Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [1] Core Views - The relaxation of purchase restrictions in Shenzhen has led to a month-on-month increase in new home transactions, while year-on-year sales remain lower [1][8] - The report highlights that the real estate market is in a recovery phase, with ongoing policy support expected to bolster demand [8] - Key companies with strong financials and performance are recommended for investment, including Yuexiu Property, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others [8] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index fell by 1.48%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index, which declined by 0.81% [5][13] 2. Industry Fundamentals - For the week of August 29 to September 4, new home sales in 38 monitored cities totaled 25,688 units, a year-on-year decrease of 10.4% but a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [6][21] - The total transaction area for new homes was 2.425 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 17.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [6][21] - In the same period, second-hand home sales in 16 monitored cities reached 15,607 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 5% but a month-on-month decrease of 13.3% [6][38] 3. Land Market Analysis - Land supply for the week was 36.101 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 29.3%, with an average price of 1,808 yuan per square meter [7] - Land transactions totaled 23.902 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 43% and a transaction value of 30.78 billion yuan, up 61.7% year-on-year [7] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on financially stable leading real estate companies that can effectively navigate market fluctuations, as well as property management firms that may see performance recovery [8]

Core Insights - The company achieved a core net profit of 20.1 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15% with a core net profit margin of 23.6%, up 1.7 percentage points [1] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, distributing a total dividend of 0.881 yuan per share in H1 2025, marking the first time achieving a 100% payout ratio in the interim [1] Business Segment Performance - The commercial channel revenue reached 33 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 15% year-on-year, contributing 38% to total revenue and 68% to total gross profit [2] - Shopping center revenue was 23 billion yuan, a 20% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 78.7%, up 6.2 percentage points [2] - The property channel revenue grew to 52 billion yuan, a modest increase of 1% year-on-year, with community space revenue accounting for 82% of the property channel's total revenue [3] - Community space business revenue decreased by 2% to 42 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in value-added services [3] Operational Metrics - The company managed a total area of 420 million square meters in property management as of H1 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year [3] - The occupancy rate for shopping centers was 97.1%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the occupancy rate for office buildings was 74.1%, down 3.0 percentage points year-on-year [2][3] Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 40.8 billion yuan and 45.6 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.79 yuan and 2.00 yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [6] Core Viewpoints - In August 2025, the top 10 real estate companies saw a month-on-month sales increase of 12%, while year-on-year sales decreased by 3%. The top 100 companies experienced a year-on-year sales decline of 19% [1][2] - The report highlights a significant divergence in sales performance among companies, with some showing positive growth while others face substantial declines [4][5] - The outlook for 2025 suggests that ongoing real estate policies will lead to regional and urban differentiation, with high-energy core cities likely to benefit from urban renewal initiatives [4][66] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In August 2025, the top 10 companies had total sales of 119.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% and a month-on-month increase of 11.6% [1] - For the first eight months of 2025, total sales for the top 10 companies reached 1.08 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.1% [1][2] - The top 100 companies reported total sales of 220.2 billion yuan in August 2025, with a year-on-year decline of 19.2% [35] Company Performance - Among the top 50 companies, 46 reported an average year-on-year sales increase of 24.8% in August 2025, but the median was a decline of 29.7% [3][42] - In the first eight months of 2025, only three out of the top 20 companies reported positive cumulative sales growth, with China Jinmao leading at 26% [61][66] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong brand reputation and sales growth, such as Poly Developments, China Jinmao, and China Overseas Development [5][67] - It also highlights the potential of companies with rich existing resources and operational brand strength, recommending China Resources Land and Shanghai Lingang [5][67] - The long-term growth potential of the property service industry is emphasized, with recommendations for companies like China Merchants Shekou and Greentown Service [5][67]

Core Viewpoint - The performance report for listed property companies in the first half of 2025 shows a slowdown in growth and further industry differentiation, with 63 companies having released their mid-year results, except for two that delayed their reports [1] Group 1: Company Performance Metrics - Country Garden Services leads in managed area with 1.063 billion square meters, earning the title of "scale king" [2][5] - Poly Property ranks first in contracted area with 996 million square meters, while Country Garden Services tops in revenue at 23.185 billion yuan [2][4] - China Resources Vientiane Life achieved the highest net profit at 2.068 billion yuan, marking it as the most profitable property company [2][4] Group 2: Industry Growth Trends - The total managed area of 53 listed property companies reached approximately 7.79 billion square meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, but a decline of 5.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - The fastest growth in managed and contracted areas was seen in Su Xin Services, with increases of 62.81% and 57.20% respectively [8] - The proportion of third-party managed area decreased to about 65.0%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous year [9] Group 3: Revenue Insights - The total revenue of 63 listed property companies grew to 148.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, but a decline of 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [10] - Basic property services accounted for 72.4% of revenue, indicating a stronger emphasis on core services, while community value-added services saw a decline [10] - Country Garden Services reported a revenue increase of 2.139 billion yuan, maintaining its leading position in the industry [10] Group 4: Profitability Analysis - The average net profit for 63 listed property companies reached 170 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, with a net profit margin of 7.2% [14] - China Resources Vientiane Life led in net profit at 2.068 billion yuan, while Zhujiang Shares experienced the highest growth rate in net profit at 857.31% [14] - The overall decline in gross profit and gross margin reflects ongoing pressures in the industry, with the average gross margin dropping to 19.4% [14][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China Resources Vientiane Life [6][77]. Core Views - The company achieved a core net profit of 2.01 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15%. The operating revenue reached 8.5 billion yuan, up 7% year-on-year, with a core net profit margin of 23.6%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points [1][10]. - The company has prioritized shareholder returns, achieving a dividend payout ratio of 100% for the first time in the mid-term, with a total dividend of 0.881 yuan per share [1][10]. Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the commercial channel revenue was 3.3 billion yuan, a 15% increase year-on-year, contributing 38% to the company's overall revenue [2][19]. - The shopping center segment saw a revenue of 2.3 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 78.7%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points [2][19]. - The property management segment's revenue was 5.2 billion yuan, a 1% increase year-on-year, with community space revenue accounting for 82% of the property management segment [3][51]. Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 to be 4.08 billion yuan and 4.56 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.79 yuan and 2.00 yuan [3][77]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025 and 2026 are 19.7 and 17.7, respectively [3][77]. Business Segmentation - The commercial channel's gross margin improved to 66.1%, while the property management segment's gross margin was 18.8% [1][10]. - The company managed 125 shopping center projects with a total managed area of 13.56 million square meters, a 14% year-on-year increase [2][19].

