Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Insurance Sector**: In Q1 2025, net profits for major insurers like China Ping An and China Taiping fell by 26% and 18% respectively, primarily due to declines in the bond market and equity market volatility. Conversely, PICC and China Life saw net profit growth of approximately 40%, with Xinhua also reporting positive growth, benefiting from favorable bond market and Hong Kong stock allocations [1][2]. - **Brokerage Sector**: The overall performance of 39 brokerages in Q1 2025 met expectations, with a 53% year-on-year increase in net profit, driven by a low base from the previous year and significant improvements in trading volume, which rose nearly 80% year-on-year. The number of new accounts opened increased by 32%, contributing significantly to retail business [1][3]. - **Public Fund Regulations**: New regulations for public funds shift the focus from short-term returns to long-term investor performance, potentially restoring trust and benefiting the industry's long-term development. This may exacerbate the "Matthew Effect," favoring leading fund companies [4]. - **Non-Banking Financial Sector**: The non-banking financial sector is significantly under-allocated, with only 1% of active equity funds invested compared to a standard of 6.5%. This indicates a potential recovery volume of approximately 150 billion, suggesting a sustained reallocation towards benchmark stocks, especially large-cap stocks [5][6]. Key Insights - **Brokerage Performance**: The brokerage sector is expected to see a 50% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with a forecasted 40% growth for the mid-year report and an overall annual growth expectation of around 25%. Current valuations remain low, with a focus on brokerages with strong retail advantages such as Guosen Securities, Huatai Securities, and GF Securities [7]. - **Insurance Recommendations**: Due to weak marginal improvements in the insurance sector, it is recommended to focus on undervalued stocks like China Taiping and China Ping An, as well as high dividend yield stocks like Jiangsu Jinzu [8]. - **Banking Sector Performance**: In Q1 2025, 42 listed banks reported a revenue decline of 1.7% and a net profit decline of 1.2%. The overall loan volume is expected to remain stable compared to 2024, with a slight narrowing of interest margins anticipated [9][14]. - **Real Estate Sector**: The real estate industry experienced a 7.5% revenue decline in Q1 2025, with a net profit loss of 10 billion yuan. The top 100 real estate companies saw a 30% drop in sales, although the decline was less severe than in previous periods. Companies with strong fundamentals in first-tier and strong second-tier cities are viewed positively [15][18]. Additional Considerations - **Market Dynamics**: The new public fund regulations may lead to a decrease in fees for banks, brokerages, and third-party sales agencies, impacting their revenues negatively but within expected limits [4]. - **Investment Strategy**: The recommendation for banks includes focusing on stable dividend strategies, with a preference for banks like CITIC Bank and Agricultural Bank of China, as well as regional banks benefiting from recovering demand from small and micro enterprises [14]. - **Future Outlook for Real Estate**: The real estate sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, particularly in first-tier and strong second-tier cities, with a focus on companies like Binjiang Group and China Merchants Shekou [18].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index Non-Bank Financial Theme Index has shown significant growth, with a 13.63% increase over the past month and a 12.54% increase year-to-date, reflecting strong performance in the non-bank financial sector within the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Index Non-Bank Financial Theme Index rose by 0.65% to 3292.09 points, with a trading volume of 13.164 billion yuan [1]. - Over the last three months, the index has increased by 9.80% [1]. - The index was established on November 14, 2014, with a base point of 3000.0 [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index includes up to 50 listed companies that meet the non-bank financial theme criteria from the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: Hong Kong Exchanges (17.71%), AIA Group (15.97%), Ping An Insurance (13.53%), China Life Insurance (7.95%), China Pacific Insurance (7.13%), People's Insurance Group of China (6.03%), China Taiping Insurance (5.39%), New China Life Insurance (5.13%), CITIC Securities (2.41%), and China Taiping (2.6%) [1]. - The index's holdings are entirely focused on the financial sector, with a 100% allocation [2]. Group 3: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]. - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or when new companies meet the criteria for inclusion [2].

