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银行股配置重构系列八:指数基金波动,优质银行股超跌
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-19 12:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking sector is "Positive" and is maintained [13]. Core Insights - The market sentiment has significantly improved since the beginning of the year, leading to substantial net outflows from major index funds like CSI 300 and SSE 50, with bank stocks experiencing the highest decline among primary sectors [2][6]. - Despite the recent pressure on bank stocks due to net outflows from index funds, there is an expectation that the market will continue to focus on high-quality bank stocks with stable or improving fundamentals, presenting good investment opportunities [2][8]. - The pricing power of fundamental factors for bank stocks is expected to increase in 2026, with a projected reversal in net interest income growth and stable performance from major banks [10]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - Since Q3 2025, bank stocks have been under pressure due to capital outflows, primarily from public funds and ETFs, reflecting a shift in institutional investor strategies [6][7]. - The net outflow from CSI 300 and SSE 50 ETFs reached 103.6 billion and 19.7 billion respectively during January 15-16, significantly above normal levels [7]. Valuation and Dividend Yield - Bank stocks are considered systematically undervalued under the PB-ROE framework, with current PB valuations below net asset value [9]. - The expected dividend yields for major state-owned banks have risen above 4%, with some leading banks like China Merchants Bank and Jiangsu Bank reaching yields of 5% to 6% [9][26]. Performance Outlook - Major banks are expected to maintain stable growth in 2026, with credit growth projected to be flat year-on-year, focusing on operational efficiency rather than scale [10]. - The non-interest income pressure from financial market activities has eased, and overall revenue growth is anticipated to be driven by net interest income [10].
工行南通如东栟茶支行为客户追回输错卡号乌龙货款
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2026-01-19 09:19
为了打消王先生的顾虑,工作人员一边耐心解释钱款确实进入其休眠账户,只是因账户长期未用且无短 信提醒才未察觉;一边通过后台查询相关信息,意外发现王先生是网点代发单位的员工。顺着这条线 索,网点负责人联系上王先生所在单位的负责人,希望他们协助沟通,在单位负责人确认我们身份的真 实性后,王先生这才松口,答应到网点当面核实。 近日,工行南通如东栟茶支行的营业厅里,张女士手捧鲜花连连道谢的场景,成了冬日里暖心的画面。 而这束鲜花的背后,是一场因ATM转账输错卡号引发的乌龙,更是工行工作人员工用数通电话、数次 耐心沟通,为客户追回6000元的温情守护。 事情还要从2025年11月中旬说起,当时张女士急匆匆冲进工行南通如东栟茶支行的大堂,满脸焦急地求 助,原来她在ATM机转账时输错卡号,把6000元货款转到了陌生人账户,等发现时款项已经到账,银 行无法直接追回。这让想靠这笔货款周转的张女士慌了神,大堂经理和运营主管核实情况后,决定先尝 试联系收款方王先生,可系统里登记的王先生信息有限,几经周折才拨通了他的电话。 本以为找到收款人就能解决问题,没想到沟通刚起步就遇了挫。王先生接到电话后,第一反应是遇上了 诈骗,坚称自己早已不 ...
银行资负跟踪20260119:降准降息还有空间
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 04:26
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that there is still room for further cuts in reserve requirement ratios and interest rates, with a focus on structural monetary policy support for high-quality economic development [15][19] - The central bank has implemented a reduction of 0.25 percentage points in various structural monetary policy tool rates, signaling a supportive monetary policy stance [15][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of timing for future policy implementations, particularly in relation to government bond issuance peaks and the maturity schedule of high-interest bank deposits [15] Summary by Sections 1. Monetary Policy Adjustments - The report notes a reduction of 0.25 percentage points in structural monetary policy tool rates, with a focus on supporting key areas through increased re-lending [15] - Future attention is directed towards December economic data and January LPR [22] 2. Central Bank Dynamics and Market Rates - The central bank conducted a total of 9,515 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos at an interest rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of 9,741 billion yuan [16] - The report highlights that the funding rates remained stable, with expectations of slight increases due to tax payments and government bond net repayments [16] 3. Bank Financing Tracking - The report indicates that the total outstanding amount of interbank certificates of deposit (CDs) is 19.09 trillion yuan, with an average issuance rate of 1.65% [20] - The report also notes that there were no commercial bank bond issuances during the period, with a total outstanding commercial bank bond size of 3.38 trillion yuan [20]
苏州金融监管分局核准杨青工商银行昆山分行副行长任职资格
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-19 03:31
2026年1月14日,苏州金融监管分局发布批复称,《中国工商银行苏州分行关于杨青任职资格审核的请 示》(工银苏州报〔2025〕121号)收悉。经审核,现批复如下: 一、核准杨青中国工商银行股份有限公司昆山分行副行长的任职资格。 二、中国工商银行昆山分行应要求上述核准任职资格人员严格遵守金融监管总局有关监管规定,自中国 工商银行昆山分行政许可决定作出之日起3个月内到任并向苏州金融监管分局报告。未在上述规定期限 内到任的,本批复文件失效,由苏州金融监管分局办理行政许可注销手续。 三、中国工商银行昆山分行应督促上述核准任职资格人员持续学习和掌握经济金融相关法律法规,牢固 树立风险合规意识,熟悉任职岗位职责,忠实勤勉履职。 ...
