Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sands China (1928) with a target price of HKD 25.31, representing a potential upside of 36.1% from the current stock price of HKD 18.60 [3][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the second quarter of 2025 showed a net income growth of 2.3% year-on-year and a 5.3% quarter-on-quarter increase, reaching USD 1.79 billion, which is 84% of the levels seen in 2019. The VIP segment saw a decline, while the mass market segment showed growth [6]. - The report anticipates that the company's EBITDA will reach USD 2.7 billion in the near term, with significant contributions expected from the Venetian Macao and Londoner properties [6]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of increased foot traffic, new project launches, and popular non-gaming products on the overall performance of the industry [6]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, Sands China reported revenues of USD 6.534 billion, with a projected increase to USD 7.436 billion by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 8.4% [4][7]. - The EBITDA for 2023 was USD 2.225 billion, with expectations of reaching USD 2.354 billion in 2025, indicating a growth of 4.7% [4][7]. - The net profit for 2023 was USD 692 million, projected to increase to USD 1.063 billion by 2025, showing a significant growth of 51% [4][7]. Operational Performance - The adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2025 was USD 566 million, recovering to 74% of the levels seen in 2019, with an EBITDA margin of 31.6% [6]. - The hotel occupancy rate was reported at 96.2%, with an average room rate of USD 226 [6]. - The report notes that the company has repurchased USD 179 million worth of shares, increasing its ownership stake to 73.4% [6].

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the adjusted EBITDA forecast for Sands China (01928) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price raised by 19% to HKD 23.80, reflecting a 29% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Sands China reported 2Q25 net revenue of USD 1.797 billion, recovering to 84% of 2Q19 levels (up 2% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter) [2] - Adjusted property EBITDA for 2Q25 was USD 566 million, recovering to 74% of 2Q19 levels (up 1% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter), aligning with institutional expectations of USD 562 million [2] - The performance is attributed to more aggressive marketing rebate activities, improved VIP win rates, and increased market share from 22.4% in 1Q25 to 22.6% in 2Q25 due to the opening of Londoner [2] Group 2: Management Insights - Management disclosed a short-term EBITDA target of approximately USD 2.7 billion annually (USD 675 million quarterly), with contributions expected from Venetian and Londoner (USD 2 billion), Four Seasons (USD 400 million), Parisian (USD 200 million), and Sands Macao (USD 100 million) [3] - Management acknowledged previous conservatism in customer rebate reinvestment rates, which negatively impacted performance in Macau, but noted improvements in May and June 2025 following a shift in rebate strategy [3] - The new rebate strategy aims to increase rebate spending to drive traffic to Parisian and Sands Macao, while strong natural traffic is expected to support performance at Venetian and Londoner under limited rebate spending [3] - Management believes Macau has become a regional entertainment hub, hosting numerous global and regional events, which will continue to drive visitor traffic [3] - Continued high visitor numbers are supported by day-trip travelers, with mass market recovery at 93% of 2Q19 levels (up 10% quarter-on-quarter) and premium mass market recovery at 106% of 2Q19 levels (up 5% quarter-on-quarter) [3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Sands China (1928 HK) Core Insights - In 25Q2, Sands China reported a net revenue of USD 1.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, while adjusted EBITDA reached USD 566 million, up 0.9% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6% [10] - The overall gaming gross revenue (GGR) in Macau increased by 8.3% year-on-year and 6.0% quarter-on-quarter, reaching MOP 61.115 billion in 25Q2 [2] - The Londoner Macao showed impressive performance with a net revenue increase of 44.6% year-on-year, benefiting from the completion of its renovation [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 25Q2, Sands China achieved a net revenue of USD 1.79 billion, with contributions from gaming and non-gaming segments at USD 1.347 billion and USD 0.447 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 1.4% and 5.2% year-on-year [3] - The adjusted property EBITDA for the first half of 2025 was USD 1.101 billion, down 6.0% year-on-year, with a margin of 31.5% [10] Property Performance - The performance of various properties under Sands China varied significantly, with Venetian and Londoner showing contrasting results; Venetian's net revenue decreased by 3.4%, while Londoner's increased by 44.6% due to renovations [3] - The net revenue breakdown by property for 25Q2 was as follows: Venetian at USD 663 million, Londoner at USD 642 million, and Parisian at USD 194 million [3] Gaming Operations - Total betting volume for Sands China in 25Q2 was MOP 155.9 billion, a decline of 5.3% year-on-year, with VIP betting down 23% [4] - The gaming gross revenue reached USD 1.71 billion, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with VIP gaming revenue declining by 14.1% [4] Capital Expenditure - The total capital expenditure for Sands China in 25Q2 was USD 286 million, including USD 138 million for construction, development, and maintenance activities in Macau [6] Shareholder Returns - LVS purchased 87 million shares of Sands China at an average price of HKD 16.00, increasing its ownership stake to 73.4% as of July 23, 2025 [5]

