考虑到金价持续上涨对成本的影响，记者从周大福获悉，集团计划在10月底提高定价黄金产品的零售价 格，大多数产品的提价幅度预计在12%-18%。周大福方面表示，集团设有机制密切监测金价波动，并适 时作出价格调整，以应对市场变化。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 641 points, a decline of 2.48%, and accumulated a weekly drop of 1,043 points or 3.97% [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 243 points or 4.05%, with a weekly loss of 499 points or 7.98% [2] - The trading volume for the day was 314.62 billion, with a net inflow of 6.30 billion from northbound trading [2] Group 2: Company Performance - HSBC Holdings (00005) closed down 1.9% at 100.9 HKD, while AIA Group (01299) fell 2.2% to 69.05 HKD [3] - Semiconductor companies like SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) saw declines of 6.5% and 6.9%, respectively [3] - BYD Electronics (00285) was the worst-performing blue chip, dropping 8.1% to 37.74 HKD [3] Group 3: Economic and Regulatory Developments - The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong, Paul Chan, emphasized the importance of attracting U.S. businesses and talent to invest in Hong Kong, highlighting the city's favorable business environment [6] - The Insurance Authority has classified AIA and Prudential as Domestic Systemically Important Insurers (D-SII), which will subject them to enhanced regulatory requirements [8] - The People's Bank of China Governor, Pan Gongsheng, discussed the need for multilateral cooperation in light of increasing global economic challenges [9] Group 4: Retail Sector Insights - Chow Tai Fook (01929) reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in retail value for the second fiscal quarter, with same-store sales in Hong Kong and Macau rising by 6.2% [11] - Xtep International (01368) experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales in mainland China for the third quarter, with inventory turnover of approximately 4 to 4.5 months [14] Group 5: Financing Activities - Zhengli New Energy (03677) announced a placement of 45.92 million new H shares at a discount of 7.89% to raise approximately 504 million HKD for various projects [12] - Aneng Logistics (09956) received a conditional proposal for potential privatization from a consortium led by Dazhong Capital and Temasek [13]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a group RSV growth of 4.1% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026 and a 32% increase in net profit to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [4]. Group 2: Domestic Market Performance - In the domestic market, the same-store sales growth turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in Q2, particularly in gold and jewelry products [1]. - Excluding price factors, the same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline has narrowed compared to Q1, attributed to increased product launches and the popularity of new collections [2]. Group 3: E-commerce and Regional Performance - E-commerce sales in the domestic market grew by 28.1%, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume, supported by IP collaborations and enhanced online consumer interactions [3]. - In the Hong Kong and Macau regions, RSV increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau, benefiting from rising gold prices [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), as a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a corresponding FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a 4.1% year-on-year increase in group RSV, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026, with a projected net profit growth of 32% to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [6]. Group 2: Mainland China Operations - In FY2026 Q1, the mainland's RSV grew by 3%, with Q2 same-store sales showing a positive growth of 7.6%. Sales of gold jewelry and products increased by 10.6% [3]. - The increase in same-store sales is attributed to a significant rise in gold prices, which led to a 23% year-on-year increase in average selling prices for gold jewelry [3]. - The company is actively reducing inefficient stores, closing 300 stores in Q2, resulting in a total of 5,663 Chow Tai Fook jewelry stores [3]. Group 3: E-commerce Performance - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of the company's mainland sales and 15.5% of sales volume [4]. - The company is enhancing its IP collaboration and engaging consumers through comprehensive online interactions to expand its e-commerce business [4]. Group 4: Hong Kong and Macau Operations - In FY2026 Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in the region [5]. - The sales growth in Hong Kong was 3.2%, while Macau experienced a robust growth of 17.3%, continuing its rapid growth trend [5].

Group 1 - The overall market environment shows signs of improvement, with expectations for a recovery following last week's decline [2] - The technology sector is experiencing significant activity, with the upcoming IPO of Mu Xi Integrated Circuit Co., Ltd. on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] - Domestic retail sales for Chow Tai Fook increased by 4.1% year-on-year in Q3, with a notable recovery in same-store sales in mainland China [3][4] Group 2 - Chow Tai Fook's online retail performance was strong, with a year-on-year increase of 28.1% in Q3 [4] - The company plans to maintain a pricing strategy for gold products, aiming for a 20%-25% share of total sales [5] - The express delivery industry is seeing improved operating conditions, with significant increases in single-ticket revenue for major companies in September [6][7] Group 3 - The express delivery sector is transitioning from price wars to orderly competition, with price increases expected to enhance profitability [8] - SF Express maintained high growth in volume, while other companies like Yunda and Zhongtong are also benefiting from price adjustments [8] - The Hang Seng Index is showing potential for a rebound, supported by ongoing US-China trade negotiations and expectations of interest rate cuts [9]