1. Macro Data Overview - GDP in Q1 2025 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, the same as the previous quarter and higher than the same period last year [1] - In April 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down from 50.5% in the previous month and 50.4% in the same period last year [1] - The non-manufacturing PMI for business activities in April 2025 was 50.4%, down from 50.8% in the previous month and 51.2% in the same period last year [1] - Other economic indicators such as CPI, PPI, and social financing scale also showed corresponding changes [1] 2. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy to support key areas of the real economy [2] - China's latest LPR has been lowered, and major banks have cut deposit and mortgage rates [2] - China's gold and platinum imports reached new highs in April [2] - The EU is considering zero quotas on Russian natural gas imports [2] Metals - The holdings of the world's largest gold ETF increased by 0.57 tons [3] Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - Two coke ovens of Tangshan Guoyi Special Steel Co., Ltd. were shut down [4] Energy and Chemicals - The EU may propose to lower the price cap on Russian seaborne oil [5] - Macquarie Group expects OPEC+ to increase production in July [6] - Turkey discovered a new natural gas field [6] - Abu Dhabi National Oil Company reached agreements with US energy companies [6] - Kazakhstan's oil production increased in May [7] Agricultural Products - China's expected summer grain purchase volume in 2025 is about 200 billion jin [8] - Henan Province will implement policies to support grain production [8] - Gansu Province launched a drought emergency response [9] - South Korean flour mills bought US wheat [10] - Japan will not sacrifice its agriculture in trade agreements [10] 3. Financial News Compilation Open Market - The central bank conducted 357 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net injection of 177 billion yuan [11] - The Ministry of Finance issued treasury cash deposits with lower interest rates [11] Key News - China's LPR and bank deposit rates were lowered [12] - The central bank will support the real economy with a moderately loose monetary policy [12] - Fiscal revenue showed positive growth in April, and expenditure progress was fast [13] - Unemployment rates for different age groups were released [13] - A press conference on science and technology finance policies will be held [13] - The government will continue to support infrastructure and urban renewal projects [14][15] - The financial regulator will study a loan management method for urban renewal projects [14] - The scale of wealth management products exceeded 31 trillion yuan in May [16] - Views on the impact of interest rate cuts on bank net interest margins are divided [17] - Large - denomination certificates of deposit are losing popularity [17] - Insurance companies have raised over 74 billion yuan this year [17] - Japan's central bank's reduction in bond purchases affected the bond market [18] - There were various bond - related events and credit rating adjustments [18][19] Bond Market Summary - Treasury futures mostly declined slightly, and bond yields generally rose [20] - Exchange - traded bonds showed mixed performance [20] - Convertible bond indexes rose, and money market rates mostly declined [21] - Domestic and foreign bond yields showed different trends [23] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB depreciated against the US dollar, and the US dollar index declined [24] Research Report Highlights - CICC believes short - end yields may be range - bound, while medium - and long - end yields may decline [25] - Guosheng believes the 4 - month economic data is strong, and mid - term bond rates have room to fall [25] Today's Reminders - Many bonds will be listed, issued, have payments, and pay principal and interest on May 21 [27] 4. Stock Market News - A - shares rose on Tuesday, with small - cap stocks active and the North Exchange 50 and micro - cap indexes hitting new highs [28] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and related indexes rose, with biotech stocks performing strongly [29] - Shengsheng Guojian and Shengsheng Pharmaceutical signed a large - scale cooperation agreement with Pfizer [29][30] - Huaxi Bio responded to the "naming brokerage" incident [30] - Xinhua Insurance will participate in the establishment of Honghu Fund Phase III [30] - Bilibili's Q1 revenue increased, and it achieved profitability [30] - CATL's H - share issuance increased after the over - allotment option was exercised [31]

