"十五五"规划建议指出，中国式现代化要靠科技现代化作支撑，并强调原始创新、产业融合、数字 中国建设等重点方向。在当前我国人口结构变迁与科技革命交汇的关键时期，保险业被赋予了新的时代 使命。近日，中央财经大学保险学院、中国精算研究院院长周桦在接受《金融时报》采访时表示，保险 业不仅要在服务国家科技自立自强中扮演关键角色，也需要在应对养老这一未来中国最严峻的社会挑战 中，抓住其最好的发展机遇。科技将是解决养老问题的决定性力量，而保险业正是串联科技创新与养老 需求的核心枢纽。 《金融时报》记者：保险作为风险治理和金融服务的关键力量，在科技现代化赋能中应承担怎样的 角色？与"十四五"时期相比，"十五五"期间，保险在服务科技创新方面的定位和功能将发生哪些迭代升 级？ 周桦："十五五"规划建议为保险行业指明了从"被动风险承担者"向"主动风险治理与创新伙伴"升级 的核心方向，保险业必须超越传统的险种思维，将自身的发展深度融入国家科技创新的宏大叙事中。科 技现代化进程中产生的新型风险，如研发失败、知识产权纠纷、新技术责任认定等，正是保险业创新发 展的广阔蓝海。在科技现代化赋能中，保险业应承担三重核心角色。 第一，作为不可或缺 ...

党的二十届四中全会审议通过的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》 （以下简称《建议》），将"科技自立自强水平大幅提高"列为"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主要目标之 一，对科技创新提出明确要求、作出重要部署。 "十四五"时期我国科技事业取得哪些成就？如何准确把握好、贯彻落实好全会关于加快高水平科技自立 自强的新部署新要求？新华社记者采访了科技部党组书记、部长阴和俊。 党中央对科技工作的集中统一领导进一步加强，成立中央科技委员会，全面加强战略规划、政策措施、 重大任务、科研力量、资源平台、区域创新等方面统筹，形成科技工作全国"一盘棋"基本格局，开创了 科技事业发展的新局面。 ——科技创新能力稳步提升。2024年全社会研发投入达3.63万亿元，研发投入强度达2.69%，研发人员 总量世界第一。基础研究水平进一步提升，高水平国际期刊论文数量和国际专利申请量连续5年世界第 一。国家综合创新能力排名由2020年的第14位提升至2024年的第10位。 ——科技创新和产业创新加速融合。规上高技术制造业增加值较"十三五"末增长42%，"三新"经济增加 值占GDP比重达18%。企业研发投入占比超过77%。" ...

Core Viewpoints - The year 2026 marks the beginning of a new phase of high-quality development for China's economy and capital markets, as highlighted by Liu Jian, Chairman of Shenwan Hongyuan [3][5]. Economic Outlook - The economy is expected to experience a "non-typical" recovery in 2026, driven by the retreat of the "scar effect" and ongoing domestic demand expansion policies. Key factors contributing to export resilience include fiscal expansion in developed economies, easing of China-U.S. tariff conflicts, and improvements in China's industrial competitiveness [4][11]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of technological innovation and original breakthroughs, with R&D expenditure projected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan in 2024, representing about 2.69% of GDP, surpassing Japan and South Korea in scale [5][10]. Capital Market Development - The capital market is set to enter a new stage of high-quality development, with a focus on direct financing and reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, Growth Enterprise Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange. This will enhance the market's inclusiveness and adaptability [5][8]. - The formation of a healthy market ecosystem is expected to significantly increase the attractiveness of the market, with institutional investors' share of the market value projected to exceed 20% by the end of 2024 [8]. Bull Market Analysis - The bull market is far from over, with the potential for a two-phase bull market structure. The first phase, termed "Bull Market 1.0," occurred in 2025, while the second phase, "Bull Market 2.0," may begin in the second half of 2026 [4][15]. - The cyclical improvement in fundamentals, the strengthening of emerging industries, and the shift of residents' asset allocation towards equities are expected to support a comprehensive bull market [15].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of "reform" as a source of dividends for the economy, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan, which is expected to accelerate reform processes and enhance domestic demand policies [3][67][83] - The domestic economic environment has undergone three significant changes: the retreat of the "scar effect," the weakening impact of tariff conflicts on the economy, and the gradual formation of a new supply-side reform framework [2][8][21] - The article discusses the "non-typical recovery" of the economy, driven by improved consumer confidence and the effects of ongoing domestic demand policies, which are expected to lead to a recovery in investment growth and corporate profitability [4][5][55] Group 2 - The article highlights the need for a clear industrial adjustment strategy, focusing on advanced manufacturing as a backbone while upgrading traditional sectors and accelerating the opening of the service industry [67][74] - It points out that the structural changes in exports are evident, with a shift towards high value-added products and a decrease in low value-added goods, indicating a robust export resilience [21][22] - The article stresses the importance of addressing the "internal competition" within industries, which has led to a decline in profit margins and necessitates policies aimed at enhancing corporate profitability and operational vitality [15][41][55]

Group 1: Economic Changes and Trends - In 2025, the domestic economy experienced three significant changes: the retreat of the "scar effect," the weakening impact of tariff conflicts on the economy, and the gradual formation of a new "supply-side reform" framework[2] - The "scar effect" has shown signs of retreat, with improvements in consumer traffic and prices of certain goods, as well as a rapid decline in accounts receivable growth for enterprises[2][25] - The export structure has been optimized, with a decrease of approximately 3.2 percentage points in exports to the U.S. to 11.4% and an increase in exports to Europe by about 0.7 percentage points to 17.2%[31] Group 2: Policy Recommendations and Economic Recovery - The report emphasizes the need for "anti-involution" measures and debt clearance to restore corporate profitability and operational vitality[3][57] - The focus on developing the service sector is crucial for improving overall employment absorption capacity in society[3][57] - The year 2026 is expected to be a pivotal year for comprehensive reform and development, with an emphasis on accelerating reform processes and expanding domestic demand policies[4] Group 3: Economic Forecasts - The economy is predicted to undergo a non-typical recovery, transitioning from "confidence building" to a "non-typical" recovery phase, with expectations of improved corporate