Group 1: Market Trends - The paper sector continues its upward trend, with Nine Dragons Paper (02689.HK) leading the gains, rising over 9% after announcing a price increase of 30 CNY/ton for corrugated paper and recycled cardboard starting August 1, reflecting an optimized supply-demand structure in the industry [1] - The brokerage sector saw collective strength, with major Chinese brokerages like Dongfang Securities (03958.HK) and Zhongyuan Securities (01375.HK) rising over 6% and 5% respectively, indicating significant capital inflow into the sector [1] - Urban Beauty (02298.HK) surged 13% as its online GMV for 2024 is projected to reach 1.57 billion CNY, marking a 100% year-on-year increase, showcasing the effectiveness of its new retail transformation [1] Group 2: Company Performance - China Duty Free Group (01880.HK) soared 17% after Macquarie's report indicated a narrowing year-on-year revenue decline from 19.5% in Q4 2024 to 11% in Q1 2025, with a stable gross margin of 33% [1] - The gaming sector experienced a broad increase, with companies like 澳博控股 (00880.HK) and 银河娱乐 (00027.HK) rising over 3%, supported by UBS data showing Macau's average daily gaming revenue in July at 683 million MOP, a 14% year-on-year increase [2] - 雍禾医疗 (02279.HK) saw a 13% increase after forming a strategic partnership with Meituan Health to build a medical-grade hair health service system [2] Group 3: Real Estate and Financing - The Hong Kong real estate sector collectively strengthened, with Country Garden (02007.HK) leading with nearly a 10% rise, driven by improved financing conditions as indicated by the People's Bank of China's report showing a recovery in real estate loan growth [3] - Meilan Airport (0357.HK) rose 10% as CITIC Securities highlighted the significance of Hainan's trade opening, which is expected to benefit the local tourism industry [3] Group 4: Gold Sector Decline - The gold sector faced pressure, with companies like 潼关黄金 (00340.HK) and 大唐黄金 (08331.HK) dropping over 4%, attributed to a decline in spot gold prices below 3,380 USD/oz, driven by reduced safe-haven appeal due to easing trade tensions [4] Group 5: US Market Highlights - Futu Holdings (FUTU.US) rose 2.82% after announcing a long-term strategic partnership with Huaxia Fund to promote the integration of traditional finance and blockchain technology [5] - Japanese automotive stocks surged, with Toyota (TM.US) and Honda (HMC.US) rising over 13% following news of a trade agreement reducing tariffs on Japanese cars [6] - Nuclear power stocks in the US saw significant gains, with Oklo Inc (OKLO.US) rising 9.21%, reflecting a growing interest in nuclear energy [5]

Core Viewpoint - Sands China Limited reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with total revenue reaching $7.08 billion, an increase of 8.4% from $6.534 billion in 2023, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising significantly from $692 million to $1.045 billion. However, the company faces liquidity challenges, as its current ratio dropped from 1.23 in 2023 to 0.76 in 2024, indicating potential risks in cash flow management [1]. Debt Structure and Financial Pressure - The debt structure of Sands China deteriorated significantly in 2024, with short-term debt skyrocketing from $16 million in 2023 to $1.639 billion, a more than 100-fold increase, primarily due to the reclassification of notes maturing in 2025. Long-term debt decreased from $8.312 billion to $6.520 billion, but total liabilities still reached $10.138 billion, maintaining a high debt-to-asset ratio of 90.77% [3]. - Current liabilities surged from $1.372 billion in 2023 to $2.993 billion, while current assets only amounted to $2.285 billion, resulting in a net current liability of $708 million. Despite cash and cash equivalents increasing from $1.361 billion to $1.970 billion, this remains insufficient against the large short-term debt [3]. - The accounts receivable conversion cycle extended from 8 days to 10 days, while the accounts payable conversion cycle remained unchanged at 2 days, exacerbating cash flow management issues. Operating cash flow per share decreased from $0.28 in 2023 to $0.26 in 2024, indicating a decline in cash generation capability from operations [3]. Capital Expenditure Impact - Sands China committed to investing approximately $4.5 billion during the gaming license period from 2023 to 2032, significantly impacting cash flow. The investment cash flow per share for 2024 was negative $0.10, worsening from negative $0.02 in 2023, reflecting increased spending on infrastructure and equipment upgrades [4]. - The completion of the Londoner Macao project is expected in the second quarter of 2025, indicating continued substantial capital expenditures in the coming quarters. Additionally, renovations at the Galaxy Macau and phased updates at the Sheraton Hotel in Macau are expected to affect revenue generation in the short term [4]. - The company has invested approximately $17 billion in the development of integrated resorts in Macau, including over 10,000 hotel rooms and significant retail and convention space. While these investments may enhance long-term competitiveness, they currently serve as a major drag on cash flow [4]. Market Recovery and Profitability Concerns - Although the number of visitors to Macau increased to approximately 35 million in 2024 from 28 million in 2023, the quality of earnings for the company remains concerning. The gross profit margin declined from 61.88% in 2023 to 60.69%, indicating that intense market competition is compressing profit margins [6]. - Administrative expenses slightly increased from $1.970 billion to $1.977 billion, suggesting a need for improved cost control despite revenue growth. Adjusted property EBITDA rose from $2.23 billion to $2.33 billion, but the growth rate of 4.7% lagged behind the revenue growth of 8.4%, reflecting a decline in operational efficiency [6]. - The return on equity reached an unusually high 201.93%, primarily due to a low net asset base of $1.031 billion compared to total assets of $11.169 billion. The total asset return improved from 6.65% to 9.75%, but this improvement is more indicative of leverage effects rather than genuine operational enhancement [6]. - The net cash flow per share improved from negative $0.04 in 2023 to $0.07 in 2024, yet it remains at a relatively low level, indicating limited cash generation capacity [6].