Core Viewpoint - The National Financial Supervisory Administration has approved New China Life Insurance to participate in the third batch of insurance fund long-term investment reform pilot, collaborating with China Life and other institutions to establish the Honghu Fund Phase III [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - New China Life Insurance emphasizes both "strategic asset allocation" and "tactical asset allocation" in its investment approach [1] - "Strategic asset allocation" focuses on long-term strategic layout, with the underlying logic of serving the real economy as the basis for investment portfolio construction [1] - "Tactical asset allocation" involves strict rebalancing strategies, timely initiation of pilot funds, increasing holdings of equity base assets, and raising the proportion of Hong Kong stock allocations [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation rating for the insurance industry [2][51][58] Core Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit significantly from the ongoing market risk appetite and the new public fund regulations, which will enhance performance benchmarks [1][6][51] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a comprehensive positive growth in new business value (NBV) for life insurance, with significant improvements in the liability structure [51][54] - The property and casualty (P&C) insurance sector experienced steady premium growth and a notable improvement in the combined operating ratio (COR) [51][54] - Investment performance varied among companies due to differing strategies, with a general increase in asset scale and a reduction in real estate exposure [51][54] Summary by Sections 1. Life Insurance Overview - The new business value (NBV) for listed insurance companies continued to grow, with notable increases: New China Life +67.9%, China Pacific Insurance +39.0%, China Ping An +34.9%, and China Life +4.8% [10][11] - The individual insurance channel transformation is deepening, with stable agent numbers and increasing productivity [13][16] - The efficiency of the bancassurance channel has significantly improved, supporting overall performance [16][17] 2. Property and Casualty Insurance Overview - The premium income growth for the "old three" P&C insurers was as follows: China Pacific Insurance +3.7%, Ping An Insurance +7.7%, and Taiping Insurance +1.0% [21][24] - The combined operating ratio (COR) for the "old three" insurers improved, with China Pacific at 94.5%, Ping An at 96.6%, and Taiping at 97.4% [27][30] 3. Investment Performance - The total investment assets of listed insurers showed steady growth, with China Life at 68,191.73 billion, Ping An at 59,200 billion, and China Pacific at 28,102.08 billion [31][36] - The annualized net investment yield for the first quarter was: Ping An 3.6%, China Pacific 3.2%, and China Life 2.6% [36][38] - The annualized total investment yield varied significantly, with New China Life at 5.7%, China Pacific at 4.0%, and China Life at 2.8% [38][42] 4. Profit and Net Asset Differentiation - The net profit growth rates for the first quarter were: China Re +43.4%, China Life +39.5%, New China Life +19.0%, China Pacific -18.1%, and Ping An -26.4% [45][50] - The net asset growth rates at the end of the first quarter were: China Life +4.5%, China Re +3.9%, Ping An +1.2%, China Pacific -9.5%, and New China Life -17.0% [50][53] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a positive outlook for the insurance sector, with life insurance product transformation expected to yield positive results and P&C insurance leaders likely to maintain their advantages [51][54][55] - The report highlights the potential for valuation recovery in the insurance sector due to supportive financial policies and improved market conditions [55][58]

Group 1 - Major state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks have lowered the RMB deposit rates, with the current rate for demand deposits down by 5 basis points to 0.05% and various term deposit rates reduced by 15 to 25 basis points [1] - The National Financial Supervision Administration has approved Xinhua Insurance to participate in the third batch of long-term investment reform pilot programs, with plans to establish the Honghu Fund Phase III [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in retail prices for gasoline and diesel, with a decrease of 230 yuan per ton for gasoline and 220 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to a savings of approximately 9 yuan for a full tank of 92-octane gasoline [2] Group 2 - Guizhou Moutai announced the approval of a profit distribution plan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of 276.24 yuan per share [3] - Wanrun New Energy signed a supply agreement with CATL for 132.31 thousand tons of lithium iron phosphate products [3] - The stock of Weir Shares will change its name to Haowei Group [2]