profitability[5] - Domestic demand policies are expected to support consumption demand, while increased debt clearance efforts will alleviate the "crowding out effect" on investment funds[5] - The inflation trend is becoming increasingly important, with PPI showing an upward trend and CPI expected to improve, contributing to the recovery of corporate profitability[5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of technological modernization as a foundation for China's modernization, with specific focus on original innovation and integration of technology and industry [1][2][10] - The plan outlines four key areas for technological advancement: enhancing original innovation and core technology breakthroughs, promoting deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, advancing education and talent development, and furthering the construction of a digital China [1][2][10] Group 2 - Original innovation is highlighted as a fundamental driver of development, with a strategic shift from scale expansion to quality enhancement in China's innovation strategy [2][3] - The integration of scientific research with industrial practice is emphasized, showcasing successful examples of collaboration between academia and industry, leading to significant financial outcomes in technology transfer [5][6] - The plan calls for a systematic approach to education, technology, and talent development, aiming to cultivate interdisciplinary talents that can adapt to future societal needs [7][8] Group 3 - The news discusses the role of artificial intelligence and digital technologies in enhancing various sectors, indicating a strong push towards a digital economy that integrates with the real economy [9][10] - The importance of establishing a unified data market and promoting the development of industrial internet is underscored, aiming to facilitate the deep integration of digital and physical economies [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the key points from the Central Committee's suggestions for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the analysis of risks and challenges, economic growth targets, structural optimization, and the importance of national security in the context of China's modernization efforts [2][3][4]. Economic Analysis - The suggestions highlight the complex external economic environment, noting an increase in geopolitical tensions and the need for China to actively manage its international space [3][4]. - Internally, the focus has shifted from reform and innovation to addressing issues such as insufficient effective demand, challenges in domestic circulation, and the need for structural transformation [3][4][36]. Key Goals - The main goals include maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range, increasing the resident consumption rate, and enhancing the integration of technological and industrial innovation [4][36]. - A new emphasis on national security has been introduced, aiming to strengthen the national security framework [4][36]. Industrial Modernization - The plan prioritizes the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries, with a focus on enhancing global competitiveness in sectors like mining, metallurgy, and chemicals [5][37]. - It outlines strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, aerospace, and low-altitude economy, along with future industries like quantum technology and biomanufacturing [5][37]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Specific measures are proposed to boost domestic demand through both consumption and investment, including increasing public service spending and enhancing the supply of quality consumer goods [5][37]. - The investment strategy emphasizes raising the proportion of government investment in livelihood projects and stimulating private investment [5][37]. Technological Modernization - The suggestions define technological modernization as a crucial support for China's modernization, advocating for extraordinary measures to achieve breakthroughs in key technology areas [6][38]. - The plan includes a comprehensive implementation of "Artificial Intelligence +" initiatives to empower various industries [6][38]. Reform and Market Integration - The construction of a unified national market is highlighted as a key reform area, focusing on eliminating barriers to market integration and enhancing regulatory frameworks [7][39]. - Financial and fiscal reforms are seen as essential for improving macroeconomic governance, with an emphasis on policy coordination and enhancing local fiscal autonomy [7][39]. Social Development - The plan addresses high-quality development in employment, income, real estate, and population, with a focus on structural employment issues and improving social security systems [8][40]. - It emphasizes the importance of green development, proposing measures to build a new energy system and achieve carbon peak goals [8][40]. Conclusion - The article encapsulates the strategic direction for China's economic and social development over the next five years, focusing on modernization, security, and sustainable growth [2][3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the key points from the Central Committee's suggestions for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the analysis of risks and challenges, economic growth targets, structural optimization, and the importance of national security. Economic Analysis - The suggestions highlight the complex and severe external economic environment, shifting focus from "peace and development" to "intensified great power competition" and recognizing China's ability to navigate international challenges [3][36]. - Internally, the focus has shifted from reform and innovation to addressing insufficient effective demand and structural transformation challenges, such