Group 1 - Semiconductor stocks have risen significantly, with notable increases in companies such as Jingmen Semiconductor (+7.14% to HKD 0.6), Huahong Semiconductor (+5.42% to HKD 71.95), SMIC (+2.67% to HKD 74.9), and Shanghai Fudan (+2.25% to HKD 42.68) [1] - Moer Thread's IPO application has been approved, marking the shortest time from submission to approval among this year's new companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with plans to raise CNY 8 billion for various AI and graphics chip development projects [1] - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing strong performance, driven by increased demand for storage due to AI data centers and ongoing domestic substitution trends, indicating a new growth phase for the equipment industry [1] Group 2 - The focus on domestic substitution and technological breakthroughs is emphasized as key areas for investment, with major storage manufacturers initiating new projects and expanding advanced logic production [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2%, indicating a positive trend in the technology sector in Hong Kong [1] Company Performance - SenseTime, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Alibaba each saw their stock prices rise by over 4% [1] - Kuaishou and Kingdee International experienced stock price increases of over 3% [1]

Summary of Hua Hong Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hua Hong (1347.HK) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Key Points and Arguments 1. **Capacity Expansion and Technology Migration**: Hua Hong is positively positioned due to its transition to 40nm and 28nm technology, alongside ongoing capacity expansion [1][3] 2. **Supportive Government Policies**: The Chinese government is enhancing the semiconductor ecosystem through supportive policies and subsidies, including a US$47 billion investment fund for the integrated circuit industry [1][2] 3. **Investment Fund Phase Three**: The third phase of China's IC investment fund has commenced, with a focus on the entire supply chain from design to equipment, indicating strong governmental backing for the semiconductor sector [2] 4. **Positive Outlook for Revenue Growth**: Revenue estimates for 2028-29 have been slightly increased due to anticipated policy and fund support benefiting Hua Hong's downstream customers and local equipment suppliers [3] 5. **Earnings Revision**: The net income estimates for 2028-29 have been raised by 0.2% and 0.6%, reflecting a more optimistic long-term growth outlook for Hua Hong [3] 6. **Gross Margin Improvement**: Gross margin estimates for 2028-29 have been adjusted upwards by 0.1 percentage points, indicating a more favorable outlook on utilization rates [3] 7. **Target Price Increase**: The target price for Hua Hong has been raised by 13% to HK$87.0, based on a target P/E of 51.5x for 2028E, reflecting a positive re-rating of Chinese semiconductor companies [7][15] 8. **Valuation Methodology**: The valuation is based on a discounted P/E method, with the target multiple derived from the correlation between peers' trading P/E and earnings growth [7][15] Important but Overlooked Content 1. **Investment in Equipment Company**: The Phase Three fund recently invested in Piotech Jianke, which specializes in deposition tools and equipment for 3D integration, highlighting the focus on enhancing domestic capabilities [2] 2. **Risks to Price Target**: Key risks include weaker-than-expected end-market demand, slower ramp-up of 12" fabs, and uncertainties surrounding US-China trade relations [16] 3. **Financial Metrics**: The revenue for 2025E is projected at US$2.444 billion, with a net income of US$82 million, indicating a recovery trajectory post-2023 [7][13] 4. **Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures**: The cash flow from operations is expected to improve significantly, with capital expenditures projected to remain high, reflecting ongoing investments in capacity [14] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding Hua Hong's strategic positioning, financial outlook, and the broader semiconductor industry context in China.

