Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank of China reported a net profit of 76.562 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.98% [1] - The bank's operating income reached 265.08 billion yuan, an increase of 1.82% year-on-year, driven by stable interest margins and growth in non-interest income [1] - The total assets of the bank amounted to 18.61 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase of 1.52 trillion yuan or 8.90% compared to the end of the previous year [1] Financial Performance - Net interest income was 210.505 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.442 billion yuan or 2.07% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.60 percentage points compared to the mid-year report [1] - Non-interest income reached 31.481 billion yuan, an increase of 6.794 billion yuan or 27.52% year-on-year, attributed to enhanced market analysis and increased trading activities in bonds and bills [1] - The bank's total liabilities were 17.44 trillion yuan, up by 1.39 trillion yuan or 8.64% from the end of the previous year [1] Loan and Deposit Growth - Customer loans totaled 9.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 742.689 billion yuan or 8.33% compared to the end of the previous year, with a year-on-year increase of 112.209 billion yuan [1] - Customer deposits reached 16.22 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase of 928.903 billion yuan or 6.08% from the end of the previous year [1] Asset Quality and Capital Management - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.94%, maintaining a low level over the years [2] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.65%, an increase of 1.09 percentage points compared to the end of the previous year [2]

Core Viewpoint - Postal Savings Bank of China has experienced a decline in stock price, with a cumulative drop of 5.27% over three consecutive days, reflecting market concerns about its performance and investor sentiment [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Postal Savings Bank of China, established on March 6, 2007, and listed on December 10, 2019, is headquartered in Beijing and provides a range of banking and financial services in China [1]. - The bank's main business segments include personal banking (65.15% of revenue), corporate banking (22.71%), and funding operations (12.10%), with other services contributing a minimal 0.04% [1]. Group 2: Fund Holdings - Dongzheng Asset Management has a fund that heavily invests in Postal Savings Bank, specifically the Dongfanghong CSI Dongfanghong Dividend Low Volatility Index A (012708), which holds 14.25 million shares, accounting for 1.36% of the fund's net value [2]. - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 2.28 million due to the recent stock price decline, totaling a loss of 4.56 million over the three-day drop [2]. Group 3: Fund Manager Performance - The fund managers of Dongfanghong CSI Dongfanghong Dividend Low Volatility Index A are Xu Xijia and Gao Yuan, with Xu having a tenure of 6 years and Gao 2 years [3]. - The fund's total asset size is 70.23 billion, with Xu achieving a best return of 59.36% and Gao a best return of 30.96% during their respective tenures [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is "Buy-A" with a target price of 7.03 CNY over the next six months [5]. Core Views - The report highlights that the bank's performance has shown improvement in growth rates compared to the mid-year report, driven primarily by the expansion of interest-earning assets and a notable increase in non-interest income [1][10]. - The bank's credit growth is robust, particularly in corporate loans, while retail lending remains resilient despite industry pressures [2][11]. - The bank's asset quality is maintained at a high level, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% and a sufficient provision coverage ratio of 240.21% [10][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Postal Savings Bank reported a revenue growth of 1.82% year-on-year, with a pre-provision profit increase of 8.16% and a net profit growth of 0.98% [1]. - The bank's total assets grew by 11.10% year-on-year, with a net increase of 415.1 billion CNY in the third quarter alone [1][2]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Corporate loans increased by 19.87% year-on-year, reflecting a strong performance in the corporate lending sector [2]. - Retail loans grew by 2.92% year-on-year, outperforming the industry average, with a focus on high-quality borrowers and core urban areas [2]. Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.68%, showing a slight decline but remaining competitive within the industry [4][9]. - The bank has successfully reduced its cost of interest-bearing liabilities, contributing to a stable interest margin [9]. Non-Interest Income and Investment Performance - Non-interest income increased by 23.48% year-on-year, with significant contributions from investment gains and fees [10]. - The bank's investment strategy has proven effective, particularly in volatile market conditions, leading to improved investment returns [10]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to continue supporting key sectors such as small and micro enterprises while optimizing its loan portfolio [11]. - Revenue growth is projected at 1.43% for 2025, with net profit growth anticipated at 2.65% [11].