Group 1 - Huawei officially launched its Harmony OS computers, with the first foldable model priced at 23,999 yuan and the MateBook Pro starting at 7,999 yuan, marking a significant expansion into the desktop ecosystem [1] - The Harmony OS 5 aims to deepen the integration between mobile and desktop environments, showcasing a foldable design with an 18-inch display that folds to 13 inches, weighing only 1.16 kg [1] Group 2 - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported a positive trend in foreign investment in RMB assets, with foreign investors increasing their holdings of domestic bonds by 10.9 billion USD in April [2] - In late April, foreign investment in domestic stocks turned into net purchases, indicating a growing confidence in the Chinese market [2][3] Group 3 - Xinhua Insurance has been approved to participate in the third batch of long-term investment reform pilot programs, planning to establish the Honghu Fund Phase III, which has received regulatory approval [4] - This marks the third consecutive phase of the Honghu Fund initiated by Xinhua Insurance, reflecting a commitment to long-term investment strategies [4] Group 4 - Despite triggering "serious abnormal fluctuations," Chengfei Integration has seen its stock price rise for nine consecutive trading days, with a cumulative increase of 135.8% since May 7 [6] - The company has a low revenue contribution from its core aviation parts business, indicating that its recent stock performance may be driven more by market speculation than fundamental business strength [6][7] Group 5 - At least six rare earth material companies have received export licenses from the Ministry of Commerce, amid ongoing export control measures on certain rare earth elements [7] - The supply of rare earths may face short-term reductions due to various factors, although industry experts predict that prices will not experience significant fluctuations this year [7] Group 6 - The U.S. stock market experienced a collective decline, with major indices falling due to Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, impacting technology stocks significantly [8] - Notable declines were observed in major tech stocks, with Tesla dropping over 3% and other companies like Nvidia and TSMC also experiencing losses [8] Group 7 - The UK is expected to agree to restart trade and defense cooperation with the EU, marking a significant shift in relations since Brexit [9] - This move aims to boost economic growth and enhance security in the European region [9] Group 8 - The U.S. Congress is reviewing President Trump's comprehensive tax reduction bill, which has passed a key committee, but still faces challenges ahead [10][11] - The House Rules Committee is set to review the bill, with a potential vote expected later in the week [11][12] Group 9 - Ctrip's report indicates a strong recovery in the tourism sector for the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival, with domestic and inbound travel showing significant growth [14] - The report highlights a 100% increase in hotel search interest for inbound travel, suggesting a robust rebound in the tourism industry [14]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued an implementation opinion to promote the high-quality development of the technology service industry, focusing on research and development, technology transfer, and enterprise incubation [1] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported a continued positive trend in foreign investment in RMB assets, with a net increase of $10.9 billion in domestic bonds in April, and a shift to net buying in domestic stocks by foreign investors in late April [1] - TSMC plans to increase prices for its advanced process nodes, with a 10% price hike for 2nm wafers and a potential increase of up to 30% for its 4nm manufacturing node [1] - The National Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau approved Xinhua Insurance's participation in the third batch of long-term investment reform pilot projects, aiming to expedite the entry of long-term funds into the market [1] Group 2 - Kweichow Moutai's shareholders' meeting approved a profit distribution plan for 2024, proposing a dividend of 276.24 yuan per share [2] - Liren Lizhuang reported a cumulative transaction amount (GMV) of only 4.006 million yuan for its product in Q1 2025 [2] - Zhongyida stated that its production capacity remains stable with no new construction plans [2] - Weir Shares plans to change its stock name from "Weir Shares" to "Haowei Group" [2] - Wan'an Technology confirmed there are no significant undisclosed matters [2] - Ningbo Shipping's stock price has been highly volatile recently, indicating a high risk of speculation [2] - Lianyungang reported that its production and operational activities are normal, with no significant changes in industry policies [2]

独家|新华保险获批参与第三批保险资金长期投资改革试点 智通财经5月19日电，记者从业内获悉，近日，国家金融监督管理总局批复同意新华保险参与第三批保 险资金长期投资改革试点。据悉，新华保险拟联合相关机构共同发起设立鸿鹄基金三期，并最终于5月 13日获得批复。随着鸿鹄基金三期的成功获批，新华保险已连续参与设立了三期鸿鹄基金。新华保险表 示，将尽快推进保险资金长期投资改革试点三期工作落地，实现中长期资金尽早入市，全力为资本市场 的健康发展保驾护航。（智通财经记者 夏淑媛） ...

2025年1-4月回顾 截至2025年4月30日，沪深300指数累计下跌4.2%，保险Ⅱ(申万)下跌6.1%，跑输沪深300指数1.9pct。具 体看，A股新华保险-3.2%>中国人保-6.5%>中国太保-12.4%>中国人寿-13.4%，各家均下跌，仅新华和 平安跑赢沪深300指数。板块估值回调且表现弱于大盘，主要因2025年保险股面临较大的业绩高基数压 力，同时资产端长端利率下行、资产荒加剧等投资端核心压制因素仍在持续，负债端开门红新单销售不 及预期，保险股估值在去年修复到相对合理位置后，受以上利空因素影响回撤。 行业投资逻辑 保险公司盈利由承保利润和投资利润构成。承保利润受保费收入以及赔付和运营成本影响。投资利润取 决于投资收益和负债的利率成本，受资本市场、预定利率以及产品结构影响。该行认为保险行业2025下 半年将以资产负债结构调整优化为核心，演绎破局利差损困局的核心主线，若被验证将对重估保险配置 价值提供有力支撑。 智通财经APP获悉，兴业证券发布研报称，看好保险β配置机会，聚焦业绩确定性较强、资负匹配较优 以及业绩弹性较强标的。该行认为前期保险估值的回调已经充分反映当期利率下行以及后续业绩承压的 ...