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The September fiscal data shows a marginal recovery in general public budget revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6%, up from 2% in the previous period, driven mainly by VAT and a significant increase in stamp duty revenue [9][10] - Government fund budget revenue turned positive in September, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, while expenditure growth slowed to 0.4%, indicating a potential for fiscal policy to support economic recovery [10][11] - The central government announced a new policy of 500 billion yuan in financial tools and 500 billion yuan in local debt limits to stimulate the economy, which is expected to have a positive impact in the fourth quarter [11] Group 2: Industry and Company Insights - The modern investment banking sector is evolving, with a focus on cross-border asset management, particularly in Hong Kong, which has a substantial asset management scale of 35.14 trillion HKD [18][19] - The telecommunications industry is experiencing rapid advancements in satellite internet deployment, with 116 satellites launched to date, enhancing communication capabilities [22][23] - The lithium battery industry is witnessing a significant price increase in lithium hexafluorophosphate, which has risen over 50% since mid-July, driven by tight supply and increasing demand [35]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][6] Core Viewpoints - The company reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in overall retail value for the period from July to September 2025, marking a recovery from a 1.9% decline in the previous quarter. Same-store sales turned positive across all markets, with a 7.6% increase in mainland China and an 8.6% increase in franchise stores. Hong Kong and Macau saw a 6.2% increase in same-store sales, with Macau leading at 17.3% [3][5] - The sales structure showed strong growth in high-margin priced products, with a 43.7% year-on-year increase in retail value for priced gold products in mainland China. Jewelry inlaid, platinum, and K-gold jewelry also saw a 10% positive growth, while jadeite experienced a doubling in growth [3][5] - The company continues to optimize store efficiency, closing 296 underperforming stores, resulting in a total of 6,041 stores at the end of the quarter. The company opened one new image store in Beijing, bringing the total to eight [3][5] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - The company achieved a comprehensive recovery in same-store sales, with mainland China direct stores growing by 7.6% (9.9% excluding watch business) and franchise stores by 8.6%. Hong Kong's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, while Macau's grew by 17.3% [3][5] Product Sales Structure - High-margin priced products continued to perform strongly, with a 43.7% increase in retail value for priced gold products in mainland China. Other categories like jewelry inlaid, platinum, and K-gold jewelry saw a 10% growth, and jadeite sales doubled [3][5] Store Optimization - The company is focused on enhancing store efficiency, having closed 296 low-performing stores, resulting in a total of 6,041 stores. Additionally, the company opened one new image store in Beijing, increasing the total to eight [3][5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the rising demand for gold jewelry driven by value preservation and the growing trend of self-consumption among younger consumers. The company plans to invest further in research and design, enhance the layout of high-margin priced products, and optimize store structures to boost sales [4][9] - The forecast for the company's net profit for the fiscal years 2026-2028 has been raised to HKD 77.85 billion, 87.11 billion, and 95.43 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.9, 18.7, and 17.1 [4][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chow Tai Fook [6] Core Views - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026Q2 performance shows a positive trend with a 4.1% year-on-year growth in group RSV, aligning with expectations [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of approximately 3% for FY2026, with a projected net profit increase of 32% to HKD 7.8 billion [3] Summary by Sections Domestic Performance - In FY2026Q2, Chow Tai Fook's same-store sales in mainland China turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in direct same-store sales [1] - The average selling price of gold jewelry increased by 23% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in gold prices, which were up 46% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2] - Excluding price factors, same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline was less severe than in Q1, attributed to new product launches and the optimization of existing product lines [2] E-commerce Growth - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume [2] Hong Kong and Macau Performance - In FY2026Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Chow Tai Fook's net profit for FY2026 to reach HKD 7.8 billion, with a PE ratio of 21 times [3] - Projected net profits for FY2026-2028 are HKD 78.06 billion, HKD 88.30 billion, and HKD 98.78 billion respectively [3]

Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook (1929.HK) reported a 3% growth in retail value for the first three quarters, with mainland China contributing 86.9% of the total retail value [2] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail value of priced gold products showed a strong momentum, with a year-on-year growth of 43.7% during the quarter [2] - Retail value for jewelry, platinum, and K-gold jewelry increased by 10.0%, with jade jewelry sales more than doubling [2] - The contribution of jewelry, platinum, and K-gold jewelry to retail value rose to 15.3% in the quarter, up from 14.4% in the second quarter of FY2025, while gold jewelry and products contributed 80.8%, down from 81.4% [2] - Overall, the retail contribution of priced products increased to 29.9% in the quarter, compared to 24.8% in the second quarter of FY2025 [2] Group 2: E-commerce Performance - The retail value from e-commerce in mainland China maintained strong momentum, increasing by 28.1% year-on-year during the quarter [2] - E-commerce contributed 6.7% to the retail value in mainland China and accounted for 15.5% of total sales [2]

视频编辑丨许婷婷 10月17日，黄金价格再创新高，上海黄金交易所AU99.99早盘价报990.35元/克，午盘价已升至998.8元/克，日内多次突破千元关口。 深圳水贝迎来千元金价，当日下午，水贝足金报1004元/克，回收价报980元/克 。 记者丨张晓慧 编辑丨孙超逸 受黄金价格影响，17日多个黄金股大涨，萃华珠宝开盘一度涨停，截至收盘涨4.2%，周大福涨5.02%，老铺黄金涨幅达3.11%；西部黄金、山 东黄金、四川黄金等上游黄金企业同样表现不同程度涨幅。 黄金各类投资火热，萃华珠宝集团总经理、黄金理财投资分析师柳玉荣在接受21世纪经济报道采访时表示，当前黄金价格突破新高，受到地缘 政治、央行增持等多个因素影响，应警惕黄金价格回落；同时，黄金本身作为"零息资产"，投资者更应谨慎配置，按需购金。 17日晚间，国际金价出现跳水， 现货黄金 最新报价 4251.448美元/盎司，当天盘中一度跌穿4200美元。 近日，上海黄金交易所发布公告，称近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多，国际贵金属价格波动剧烈，提示会员单位合理控制仓位，理性投资。 SFC 出品丨21财经客户端 21世纪经济报道 编辑丨金珊 实习生丁紫祎 多地预 ...