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 265.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.8%, with an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 76.6 billion yuan, growing by 1.0% year-on-year, with a 0.2 percentage point increase from the first half of the year [1] - The annualized weighted average ROE was 10.7%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Total assets grew by 11.1% year-on-year to 18.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.9% from the beginning of the year [1] - Customer deposits increased by 6.1% year-to-date to 16.2 trillion yuan, while total loans rose by 8.3% to 9.7 trillion yuan [1] - Corporate loans surged by 17.9% year-to-date, driven by increased credit allocation to advanced manufacturing, green finance, technology finance, and inclusive finance [1] - Personal loans grew by 1.9% year-to-date, while bill discounting slightly decreased [1] Capital and Asset Quality - The company completed capital replenishment, with a core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio of 10.65% at the end of Q3, up by 1.09 percentage points from the beginning of the year [1] - The average net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.68%, down by 21 basis points year-on-year, with net interest income decreasing by 2.1% [1] - The non-interest income from fees grew by 11.5% year-on-year to 23.1 billion yuan, supported by rapid development in investment banking, transaction banking, custody, and wealth management [2] - Other non-interest income increased by 27.5% year-on-year to 31.5 billion yuan, mainly due to gains from bond and bill trading [2] - The annualized non-performing loan generation rate was 0.93%, up by 0.14 percentage points year-on-year, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% at the end of Q3, an increase from the beginning of the year [2] - The coverage ratio for provisions was 240%, down by 46 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2] Investment Outlook - The company maintained its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 86.6 billion yuan, 87.2 billion yuan, and 88.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.2%, 0.7%, and 1.2% respectively [2] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 0.67, 0.67, and 0.68 yuan for the same period, with current stock prices corresponding to PE ratios of 8.9, 8.8, and 8.7 times, and PB ratios of 0.72, 0.68, and 0.65 times [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Postal Savings Bank of China (601658) with a target price of 8.10 CNY / 7.72 HKD, compared to the current price of 5.91 CNY / 5.73 HKD [4][8]. Core Insights - The bank's revenue and profit continue to show steady growth, with non-interest income performing strongly. For the first nine months of 2025, total revenue reached 265.08 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 76.56 billion CNY, up 0.98% year-on-year [2][8]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.94% and a provision coverage ratio of 240.21% [2][8]. - The bank's total assets and loans grew by 8.90% and 8.33% respectively compared to the beginning of the year, driven by strong corporate lending [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, net interest income decreased by 2.07% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to the first half of the year. Non-interest income, particularly from fees and commissions, grew by 11.48% [8]. - The bank's cost control measures have been effective, with business and management expenses decreasing by 2.66% year-on-year, leading to a cost-to-income ratio improvement [8]. Business Segments - Corporate lending remains a strong growth driver, with a year-to-date increase of 653.54 billion CNY, representing a growth rate of 17.91% [8]. - Retail lending growth has shown resilience, with personal loans increasing by 1.90% year-to-date, although the growth rate has slowed due to risk management adjustments [8]. Capital and Risk Management - The bank's core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved by 1.09 percentage points to 10.65%, enhancing its capacity for sustainable growth [8]. - The report indicates that the bank's risk management strategies are evolving, particularly in response to pressures in the retail loan sector, with measures in place to stabilize asset quality [8]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 2.4%, 3.5%, and 5.7% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 1.8%, 3.8%, and 5.1% for the same period [8]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 2026E valuation of 0.66x price-to-book (PB), with a target PB of 0.90x based on the bank's growth potential and market conditions [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][8] Core Views - The company has shown positive growth in revenue and profit, with a revenue of 265.1 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 76.6 billion yuan, also reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [1] - The