as employment pressures and income growth [3][36]. Key Goals - The main goals include maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range, increasing the resident consumption rate, and enhancing the level of technological self-reliance and innovation [4][36]. - A new emphasis on national security has been introduced, aiming to strengthen the national security framework [4][36]. Modern Industrial System - The plan prioritizes the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries, with a focus on enhancing global competitiveness in sectors like mining and metallurgy [5][37]. - It outlines four strategic emerging industries (new energy, new materials, aerospace, low-altitude economy) and six future industries (quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen and nuclear fusion energy, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, sixth-generation mobile communication) [5][37]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Specific measures to boost domestic demand include increasing public service spending, expanding the supply of quality consumer goods, and enhancing investment in livelihood-related projects [5][37]. - The plan emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to consumption and investment to stimulate domestic circulation [5][37]. Technological Modernization - Technological modernization is defined as a crucial support for Chinese-style modernization, with a focus on seizing opportunities in the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation [6][38]. - The suggestions call for "extraordinary measures" to achieve breakthroughs in key core technologies across various sectors [6][38]. Reform and Market Construction - The construction of a unified national market is highlighted as a key reform area, aiming to eliminate barriers and promote fair competition [7][39]. - Financial and fiscal reforms are seen as essential for enhancing macroeconomic governance efficiency, with an emphasis on policy coordination [7][39]. Social Development - The suggestions focus on high-quality development in employment, income, real estate, and population, addressing structural employment issues and enhancing social security [8][40]. - Green development initiatives are emphasized, including the construction of a new energy system and the implementation of carbon reduction measures [8][40].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's modernization relies on technological modernization, supported by reforms in the scientific and technological system, which are crucial for enhancing innovation capabilities and achieving self-reliance in high-level technology [2][7]. Group 1: Technological Modernization - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen a significant leap in China's technological strength, with the national comprehensive innovation capability ranking improving from 14th in 2020 to 10th in 2024 [2]. - By 2024, total R&D investment in society is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, representing a 48% increase from 2020 [2]. Group 2: Strategic Emerging Industries - The development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, aerospace, and low-altitude economy is highlighted, with the potential to create several trillion-yuan markets [3]. - The emphasis is placed on original innovation and tackling key core technologies, particularly in integrated circuits and high-end instruments [4]. Group 3: Reforming the Scientific and Technological System - The article discusses the need for further reforms to clarify key directions and enhance original innovation, focusing on critical core technology breakthroughs [4]. - It stresses the importance of a talent evaluation system that prioritizes innovation capability and contribution, particularly for young talents [5]. Group 4: Social Investment in Innovation - The article calls for a collaborative approach to innovation, encouraging enterprises to take the lead in forming innovation consortia and undertaking national technology tasks [6]. - The "Private Economy Promotion Law" aims to guide private enterprises in strengthening foundational and cutting-edge research, fostering the integration of technological and industrial innovation [7].

Core Points - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session approved the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development," outlining a strategic framework for the next five years [1] - Emphasis on accelerating high-level technological self-reliance and innovation as a key driver for new quality productivity [8] Group 1: Five-Year Plan Significance - The Five-Year Plan serves as a guiding star for long-term economic and social development, playing a crucial role in directing technological innovation and economic growth [2][3] - Experts highlight the importance of the Five-Year Plan in establishing long-term goals and directions for technological innovation, showcasing its continuity and innovative characteristics [2][3] Group 2: Technological Advancements - China's global innovation index ranking has improved from 34th in 2012 to 10th in 2025, with high-level international journal papers and patent applications leading the world for five consecutive years [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has been pivotal in enhancing China's technological capabilities, emphasizing original innovation and strengthening foundational research [4][5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a critical period for achieving high-level technological self-reliance and building a strong technological nation, with a focus on artificial intelligence and addressing challenges such as population aging [7][8] - The plan aims to deepen the integration of technological and industrial innovation, fostering new quality productivity [7][8]