Group 1 - The gaming stocks continue to rise, with Wynn Macau up 4.55%, SJM Holdings up 2.16%, Sands China up 1.2%, and Melco International Development up 1.01% [1] - Citigroup reported that Macau's total gaming revenue for the first six days of July may have reached approximately 4.3 billion MOP, indicating a daily average of about 717 million MOP, which is a 2% increase compared to June 2025 and a 30% surge compared to July 2024 [1] - Citigroup conservatively raised its forecast for July 2025 gaming revenue from 19.5 billion MOP to 20 billion MOP, anticipating a slowdown in daily gaming revenue after the conclusion of the concert series by Jacky Cheung [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan noted that despite the positive impact of Jacky Cheung's concert and seasonal factors in July, the performance is stronger than in June or May, with expectations of double-digit year-on-year growth for total gaming revenue in July [2] - The report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue has exceeded seasonal and market expectations for three consecutive months, suggesting that the industry has reached a cyclical turning point after a prolonged period of market profit forecast reductions [2]

Market Overview - The US 90-day exemption period is ending this week, leading to ongoing market focus on US tariff negotiations [1] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.12% at 23,887.83 points, with a total turnover of HKD 193.79 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.25% to 5,229.56 points, indicating mixed performance across indices [1] Blue Chip Performance - Sands China (01928) led blue-chip stocks, rising 3.85% to HKD 18.32, contributing 2.58 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Macau's June gaming revenue increased by 19% year-on-year to MOP 21.1 billion, exceeding market expectations [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included China Resources Land (01109) up 3.45% and Ideal Automotive (02015) up 2.8% [2] Sector Highlights Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin concept is gaining traction, with companies like Guotai Junan International (01788) rising 10.77% [3] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation is set to take effect on August 1, with limited licenses expected to be issued [3] Beverage Sector - Tea beverage stocks surged, with Cha Bai Dao (02555) up 11.04% amid a competitive delivery market [4] - The delivery battle between Alibaba and Meituan has significantly boosted tea beverage consumption [4] Real Estate Sector - The housing market is under scrutiny, with a focus on stabilizing expectations and activating demand [5] - Analysts suggest that the third quarter will be crucial for policy direction affecting the real estate market [5] Gaming Sector - Gaming stocks continued to rise, with MGM China (02282) up 2.38% and overall positive sentiment in the Macau gaming market [6] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 10% year-on-year increase in Macau's July gaming revenue [6] Power Sector - Power stocks saw a general increase, driven by record electricity demand due to high temperatures [7] - The maximum national electricity load reached 14.65 billion kilowatts, marking a significant year-on-year increase [7] Gold Sector - Gold stocks faced pressure, with Shandong Gold (01787) down 5.96% as gold prices fell below USD 3,310 per ounce [7] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced expectations for US interest rate cuts [7] Notable Stock Movements - H&H International Holdings (01112) issued a profit warning, falling 7.14% [8] - Jihong Co. (02603) saw a significant rise of 11.62%, with projected net profit growth of 97.25% to 108.21% for the first half of 2025 [9] - Lao Pu Gold (06181) reached a new high, reflecting strong growth potential compared to industry peers [10] - FWD Group (01828) debuted on the market, closing up 1.05% with a net fundraising of approximately HKD 29.53 billion [11]