company's total assets increased by 11.1% year-on-year to 18.6 trillion yuan, with corporate loans growing significantly by 17.9% [1] - The net interest margin has decreased to 1.68%, down 21 basis points year-on-year, while non-interest income has seen a robust growth of 11.5% [2] - Asset quality pressures have increased, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% at the end of the third quarter [2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 86.6 billion yuan, with a slight growth rate of 0.2% [3][4] - The diluted EPS is expected to remain stable at 0.67 yuan for 2025, with a PE ratio of 8.9x [3][4] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.65%, up 1.09 percentage points from the beginning of the year [1] - The company’s total assets are forecasted to reach 18.79 trillion yuan by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.0% [6]

Core Viewpoint - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) has reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, emphasizing its commitment to strategic upgrades, innovation, and risk management while aiming to become a leading large retail bank with a focus on inclusivity and stability [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, PSBC achieved operating income of CNY 265.08 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.82% [3] - Net profit reached CNY 76.794 billion, reflecting a growth of 1.07% year-on-year [3] - The net interest margin stood at 1.68%, maintaining an excellent industry level, with net interest income showing quarterly improvement [3] - Non-interest income grew by 11.48%, with other non-interest income increasing by 27.52% [3] Risk Management - As of September 2025, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 0.94%, continuing a long-standing low trend [4] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.65%, up by 1.09 percentage points from the previous year [4][5] Asset and Liability Management - PSBC's loans increased by CNY 742.689 billion, with corporate loans rising by 17.91% [6] - Deposits grew by CNY 928.903 billion, a 6.08% increase, with corporate deposits up by 12.19% [6] - The average interest rate on interest-bearing liabilities decreased to 1.22%, down by 25 basis points from the previous year [6] Strategic Initiatives - PSBC is enhancing its service model to support rural finance, small and micro enterprises, and green finance, with significant loan balances in these areas [7][8] - The bank has established technology finance departments in six major cities to support innovation in the tech sector, with technology loans exceeding CNY 940 billion [8] - PSBC is actively promoting consumption through targeted loan policies, resulting in a significant increase in non-housing consumer loans [10] Organizational Development - The bank is implementing "Five Major Actions" and "Seven Major Reforms" to optimize its operational structure and enhance competitiveness [11][13] - Focus areas include improving service efficiency in urban and rural areas, enhancing digital banking capabilities, and fostering a collaborative environment for corporate clients [12][13] Future Outlook - PSBC aims to align its strategies with national economic goals and enhance its role in supporting the real economy while contributing to financial stability [13]

Core Insights - The six major state-owned banks in China reported a year-on-year increase in both operating income and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with operating income reaching approximately 2.73 trillion yuan and net profit around 1.72 trillion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 1.87% and 1.22% respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - All six banks achieved positive year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, with Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading in revenue growth rates of 2.69% and 2.17% respectively [2] - Agricultural Bank of China reported a net profit growth rate exceeding 3%, specifically at 3.03%, while other banks like Bank of Communications and Bank of China also showed net profit growth above 1% [2] - The absolute profit figures for the banks were significant, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China earning approximately 269.9 billion yuan, followed by China Construction Bank at 257.4 billion yuan and Agricultural Bank of China at 220.9 billion yuan [2] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin (NIM) for most banks continued to decline, with only Bank of Communications showing a year-on-year increase in net interest income of 1.46% [3] - The decline in NIM was less severe compared to the first half of the year, with quarterly declines ranging from 0.01 to 0.04 percentage points [3] Asset Quality and Growth - By the end of the third quarter, total assets of the six banks approached 218 trillion yuan, marking a growth of approximately 1.85% since mid-year [1][4] - The total loan amount exceeded 127 trillion yuan, with