跨境流动性跟踪20260118:12月跨境净回流、净结汇规模均创历史新高
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 02:46
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Views - December saw a record high in both cross-border net inflow and net settlement scale, with the bank's foreign-related payment surplus reaching 801.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 400.2 billion CNY [14][17] - The arbitrage trading return rate declined significantly, influenced by the depreciation of the US dollar against the offshore RMB, which fell by 1.32% to 6.98 [14][17] - The cross-border funds' net inflow in December was the highest on record, driven by a substantial increase in merchandise trade surplus [17][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: December Cross-Border Net Inflow and Settlement - The bank's foreign-related payment surplus in December was 801.1 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 400.2 billion CNY, primarily due to a significant expansion in merchandise trade surplus [17] - The net settlement in December reached a historical high of 705.5 billion CNY, with a month-on-month increase of 589.1 billion CNY and a year-on-year increase of 780.6 billion CNY [31] Section 2: Arbitrage Trading Returns - The arbitrage trading return rate for 10Y US Treasury bonds in RMB terms fell by 1.43 percentage points to -1.77% due to the marginal appreciation of the RMB [14][17] - The 10Y China-US interest rate spread widened by 15 basis points, with the 10Y US Treasury yield rising by 16 basis points [14] Section 3: Cross-Border Funds and M2 Liquidity - Cross-border funds contributed significantly to M2 liquidity, with a total of 774.4 billion CNY added, reflecting an increase of 863.2 billion CNY month-on-month [55] - The cross-border funds' inflow had a pull rate of 0.10% on M2, indicating a continued upward trend [55]
工行深圳分行新任“掌门人”落定!
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-19 02:35
近日,奥一新闻关注到深圳金融监管局发布一则关于熊焘中国工商银行深圳市分行行长任职资格的批 复。 批复内容显示,核准熊焘中国工商银行股份有限公司深圳市分行行长的任职资格。 此外,深圳金融监管局要求上述核准任职资格人员严格遵守金融监管总局有关监管规定,自本行政许可 决定作出之日起3个月内到任,并按要求及时报告到任情况。未在上述规定期限内到任的,本批复文件 失效。 公开资料显示,熊焘,2002年加入工商银行,先后在信贷领域的多个部门和岗位任职,具有丰富的银行 融资经验,曾任工行广东省分行投资银行部副总经理、总经理,工行河源分行行长,东莞分行行长,工 行广东省分行副行长,工行广州分行党委书记、行长。 图源:工行广州 此前担任中国工商银行深圳市分行党委书记、行长的董建军,已于2025年9月拟任总行战略管理与投资 者关系部总经理。 采写:奥一新闻记者 蔡诗妍 编辑:蔡诗妍 ...
工商银行申请电子券发放方法专利,提升电子券发放的精准性和效率
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 02:17
国家知识产权局信息显示,中国工商银行股份有限公司申请一项名为"一种电子券发放方法、装置、设 备、介质和程序产品"的专利,公开号CN121329499A,申请日期为2025年2月。 专利摘要显示,本公开提供了一种电子券发放方法,可以应用于人工智能技术领域。该电子券发放方法 包括:针对预先发放的电子券,在确定已发放电子券的使用情况满足第一预设条件的情况下,循环执行 以下步骤,直到满足预设停止条件:针对已获取电子券但当前未使用电子券的第一用户,预测电子券使 用概率;将所预测的使用概率低于预设概率下限的第一用户的数量,确定为基准数量;根据基准数量, 确定新用户数量;针对未获取电子券的新用户,预测其中的目标用户;目标用户的电子券使用概率高于 非目标用户;针对数量为新用户数量的目标用户,发放新电子券;在确定新电子券发放完成,且当前已 发放电子券的使用情况满足第二预设条件的情况下,触发执行下一次循环。 天眼查资料显示,中国工商银行股份有限公司,成立于1985年,位于北京市,是一家以从事货币金融服 务为主的企业。企业注册资本35640625.7089万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,中国工商银行股份有 限公司共对外投资了28家 ...