Summary of Semiconductor Manufacturing and Equipment Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The semiconductor manufacturing and equipment sector has shown remarkable performance in 2025, with the wafer foundry segment doubling in growth and the semiconductor equipment sector increasing by 57% since the beginning of the year [2][4] - The storage segment's expansion has significantly driven growth in the semiconductor equipment industry, with a 21% increase observed since September [1][2] Key Points and Arguments - **Storage Expansion Impact**: The expansion in the storage sector has led to increased confidence among manufacturers, with companies like Zhongwei and Huahai benefiting significantly, showing stock price increases of 30% and 50% respectively [1][3] - **Domestic Market Share Growth**: Domestic storage manufacturers have substantial room for market share growth, particularly in the NAND market, which is expected to rise from 10% to 30%, resulting in significant equipment spending increases [1][6] - **US Sanctions and Domestic Equipment Replacement**: US sanctions are accelerating the replacement of imported equipment with domestic alternatives, with potential increases in domestic equipment spending by 25 billion RMB if the domesticization rate rises from 30% to 80% [1][7] - **Advanced Logic Demand**: There is a strong demand for advanced logic, particularly for 7nm and below processes, with TSMC planning to add over 20 new wafer fabs to meet this demand [1][8] - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The domestic semiconductor market is experiencing high demand but tight supply, with projections indicating a rise in demand for 7nm wafers from 70,000-80,000 to over 100,000 in the next 3-5 years [9] Additional Important Insights - **Investment Value in Semiconductor Equipment**: The capital expenditure (Capex) for 7nm processes is approximately $2 billion per 10,000 wafers, with potential increases for more advanced processes, indicating substantial investment opportunities [10] - **Mature Logic Sector Development**: Companies like Huahong are expanding their production capacity, which is expected to drive continuous orders and growth in the equipment sector [11] - **Wafer Foundry Performance**: Notable stock performance in companies like SMIC and Huahong, with significant increases in both A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, reflecting strong industry sentiment and demand recovery [12][13] - **High Utilization Rates**: SMIC and Huahong reported high utilization rates of 92.3% and 108% respectively, indicating robust domestic demand and a recovery in wafer foundry services [14] - **AI and Advanced Process Influence**: AI and advanced processes are major growth drivers, with significant revenue potential from 7nm and 5nm processes, suggesting a strong market outlook for the semiconductor industry [15][16]

格隆汇9月28日｜据Choice数据，剔除新股和次新股，周五A股市场共有52家上市公司盘中股价创出历 史新高。这52家公司分别是：紫金矿业、阳光电源、洛阳钼业、赛力斯、华虹公司、ST华通、徐工机 械、浪潮信息、华工科技、晶合集成、杰瑞股份、华海清科、兴业银锡、科博达、科华数据、安集科 技、中科飞测、剑桥科技、纽威股份、电气风电、宁波华翔、北方铜业、华建集团、聚辰股份、应流股 份、精达股份、聚和材料、汇成股份、美湖股份、隆盛科技、菲林格尔、新坐标、*ST宇顺、统联精 密、赛微微电、亚翔集成、优优绿能、捷邦科技、*ST亚振、合锻智能、易德龙、和远气体、锦华新 材、金马游乐、智洋创新、唯特偶、品茗科技、佰奥智能、埃科光电、征和工业、太龙股份、通源环 境。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huahong Semiconductor (01347) has shown strong performance recently, with a notable increase in stock price and trading volume, indicating heightened market interest [1][2]. Price Movement and Technical Analysis - The stock price rose by 3.86% to 63.25 HKD, with a trading volume of 3.872 billion HKD, reflecting ongoing market attention [1]. - As of 10:05 AM on the 25th, the stock price continued to rise by 3.72% to 65.55 HKD, with a five-day volatility of 19% indicating increased risk [1]. - The stock has successfully broken through key moving averages, forming a bullish pattern, but technical indicators suggest overbought conditions, signaling potential short-term corrections [2]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels are identified at 56.1 HKD and 51.7 HKD, while resistance levels are at 70.2 HKD and 78.3 HKD [1]. - A critical support level at 55 HKD is noted, with a potential drop to 50.4 HKD if this level is breached [2]. Derivative Market Performance - Recent performance in the warrant market shows significant returns, with a recommended call option yielding a 15% return in two days due to a 7.77% increase in the underlying stock [4]. - Investors are encouraged to consider specific warrants with varying leverage and exercise prices, such as the 4x leveraged product with an exercise price of 75 HKD [6]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The semiconductor sector remains robust, prompting discussions among investors about whether to chase the rising stock price or wait for a potential pullback [9].

Core Points - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.35% on September 26, closing at 26,128.20 points, while southbound funds through the Stock Connect recorded a net inflow of HKD 10.541 billion [1] - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on September 26 was HKD 160.921 billion, with a net buy of HKD 10.541 billion [1] - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 101.109 billion with a net buy of HKD 7.366 billion, while in the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 59.812 billion with a net buy of HKD 3.174 billion [1] Trading Activity - The most actively traded stock in the Shanghai Stock Connect was Alibaba-W, with a trading volume of HKD 11.062 billion, followed by Xiaomi Group-W and SMIC, with trading volumes of HKD 7.476 billion and HKD 5.598 billion respectively [1] - In terms of net buy amounts, Xiaomi Group-W led with a net buy of HKD 2.274 billion, despite its closing price dropping by 8.07% [1] - The stock with the highest net sell amount was Xpeng Motors-W, with a net sell of HKD 224 million, while its closing price increased by 5.03% [1] Shenzhen Stock Connect Activity - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Xiaomi Group-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 6.471 billion, followed closely by Alibaba-W and SMIC, with trading volumes of HKD 6.439 billion and HKD 3.316 billion respectively [2] - Alibaba-W recorded the highest net buy amount in the Shenzhen Stock Connect at HKD 2.035 billion, despite a closing drop of 3.20% [2] - Xiaomi Group-W also had the highest net sell amount in the Shenzhen Stock Connect, with a net sell of HKD 1.669 billion, closing down by 8.07% [2]