Core Insights - The report from the China Index Academy highlights the expansion of the top 50 property service companies in China, with a total new contract area of approximately 54.9 million square meters in August 2025, averaging 1.1 million square meters per company [1][2]. Group 1: Top 50 Companies by New Contract Area - China Resources Vientiane Life Co., Ltd., Shanghai Yongsheng Property Management Co., Ltd., and Shimao Service Holdings Co., Ltd. are leading the expansion, each exceeding 5 million square meters in new contract area [1][2]. - The average new contract area for the top 50 companies is 1.1 million square meters, indicating a robust growth trend in the property service sector [1][2]. Group 2: Third-Party Market Expansion - The total third-party market expansion area for the top 50 property service companies reached 47.14 million square meters in August 2025, with an average of 940,000 square meters per company [6][7]. - Shanghai Yongsheng Property Management Co., Ltd. and China Resources Vientiane Life Co., Ltd. led the third-party market expansion with areas of 563,000 square meters and 557,000 square meters, respectively [6][7]. Group 3: Associated Area Analysis - The total area contracted from associated developers by the top 50 companies was approximately 9.86 million square meters, with an average of 200,000 square meters per company [12]. - Companies like Wuhan Urban Services Group Co., Ltd., China Overseas Property Management Co., Ltd., and Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. are expected to add over 700,000 square meters to their managed area due to support from parent companies [12]. Group 4: City Service Bidding - In August 2025, the top five companies in city service bidding included Shenzhen Jindi Property Management Co., Ltd. with a winning bid of 47.48 million yuan, followed by Shenzhen Xinghe Zhishan Life Co., Ltd. and China Overseas Property Management Co., Ltd. [13][14]. - The report notes significant wins in city service projects, particularly for Shenzhen Jindi Property Management Co., Ltd. in the public affairs center project in Pingshan District, Shenzhen [14].

Core Insights - The report from the China Index Academy indicates that in August 2025, the top 50 property service companies in China added approximately 54.9 million square meters of new contract area, reflecting continuous expansion among leading firms [1] - The average new contract area for these companies was 1.1 million square meters [1] - Notable companies such as China Resources Vientiane Life Co., Shanghai Yongsheng Property Management Co., and Shimao Services Holdings Ltd. experienced rapid growth, each adding over 5 million square meters of new contract area [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley indicates that Chinese property developers' performance in the first half of the year was as expected, but they maintain a generally positive outlook for the second half and beyond, particularly regarding the recovery of development profit margins and rental growth [1] Industry Summary - Major developers experienced an average core profit decline of 17% year-on-year in the first half, while dividend payout ratios remained stable [1] - Liquidity risks in the industry appear to have been largely mitigated, although differentiation among companies persists; state-owned enterprises continue to perform well with improvements in profit margins and balance sheets [1] - The fourth quarter is expected to see accelerated real estate sales, driven by state-owned enterprises having ample sellable resources in high-tier cities; however, the average sales for the remaining year are still projected to decline by 2% year-on-year [1] - Company management anticipates a decrease in development gross margins by 1-2 percentage points this year, with a potential recovery starting in 2026; destocking remains a primary task for the coming years [1] Company Recommendations - Morgan Stanley continues to recommend focusing on high-quality state-owned enterprises with good prospects, such as China Resources Land (01109) and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle (01209), as well as high-dividend stocks like Jianfa International Group (01908) [1]

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 華潤萬象生活有限公司 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 呈交日期: 2025年9月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01209 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 | USD | | 50,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 | USD | | 50,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of key commercial operators in the retail sector has shown differentiation in the first half of 2025, with expectations for leading companies to strengthen their competitive advantages in the medium to long term due to location, customer loyalty, and operational capabilities [1][5]. Group 1: Performance Overview - Key commercial operators reported their 1H25 performance, with China Resources Vientiane Life's core net profit increasing by 15%, while major Hong Kong developers saw a core net profit decline of 4-9%, aligning with market expectations [1]. - High-end commercial operators experienced an average same-store sales growth of 2.2% in 1H25, an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024, while mass-market operators saw a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points to 7.6% [2]. Group 2: Rental and Operational Efficiency - Rental income for major operators in mainland China showed resilience, with average rental growth of 0.5% in both 2024 and 1H25, which is significantly better than retail sales performance [3]. - Heavy asset operators reported a gross profit margin increase of 0.3 percentage points to 73.9%, indicating ongoing operational efficiency improvements [4]. Group 3: Future Trends - The industry is expected to benefit from a "Matthew Effect," with leading commercial operators likely to solidify their competitive barriers in the medium to long term [5]. - The second half of the year is anticipated to have positive catalysts, including low base effects from last year's retail sales and continued supportive consumption policies [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends China Resources Vientiane Life and Swire Properties for their dual returns of growth and dividends, while suggesting to accumulate Hongkong Land at lower prices to capitalize on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut window [6].