a growth of around 9 trillion yuan compared to the end of the previous year, particularly driven by Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China, all showing growth rates above 8% [4] Provision Coverage - The overall asset quality showed improvement, with five banks reporting a decrease in non-performing loan ratios compared to the end of the previous year, while Postal Savings Bank experienced a slight increase [4] - The provision coverage ratio for Agricultural Bank of China remained the highest among the banks, although it decreased from approximately 299.61% to 295.08% [5] Market Capitalization - As of October 30, Agricultural Bank of China led in market capitalization at approximately 2.74 trillion yuan, followed by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at about 2.59 trillion yuan [5] - Agricultural Bank of China was noted as the only major state-owned bank with a price-to-book (PB) ratio recovering to above 1 [5]

Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank of China reported a revenue of 265.08 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.82% [1] - The net profit reached 76.794 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.07% compared to the previous year [1] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remained low at 0.94%, indicating stable asset quality [1] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.65%, up 1.09 percentage points from the end of the previous year, supporting robust operations [1] Financial Performance - Operating income for Q3 2025 was 2650.80 billion yuan, with a net interest margin of 1.68% [1] - The bank's net profit was 767.94 billion yuan, showing a modest increase of 1.07% year-on-year [1] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.94%, maintaining a low level [1] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was reported at 10.65%, an increase of 1.09 percentage points from the previous year [1] Business Development - The bank is accelerating the innovation of inclusive financial services, focusing on key areas such as food security and rural development [2] - It has reached nearly 1.7 million small and micro enterprises, with total credit exceeding 1 trillion yuan [2] - Agricultural loan balance reached 2.47 trillion yuan, while inclusive small and micro enterprise loans amounted to 1.75 trillion yuan [2] Technological Advancements - The bank is enhancing its technology finance service system, establishing specialized departments in six major cities [2] - The balance of technology loans surpassed 940 billion yuan by the end of September [2] - The bank launched a series of services under "Postal Savings + Financial Management," catering to the entire lifecycle of enterprises [2] Green Finance Initiatives - The bank is actively promoting green finance, with a green loan balance of 999.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.32% [3] - It invested 500 million yuan in green bond funds during the third quarter [3] Pension Financial Services - The bank is developing a comprehensive pension service model, serving over 300 million clients aged 55 and above [3] - It has issued over 130 million financial social security cards, with a stable growth in personal pension contributions [3] Digital Financial Services - The bank has launched its third-generation core fund business system, reducing transaction approval time by 97% [3] - A new generation of fund clearing systems has been implemented, improving efficiency by nearly 50 times [3]

Group 1 - The six major state-owned banks in China reported revenue and net profit growth for the first three quarters of the year, with a total profit of 1.07 trillion yuan [1] - Revenue figures for the six banks are as follows: ICBC 640.03 billion yuan, ABC 550.88 billion yuan, CCB 573.70 billion yuan, BOC 491.20 billion yuan, PSBC 265.08 billion yuan, and CMB 199.65 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.17%, 1.97%, 0.82%, 2.69%, 1.82%, and 1.80% respectively [1] - Net profit figures are: ICBC 269.91 billion yuan, ABC 220.86 billion yuan, CCB 257.36 billion yuan, BOC 177.66 billion yuan, PSBC 76.56 billion yuan, and CMB 69.99 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.33%, 3.03%, 0.62%, 1.08%, 0.98%, and 1.90% respectively [1] Group 2 - The net interest margin, a key indicator of bank profitability, has been narrowing for the six major banks, with margins reported as follows: ICBC 1.28%, ABC 1.30%, CCB 1.36%, BOC 1.26%, PSBC 1.68%, and CMB 1.20%, all showing a year-on-year decline [1] - As of the end of September, the non-performing loan ratios for the banks were: ICBC 1.33%, ABC 1.27%, CCB 1.32%, BOC 1.24%, PSBC 0.94%, and CMB 1.26%, all showing improvement compared to the end of the previous year [2] - The total dividend payout proposed by the banks amounts to 204.66 billion yuan, with individual payouts per 10 shares as follows: ICBC 1.414 yuan, ABC 1.195 yuan, CCB 1.858 yuan, BOC 1.094 yuan, PSBC 1.230 yuan, and CMB 1.563 yuan [2]