海富通基金指出，港股估值当前处于历史相对低位，估值绝对水平远低于美欧日市场水平，性价比相对 较高。 汇添富基金表示，下半年港股走势或呈现"震荡上行+结构分化"格局。核心驱动因素包括宏观政策将聚 焦高质量发展、科技创新与内需提振，叠加稳增长政策加码，有望推动港股基本面修复；全年南向资金 净流入或突破万亿元规模，持续改善港股流动性。同时，海外区域性资金对港股关注度上升，若基本面 持续改善，外资配置比例有望从当前的低位逐步回升。 华夏基金认为，在国内经济复苏、AI业绩催化预期以及更多优质企业赴港上市的背景下，下半年恒生 科技的估值有望持续提升。而一旦有爆点事件催化，高弹性、高成长等特性也使其具备更大的向上动 能。 恒生指数高开0.96%，恒生科技指数涨1.07%。银河娱乐涨超9%，金沙中国涨6%，吉利汽车涨近5%。 关于港股后市 光大证券称，短期在流动性较难继续放松的背景下，结合A股财报披露扰动、中美关系仍有不确定性等 事件对风险偏好可能有所压制，港股市场可能呈现震荡走势。长期来看，港股整体盈利能力相对较强， 同时互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀缺，结合当前估值仍偏低，长期配置性价比仍较高。 中信证券表示，在港股 ...

金沙中国有限公司在港交所公告，于2025年6月11日（美国时间），所有未偿付二零二五年票据 （1,800,000,000美元5.125%二零二五年到期的优先票据和1,786,475,000美元5.125%二零二五年到期的优 先票据）已根据二零二五年票据契约之条款及条件被全部赎回。因此，不再有未偿付二零二五年票据。 公司已向香港联交所申请撤销二零二五年票据的上市。有关撤销上市预期将于2025年6月20日营业时间 结束时生效。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market started June on a negative note, with the Hang Seng Index dropping to 23,157.97 points, down 0.57% or 131.8 points, with a total turnover of HKD 145.245 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell over 3% at one point but later narrowed its losses, closing down 0.7% at 5,134.11 points [1] - The market has shown signs of recovery after the "reciprocal tariffs" impact, with a significant decline in risk premiums being a key driver [1] Blue Chip Performance - Sands China (01928) led blue-chip gains, rising 4.28% to HKD 16.08, contributing 2.69 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Macau's gaming revenue for May reached MOP 21.193 billion, a 5% year-on-year increase, with total revenue for the first five months at MOP 97.707 billion, up 1.7% [2][5] - Other notable blue-chip movements included Chow Tai Fook (01929) up 3.22% and Galaxy Entertainment (00027) up 1.8%, while CSPC Pharmaceutical (01093) fell 4.81% [2] Sector Highlights Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin sector surged following the enactment of the Stablecoin Ordinance in Hong Kong, with LianLian Digital (02598) rising 64.27% and Yike (09923) up 39.87% [3][4] - The ordinance aims to enhance the regulatory framework for digital asset activities in Hong Kong, with compliant stablecoins expected to launch by the end of the year [4] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector saw most stocks rise, with Sands China and Wynn Macau (01128) also posting gains [5] - Citigroup forecasts a 5% year-on-year increase in gaming revenue for June, estimating daily revenue at approximately MOP 6.17 billion [5] Gold Sector - Gold stocks performed well, with Tongguan Gold (00340) up 18.23% and other gold-related stocks also seeing gains due to rising gold prices amid geopolitical tensions [6] - Spot gold prices reached USD 3,350 per ounce, reflecting a nearly 2% increase [6] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector faced challenges, with major developers like Agile Group (03383) and R&F Properties (02777) experiencing significant declines [7] - The top 100 real estate companies in China reported a 10.8% year-on-year drop in sales for the first five months of 2025 [7] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector is under pressure due to a new wave of price wars, with companies like GAC Group (02238) and Li Auto (02015) seeing declines [8] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has expressed opposition to "cutthroat" competition in the automotive industry [8] Notable Stock Movements - Mixue Group (02097) reached a new high, closing up 7.54% at HKD 584.5, with an upgraded target price reflecting strong sales growth [9] - Alibaba Pictures (01060) rose 7.41% after announcing a name change to Damai Entertainment, indicating a strategic shift towards live events [10] - Leap Motor (09863) reported a 148% year-on-year increase in May deliveries, prompting an upgrade in sales forecasts [11] - CSPC Pharmaceutical (02005) fell 5.46% after reporting a significant drop in revenue and profit for Q1 2025 [12]