovation[16]. - The company plans to expand its fleet, with a focus on the introduction of the C919 aircraft series[36]. Financial Position - Total assets as of June 30, 2024, amounted to RMB 315,422 million, reflecting a 1.88% increase from RMB 309,596 million at the end of 2023[8]. - Equity attributable to equity holders of the company was RMB 35,945 million, a decrease of 3.04% from RMB 37,071 million at the end of 2023[8]. - Total liabilities increased by 2.47% to RMB 263,589 million as of June 30, 2024[45]. - The debt-to-asset ratio as of June 30, 2024, was 83.57%, up 0.48 percentage points from 83.09% on December 31, 2023[47]. - Cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2024, were RMB 9,553 million, remaining stable compared to December 31, 2023[44]. Environmental Management - The company’s environmental management practices include being listed as a key pollutant discharge unit in Shenyang, focusing on wastewater, waste gas, and hazardous waste management[90]. - The company has implemented pollution prevention facilities in strict accordance with environmental regulations, ensuring that production facilities operate simultaneously with pollution control measures[94]. - The company has engaged a third-party firm to conduct regular monitoring of pollutants, achieving compliance with emission standards during the reporting period[97]. - The company has developed a carbon account for passengers, recording carbon emissions reductions from actions such as canceling meals and using electronic check-in, with a total of 600 tons of CO2 offset by June 2024[103]. Risk Management - The company faced risks from macroeconomic fluctuations, which directly impact air passenger and cargo demand[60]. - The company is exposed to competition risks from other transportation modes, particularly with the expansion of high-speed rail networks[64]. - A 10% increase or decrease in average fuel prices is projected to affect operating costs by RMB 2,789 million during the reporting period[69]. - The company’s financial risk management includes liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange, and credit risks[176]. Shareholder and Governance - The company held its 2023 Annual General Meeting on May 24, 2024, where all resolutions were passed by shareholders[79]. - The company’s board confirmed compliance with the corporate governance code throughout the reporting period[86]. - There were no changes in the shareholding of current and departing directors, supervisors, and senior management during the reporting period[84]. - The company has appointed KPMG as the auditor for the 2024 financial reports, approved by the shareholders' meeting on May 24, 2024[118]. Future Commitments - The company has committed to purchasing a total of 6 ARJ21 aircraft, 136 A320NEO series aircraft, and 100 C919 series aircraft, which are yet to be delivered[11]. - The company has committed to a lock-up period of 6 months for shares held prior to the IPO of Southern Airlines Logistics, contingent on profit performance[116]. - The company plans to transfer four cargo aircraft to Southern Airlines Cargo in 2024, subject to regulatory approvals, and will support the transfer of ownership and operational rights[114].