★ 宏观动态 ★ 中国炼焦行业协会：从未发布或授权任何关于"强制限产""联合提价"的通知或倡议 9月26日，中国炼焦行业协会发布严正声明：中国炼焦行业协会从未发布或授权任何关于"强制限产""联合提 价"的通知或倡议。协会始终严格遵守国家法律法规，坚决维护公平竞争的市场环境。涉事机构及个人应立即 停止侵权行为，协会保留追究其法律责任的权利。 外汇局：8月我国国际收支货物和服务贸易进出口规模42818亿元，同比增长2% 8月，我国国际收支货物和服务贸易进出口规模42818亿元，同比增长2%。其中，货物贸易出口21395亿元，进 口15202亿元，顺差6193亿元；服务贸易出口2546亿元，进口3675亿元，逆差1129亿元。服务贸易主要项目 为：旅行服务进出口规模1887亿元，运输服务进出口规模1745亿元，其他商业服务进出口规模996亿元，电 信、计算机和信息服务进出口规模583亿元。按美元计值，8月，我国国际收支货物和服务贸易出口3357亿美 元，进口2647亿美元，顺差710亿美元。 教育部等六部门印发《县域普通高中振兴行动计划》 据央视新闻报道，我国有近60%的高中学生，是在县域中学读书，县中办得好不好， ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net inflows from northbound trading, with a total net buy of 10.541 billion HKD on September 26, 2023, indicating strong investor interest in specific stocks, particularly Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, and Tencent [1][5]. Group 1: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading saw a net buy of 10.541 billion HKD, with 7.366 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 3.174 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [1]. - The most net bought stocks included Alibaba-W (09988), Horizon Robotics-W (09660), and Tencent (00700) [1][5]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 57.20 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 110.62 billion HKD, resulting in a net inflow of 3.77 billion HKD [2]. - Horizon Robotics-W (09660) received a net buy of 8.63 billion HKD, with plans to use the proceeds from a share placement to expand its overseas market and support advanced driver-assistance solutions [5]. - Tencent (00700) attracted a net buy of 7.92 billion HKD, supported by its global digital ecosystem conference focusing on AI and internationalization [6]. - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) saw a net buy of 6.05 billion HKD, despite a stock price drop following a product launch event [6]. Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - The cumulative net buy for Alibaba in the month exceeded 68.5 billion HKD, reflecting strong confidence in its future capital expenditure plans and AI-related growth [5]. - Semiconductor stocks like SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) faced net sells of 1.45 billion HKD and 2.12 billion HKD, respectively, due to regulatory pressures from the U.S. government [7]. - The third-party AI-driven drug development service provider, Crystal Tech Holdings (02228), received a net buy of 1.9 billion HKD, indicating a growing interest in independent platforms in the biotech sector [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant increase in southbound capital inflow into the Hong Kong market, indicating strong investor interest and activity in key technology stocks [1] Group 1: Capital Inflow and Trading Activity - Southbound capital recorded a cumulative net inflow of approximately 43.96 billion HKD this week, representing a week-on-week increase of about 20% [1] - The total trading volume for southbound capital reached approximately 756.20 billion HKD, accounting for about 50% of the total trading volume of the Hang Seng Index during the same period [1] Group 2: Major Stock Transactions - Notable net purchases included Alibaba-W with 19.61 billion HKD, Sunac China Holdings with 3.66 billion HKD, Tencent Holdings with 3.43 billion HKD, SMIC with 2.14 billion HKD, Meituan-W with 2.11 billion HKD, and Pop Mart with 1.75 billion HKD [1] - Significant net selling was observed in Hua Hong Semiconductor, with a net outflow of 0.87 billion HKD [1]