银行投资观察20260118:贝塔弹性主导近期板块表现
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 01:47
Core Insights - The banking sector has shown weak relative and absolute returns recently, primarily due to market funds shifting towards high-beta and small-cap stocks, leading to a diversion of funds from low-beta banking stocks [18] - The report suggests that the banking sector is likely to experience further internal differentiation in 2026, with larger banks and wealth management banks expected to outperform [18] - Core stock recommendations include Ningbo Bank, China Merchants Bank, Qingdao Bank, and large state-owned banks [18] Section Summaries 1. Current Observation: A-shares in Banking Decline, H-shares Outperform - During the observation period from January 12 to January 16, 2026, the banking sector (CITIC first-level industry) declined by 2.6%, ranking 25th among all industries and underperforming the Wind All A index [16] - The performance of state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks varied, with declines of -2.16%, -3.33%, -1.92%, and -2.24% respectively [16] - H-shares of banks increased by 2.4%, underperforming the Hang Seng Composite Index, while A-share banks showed mixed results [16] 2. Investment Recommendations: Beta Elasticity Dominates Recent Sector Performance - The report indicates that the recent downturn in the banking sector has solidified valuations, with limited further downside expected [18] - The anticipated trends include a shift towards non-bank financial services, wealth management, and disintermediation, with large banks expected to gain an advantage [18] 3. Sector Performance: Banking Sector Decline, Weekly Turnover Rate Increases - The banking sector's weekly turnover rate increased to 1.61%, ranking last among 30 CITIC first-level industries [42] - As of January 16, 2026, the banking sector's latest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 6.89x, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio was 0.67x, indicating valuations at historical average levels [42] 4. Individual Stock Performance: A-share Banks Overall Decline, City Commercial Banks Relatively Stable - Among A-share banks, Ningbo Bank saw a rise of 4.09%, while Beijing Bank, Huaxia Bank, and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank experienced declines of 4.90%, 4.73%, and 4.33% respectively [16] - In H-shares, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank increased by 3.59% and 3.16%, while China Everbright Bank and Chongqing Bank saw declines of 6.14% and 3.10% [16] 5. Convertible Bond Performance: Average Price Increase - The average price of banking convertible bonds rose by 0.06%, underperforming the Zhongzheng convertible bond index by 1.02 percentage points [17] - The top-performing convertible bonds included Chongqing Bank's convertible bond (+0.58%) and Industrial Bank's convertible bond (+0.18%) [17] 6. Profit Forecast Tracking: 2025 Profit Growth Expectations Remain Stable - For the current period, three banks (China Merchants Bank, Minsheng Bank, and Hangzhou Bank) showed changes in the consensus profit growth expectations for 2025 [17] - The net profit growth and revenue growth expectations for A-share banks in 2025 adjusted slightly downwards by -0.08 percentage points and -0.03 percentage points respectively [17]
工银普惠金融跑进海盐
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-18 23:37
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the role of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) in promoting rural revitalization and financial inclusion through community engagement and innovative financial products aimed at supporting agricultural development and enhancing the quality of life in rural areas [7][8][9]. Group 1: Financial Initiatives and Community Engagement - ICBC Jiaxing Branch actively participates in community events, such as the "Rural Health Run," to integrate financial services into rural life, thereby enhancing communication with local residents [8]. - The bank has developed the "Xingnongtong" app, which has served over 73,000 agricultural clients and established 23 service points to improve financial service efficiency in rural areas [9]. - In 2025, ICBC launched the "Food Security Loan," with a total credit of 1.6 billion yuan and a loan balance exceeding 700 million yuan, to address seasonal funding challenges in agriculture [9][10]. Group 2: Tailored Financial Products for Agriculture - ICBC Haiyan Branch has introduced customized credit products, such as "Farmer e-loan" and "Village Cooperative e-loan," to alleviate financial pressures on farmers and support new rural construction [11]. - The bank has also implemented a green credit channel to ensure timely funding for agricultural production, particularly during critical planting seasons [11]. - The "Qinglian Breeding Loan," a unique product in the province, allows for flexible collateral based on live pigs, addressing financing challenges in the livestock sector [12]. Group 3: Impact on Rural Development - The financial support from ICBC has led to stable grain production and a thriving livestock industry, contributing to increased income for farmers [12]. - The bank's initiatives reflect a commitment to rural revitalization and the broader goal of achieving common prosperity through targeted financial services [10][12].
工行深圳市分行“园区e贷”金融创新服务方案斩获2025深圳金融创新大赛殊荣
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-18 23:13
ICBC (E) 中国工商银行 深圳市分行 为入驻深圳(含深汕合作区)优质产业园区且具备科创资质的小微企业 提供的在线信用贷款融资服务。 g 用贷款 操作便利 随借随处 额度高、期限长 额度最高可达1000万元,投信有效期最长3年, 额度可在投信期内循环使用。 利率低、审批快 利率优惠,最快3个工作日 可完成审批。 线上提款,随借随还 支持7×24小时线上提还款、 班由部位BTF 雷分曲博】最明语 "这笔资金不仅解了燃眉之急,更让我们有底气承接更大订单。"在深圳南山科技园里,某智能驾驶系统 集成企业负责人如此感慨。在原材料采购、设备升级等关键节点上,该企业面临资金流不足难题,好在 工商银行深圳市分行为其提供了园区企业专属的"园区e贷",贷款仅在3个工作日内就到账了,妥善解决 了资金难题。 在深圳这座创新之城,像这样深耕前沿科技的小微企业如同城市经济的"毛细血管",支撑着产业活力与 创新动能。但它们同时受困于轻资产、弱管理、缺市场的发展瓶颈,传统金融服务难以精准匹配其需 求。工商银行深圳市分行(以下简称"工行深圳市分行")积极响应深圳市政府和监管机构推广园区贷的号 召,创新推出"园区e贷"综合金融服务方案,以" ...